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According to Iranian reports, more than 200 enemy aircraft have been shot down in the recent conflict.On August 17th, Alexander Stepanov, a military expert at the Institute of Law and National Security of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), stated that Irans resistance to the US military presence in the Middle East has seriously challenged the feasibility of deploying its carrier strike groups. Stepanov stated that aircraft carriers are among the most expensive tools for projecting US military power, but their effectiveness has been severely diminished due to their inherent weaknesses and the lack of adequate means to protect such large, high-value assets. He further pointed out that the more than 260-day deployment at sea and the inherent vulnerabilities of the ships themselves have placed a heavy burden on the crews. This is the longest mission to date, yet it has yielded almost no substantial military results.On August 17th, according to reports from the Ukrainian Air Force and local officials on social media, Russian forces launched attacks on 16 locations in Sumy, Odessa, and Kharkiv regions from the evening of the 16th to the early morning of the 17th. As of the morning of the 17th, the attacks had resulted in at least two deaths and 11 injuries. The Ukrainian Air Force stated on the morning of the 17th that Russian forces launched 128 drones into Ukrainian territory from the evening of the 16th to the early morning of the 17th. As of 8:30 AM on the 17th, Ukrainian air defense and electronic warfare units had intercepted 106 drones. The Ukrainian State Emergency Service stated on the morning of the 17th that Russian forces launched attacks on Sumy region in the early hours of the day, targeting residential buildings and structures, resulting in two deaths and one injury.On August 17, according to a statement from the Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Governments (KRG) Anti-Terrorism Directorate, at 00:28 local time, two Hadid-110 drones loaded with explosives took off from the Iranian border, targeting the KRG Prime Ministers office and the residence of the KRG Security Director in the Pilm district of Erbil province. No casualties were reported. The statement strongly condemned the attack and act of aggression, reiterating that these actions were "completely unacceptable" and that all perpetrators would be held accountable.On August 17, local time, Yadora Javani, deputy political commander of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, said: "The Strait of Hormuz will be reopened once the United States fulfills its commitments under the Islamabad memorandum."

While examining global development expectations, the WTI price falls below $72

Alina Haynes

Mar 15, 2023 11:38

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WTI is experiencing a corrective decline that began around $81 and is currently trading just below $72. The diminishing expectation of cumulative global development is depressing oil demand. WTI price struggles to remain elevated despite restricted oil supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) desires to maintain oil prices above the $80 threshold; consequently, a number of voluntary adjustments have been enacted; however, oil prices are more interested in the global economic slowdown than the law of supply and demand.

 

The global outlook for inflation, which is a major driver of commodity prices, is deteriorating as a result of rising global borrowing costs. This effect has been observed in numerous commodities, including copper and iron ore.

 

The recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank have dampened investors' sentiment regarding underlying financial conditions. The global development outlook is clouded by recent unemployment in numerous developed countries.

 

Recent data demonstrated that the Chinese reopening narrative is less optimistic than previously believed. China was one of the countries that contributed to rewriting the global development narrative following the 2008 Great Financial Crisis (GFC). This time, however, is not the case.

 

Meanwhile, on Tuesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released in accordance with expectations, with the headline MoM figure coming in at 0.4% as expected, from 0.5% previously, and the YoY figure coming in at 6% as expected, from 6.5% previously. The MoM core reading came in marginally higher than anticipated, at 0.5% versus 0.4% expected, from the previous 0.4%, and the core YoY reading was in line with expectations, at 5.5% from 5.6%.