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On July 30th, Blerina Uruci, chief U.S. economist at Praxair, stated that assuming no significant rise in oil prices and low inflation, the Federal Reserve is likely to keep interest rates unchanged at its September meeting. In a report, she noted that given the number of dissenting votes at Wednesdays Federal Open Market Committee meeting and the uncertainty surrounding oil prices, market expectations for the September rate decision reflect a 50/50 probability. The market will continue to pressure the Fed and is unlikely to back down until inflation data compels it to act, maintaining its view that interest rates will remain unchanged. The June core CPI data did not influence the Feds decision, adding that Warsh is watching this trend and that "if hes lucky, this trend could work in his favor a few months later."Local officials said a Russian missile attack in Krivirikh, Ukraine, killed six people, including children, and injured eight others.On July 30th, Digitimes analyst Derek Huang stated in a report that the timeline for TSMCs Japanese factory to fully resume production remains to be seen due to ongoing aftershocks. He said that even if the direct financial losses to TSMC are minimal, the extended recertification time for specialized process equipment could cause greater disruption to the supply chain. TSMC stated in a press release that all personnel were evacuated following Tuesdays strong earthquake, and post-earthquake structural inspections confirmed the buildings structural safety. The company added that, however, due to the relatively strong earthquake, the inspection and calibration of related equipment will require some time.On July 30th, at the CDEC Summit Forum held during ChinaJoy, Zhang Yijun, First Vice Chairman of the China Audio-Visual and Digital Publishing Association, released the "China Game Industry Report for January-June 2026". The report shows that in the first half of 2026, the actual sales revenue of the domestic game market reached 188.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.17%. As of June, the number of game users in my country reached 684 million, a year-on-year increase of 0.82%. In terms of overseas game exports, my country continued to maintain high growth, with the actual sales revenue of self-developed games in overseas markets reaching US$12.372 billion in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 30.2%. Meanwhile, mini-games also showed impressive growth, with the revenue of mini-program mobile games reaching 31.66 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of approximately 36%. Zhang Yijun mentioned that the game industry saw significant growth in scale in the first half of the year, with AI technology fully penetrating the market and the game economy becoming increasingly robust.On July 30th, media outlets reported that several users had experienced unusual spending on their Meituan accounts. Meituan confirmed that after thorough investigation, these users were highly likely victims of a new type of telecom fraud. Meituan is actively cooperating with the police investigation and has taken various measures to ensure user account security. Meituan (03690.HK) stated that, according to multiple investigations, the modus operandi in this incident is highly consistent: criminals use lures such as "brushing orders for rebates" and "high commissions" to send users links containing Trojan programs. Once a user clicks on the link, their phone is remotely controlled. The criminals then use the users identity to purchase popular restaurant vouchers and scenic spot package tickets in bulk on Meituan, and then quickly resell them for cash through online second-hand platforms, profiting from this. It is understood that public security organs in multiple locations have opened investigations into related cases. Meituan is actively cooperating with the police by providing complete data such as account login logs, order details, and transaction records to assist in tracing the criminal gang. In response to this new type of crime, Meituan stated that it has continuously upgraded its risk control strategies.

While examining global development expectations, the WTI price falls below $72

Alina Haynes

Mar 15, 2023 11:38

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WTI is experiencing a corrective decline that began around $81 and is currently trading just below $72. The diminishing expectation of cumulative global development is depressing oil demand. WTI price struggles to remain elevated despite restricted oil supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) desires to maintain oil prices above the $80 threshold; consequently, a number of voluntary adjustments have been enacted; however, oil prices are more interested in the global economic slowdown than the law of supply and demand.

 

The global outlook for inflation, which is a major driver of commodity prices, is deteriorating as a result of rising global borrowing costs. This effect has been observed in numerous commodities, including copper and iron ore.

 

The recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank have dampened investors' sentiment regarding underlying financial conditions. The global development outlook is clouded by recent unemployment in numerous developed countries.

 

Recent data demonstrated that the Chinese reopening narrative is less optimistic than previously believed. China was one of the countries that contributed to rewriting the global development narrative following the 2008 Great Financial Crisis (GFC). This time, however, is not the case.

 

Meanwhile, on Tuesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released in accordance with expectations, with the headline MoM figure coming in at 0.4% as expected, from 0.5% previously, and the YoY figure coming in at 6% as expected, from 6.5% previously. The MoM core reading came in marginally higher than anticipated, at 0.5% versus 0.4% expected, from the previous 0.4%, and the core YoY reading was in line with expectations, at 5.5% from 5.6%.