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RSM Chief Economist Joseph Brusueras: Warsh delivered the right hawkish signals at the press conference and attempted to reinforce the Fed’s credibility in restoring price stability, while also enhancing his own credibility.
U.S. stocks continued to decline after the Walsh press conference, with the S&P 500 falling 1%, its biggest drop since July 29, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.65%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.6%.
On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to answer questions at a press conference regarding his interactions with US President Trump. Trump has been calling for lower interest rates in recent months. Warsh stated, "I have no comment on my discussions with the president." White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Christopher Phelan said on Tuesday that raising interest rates would be a "mistake."
On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that he would not disclose details of future interest rate decisions by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). He said, "I am not responsible for providing forward guidance. Our decision today (to raise interest rates) is a carefully considered, serious, and responsible one. We have been preparing for and thinking about this decision for the past 110 or 120 days." Warsh also stated that this decision was not market-driven. He said, "Our decision today is based on our assessment of the current situation, our judgment of the employment trend, and our assessment of the strength of the economy. Sometimes, the market tries to anticipate our decisions. I watch market prices to see what information the market is sending. But today's decision is our own."
On September 17th, Warsh stated that while the Federal Reserve cannot prevent price shocks in commodities such as oil on its own, the central bank can use policy tools to prevent further spread of inflationary pressures. Warsh said, "We cannot influence the price of any single commodity, such as oil or groceries." However, he pointed out, "We can and will ensure that any changes in relative prices do not spread further, and do not have second- or third-order effects on the economy. That's our responsibility, and that's what we're doing." Warsh made these remarks as U.S. diesel prices hit a record high due to the Iran war.
On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh emphasized at a press conference that stabilizing consumer prices is crucial for driving U.S. economic growth. This followed the Fed's 25-basis-point increase in the benchmark interest rate. Warsh stated, "Price stability is the foundation of economic growth. I think we've taken an important step today to achieve that goal. Part of the reason is that we've withdrawn some of the previously mentioned easing measures."
Boeing (BA.N) CEO: The current supply chain bottleneck is in wing production. To reach a production rate of 52 737s per month, we need to see the production line stabilize.
Boeing (BA.N) CEO: 737 MAX 10 certification will be completed "soon".
Market pricing indicates that there is approximately a 50% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in October.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: The work we have accomplished today, and the work we will continue to do, is to ensure price stability so that sustainable growth can continue.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: We are concerned about the development of artificial intelligence and its impact on demand and supply.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: (Regarding AI safety issues) Decisions about risks and benefits should be made by other policymakers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: We are very concerned about developments in the field of artificial intelligence, but decisions regarding risks and rewards should be made by other policymakers.
On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated at a press conference that judging exactly how restrictive monetary policy is is not easy. "I find it difficult to describe financial conditions as restrictive," Warsh said. "What I've heard in roundtable discussions… my colleagues also find it difficult to describe." However, he added that regarding Wednesday's rate hike, "We removed a dose of easing to bring financial and credit conditions more in line with our ultimate goals."
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: Today’s actions demonstrate that we are serious about controlling inflation.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: Global hotspots are driving businesses to increase related investment activities.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh believes there are three reasons for rising bond yields. First, a strong economy. Second, capital competition; the surge in capital spending is real. Third, geopolitics.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: First and foremost, the economy is strong.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh believes there are three reasons for the rise in bond yields.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: Price stability is the foundation of economic growth.
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Apr 21, 2023 13:58
Apr 20, 2023 13:54