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Fitch: Liquidity in the Islamic bond market is improving, but remains below pre-war levels in Iran.
June 10th - Seema Shah, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Asset Management, stated that while US inflation remains uncomfortably high at 4%, weaker-than-expected core data did alleviate some pressure. With rising energy prices being the primary driver and housing costs easing, we haven't yet seen clear signs of a broader second-round effect. This should allow the Federal Reserve to remain patient. Although the market seems to have overpriced further rate hikes this year, that risk remains, and today's data did not eliminate it.
June 10 – As expected, the Bank of Canada kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.25% today. In its statement, the Bank of Canada noted that economic activity remained weak after a surprise 0.1% annualized decline in GDP in the first quarter (the third contraction in the past four quarters). The Bank of Canada avoided using the term "recession." The bank expects GDP to return to growth in the second quarter, "but even with some rebound, the economy is expected to remain in a state of overcapacity." Economists said that overcapacity (or economic slack) should help curb inflationary pressures.
June 10 – The Bank of Canada kept its main interest rate unchanged on Wednesday, in line with market expectations, and stated that there is currently no sufficient evidence that rising energy prices are driving broad-based inflation. Bank of Canada Governor Macklem reiterated that the bank would not hesitate to raise interest rates to control inflation if necessary. Wednesday's decision marks the fifth consecutive time the Bank of Canada has kept its main policy rate at 2.25%, as several factors have complicated the economic outlook. The war in Iran has caused gasoline prices to soar, putting pressure on household budgets, although Canada, as a net exporter of crude oil, has benefited from increased revenue. The central bank stated, "To date, there is no sufficient evidence that high energy prices have been widely passed on to other consumer prices. The Governing Council will continue to ignore the short-term effects of the war on overall inflation, but will not allow rising energy prices to develop into persistent inflation."
US Senate Majority Leader Thune: Trump's nomination for Director of Intelligence will be a major decision.
US Senate Republican Leader Thune: Most Republican senators want to complete the mission in Iran.
Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: Overall CPI is expected to remain around 3% in the coming months.
Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: GDP is expected to rebound in the second quarter.
Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: The Bank of Canada may need to adjust interest rates depending on how risks develop.
Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: There is limited evidence of a general rise in non-energy commodity prices.
Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: Weak economy coupled with rising inflation presents a dilemma for monetary policy.
Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: Monthly employment data is highly volatile.
Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: Keeping the policy rate unchanged helps balance risks.
Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: We will closely monitor signs of widening price pressures.
Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: Officials agree to view the short-term impact of the war with Iran on the CPI with caution.
The Bank of Canada: The committee will continue to monitor the impact of the Middle East war on short-term overall inflation.
Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: Uncertainty is exceptionally high and risks could change; monetary policy may need to be flexible.
Bank of Canada: Economic activity is weak.
Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: The economy is undergoing a phase of structural change.
June 10 - The Bank of Canada kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.25% for the fifth consecutive meeting, in line with market expectations.
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