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Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk announced on Saturday that Poland will end its fuel price cap this summer, citing expectations of a de-escalation of the conflict involving Iran and price stabilization. In March, the Polish government announced a reduction in the fuel value-added tax (VAT) from 23% to 8%, lowered the excise tax to the lowest level in the EU, and began daily price caps on motor vehicle fuels. These measures have been extended every two weeks since their implementation. This Friday, Poland decided to extend the VAT exemption and price cap on gasoline and diesel until the end of June, but did not extend the excise tax exemption. Tusk stated, "Throughout the crisis, our fuel prices have been the cheapest in Europe, but we will end this measure this summer."Polish Prime Minister Tusk: Poland will end restrictions on fuel prices this summer.Pakistans Foreign Minister: Like the Swiss Foreign Minister, Pakistan hopes that the efforts of the United States and Iran will promote regional peace and stability.On June 13, European Central Bank Governing Council member and Bundesbank President Jean-Claude Nagel stated in an interview with German radio that even if the war with Iran ends quickly, prices may remain high for a longer period. Nagel said, "We may not even be able to return to the data levels we were based on before the conflict, because supply chains have clearly changed, and risk premiums may have increased." He was referring to the premiums that might be required for transporting goods through the Strait of Hormuz. Nagel stated, "I almost doubt we will ever return to the state before this regional conflict." The world "may continue to be affected by uncertainties and changes beyond the conflict." He indicated that interest rate hikes in the short term would make "refinancing" more expensive. "But in the long run, by clearly defining price stability as part of (economic health), we are making the greatest contribution to the economy."On June 13, the Argentine Ministry of Health announced that no rodents carrying the hantavirus had been found in Mendoza Province in western Argentina. From June 8 to 12, a team of experts from the Carlos Malfurion Institute of the National Institute of Laboratories and Health of Argentina and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention conducted a hantavirus investigation in Mendoza Province. The team set traps to capture rodents such as the long-tailed dwarf rice rat to confirm the spread of the hantavirus in the area. The Argentine Ministry of Health stated in its report released on June 12 that no rodents carrying the hantavirus were found.

While examining global development expectations, the WTI price falls below $72

Alina Haynes

Mar 15, 2023 11:38

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WTI is experiencing a corrective decline that began around $81 and is currently trading just below $72. The diminishing expectation of cumulative global development is depressing oil demand. WTI price struggles to remain elevated despite restricted oil supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) desires to maintain oil prices above the $80 threshold; consequently, a number of voluntary adjustments have been enacted; however, oil prices are more interested in the global economic slowdown than the law of supply and demand.

 

The global outlook for inflation, which is a major driver of commodity prices, is deteriorating as a result of rising global borrowing costs. This effect has been observed in numerous commodities, including copper and iron ore.

 

The recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank have dampened investors' sentiment regarding underlying financial conditions. The global development outlook is clouded by recent unemployment in numerous developed countries.

 

Recent data demonstrated that the Chinese reopening narrative is less optimistic than previously believed. China was one of the countries that contributed to rewriting the global development narrative following the 2008 Great Financial Crisis (GFC). This time, however, is not the case.

 

Meanwhile, on Tuesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released in accordance with expectations, with the headline MoM figure coming in at 0.4% as expected, from 0.5% previously, and the YoY figure coming in at 6% as expected, from 6.5% previously. The MoM core reading came in marginally higher than anticipated, at 0.5% versus 0.4% expected, from the previous 0.4%, and the core YoY reading was in line with expectations, at 5.5% from 5.6%.