Real-time News

Domestic News: 1. The State Taxation Administration clarified the threshold for value-added tax (VAT) collection and management. 2. Wang Yi held strategic communication with Sergei Shoigu, Secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation. 3. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC): Investors should closely monitor changes in precious metal prices and reasonably control their position size. 4. The first-month performance reports of emerging electric vehicle manufacturers in the new year are released. Xiaomi, Wenjie, and HarmonyOS performed well, while BYD's production and sales both declined. 5. Guotou Silver LOF: Trading will be suspended from the opening of the market on February 2nd until 10:30 am on the same day. The daily price fluctuation limit after resumption of trading will be 10%. 6. China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom announced: The scope of application of VAT on telecommunications services has been adjusted, and the tax rate has increased to 9%, which will affect the company's revenue and profits. International News: 1. The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament announced that the armies of European countries will be considered "terrorist organizations." 2. US media: The Speaker of the US House of Representatives said he is confident that the partial government shutdown will end by Tuesday. 3. Zelensky: A new round of trilateral talks between Ukraine, the US, and Russia will be held on February 4th and 5th. 4. Saudi stocks suffered their biggest drop since June last year due to geopolitical factors and a gold price plunge. 5. India's budget: 400 billion rupees will be allocated to support the semiconductor manufacturing industry. 6. India's stock market held a special trading session on Sunday due to the budget, with metal stocks and ETFs suffering heavy losses. 7. OPEC+ statement: Eight member countries will maintain their original plan to suspend increases in oil production in March. 8. US-Iran situation—① It is reported that high-ranking US and Israeli military officials held intensive talks this weekend to discuss a strike against Iran. ② Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei stated that if the US launches a war this time, it will trigger a regional conflict. ③ Iranian officials: Media reports about the Revolutionary Guard planning military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz are incorrect. ④ US media: The US military is strengthening its air defense deployment in the Middle East to prepare for potential action against Iran.

On February 1st, OPEC+ held an online meeting to assess the global market situation and outlook. The eight participating countries reaffirmed the decision made on November 2nd, 2025, to suspend increased production in March 2026 due to seasonal factors. The eight countries reiterated that the previous production cut of 1.65 million barrels per day may be partially or fully restored depending on market developments, and this will be done gradually. Countries will continue to closely monitor and assess market conditions, and while continuing efforts to maintain market stability, reiterated the importance of a cautious approach and sufficient flexibility to continue suspending (increased production) or canceling additional (production cuts), including the voluntary production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day announced in November 2023. The organization will hold its next meeting on March 1st, 2026.

OPEC+ statement: The eight member countries will maintain their original plan to suspend increasing oil production in March.

OPEC+ representative: OPEC+ confirms that production will remain stable in March.

1. Monday: ① Data: China's January RatingDog Manufacturing PMI; UK's January Nationwide House Price Index (MoM); Switzerland's December Retail Sales (YoY); Final January Manufacturing PMIs for France, Germany, UK, and the Eurozone; US January S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Final); US January ISM Manufacturing PMI. ② Events: Bank of Japan releases summary of opinions from its January Monetary Policy Meeting. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decision (to February 3); France's preliminary January CPI (MoM); US December JOLTs job openings. ② Events: Domestic refined oil prices will enter a new adjustment window; 2027 FOMC voting member and Atlanta Fed President Bostic speaks; RBA releases interest rate decision and monetary policy statement; RBA Governor Bullock holds a monetary policy press conference; Federal Reserve Governor Bowman speaks. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API and EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending January 30; China's January RatingDog Services PMI; final January Services PMI readings for France, Germany, the Eurozone, and the UK; Eurozone's preliminary January CPI year-on-year and month-on-month CPI readings; Eurozone's December PPI month-on-month readings; US January ADP employment changes; final US January S&P Global Services PMI; US January ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. ② Earnings: AMD. 4. Thursday: ① Data: France's December industrial production month-on-month; Eurozone's December retail sales month-on-month; UK central bank interest rate decision to February 5; Eurozone's ECB deposit facility rate to February 5; Eurozone's ECB main refinancing rate to February 5; US January Challenger job cuts; US initial jobless claims for the week ending January 31; US January Global Supply Chain Stress Index; US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending January 30. ② Events: Saudi Aramco announces its official crude oil prices around the 5th of each month; the Bank of England releases its meeting minutes and monetary policy report, and Bank of England Governor Bailey holds a monetary policy press conference; European Central Bank President Lagarde holds a monetary policy press conference [with simultaneous interpretation]; Atlanta Fed President Bostic, a 2027 FOMC voting member, participates in a dialogue and Q&A session on monetary policy. ③ Earnings Reports: Alphabet (Google's parent company), Qualcomm. 5. Friday: ① Data: German December seasonally adjusted industrial production month-on-month, German December seasonally adjusted trade balance; UK January Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index month-on-month; French December trade balance; Swiss January seasonally adjusted unemployment rate; Canadian January employment change; US January unemployment rate, US January seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls, US January average hourly earnings year-on-year, US January average hourly earnings month-on-month, US 2025 non-farm payrolls benchmark change final value (unadjusted), US February one-year inflation rate expectation preliminary value, US February University of Michigan consumer sentiment index preliminary value. ② Events: Bank of Canada Governor Macklem speaks; Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock testifies before Parliament. ③ Earnings Report: Amazon. ④ Holiday: New Zealand Stock Exchange closed. 6. Saturday: ① Data: US total oil rig count for the week ending February 6; China's foreign exchange reserves for January.

According to NBC News: U.S. House Speaker Boris Johnson said he is confident of securing enough votes to end the partial government shutdown by at least Tuesday.

1. Xiaomi Auto: January deliveries exceeded 39,000 units. 2. XPeng Motors: January deliveries totaled 20,011 new vehicles. 3. Great Wall Motors: January sales of new energy vehicles reached 18,029 units. 4. Voyah: January deliveries reached 10,515 units, a year-on-year increase of 31%. 5. Wenjie Auto: January deliveries reached 40,016 units, a year-on-year increase of 83%. 6. SAIC-GM: January terminal deliveries reached 51,005 units, a year-on-year increase of 8.2%. 7. HarmonyOS: January cumulative deliveries reached 57,915 units, a year-on-year increase of 65.6%. 8. Leapmotor: January deliveries reached 32,059 units, a year-on-year increase of 27%. 9. GAC Group: January new energy vehicle sales reached 26,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 162.9%. 10. Seres: January new energy vehicle sales reached 43,034 units, a significant year-on-year increase of 140.33%. 11. Chery Automobile: The group's total sales across its five brands in January were 191,496 vehicles, a year-on-year decrease of 10.7%. 12. Geely Automobile: In January, new energy vehicles accounted for 46% of sales, totaling 124,252 units, a year-on-year increase of 3%. 13. GAC Trumpchi: In January, total sales across its entire lineup reached 26,937 units, a month-on-month increase of 25.07% and a year-on-year increase of 2.06%. 14. NIO: In January, 27,182 new vehicles were delivered, a year-on-year increase of 96.1%. Cumulative deliveries have reached 1,024,774 units. 15. Li Auto: In January, 27,668 new vehicles were delivered. As of January 31, 2026, the historical cumulative deliveries will be 1,567,883 units. 16. BYD: In January 2026, new energy vehicle production was 232,358 units, a year-on-year decrease of 29.13%; sales were 210,051 units, a year-on-year decrease of 30.11%.

BYD Company Limited (01211.HK): In January 2026, the company produced 232,358 new energy vehicles, a year-on-year decrease of 29.13%; sales volume was 210,051 vehicles, a year-on-year decrease of 30.11%.

Sources say the eight OPEC+ members have agreed in principle to maintain the plan to suspend oil production increases in March.