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Ukrainian military: Russia launched a nighttime airstrike on Kyiv.
1. Monday: ① Data: Swiss December Consumer Confidence Index; Eurozone January Sentix Investor Confidence Index; China December M2 Money Supply Annual Rate (TBD); ② Event: G7 Finance Ministers Meeting; ③ Holiday: Tokyo Stock Exchange closed for Coming of Age Day. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: US 10-year Treasury auction winning rate and bid-to-cover ratio up to January 12; Japan November Trade Balance; US December NFIB Small Business Confidence Index; US December Unadjusted CPI Annual Rate, Seasonally Adjusted CPI Monthly Rate, Seasonally Adjusted Core CPI Monthly Rate, Unadjusted Core CPI Annual Rate; October New Home Sales Annualized Data; ② Event: Speeches by Fed Chairs Williams, Bostic, and Musalaim; South Korean President Lee Jae-myung visits Japan and holds a summit with Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, until January 14; ③ Earnings Report: JPMorgan Chase. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US weekly API crude oil inventories; US November retail sales month-on-month rate, US November PPI Q3 current account, October business inventories month-on-month rate, December existing home sales annualized data, weekly API and EIA crude oil inventories; China December trade balance; ② Events: EIA releases monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report; 2026 FOMC voting members, Philadelphia Fed President Paulson, Fed Governor Milan, etc. deliver speeches; OPEC releases monthly oil market report; ③ Earnings reports: Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo. 4. Thursday: ① Data: UK November three-month GDP month-on-month rate, November manufacturing output month-on-month rate, November seasonally adjusted goods trade balance, November industrial production month-on-month rate; France December CPI final month-on-month rate; Germany 2025 full-year GDP growth rate; Eurozone November seasonally adjusted trade balance, November industrial production month-on-month rate; Canada November wholesale sales month-on-month rate; US initial jobless claims for the week ending January 10, January New York Fed Manufacturing Index, January Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, November import price index month-on-month rate; EIA natural gas storage for the week; ② Events: Federal Reserve releases Beige Book; 2026 FOMC voting member and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari, FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams, etc., deliver speeches; European Central Bank releases economic bulletin; Bank of Korea announces interest rate decision; US and Japanese defense ministers hold summit in Washington; ③ Earnings reports: Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, BlackRock. 5. Friday: ① Data: Germany's final December CPI month-on-month rate; US December industrial production month-on-month rate, January NAHB housing market index; ② Event: 2027 FOMC voting member and Richmond Fed President Barkin speaks on Virginia's economic outlook. 6. Saturday: ① Data: US weekly total oil rig count; ② Event: Fed Vice Chairman Jefferson speaks; Italian Prime Minister Meloni visits South Korea from January 17th to 19th.
Microsoft (MSFT.O): Claude in Microsoft Foundry enhances its capabilities for healthcare and life sciences customers.
1. The Russian Ministry of Defense says it has taken control of Belogorye in the Zaporizhzhia region. 2. According to TASS: Russian troops attacked a Ukrainian defense company and energy facilities. 3. The Ukrainian military says it struck three Lukoil oil rigs in the Caspian Sea. 4. Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova says Ukraine carried out terrorist attacks on civilians in several regions of the Russian Federation on January 10. 5. The Hungarian Foreign Minister says the deployment of British and French troops to Ukraine will endanger Hungary. 6. The British Ministry of Defence says it is developing a new missile, "Nightfall," with a range exceeding 500 kilometers for Kyiv.
On January 12th, the Israeli Prime Minister's Office announced via social media that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated at the start of his weekly government meeting that Israel is closely monitoring the situation in Iran. That afternoon, Netanyahu convened consultations with his senior advisors and several ministers on security issues. The Israeli security cabinet is scheduled to hold a plenary meeting on the 13th.
January 12th - Bond investors' overall bets on the Federal Reserve's policy path and the direction of the US Treasury market in 2026 appear to have room for further expansion. Last Friday's non-farm payroll report showed weaker-than-expected job growth, maintaining market expectations for further Fed rate cuts. This result confirms market expectations that short-term Treasury bonds (most sensitive to monetary policy) will outperform long-term Treasury bonds this year, widening the yield spread between the two. This strategy, known as the "steepening trade," was one of the most popular bond trades for most of last year and continues to work at the start of 2026. Pramod Atrouli, fixed-income portfolio manager at Capital Group, stated, "There are many scenarios over the next 12 to 24 months that are very favorable for the yield curve steepening trade." An analysis of 25 of the largest actively managed core bond funds by JPMorgan shows that, historically, these funds still have a high exposure to this trade.
According to Iranian state media, Iran summoned the British ambassador after protesters tore down the Iranian flag from the Iranian embassy building in London.
Market news: Home Depot and Google Cloud have jointly launched the Agentic AI tool to help customers and employees transform projects from "how to do it" to "completed".
Domestic News: 1. The "Tianma-1000" unmanned transport aircraft successfully completed its maiden flight. 2. Shanxi Province issued consumption subsidies for home appliances and digital smart products in 2026. 3. Hong Kong's new budget will be announced on February 25. 4. China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC): Focusing on cracking down on major, malicious, and key illegal activities, and severely punishing all kinds of malicious illegal activities. 5. Chinese Embassy: Due to scheduling conflicts, Wang Yi's planned visit to Somalia on January 9 has been postponed. 6. Wang Yi held a telephone conversation with the Somali Foreign Minister: Opposing Somaliland's collusion with the Taiwan authorities to seek independence. 7. National Business Work Conference: In 2026, efforts will be accelerated to cultivate new growth points in service consumption and optimize the implementation of the trade-in policy for consumer goods. International News: 1. A curfew has been imposed in Narathiwat Province in southern Thailand. 2. Israeli forces are reportedly planning a new round of attacks on the Gaza Strip. 3. British officials: The possibility of Britain deploying troops to Greenland cannot be ruled out. 4. South Korean Presidential Office: Will investigate the truth behind North Korea's claim of a "drone intrusion" and release the results promptly. 5. Iranian President: The government endorses peaceful protests and is willing to meet with protest groups. 6. Danish Parliament Chief: It would be "foolish" to go to war over Greenland. 7. Israel demands the EU designate Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a "terrorist organization." 8. US Media: Trump received a briefing on options for striking Iran but has not yet made a final decision; the government is considering multiple options for intervention in Iran. 9. Trump again pressures Cuba, threatening that if Cuba does not reach an agreement soon, it will face a situation of "zero oil and zero funds" flowing into Cuba. 10. Iranian Parliament Speaker warns Trump that any attack would lead Iran to consider Israel and US bases in the region as "legitimate targets" and strike them.
On January 11, Cuban Foreign Minister Rodriguez posted on social media that the United States’ behavior was like “criminal and out-of-control hegemony,” threatening not only the peace and security of Cuba and the Western Hemisphere, but also the entire world.
Supermicro Computer (SMCI.O) announced a collaboration with numerous industry partners to launch a smart store retail solution.
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: Israel is closely monitoring the situation in Iran and hopes that the country will soon be free from "tyranny".
1. Monday: ① Data: Swiss December Consumer Confidence Index; Eurozone January Sentix Investor Confidence Index; China December M2 Money Supply Annual Rate; ② Event: G7 Finance Ministers Meeting; ③ Holiday: CME Group's US Treasury futures contracts will resume trading at 15:00 Beijing time due to Coming of Age Day in Japan; Tokyo Stock Exchange will be closed for Coming of Age Day. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: US 10-year Treasury auction winning rate and bid-to-cover ratio up to January 12; Japan's November trade balance; US December NFIB small business confidence index; US December unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate, US December seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate, US December seasonally adjusted core CPI month-on-month rate, US December unadjusted core CPI year-on-year rate; US October new home sales annualized data; ② Events: Speeches by Fed officials Williams, Bostic, and Musalaim; South Korean President Lee Jae-myung visits Japan and holds a summit with Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, until January 14; ③ Earnings reports: JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N). 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US weekly API crude oil inventories; US November retail sales month-on-month, US November PPI year-on-year, US November PPI month-on-month, US Q3 current account; US October business inventories month-on-month; US December existing home sales annualized data; US weekly EIA crude oil inventories, weekly EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories, weekly EIA strategic petroleum reserves; China December trade balance, China December trade balance in USD; ② Events: EIA releases monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report; Speeches by 2026 FOMC voting members, Philadelphia Fed President Paulson, Fed Governor Milan, etc.; OPEC releases monthly oil market report; ③ Earnings reports: Bank of America (BAC.N), Citigroup (CN), Wells Fargo (WFC.N). 4. Thursday: ① Data: UK November 3-month GDP (MoM), UK November Manufacturing Production (MoM), UK November Seasonally Adjusted Goods Trade Balance, UK November Industrial Production (MoM); France December CPI (Final) (MoM); Germany 2025 Full-Year GDP Growth; Eurozone November Seasonally Adjusted Trade Balance; Eurozone November Industrial Production (MoM); Canada November Wholesale Sales (MoM); US Initial Jobless Claims for the Week Ending January 10, US January New York Fed Manufacturing Index, US January Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, US November Import Price Index (MoM); US Weekly EIA Natural Gas Storage; ② Events: Federal Reserve releases Beige Book; 2026 FOMC voting member and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari... FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams, among others, delivers speeches; the European Central Bank releases its economic bulletin; the Bank of Korea announces its interest rate decision; the US and Japanese defense ministers hold a summit in Washington; ③ Earnings reports: Morgan Stanley (MS.N), Goldman Sachs (GS.N), BlackRock (BLK.N). 5. Friday: ① Data: Germany's final December CPI month-on-month rate; US December industrial production month-on-month rate; US January NAHB housing market index; ② Event: 2027 FOMC voting member and Richmond Fed President Barkin speaks on Virginia's economic outlook. 6. Saturday: ① Data: US weekly total number of oil rigs. ② Event: Fed Vice Chairman Jefferson delivers a speech; Italian Prime Minister Meloni visits South Korea from January 17th to 19th.
The Ukrainian military stated that it struck three drilling platforms belonging to Russia's Lukoil company in the Caspian Sea.
On January 11, Iranian President Pezechzian stated in a televised interview that the government endorses peaceful protests and considers dialogue with protesters its duty, expressing its willingness to meet with all protest groups in the country. Pezechzian stated that despite facing various sanctions, the government will overcome these crises, but opposes violence and "premeditated murder."
On January 11th, US President Trump posted a statement saying that for years, Cuba has relied on Venezuela's vast oil and financial resources to function. In return, Cuba provided "security services" to Venezuela's two previous dictators—but all of that is coming to an end! Last week's US-led attacks have killed most of the "Cubans," and Venezuela no longer needs the protection of these thugs and blackmailers who have held it hostage for years. Now Venezuela has the world's most powerful military force—the United States—to protect them, and we will fulfill our duty to safeguard them. There will be no more oil and money flowing to Cuba—zero flow! I strongly urge (Cuba) to reach an agreement quickly, lest it be too late.
US President Trump: For years, Cuba has relied on large amounts of oil and money from Venezuela to function. But now there will be no more oil and money flowing to Cuba. I strongly urge them to reach an agreement quickly, lest it be too late.
On January 11, South African President and African National Congress (ANC) President Cyril Ramaphosa stated on the 10th that 2026 is a "crucial year" for South Africa to achieve development in areas such as improving local government services and promoting economic transformation. Speaking at the ANC's 114th anniversary celebration in Rustenburg, North West Province, Ramaphosa said that South Africa is currently facing numerous domestic and international challenges, with urgent needs for improvement in areas such as government services, governance capacity, and economic growth. Regarding the current international situation, Ramaphosa reiterated South Africa's firm support for the people of Venezuela and other countries in safeguarding their national sovereignty.
On January 11th, it was reported that on the morning of January 7th, Liu Liehong, Secretary of the Party Leadership Group and Director of the National Bureau of Data Science and Technology, chaired a symposium on data property rights registration. At the meeting, Jiang Ying, President of the Beijing Internet Court, Professor Chang Peng'ao of Peking University, officials from data management departments of Jiangsu Province, Hangzhou City, Qingdao City, and Shenzhen City, and representatives from companies such as China Mobile, China Southern Power Grid, Beijing International Big Data Exchange, Tencent Group, Haitian Ruisheng, and Taiyi Technology offered their opinions and suggestions on improving the data property rights registration system. Establishing a data property rights registration system is an important measure to implement the data property rights system. The National Bureau of Data Science and Technology will further study and learn from the experiences and practices of registration systems in other fields, continuously absorb opinions and suggestions from all sectors of society, and innovate to establish a registration system adapted to the characteristics of data, so as to better promote the circulation and use of data and release the value of data elements. The main officials from the Policy and Planning Department and the Data Resources Department of the National Bureau of Data Science and Technology attended the meeting.
Iranian President Peshizian stated that the United States and Israel are directing "rioters" to create instability in Iran.
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