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French Foreign Minister: I think it's impossible to talk about who the winner is in the current war, as there is already a ceasefire.
German industrial output unexpectedly declined in February, the Federal Statistical Office said on Thursday, with the energy price shock from the Middle East conflict expected to further dampen output. Industrial output fell 0.3% month-on-month in February, compared with a revised flat figure for January, while the market had generally expected a 0.5% increase. The decline in February was mainly dragged down by the construction sector, as well as by the electronics and optical products and pharmaceutical industries. In contrast, the Federal Statistical Office said that automobile production rebounded after a sharp drop in January.
On April 9th, it was reported that in response to the problems of false advertising, exaggeration, using efficacy claims as proof, and promoting cure rates and effectiveness in medical advertisements on radio and television, which harmed the rights and interests of the people, the State Administration of Radio and Television launched a nationwide centralized rectification campaign in August 2025. Working with provincial-level radio and television administrative departments, a special work plan was formulated, and measures such as handling complaints, monitoring and investigation, analysis and identification, and urging rectification were adopted to increase the intensity of handling and strengthen collaborative governance, ensuring that illegal advertisements are promptly detected, accurately identified, and effectively dealt with. As of the end of March this year, all false medical advertisements have been completely removed from television channels nationwide.
Germany's seasonally adjusted industrial production fell 0.3% month-on-month in February, compared with a forecast of 0.7% and a previous reading of -0.50%.
Germany's seasonally adjusted exports rose 3.6% month-on-month in February, below the expected 1.00% and the previous figure revised from -2.30% to -1.50%.
Germany's seasonally adjusted trade balance for February was €19.8 billion, below the expected €18.5 billion and the previous figure revised from €21.2 billion to €21.4 billion.
Germany's seasonally adjusted imports rose 4.7% month-on-month in February, below the expected 4% and the previous figure revised from -5.90% to -6.00%.
1. Sudden Geopolitical Developments: The White House press secretary confirmed that the United States and Iran will hold their first round of talks in Pakistan on April 11. The US delegation will be led by Vice President Vance and others. Iran has proposed a new plan as a basis for negotiations, but the US "red line" demanding that Iran stop uranium enrichment remains unchanged. 2. Risk of Spread from Conflict: The Israeli Air Force launched its largest airstrike against Hezbollah in Lebanon since the start of the conflict (attacking 100 targets in 10 minutes), resulting in 112 deaths and 837 injuries in Lebanon. The Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps subsequently issued a strong statement, saying that if the attacks do not cease, Iran is prepared to launch a "heavy retaliation" against Israel that it will regret. 3. Logic Behind Market Fluctuations: Guoxin Futures analysis points out that the previous ceasefire between the US and Iran led to a more than 15% plunge in crude oil prices. Easing inflationary pressures opened up room for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. This, coupled with the People's Bank of China's 17 consecutive months of gold purchases and speculative funds, contributed to the surge in gold and silver prices. Huaxin Futures believes that the speculative attributes of gold are now surpassing its safe-haven attributes, and the recovery in risk appetite has amplified the price increases. 4. Market Trend Analysis: Guoxin Futures believes that considering the US-Iran ceasefire has only lasted two weeks and Trump's policy style is highly volatile, the technical pattern has not yet formed a clear breakout. Four key factors need to be monitored: First, the implementation of the ceasefire agreement; second, Trump's latest statements; third, the subsequent gold purchases by central banks; and fourth, US economic data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials. 5. Dongwu Futures: Looking ahead, a temporary ceasefire does not represent a resolution of the core conflict, and the risk of further negotiation setbacks and fluctuating situations remains. 6. Guangfa Futures: The US-Iran ceasefire agreement was obstructed, Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, gold prices surged and then sharply retreated, and the Federal Reserve minutes showed divergent attitudes towards inflation and interest rates. Short-term geopolitical shocks are diminishing. (The above content is compiled from publicly available market data and is for reference only, not investment advice.)
Germany's seasonally adjusted industrial production month-on-month rate and trade balance for February will be released in ten minutes.
On April 9th, it was reported that on April 3rd, the Chongqing Branch of the People's Bank of China (PBOC) held a meeting with Xinhua Fund Management Co., Ltd. regarding issues related to the quality of statistical data. Addressing the numerous errors in Xinhua Fund's data reporting and its inadequate rectification efforts after the meeting, the PBOC Chongqing Branch demanded that the company elevate its political awareness, strengthen its responsibility for rectification, enhance source data quality management, and effectively improve the reporting of financial statistical data. In response to the meeting, Xinhua Fund stated that it highly values, sincerely accepts, and will resolutely implement the regulatory requirements. The company has conducted a thorough self-examination and reflection on the relevant issues, comprehensively reviewed the entire data reporting process, clarified rectification responsibilities and deadlines, and accelerated various rectification efforts, including source data quality control and reporting process optimization, to ensure strict and standardized reporting of financial statistical data. Going forward, Xinhua Fund will continue to strengthen its awareness of compliant operations, tighten and solidify internal management responsibilities, continuously improve the quality and standardization of financial statistical data reporting, earnestly fulfill its responsibilities in the public fund industry, and consciously accept supervision from regulators and the public.
ANZ Bank: Oil supply disruptions have significantly tightened the global crude oil supply and demand balance, and the market is rapidly shifting from a supply glut at the beginning of the year to a significant shortage.
India’s Minister of Petroleum and Natural Gas will pay an official visit to Qatar from April 9 to 10, 2026.
British Foreign Secretary Cooper: We should support the International Maritime Organization's proposal regarding ships stranded in the Strait of Hormuz. Fundamental freedoms of the sea must not be unilaterally deprived or sold out.
Japan's household consumer confidence index for March was 33.3, below the expected 38.3 and the previous reading of 40.
Kia Motors: Plans to sell 1.1 million hybrid vehicles by 2030 (previously the target was 993,000).
Kia Motors: Targets to achieve operating profit of 17 trillion won by 2030 (previously 18 trillion won).
April 9th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts' latest view: Brent crude oil futures rose in recent intraday trading, benefiting from a positive signal from the Relative Strength Index (RSI) after reaching severely oversold levels. Although prices partially recovered from previous pressures including a break of the short-term uptrend line and negative resistance below the EMA50, the likelihood of a full-blown rebound in the short term is limited.
April 9th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts' latest view: WTI crude oil futures have continued to rise in recent intraday trading, attempting to partially recover previous losses, thanks to relative improvement in prices within the Relative Strength Index (RSI), especially with positive signals appearing as prices attempt to alleviate oversold conditions. This movement reflects prices attempting to catch their breath after recent pressure. However, the market remains cautious as prices are still affected by the break below the major short-term uptrend line, with trading below the EMA50, maintaining negative pressure and limiting the possibility of a full-scale rebound in the short term.
Futures News, April 9th: Economies.com analysts' latest view: Gold has continued its strong downward trend in recent intraday trading, hampered by the firm resistance at the key level of $4800, which has become an obstacle to further gains. This pressure is compounded by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing a sustained negative signal after previously reaching overbought levels, reflecting a natural cooling of momentum after a strong rebound. Prices are currently struggling to rebuild positive momentum, preparing for a resumption of upward movement and a break above the aforementioned resistance level.
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: The loose monetary conditions have been maintained, leading to moderate growth in corporate equipment investment.
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