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① Iran 1. Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi confirmed that talks have been held with Russia regarding a proposal to store enriched uranium. 2. Advisor to Iran's Supreme Leader: The new order is rapidly adjusting its rules, and these rules are no longer centered on the United States. 3. Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi: There is a lack of trust in the United States, but there is still a desire to maintain the ceasefire to leave room for diplomacy; an agreement has been reached with the United States to postpone negotiations on enriched uranium materials. ② United States 1. Trump: Iran's 20-year commitment to suspend (uranium enrichment) is not enough; (regarding Iranian enriched uranium materials) it may be obtained at the right time. If we do not get Iranian nuclear dust, we will take action. ③ Israel 1. Israeli officials: Israel is preparing to resume military action against Iran. 2. Israeli Ambassador to the United States: The chances of success in negotiations with Lebanon are high. 3. On Palestine's "Nakba" (Day of Cataclysm), Israel launched an airstrike in Gaza, claiming to have killed Hamas military leaders. 4. Israeli warplanes bombed a residential building and a car in Gaza City, northern Gaza Strip, killing four people and injuring dozens more. ④ Strait of Hormuz 1. US military: 75 ships have been diverted in the Strait of Hormuz. 2. German Chancellor Merz: Iran must open the Strait of Hormuz and must not possess nuclear weapons. 3. BRICS Chairperson's Statement: BRICS countries emphasize the rights and freedoms of navigation in the Red Sea and the Pabu Al Mandaab Strait. 4. Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi: The Strait of Hormuz remains open to commercial vessels of friendly nations. Iran does not seek to develop nuclear weapons. 5. The French aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle has arrived and deployed in the Arabian Sea in preparation for multinational escort operations in the Strait of Hormuz. ⑤ Ceasefire Negotiations 1. The US has rejected Iran's written proposal to end the war. 2. US State Department: The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon will be extended for 45 days. 3. German Chancellor Merz: A consensus has been reached with US President Trump that Iran must return to the negotiating table. 4. Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi: Messages have been received from the US indicating their desire to continue negotiations; negotiations will only resume if the US is serious. ⑥ Other Circumstances: 1. Iranian President Peshizian called for strategic cooperation with Iraq. 2. Pakistani Foreign Minister: The 11 Pakistani citizens and 20 Iranian citizens from the ship seized by the United States have been repatriated. 3. The UAE is building a new oil pipeline bypassing the Strait of Hormuz and plans to put it into operation in 2027. 4. Iranian Revolutionary Guard: A Mossad-affiliated spy network was dismantled in Ardabil province in the northwest, and a key member was arrested. 5. The UAE issued a statement reserving all rights to respond to any Iranian threats or hostile acts through all sovereign, legal, diplomatic, and military means.
Fitch: The impact of new energy sources has disrupted Germany's fragile recovery.
Fitch: Germany’s general government debt is expected to continue to rise and exceed 70% of GDP by 2029.
Fitch affirmed Germany's rating at 'AAA' with a stable outlook. Fitch stated that German public finances will weaken significantly as defense and infrastructure spending growth outpaces still robust revenue growth.
Goldman Sachs remains bullish on gold and reiterated its target of $5,400 per ounce by the end of 2026. Goldman Sachs expects central bank gold purchases to increase, reaching an average of 60 tons per month by 2026. Goldman Sachs also stated that its updated 12-month moving average forecast shows central bank gold purchases at 50 tons per month in March, compared to its previous forecast of 29 tons per month.
On May 15 local time, the Federal Reserve issued a statement saying that current Chairman Jerome Powell will temporarily serve as "interim chairman" until Kevin Warsh is officially sworn in as chairman. Powell's term as chairman expires this Friday.
May 16 – According to the New York Times, the Trump administration is considering establishing a $1.7 billion fund to compensate allies investigated by the Justice Department during former President Biden's term, a move that would create a moral, legal, and political minefield for Republicans and Justice Department leadership. According to three people familiar with the matter, this unusual plan has not yet been finalized or approved. Democrats and former administration officials have criticized the plan as a massive, taxpayer-funded secret political fund. The proposal is a response to various allegations brought by President Trump against the federal government he controls. He has sought compensation for leaked tax returns during his first term, post-leave investigations into his handling of classified documents, and investigations into potential ties between his 2016 campaign and Russia. The idea of establishing a government fund to pay Trump's political allies has gained increasing support internally as the Justice Department and the White House attempt to resolve Trump's $10 billion lawsuit against the IRS, which he filed in January. Officials familiar with the details revealed that establishing a compensation fund for Trump's allies, but not for the president himself, could provide a short-term solution, allowing the president to obtain tangible benefits from the lawsuit before a judge dismisses it.
Market news: BlackRock's private credit fund valuation is under investigation by the U.S. Department of Justice.
According to SEC filings, Berkshire Hathaway reduced its stake in Chevron (CVX.N) by 35.2%, down to 84.4 million shares.
SEC filings show that Berkshire Hathaway has sold off all of its Amazon (AMZN.O) shares.
S&P: As a major net exporter of crude oil and an emerging producer of refined products, Nigeria has been less affected by the Middle East conflict.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 537.35 points, or 1.07%, at 49,526.11 on Friday, May 15; the S&P 500 closed down 92.74 points, or 1.24%, at 7,408.50; and the Nasdaq Composite closed down 410.08 points, or 1.54%, at 26,225.14.
Fitch affirmed Rio Tinto's rating at A with a stable outlook.
On May 16th, according to US media reports, the Trump administration plans to streamline the licensing process for oil projects within the Alaska National Petroleum Reserve to boost crude oil production in the US Arctic. The Department of the Interior's move aims to establish a new licensing framework for the construction and operation of oil production facilities and related infrastructure. Under this plan, eligible projects could receive analysis and authorization more quickly, perhaps in as little as 30 days. This measure could benefit companies holding leases within the reserve, such as ConocoPhillips, Santos, and Repsol, and expedite government scrutiny of projects like ConocoPhillips' Willow (which has drawn strong opposition from climate activists). During the Iran-Iraq War, with approximately 20% of global supplies tied up in the Persian Gulf, the Trump administration has intensified its calls for US oil companies to increase production.
Canadian Prime Minister Carney: I think the new crude oil pipeline from Alberta to the Pacific coast will attract a lot of attention.
Lebanese Ambassador to the United States: Our goal is to transform the current ceasefire momentum into a comprehensive and lasting agreement to uphold the dignity of the Lebanese people.
According to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), in the week ending May 12, silver speculators increased their net long positions by 5,254 contracts to 16,195 contracts.
According to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), in the week ending May 12, gold speculators increased their net long positions by 4,963 contracts to 100,627 contracts.
Lebanese Ambassador to the United States: Negotiations with Israel have led to progress on both political and security fronts.
Lebanese Ambassador to the United States: The trilateral negotiations have brought significant diplomatic progress to Lebanon.
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