• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
1. Monday: ① Data: Canadas August CPI month-on-month rate; Chinas August M2 money supply year-on-year rate (to be determined). ② Holiday: The National Stock Exchange of India is closed for one day. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Chinas August retail sales of consumer goods year-on-year; Chinas August industrial value-added year-on-year; UKs July three-month ILO unemployment rate; UKs August unemployment rate; UKs August jobless claims; Frances final August CPI month-on-month rate; Germanys September ZEW economic sentiment index; Eurozones September ZEW economic sentiment index; Eurozones July seasonally adjusted trade balance; US ADP employment change week-on-week for the week ending August 29; Canadas July wholesale sales month-on-month rate; US September New York Fed Manufacturing Index; Chinas August total electricity consumption year-on-year; Chinas August total electricity consumption (to be determined). ② Events: The National Energy Administration releases total electricity consumption data around the 15th of each month; the National Bureau of Statistics releases monthly reports on residential sales prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities; the State Council Information Office holds a press conference on the operation of the national economy. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API crude oil inventories for the week ending September 11; UK August CPI month-on-month rate, UK August retail price index month-on-month rate; Eurozone July industrial production month-on-month rate; US August retail sales month-on-month rate, US August import price index month-on-month rate, US September NAHB housing market index, US July business inventories month-on-month rate, US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending September 11, US EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week ending September 11, US EIA strategic petroleum reserves for the week ending September 11. ② Event: European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen delivers her State of the Union address. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US Federal Reserve interest rate decision (upper limit) to September 16; Chinas August SWIFT RMB share in global payments; Switzerlands August trade balance; Eurozones final August CPI year-on-year rate and final August CPI month-on-month rate; UK central bank interest rate decision to September 17; US initial jobless claims for the week ending September 12; US August housing starts (annualized); US August building permits; US September Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index; US August pending home sales index (month-on-month); US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending September 11. ② Events: US Securities and Exchange Commission holds a roundtable discussion on 24-hour trading; Bank of Canada releases monetary policy meeting minutes; Federal Reserve FOMC releases interest rate decision and economic projections summary, Federal Reserve Chairman holds monetary policy press conference [simultaneous interpretation]; Bank of England releases interest rate decision and meeting minutes. 5. Friday: ① Data: UK September GfK Consumer Confidence Index; Japan August Core CPI YoY; Germany August PPI MoM; UK August Seasonally Adjusted Retail Sales MoM; Eurozone July Seasonally Adjusted Current Account; US August Industrial Production MoM; US August Conference Board Leading Economic Index MoM; China August Year-to-Date National Power Generation Capacity; China August Year-to-Date National Power Generation Capacity YoY (TBD); Bank of Japan Target Interest Rate to September 18 (TBD). ② Events: RBA Governor Bullock attends hearing; Bank of Japan announces interest rate decision; Bank of Japan Governor Ueda Kazuo holds monetary policy press conference. 6. Saturday: ① Data: US Total Oil Rig Count for the Week Ending September 18. According to sources familiar with the matter, Anthropics gross margin exceeds 80% before including revenue shared with distribution partners such as Amazon and model training costs.According to sources familiar with the matter, Anthropic has informed a small group of shareholders that its adjusted operating profit will be positive for the second consecutive quarter. This figure excludes costs such as share-based compensation.US President Trump: Witkov and Kushner have done an outstanding job. Look at Gaza. There isnt much fighting in Gaza now. Hamas is now willing to lay down their weapons. Nobody could have done what they did.US President Trump: Most of our diesel comes from Russia. Russian factories were attacked by Ukraine. I have asked Zelensky not to attack those diesel plants and refineries.

While examining global development expectations, the WTI price falls below $72

Alina Haynes

Mar 15, 2023 11:38

 截屏2023-01-13 下午5.17.06.png

 

WTI is experiencing a corrective decline that began around $81 and is currently trading just below $72. The diminishing expectation of cumulative global development is depressing oil demand. WTI price struggles to remain elevated despite restricted oil supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) desires to maintain oil prices above the $80 threshold; consequently, a number of voluntary adjustments have been enacted; however, oil prices are more interested in the global economic slowdown than the law of supply and demand.

 

The global outlook for inflation, which is a major driver of commodity prices, is deteriorating as a result of rising global borrowing costs. This effect has been observed in numerous commodities, including copper and iron ore.

 

The recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank have dampened investors' sentiment regarding underlying financial conditions. The global development outlook is clouded by recent unemployment in numerous developed countries.

 

Recent data demonstrated that the Chinese reopening narrative is less optimistic than previously believed. China was one of the countries that contributed to rewriting the global development narrative following the 2008 Great Financial Crisis (GFC). This time, however, is not the case.

 

Meanwhile, on Tuesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released in accordance with expectations, with the headline MoM figure coming in at 0.4% as expected, from 0.5% previously, and the YoY figure coming in at 6% as expected, from 6.5% previously. The MoM core reading came in marginally higher than anticipated, at 0.5% versus 0.4% expected, from the previous 0.4%, and the core YoY reading was in line with expectations, at 5.5% from 5.6%.