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On February 7th, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Thomas Jefferson stated that the central bank's current interest rate stance is "perfectly suited" to a robust economic situation, indicating that he is in no hurry to resume the rate cuts that the Fed paused in January. Jefferson noted that although inflation has consistently exceeded the Fed's 2% target, he expects the downward trend in inflation to resume later this year. He also estimates the overall economic condition to be good, with economic growth projected to reach approximately 2.2% by 2026. He stated, "I see some signs that the labor market is stabilizing, inflation is poised to return to our 2% target, and sustainable economic growth will continue." Jefferson noted that the three rate cuts implemented by the Fed between September and December of last year adjusted interest rates to a range of 3.5% to 3.75%—close to market expectations of a "neutral level," a level that neither stimulates nor inhibits the economy. He pointed out that this stance strikes a reasonable balance between the two major risks facing the central bank.
February 7th - On the evening of February 6th local time, following the conclusion of the US-Iran nuclear negotiations, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi left Muscat, the capital of Oman. Reportedly, in an interview after the negotiations, Araqchi stated that the Iranian delegation must return to Tehran to consult on "key issues" and prepare for future negotiations.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: Tariffs are a key driver of inflation in 2025, and price pressures should ease in 2026.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: Although upside risks remain, I expect inflationary pressures to ease.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: Tariffs are likely just a one-off change in price levels.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: The Fed's current monetary policy is "well-positioned" to deal with any future developments.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: The economy is expected to grow by 2.2% this year.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: I support last year's rate cuts, and the policy stance remains broadly neutral.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: The job market is stabilizing and inflation should moderate.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: Future actions by the Federal Reserve will be driven by data and views on the outlook.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: The year-on-year increase in the personal consumption expenditures price index (PCE) in December is likely to be 2.9%.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: The job market may be in a state of equilibrium, characterized by low hiring and low layoffs.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: The Fed’s stance provides “room for maneuver” for the supply-side development of the economy.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: Stronger productivity could ease inflationary pressures.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: The Fed’s strong commitment to price stability reduces the risk of inflation.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: "cautiously optimistic" about the economic outlook.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: The job market is weakening due to declining demand and immigration issues.
U.S. Energy Secretary Wright: I will take this upcoming trip to Venezuela to better understand the local oil and gas production and operations.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson will speak on the economic outlook and supply-side inflation dynamics in ten minutes.
Strategy (MSTR.O) continued its upward trend, with gains widening to 20%.
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