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January 16th - According to relevant departments of the State Taxation Administration, tax authorities have been continuously strengthening publicity and guidance on tax payment for overseas income of resident individuals. Since last year, they have reminded taxpayers to conduct self-checks on income obtained from overseas from 2022 to 2024. According to the Tax Collection and Administration Law and other laws and regulations, if a taxpayer fails to file a tax return or makes calculation errors, resulting in underpayment or non-payment of taxes, the tax authorities may recover the tax and late payment penalties within three years; if tax evasion is constituted, it will be dealt with according to law. Paying personal income tax on income obtained by resident individuals from both domestic and overseas sources is an internationally accepted practice, which helps prevent cross-border tax evasion and safeguards national tax revenue. The tax authorities remind taxpayers that paying taxes according to law is the obligation of every citizen. If taxpayers find that they have previously failed to declare their overseas income as required, they should promptly correct the declaration in accordance with the law.
On January 16, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) publicly solicited opinions on the "Trial Measures for the Supervision and Administration of Derivatives Transactions (Draft for Comment)". Listed companies or companies whose stocks are traded on other national securities exchanges approved by the State Council are prohibited from engaging in derivatives transactions with their issued stocks as the underlying asset, unless otherwise stipulated by laws, administrative regulations, or the CSRC. Derivatives business institutions are prohibited from conducting derivatives transactions with shareholders holding more than 5% of the shares of listed companies or companies whose stocks are traded on other national securities exchanges approved by the State Council, their actual controllers, directors, supervisors, senior management personnel, and shareholders whose shares are subject to restrictions on sale or reduction, with the company's stock as the underlying asset.
On January 16, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) released a draft of the "Measures for the Supervision and Administration of Derivatives Trading (Trial)" for public comment. The CSRC adheres to the principle of prudent regulation, improves the monitoring and control system for the derivatives market, and can implement counter-cyclical adjustment management of derivatives trading.
On January 16th, Roborock Technology announced that it is currently working on its application to issue overseas listed shares and list on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The Listing Committee of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange will hold a listing hearing on January 15, 2026, to review the company's application for this offering. The joint sponsors of the company's offering received a letter from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on January 16, 2026, stating that the Listing Committee has reviewed the company's listing application, but this letter does not constitute formal listing approval, and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange still reserves the right to provide further comments on the company's listing application.
On January 16, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) publicly solicited opinions on the "Trial Measures for the Supervision and Administration of Derivatives Trading (Draft for Comment)". The draft aims to support the steady development of the derivatives market and enable it to play its functions of managing risk, allocating resources, and serving the real economy. It encourages the use of the derivatives market for risk management activities such as hedging, supports the development of derivatives that meet the risk management needs of medium- and long-term funds, and legally restricts excessive speculative behavior. All parties involved in derivatives trading and related activities must adhere to the principles of fairness, voluntariness, compensation, and good faith, and must not engage in illegal or irregular activities such as market manipulation, insider trading, trading on undisclosed information, illegal share reduction, or transfer of benefits through derivatives trading.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Sergei Pezechyan reaffirmed their commitment to implementing joint economic projects.
On January 16, Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, which reviewed and approved the "Draft Decision of the State Council on Amending and Repealing Some Administrative Regulations." The meeting decided to amend certain provisions of nine administrative regulations, including the "Urban Greening Regulations," and to repeal two administrative regulations, including the "Township Coal Mine Management Regulations." The meeting pointed out that it is necessary to promote the enactment, amendment, repeal, and interpretation of administrative regulations in a timely manner, to ensure a smooth transition between old and new regulations, to improve supporting mechanisms and methods, to enhance the systematic, holistic, coordinated, and timely nature of government legislation, and to continuously improve the quality of administrative regulations.
According to CCTV: Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council to make arrangements for clearing overdue payments to enterprises and ensuring the payment of wages to migrant workers.
According to CCTV: Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, where he heard a report on the progress of the special campaign to boost consumption and studied measures to accelerate the cultivation of new growth points in service consumption.
On January 16th, KunCai Technology announced that the company and relevant responsible persons recently received a "Decision on Taking Corrective Measures Against Fujian KunCai Materials Technology Co., Ltd. and Issuing Warning Letters to Xie Bingkun and Fang Fei" issued by the Fujian Regulatory Bureau of the China Securities Regulatory Commission. The reasons for the discrepancies are as follows: In 2024, the company delayed the transfer of some buildings, machinery, and equipment to fixed assets and under-accrued depreciation, which did not comply with Articles 9 and 14 of the "Accounting Standard for Business Enterprises No. 4—Fixed Assets"; In 2024, the company's inventory impairment provision for some models of pearlescent products was inaccurate, which did not comply with Article 15 of the "Accounting Standard for Business Enterprises No. 1—Inventories". These two matters resulted in inaccurate disclosure of relevant financial data in the company's 2024 annual report.
On January 16, Xiaomi repurchased 5.9 million Class B shares for HK$219.1 million.
January 16th - Pansen Macro analyst Claus Vistesen stated that January inflation data from Germany and the Eurozone may increase market bets on a European Central Bank rate cut. Data released Friday showed that Germany's annual inflation rate fell to 1.8% in December from 2.3% in November, as energy prices declined due to a one-off tariff reduction, laying the foundation for continued inflation declines into 2026. Core inflation is also expected to fall, although food and alcohol inflation are expected to rebound due to last year's benchmark effect. Pansen Macro expects Germany's January inflation rate to fall to 1.5%.
On January 16th, in response to the current economic and financial situation, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) opened its policy toolbox, announcing eight structural monetary policy measures and revealing that there is still "some room" for reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and interest rate cuts this year. The market is paying close attention to the subsequent policy direction. Regarding the timing of these policies, Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, believes that the possibility of an interest rate cut in the short term is reduced due to concerns about preventing further overheating of asset prices such as the stock market. Currently, the PBOC has many tools available for monetary policy, and its outright reverse repurchase operations have proven effective, all of which reduce the probability of a short-term RRR cut. The macro research team at Orient Securities believes that the PBOC is committed to building a scientific and sound monetary policy system and will adhere to avoiding excessive monetary easing to prevent future risks such as high inflation and high debt. The current focus of monetary policy is to effectively utilize various structural monetary policy tools, targeting specific areas precisely to continuously promote the transformation of old and new growth drivers. Therefore, the possibility of a significant interest rate cut or large-scale quantitative easing this year can be largely ruled out.
The U.S. military is deploying additional defensive and offensive capabilities to the Middle East in response to a potential strike against Iran by President Trump.
On January 16th, Morgan Stanley expressed optimism about the share price of Dutch semiconductor equipment manufacturer ASML. Analysts at the bank stated that in the most optimistic scenario, as chipmakers increase spending to meet soaring demand from artificial intelligence, the stock could rise by 70%, potentially reaching €2,000. Morgan Stanley's bullish outlook on ASML is further fueled by TSMC's earnings report demonstrating that the AI spending boom has not slowed. ASML's share price has already risen 25% year-to-date by 2026, and its market capitalization surpassed $500 billion this week, making it the third European company to reach this milestone.
January 16th - According to AXIOS, citing an Israeli source and another informed source, Mossad Director General Barnea arrived in the United States on Friday morning for talks on the situation in Iran. Barnea's trip is part of consultations between the US and Israel regarding the Iranian protests and potential US military action. It is understood that Barnea is expected to meet with US Middle East envoy Witkov in Miami. It is unclear whether Barnea will travel to Mar-a-Lago to meet with US President Trump over the weekend. US officials have stated that military action remains an option if Iran resumes its killings of protesters. Israeli officials believe that although action may be delayed, the possibility of a US military strike in the coming days remains. According to US sources, the US military is deploying more defensive and offensive capabilities to the region to facilitate rapid action should Trump order a strike.
The head of Israel's intelligence agency Mossad is visiting the United States to hold talks on the Iranian issue and is expected to meet with U.S. special envoy Witkov.
On January 16th, Barclays Bank predicted that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will hold its interest rates steady next week and adhere to its existing forward guidance without making significant adjustments. Barclays noted that given the extremely low real interest rates, the BOJ should "continue to reiterate its willingness to raise interest rates further, based on improvements in economic activity and prices." Furthermore, they pointed out that the sell-off of the yen will also be a factor in the central bank's decision.
Bank of America: Upgrades European insurance sector rating to equal.
On January 16, the Sixth China-ASEAN Digital Ministerial Meeting adopted the "China-ASEAN Digital Cooperation Plan 2026," which specifies the establishment of the China-ASEAN Digital Academy and the China-ASEAN Artificial Intelligence Industry Innovation Center within the year, and the commencement of exchanges and cooperation in areas such as digital and information and communication infrastructure, open source, and digital security. The meeting also adopted the "China-ASEAN Action Plan for Building a Sustainable and Inclusive Digital Ecosystem (2026-2030)," outlining strengthened cooperation between the two sides over the next five years in policy exchanges and strategic alignment, digital infrastructure construction, and the innovative application of emerging digital technologies.
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