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July 30th - US semiconductor stocks extended their gains, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising 9% and the Nasdaq Composite Index currently up 2.6%. Micron Technology (MU.O) surged over 16%, AMD (AMD.O) rose over 15%, and Intel (INTC.O) climbed over 14%.U.S. EIA natural gas inventories for the week ending July 24 were 28 billion cubic feet, compared to an expected 35 billion cubic feet and a previous reading of 32 billion cubic feet.World Trade Organization: Brazil has filed a dispute settlement lawsuit over US tariffs.On July 30, the Thailand Futures Exchange issued an announcement stating that due to a 2.50% drop in the USD/JPY futures trading price compared to the most recent settlement price, and in accordance with the guidelines for suspending trading of derivatives due to triggering daily price fluctuation limits, the Thailand Futures Exchange decided to temporarily suspend futures trading of this currency pair from 21:04:41 local time, and resume formal trading at 21:06:41.On July 30th, after the Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged and stated that domestic inflationary pressures were easing, UK short-term government bonds saw their biggest single-day gain in over a month. The yield on the most sensitive monetary policy gilt fell 11 basis points to 4.34%, the largest single-day drop since June 12th. Bank of England Governor Bailey stated at a press conference that he did not want people to "leave the meeting with the impression that the committee is gradually moving towards raising interest rates," after which UK government bonds further extended their gains. Influenced by the Bank of Englands dovish stance, the money market expects the Bank of England to raise interest rates by a cumulative total of about 32 basis points by the end of this year, lower than the 38 basis points before the decision was announced. The markets probability of a rate hike at the September meeting has also fallen from nearly 60% to less than 40%. James Lynch, portfolio manager at Aberdeen Asset Management, said, "The threshold for a Bank of England rate hike is very high." He expects the Bank of England to keep interest rates unchanged for the remainder of the year. He stated that Bailey was "more definitive than I expected."

While examining global development expectations, the WTI price falls below $72

Alina Haynes

Mar 15, 2023 11:38

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WTI is experiencing a corrective decline that began around $81 and is currently trading just below $72. The diminishing expectation of cumulative global development is depressing oil demand. WTI price struggles to remain elevated despite restricted oil supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) desires to maintain oil prices above the $80 threshold; consequently, a number of voluntary adjustments have been enacted; however, oil prices are more interested in the global economic slowdown than the law of supply and demand.

 

The global outlook for inflation, which is a major driver of commodity prices, is deteriorating as a result of rising global borrowing costs. This effect has been observed in numerous commodities, including copper and iron ore.

 

The recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank have dampened investors' sentiment regarding underlying financial conditions. The global development outlook is clouded by recent unemployment in numerous developed countries.

 

Recent data demonstrated that the Chinese reopening narrative is less optimistic than previously believed. China was one of the countries that contributed to rewriting the global development narrative following the 2008 Great Financial Crisis (GFC). This time, however, is not the case.

 

Meanwhile, on Tuesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released in accordance with expectations, with the headline MoM figure coming in at 0.4% as expected, from 0.5% previously, and the YoY figure coming in at 6% as expected, from 6.5% previously. The MoM core reading came in marginally higher than anticipated, at 0.5% versus 0.4% expected, from the previous 0.4%, and the core YoY reading was in line with expectations, at 5.5% from 5.6%.