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According to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), as of the week ending September 8, 2026, crude oil speculators increased their net long positions in WTI crude oil by 21,153 contracts to 140,046 contracts.According to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), as of the week ending September 8, 2026, the net short position in the Swiss franc was 29,985 contracts, the net short position in the British pound was 58,836 contracts, the net short position in the euro was 42,616 contracts, and the net long position in the Japanese yen was 10,796 contracts.On September 12th, Goldman Sachs continued to view its forecast of gold prices reaching $4,900 per ounce by the end of 2026 faces net upside risks, but the path will also see increased two-way volatility. Goldman Sachs stated that its $4,900 per ounce fair value forecast for the end of 2026 assumes continued strong demand from central banks. If ETF investor inflows resume and the current high call option positions persist, trader hedging could mechanically amplify the rally, pushing gold prices far beyond its forecast. Goldman Sachs also indicated that if expectations of a Fed rate hike resurface, it could trigger trader hedging, leading to a more severe pullback in gold prices than usual.U.S. Central Command: As of September 11, 99 merchant ships have been forced to divert to ensure they comply with relevant requirements.US President Trump announced that he will distribute a $5,000 "Trump bonus" to all American adults because the US is reaping trillions of dollars in economic development, investment, and "pure success." However, this plan is being criticized by Democrats who hope it will never happen.

While examining global development expectations, the WTI price falls below $72

Alina Haynes

Mar 15, 2023 11:38

 截屏2023-01-13 下午5.17.06.png

 

WTI is experiencing a corrective decline that began around $81 and is currently trading just below $72. The diminishing expectation of cumulative global development is depressing oil demand. WTI price struggles to remain elevated despite restricted oil supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) desires to maintain oil prices above the $80 threshold; consequently, a number of voluntary adjustments have been enacted; however, oil prices are more interested in the global economic slowdown than the law of supply and demand.

 

The global outlook for inflation, which is a major driver of commodity prices, is deteriorating as a result of rising global borrowing costs. This effect has been observed in numerous commodities, including copper and iron ore.

 

The recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank have dampened investors' sentiment regarding underlying financial conditions. The global development outlook is clouded by recent unemployment in numerous developed countries.

 

Recent data demonstrated that the Chinese reopening narrative is less optimistic than previously believed. China was one of the countries that contributed to rewriting the global development narrative following the 2008 Great Financial Crisis (GFC). This time, however, is not the case.

 

Meanwhile, on Tuesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released in accordance with expectations, with the headline MoM figure coming in at 0.4% as expected, from 0.5% previously, and the YoY figure coming in at 6% as expected, from 6.5% previously. The MoM core reading came in marginally higher than anticipated, at 0.5% versus 0.4% expected, from the previous 0.4%, and the core YoY reading was in line with expectations, at 5.5% from 5.6%.