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May 5th - The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP) released the April China Bulk Commodity Price Index today (May 5th). The index showed that, influenced by improved supply and demand in some domestic industries and external factors, the index continued to rise in April, although the increase was narrower than the previous month, indicating that the bulk commodity market remained generally stable and continued its positive development trend. The April China Bulk Commodity Price Index was 132.1 points, up 1.7% month-on-month and 20.2% year-on-year. Among the 50 key bulk commodities monitored by the CFLP, 38 saw month-on-month price increases in April. Paraxylene, methanol, and polypropylene saw the largest increases, rising by 22.4%, 14.5%, and 11.8% respectively compared to the previous month.
According to the Wall Street Journal, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman discussed spinning off the company’s robotics and consumer hardware division late last year.
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio will hold a press conference at the White House at 3 a.m. Beijing time on Wednesday.
The U.S. Supreme Court granted a request from Louisiana Republicans, allowing a key ruling on redistricting to take effect immediately, without waiting for the usual 32-day formal process. This decision means Louisiana can suspend its ongoing primary process and expedite the redrawing of congressional district maps for this year's midterm elections. The new ruling effectively allows states to eliminate "Black majority districts" established to comply with the 1965 Voting Rights Act under certain conditions. Currently, Louisiana has six congressional seats, two of which are Black majority districts controlled by Democrats, while the remaining four are Republican. This redistricting could have a significant impact on the electoral landscape.
On May 5th, at approximately 8:54 AM local time, an earthquake with a maximum intensity of 3 was observed in Iwate Prefecture, Japan. The Japan Meteorological Agency stated that the epicenter was located off the coast of the Sanriku region, at a depth of approximately 30 kilometers, and the estimated magnitude was 5.2. There is no risk of a tsunami.
According to Nikkei, Japan's JSR Corporation plans to establish its first semiconductor materials manufacturing plant in Taiwan and supply raw materials to TSMC.
May 5th - Meta Platforms (META.O) is developing a financing plan for a data center in El Paso, Texas, with a total value potentially reaching approximately $13 billion. According to sources familiar with the matter, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase are leading the process. These sources stated that the majority of the financing is expected to be in the form of debt, with the remainder being equity financing. The sources indicated that discussions are still in the early stages and the specific terms are still being refined.
Conflict Situation: 1. Market News: Russian attacks on the Kharkiv region of Ukraine have resulted in 5 deaths and 18 injuries. 2. Russian Ministry of Defense: A ceasefire will be implemented from May 8th to 9th, 2026, and Russia hopes that Ukraine will reciprocate. 3. Russian Ministry of Defense: If Ukraine attempts to disrupt Victory Day celebrations, a large-scale retaliatory missile attack will be launched on the center of Kyiv. 4. Zelensky: Ukraine has not received any proposals regarding a ceasefire on May 9th, and will implement a unilateral ceasefire starting at midnight on the 6th. Other Situations: 1. NATO stated it will continue to provide Ukraine with anti-missile missiles. 2. Zelensky called for European participation in the Ukraine-Russia negotiations. 3. The Russian Federal Security Service arrested 150 underground weapons manufacturers. 4. Zelensky: Ukraine and Europe agreed to accelerate the implementation of the drone cooperation agreement. 5. Austria announced the expulsion of three Russian diplomats; Russia stated it will respond strongly to Austria's decision.
Market news: Meta Platforms (META.O) is developing a financing plan for a data center in El Paso, Texas, with a total amount potentially reaching approximately $13 billion. According to sources familiar with the matter, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase are leading the process.
The U.S. Supreme Court has allowed its recent ruling weakening the Voting Rights Act to take effect ahead of schedule as Louisiana Republicans push for new congressional district boundaries.
According to CBS, U.S. Department of Defense officials revealed on Monday that one of the two missing U.S. soldiers in Morocco jumped into the water in an attempt to rescue the other missing soldier. As of Monday, the search and rescue operation was still ongoing.
British government: The British Prime Minister stated that the UK will continue to support the defense operations of its partners in the Gulf region.
On May 5th, United Pilots Association (UPA) President Silva stated in an email that United Airlines (UAL.O) CEO Kirby's vision could be "transformative" for passengers, the community, and American Airlines pilots. While the email did not endorse a merger between United and American Airlines, Silva used Kirby's proposal as an opportunity to again criticize American Airlines management—who are facing union pressure due to poor company performance. It was reported that United Airlines announced last month that it had terminated its merger plans with American Airlines after initial contact, as competitor American Airlines refused to engage. American Airlines had previously stated that a merger with United would be detrimental to competition and consumers.
Amazon (AMZN.O) CEO: We have a deep partnership with Nvidia (NVDA.O).
US President Trump: The war with Iran could last another two to three weeks.
① Iran 1. Iranian media: Iran has no plans to attack the UAE. 2. Iranian military official: The fire at the UAE oil facilities was caused by a US military adventure. 3. Senior Iranian official denied US claims of sinking several small boats. 4. Iran warned the UAE not to be a pawn of Israel. 5. Iranian media: The warning issued by the Iranian Army Commander to the US aircraft carrier came from a fake account. ② United States 1. Bessant: If the Iranians want to escalate the situation, the US is willing to escalate it as well. 2. Trump claimed the US sank 7 small Iranian boats, while US Central Command Commander Cooper claimed 6. 3. US Central Command Commander: More ships are preparing to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. 4. Trump: If Iran attacks US warships, it will be "wiped off the face of the earth." 5. US intelligence agencies: Recent fighting has not significantly impacted Iran's nuclear program. 6. US media: Trump did not explicitly state that Iran has violated the ceasefire agreement. ③ Israel 1. Israeli officials said Israel is ready to return to fighting and is waiting for the US to "give the green light." 2. Israeli media reported that Israel raised its alert level on the 4th. ④ Strait of Hormuz 1. Iran denies any merchant ships or oil tankers have passed through the strait. 2. US Central Command: Two merchant ships flying the US flag have passed through the Strait of Hormuz. 3. A spokesperson for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard stated that ships violating the regulations in the Strait of Hormuz "will be forcibly intercepted." 4. British maritime authorities reported that three ships were attacked near the Strait of Hormuz on Monday. 5. Trump called on South Korea to join the Strait of Hormuz operation. 6. Maersk: Ships flying the US flag passed through the Strait of Hormuz under US escort. 7. French President Macron: France will not participate in the new US "Hormuz Plan." 8. Commander of US Central Command: Iran used missiles to strike merchant ships and US warships. The current focus is on getting ships out of the Strait of Hormuz, and then gradually considering allowing ships to enter the Strait of Hormuz. 9. According to Iran's Mizan News Agency: A senior Iranian security source said that Iran's message is clear: if the Americans attempt to advance in the Strait of Hormuz, they will become targets. ⑥ Other Situations: 1. The UAE Ministry of Defense stated that it intercepted more than ten Iranian missiles and several drones on the 4th. 2. The UAE suffered its first attack since the temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran, with three people injured in the Fujairah oil industrial area. 3. The Lebanese President stated that the timing for a meeting with the Israeli Prime Minister is not yet ripe. 4. Israel claims to have attacked Hezbollah infrastructure in Lebanon, while Hezbollah claims to have attacked Israeli military gathering points. 5. The hacker group "Handala" claimed responsibility for a cyberattack on the port of Fujairah in the UAE. 6. According to Israeli media Kann, the Chairman of the UAE Defense Council told his Israeli counterpart that the UAE would retaliate against Iran. 7. The U.S. State Department's Bureau of Consular Affairs: Our travel advisory for the UAE remains at Level 3.
May 5th - According to three sources familiar with the matter, US intelligence assessments indicate that the timeline for Iran to develop nuclear weapons has remained unchanged since last summer. At that time, analysts estimated that the joint US-Israeli strikes had delayed this timeline by up to a year. This unchanged timeline suggests that effectively stopping Iran's nuclear program may require the destruction or removal of Iran's remaining stockpile of highly enriched uranium (HEU). The sources stated that US intelligence agencies concluded before the 12-day war in June of last year that Iran was likely to produce enough weapons-grade uranium to build a nuclear weapon within three to six months. Following the June airstrikes, US intelligence assessments pushed this timeline back to approximately nine months to a year.
According to the Wall Street Journal, "Big Short" Michael Burry has sold off his entire stake in GameStop (GME.N), after GameStop announced its intention to acquire eBay (EBAY.O).
Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: With Federal Reserve Chairman nominee Warsh now serving as Chairman of the Federal Reserve, I believe the Fed's culture and behavior will continue as they have been.
US President Trump: Hundreds of millions of barrels of oil are flowing out of Venezuela.
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