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On September 20th, the State Council Information Office held a press conference on the theme of "Starting the 15th Five-Year Plan," introducing the relevant situation regarding promoting high-quality development of market supervision during the 15th Five-Year Plan period and answering questions from reporters. Yang Sheng, Deputy Director of the National Medical Products Administration, stated that it is necessary to strengthen the legal framework and improve the regulatory standards system. He also emphasized strengthening the research and formulation of standards in cutting-edge fields such as brain-computer interfaces, using standard upgrades to drive quality improvement.On September 20th, Turkish Foreign Minister Fedan Ibrahim stated on September 19th that Turkey is prepared to provide assistance to Saudi Arabia in accordance with the Mecca Mutual Defense Agreement in response to the recent attacks on Saudi Arabia by the Houthi rebels in Yemen. Fedan said that the signatory countries are monitoring the attacks on Saudi Arabia, and Saudi Arabias military needs may focus on some technical issues, which Turkey will be able to meet. Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan signed the Mecca Mutual Defense Agreement on August 7th. According to a joint statement issued by the three parties that day, the agreement aims to strengthen joint deterrence against any act of aggression. The agreement stipulates that an armed attack on any of the three countries will be considered an attack on all three.On September 20th, Venezuela and Total Energy signed a memorandum of understanding on Saturday, paving the way for the French companys return to operations in Venezuela. According to a government statement, Venezuelan Acting President Rodríguez presided over the ceremony in Caracas, where Hector Ofregón, president of PDVSA, and Francisco Javier Lielow, senior vice president of Total Energys Americas, signed the energy cooperation agreement. The statement said that Total Energy subsidiary TotalEnergies E&P New Ventures will participate in the energy project. Total Energy and its partner Equinor withdrew from the Petrocedeno oil project in 2021 amid a wave of foreign companies leaving the country. At the time, CEO Patrick Pouané stated that the move was unrelated to the political situation in Venezuela but was in line with the companys plan to reduce its carbon footprint.On September 20th, the State Taxation Administration released the latest tax data, showing that in the first eight months of this year, tax revenue collected by tax authorities nationwide increased by 5.9% year-on-year. The data shows that in the first eight months of this year, the Producer Price Index (PPI), which is highly correlated with tax revenue, rose by 2% cumulatively, driving rapid growth in tax revenue calculated at current prices. Meanwhile, the capital market has been generally active this year, with the average daily turnover of A-shares reaching 2.7 trillion yuan in the first eight months, a 72.8% increase compared to the same period last year, leading to rapid growth in related taxes and industry tax revenue. Specifically, securities transaction stamp tax increased by 82%, and personal income tax on restricted stock transfers increased by 59.7%. Tax revenue from the securities industry increased by 65.6% year-on-year, while tax revenue from the insurance industry and other financial industries increased by 14.6% and 18.5% respectively. Tax revenue from other industries was also boosted by increased returns from stock market investments by related companies. Furthermore, since the beginning of this year, the government has also standardized some tax incentives that are not in line with high-quality development or the current situation, contributing to the increase in tax revenue.On September 20th, according to Russian sources, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin announced on social media that over 150 Ukrainian drones had attacked Moscow and its surrounding areas since the early hours of the morning, with most being shot down by Russian air defense systems. Furthermore, according to the Kyiv Military Authority, air raid sirens were issued in the early hours of the 20th in Kyiv, the Ukrainian capital, due to the threat of missiles and drones.

While examining global development expectations, the WTI price falls below $72

Alina Haynes

Mar 15, 2023 11:38

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WTI is experiencing a corrective decline that began around $81 and is currently trading just below $72. The diminishing expectation of cumulative global development is depressing oil demand. WTI price struggles to remain elevated despite restricted oil supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) desires to maintain oil prices above the $80 threshold; consequently, a number of voluntary adjustments have been enacted; however, oil prices are more interested in the global economic slowdown than the law of supply and demand.

 

The global outlook for inflation, which is a major driver of commodity prices, is deteriorating as a result of rising global borrowing costs. This effect has been observed in numerous commodities, including copper and iron ore.

 

The recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank have dampened investors' sentiment regarding underlying financial conditions. The global development outlook is clouded by recent unemployment in numerous developed countries.

 

Recent data demonstrated that the Chinese reopening narrative is less optimistic than previously believed. China was one of the countries that contributed to rewriting the global development narrative following the 2008 Great Financial Crisis (GFC). This time, however, is not the case.

 

Meanwhile, on Tuesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released in accordance with expectations, with the headline MoM figure coming in at 0.4% as expected, from 0.5% previously, and the YoY figure coming in at 6% as expected, from 6.5% previously. The MoM core reading came in marginally higher than anticipated, at 0.5% versus 0.4% expected, from the previous 0.4%, and the core YoY reading was in line with expectations, at 5.5% from 5.6%.