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On August 4th, Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser stated that last months attacks on its assets did not have a material impact on its operations, and that the company is working to expand its oil export capacity due to the ongoing impact of the war with Iran on the Strait of Hormuz. This comes after the Saudi energy giant reported that its critical infrastructure was targeted in the July attacks. This is the companys first acknowledgment of the attacks since the incidents began. Oil traders had been closely examining footage from last month showing suspected oil tank fires and flare burning across Saudi Arabia. "Some of the companys facilities were attacked, but the impact on operations or finances was not significant," Nasser said. "The same was true in July. Even with the July attacks, there was no material impact on our capabilities."Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) said the new deployment allows engineers to oversee up to three times the number of drilling rigs and helps avoid up to two days of downtime.Saudi Aramco CEO: Oil exports to Asia via the Suez Canal take 20-25 days longer than those via the Strait of Hormuz.On August 4th, Futures Market News reported that the main contract for container shipping index (European route) fluctuated upwards in the morning session, rising over 4% intraday. In the afternoon, the main contract for container shipping index (European route) plummeted, falling over 4% at one point, ultimately closing down 3.36% at 1726 points. 1. In terms of news, according to the latest report from CCTV News, the US, citing Iranian and US officials, stated that Iran and Oman are close to reaching an agreement on navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. US sources indicate that, according to the agreement discussed by both sides, ships entering the Persian Gulf will use a route closer to the Iranian coast and controlled by Iran, while ships leaving will use a route closer to Oman. 2. Some analysts believe that the price of container shipping index (European route) futures has ended its one-sided trend and entered a high-volatility phase characterized by "weak fundamentals and risk premium support." The navigation situation in the Red Sea is a key variable. If tensions in the Red Sea escalate, more shipping companies will adjust their routes and expand the scope of suspended services, then the geopolitical risk premium will continue to push up the price of near-month contracts. Conversely, if the situation in the Red Sea eases, the market will revert to fundamentals and give back its gains. Going forward, a range-bound trading strategy is recommended, with close monitoring of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait navigation status, major shipping companies suspension of operations, and changes in war risk premiums.According to TASS, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, Russia has struck a logistics center in the Sumy region of Ukraine.

While examining global development expectations, the WTI price falls below $72

Alina Haynes

Mar 15, 2023 11:38

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WTI is experiencing a corrective decline that began around $81 and is currently trading just below $72. The diminishing expectation of cumulative global development is depressing oil demand. WTI price struggles to remain elevated despite restricted oil supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) desires to maintain oil prices above the $80 threshold; consequently, a number of voluntary adjustments have been enacted; however, oil prices are more interested in the global economic slowdown than the law of supply and demand.

 

The global outlook for inflation, which is a major driver of commodity prices, is deteriorating as a result of rising global borrowing costs. This effect has been observed in numerous commodities, including copper and iron ore.

 

The recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank have dampened investors' sentiment regarding underlying financial conditions. The global development outlook is clouded by recent unemployment in numerous developed countries.

 

Recent data demonstrated that the Chinese reopening narrative is less optimistic than previously believed. China was one of the countries that contributed to rewriting the global development narrative following the 2008 Great Financial Crisis (GFC). This time, however, is not the case.

 

Meanwhile, on Tuesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released in accordance with expectations, with the headline MoM figure coming in at 0.4% as expected, from 0.5% previously, and the YoY figure coming in at 6% as expected, from 6.5% previously. The MoM core reading came in marginally higher than anticipated, at 0.5% versus 0.4% expected, from the previous 0.4%, and the core YoY reading was in line with expectations, at 5.5% from 5.6%.