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September 10th - The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to raise interest rates for the second time since the energy price surge caused by the Iran war, as inflation continues to exceed its target while the regions economy remains surprisingly strong. In a survey, all but one analyst expected the deposit rate to rise 25 basis points to 2.5% on Thursday. New quarterly forecasts will reinforce the case for a rate hike, pointing to rising inflationary pressures and faster economic growth in the eurozone. Policymakers are dealing with consumer price increases that surpassed 3% last month, a level near a three-year high, and unlikely to fall significantly in the coming months. Unlike the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, the ECB raised rates in June and there is little disagreement about taking action again this week.Market news: The U.S. Department of Justice is investigating whether the $20 billion licensing deal between Nvidia (NVDA.O) and AI chip startup Groq was deliberately designed to circumvent antitrust scrutiny.September 10th - According to reports, TSMCs (TSM.N) Phase II expansion of its 1.4nm fab in the Central Taiwan Science Park is accelerating, with the first (P1) fab expected to begin trial operations in April next year. Mass production is anticipated to begin in the second half of 2027, earlier than the originally planned 2028. The report, citing unnamed sources, states that TSMC is building two temporary offices at the site, expected to be completed simultaneously in April next year. Initially, over 5,400 operations and outsourced personnel will be stationed there.On September 10th, 2026, at 9:00 AM, options for hot-rolled coil, stainless steel, and low-sulfur fuel oil were listed on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE). All three options were simultaneously opened to Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors (QFIIs). The low-sulfur fuel oil option, as a specific domestic product, directly allows overseas traders to participate in trading. All three options are American-style options. A total of 236 contracts were listed for trading on the first day, including 48 hot-rolled coil options, 50 stainless steel options, and 138 low-sulfur fuel oil options. Following the listing of these three options, the total number of options listed on the SHFE has increased to 23, covering major sectors such as non-ferrous metals, precious metals, ferrous metals, and energy chemicals. A relevant SHFE official stated that hot-rolled coil, stainless steel, and low-sulfur fuel oil futures have been listed for many years and have operated steadily, becoming important tools for risk management for enterprises in related industries. The listing of these three options is an important measure for the SHFE to expand and improve its business, further enhancing the breadth and depth of services offered for these products. 2. Going forward, the Shanghai Futures Exchange will continue to maintain stable market operations, improve its product system, optimize rules and regulations, strengthen market cultivation and investor education, focus on improving market operation quality and service efficiency, better meet the diversified and refined risk management needs of industrial enterprises, and better serve the high-quality development of the real economy.On September 10th, the Copernicus Climate Change Service, the EUs climate monitoring agency, released a statement saying that August 2026 will be the hottest month since records began in 1940. Data shows that the global average surface temperature in August this year was approximately 16.96 degrees Celsius, slightly higher than the record of approximately 16.95 degrees Celsius set in July 2023, making it the hottest month globally. The global average surface temperature in August was 0.85 degrees Celsius higher than the average for the same period from 1991 to 2020, and 1.65 degrees Celsius higher than the pre-industrial average (1850 to 1900). This marks the first time since November 2025 that the global monthly average temperature has exceeded pre-industrial levels by more than 1.5 degrees Celsius.

While examining global development expectations, the WTI price falls below $72

Alina Haynes

Mar 15, 2023 11:38

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WTI is experiencing a corrective decline that began around $81 and is currently trading just below $72. The diminishing expectation of cumulative global development is depressing oil demand. WTI price struggles to remain elevated despite restricted oil supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) desires to maintain oil prices above the $80 threshold; consequently, a number of voluntary adjustments have been enacted; however, oil prices are more interested in the global economic slowdown than the law of supply and demand.

 

The global outlook for inflation, which is a major driver of commodity prices, is deteriorating as a result of rising global borrowing costs. This effect has been observed in numerous commodities, including copper and iron ore.

 

The recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank have dampened investors' sentiment regarding underlying financial conditions. The global development outlook is clouded by recent unemployment in numerous developed countries.

 

Recent data demonstrated that the Chinese reopening narrative is less optimistic than previously believed. China was one of the countries that contributed to rewriting the global development narrative following the 2008 Great Financial Crisis (GFC). This time, however, is not the case.

 

Meanwhile, on Tuesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released in accordance with expectations, with the headline MoM figure coming in at 0.4% as expected, from 0.5% previously, and the YoY figure coming in at 6% as expected, from 6.5% previously. The MoM core reading came in marginally higher than anticipated, at 0.5% versus 0.4% expected, from the previous 0.4%, and the core YoY reading was in line with expectations, at 5.5% from 5.6%.