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South Korean President Lee Jae-myung: South Korea and Japan will expand supply chain cooperation. South Korea and Japan have reached an agreement to strengthen cooperation in liquefied natural gas and crude oil, including information sharing on reserves.Futures News, May 19th: Data on Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) chemical product warehouse receipts and changes on May 19th: 1. Polyethylene futures warehouse receipts: 13,750 lots, a decrease of 359 lots compared to the previous trading day; 2. Polyvinyl chloride (PVC) futures warehouse receipts: 103,456 lots, an increase of 469 lots compared to the previous trading day; 3. Polypropylene (PP) futures warehouse receipts: 15,936 lots, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 4. Ethylene glycol futures warehouse receipts: 13,498 lots, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 5. Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) futures warehouse receipts: 1,164 lots, a decrease of 25 lots compared to the previous trading day.On May 19th, ING analyst James Smith stated in a report that weaker-than-expected UK labor market data could reinforce the Bank of Englands cautious stance. The unemployment rate rose to 5.0% in the three months to March, the number of wage-earning employees fell sharply, and wage growth slowed. He noted, "The weakness is mainly concentrated in consumer-facing sectors most affected by last years tax and minimum wage increases. The impending energy shock will only exacerbate this pressure." Smith said that against this backdrop, the economy seems less susceptible to a second round of inflationary effects from rising energy prices, casting doubt on whether the Bank of England will raise interest rates. "We still predict a rate hike in June, but this is far from certain," Smith said.On May 19, the State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters Office and the Ministry of Emergency Management continued to organize meetings with meteorological, water resources, and natural resources departments, as well as provinces including Hubei, Hunan, Guangxi, Chongqing, and Guizhou, to discuss and assess the development trend of the current round of heavy rainfall and to deploy flood control and disaster relief work in key areas. The meeting emphasized that all localities and relevant departments should adhere to the principle of prevention first, strengthen the investigation and rectification of hidden dangers, focus on the safe management of flood-prone road sections and flooded bridges, deepen the investigation of hidden dangers in key areas such as mountain torrent disaster-prone areas, geological disaster-prone areas, urban areas prone to flooding, small and medium-sized reservoirs, and river embankments, and strengthen the prevention of secondary accidents such as mine flooding, hazardous chemical leaks, and construction site foundation pit collapses that may be caused by heavy rainfall and severe convective weather.May 19th - The cap on UK household energy bills is expected to rise by 13% this summer, the largest increase since 2023, further exacerbating inflationary pressures as the war with Iran drives up energy costs. Energy consultancy Cornwall Insight Ltd. stated that the energy price cap, which limits how much suppliers charge ordinary households, is expected to rise to £1,850 (approximately $2,479) per year from July. While these figures are estimates, they are generally very close to those published by the UKs Gas and Electricity Markets Office (Ofgem). Ofgem resets the cap every three months, and the next adjustment will take effect on July 1st; the calculation window closed on Monday. This increase reflects the significant rise in European energy prices since the outbreak of the war with Iran in late February and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. UK next-month gas futures rose by about 50%, and electricity futures rose by about a third. The rising energy bills will make the Bank of Englands fight against inflation more difficult. Previously, the market expected inflation to fall back to the 2% target, paving the way for interest rate cuts, but high energy prices could trigger a new round of cost-of-living crisis, making this prospect seem unattainable.

While examining global development expectations, the WTI price falls below $72

Alina Haynes

Mar 15, 2023 11:38

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WTI is experiencing a corrective decline that began around $81 and is currently trading just below $72. The diminishing expectation of cumulative global development is depressing oil demand. WTI price struggles to remain elevated despite restricted oil supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) desires to maintain oil prices above the $80 threshold; consequently, a number of voluntary adjustments have been enacted; however, oil prices are more interested in the global economic slowdown than the law of supply and demand.

 

The global outlook for inflation, which is a major driver of commodity prices, is deteriorating as a result of rising global borrowing costs. This effect has been observed in numerous commodities, including copper and iron ore.

 

The recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank have dampened investors' sentiment regarding underlying financial conditions. The global development outlook is clouded by recent unemployment in numerous developed countries.

 

Recent data demonstrated that the Chinese reopening narrative is less optimistic than previously believed. China was one of the countries that contributed to rewriting the global development narrative following the 2008 Great Financial Crisis (GFC). This time, however, is not the case.

 

Meanwhile, on Tuesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released in accordance with expectations, with the headline MoM figure coming in at 0.4% as expected, from 0.5% previously, and the YoY figure coming in at 6% as expected, from 6.5% previously. The MoM core reading came in marginally higher than anticipated, at 0.5% versus 0.4% expected, from the previous 0.4%, and the core YoY reading was in line with expectations, at 5.5% from 5.6%.