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September 20th - According to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM), from January to August, the top ten passenger car manufacturers sold a total of 4.014 million vehicles, accounting for 67.9% of total passenger car sales. Among these ten companies, SAIC Motor and Tesla saw varying degrees of sales growth compared to the same period last year, while the sales of the other companies all declined to varying degrees.On September 20th, Orient Securities Research stated that the LPR (Loan Prime Rate) for both maturities remained unchanged in September, largely in line with market expectations. The stable LPR since the beginning of the year reflects the fact that first-half GDP growth reached 4.7%, falling within the annual economic growth target range of 4.5% to 5.0%, with accelerated development in new productivity sectors, represented by high-tech manufacturing. This means that although domestic investment and consumption have weakened since the second quarter, and economic growth momentum has declined somewhat, macroeconomic policies have maintained strong resolve, and monetary policy remains in an observation period. This is the fundamental reason why the LPR remained unchanged in September. We predict that the central bank may implement policy-driven interest rate cuts later, which will lead to a follow-up reduction in the LPR. The Politburo meeting on July 30th emphasized the need to "fully leverage the effectiveness of existing policies, promptly plan and introduce practical and effective incremental policies, and increase counter-cyclical adjustments," and required "comprehensive use and timely adjustment of monetary policy tools." Considering the economic and financial situation and price trends, the possibility of a new round of incremental policies cannot be ruled out.Chinas total electricity consumption in August rose 1.7% year-on-year, unchanged from the previous month.Chinas total electricity consumption in August was 1,033.2 billion kilowatt-hours, compared to 1,040 billion kilowatt-hours in the previous month.September 20th - From January to August, total electricity consumption in China reached 7,173 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 4.3%. By sector, primary industry electricity consumption was 104.6 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 3.3%. Secondary industry electricity consumption was 4,529.7 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 4.4%; among which, industrial electricity consumption was 4,488 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, and high-tech and equipment manufacturing electricity consumption was 845.1 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 9.3%. Tertiary industry electricity consumption was 1,425.6 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%; among which, charging and swapping services and internet data services consumed 114.7 billion and 69.5 billion kilowatt-hours respectively, with growth rates reaching 55.1% and 42.5% respectively. Residential electricity consumption was 1,113.2 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 0.3%.

Due to hawkish Fed forecasts, the EUR/USD recovers to near 1.0970 but remains in the doldrums

Alina Haynes

Apr 21, 2023 13:58

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Following a corrective move, the EUR/USD pair has rebounded from 1.0960, but investors await the publication of the preliminary Eurozone/United States S&P PMI data for April. The major currency pair has remained between 1.0911 and 1.1000 for the past two trading sessions, as the foreign exchange market prepares for a pre-anxiety move ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.

 

S&P500 closed with a negative tone for the third day in a row as quarterly earnings season induced extreme volatility. Tesla's poor earnings had a negative impact on Thursday's market sentiment. Moreover, market participants were cautioned by substandard revenue projections due to the potential for price reductions. The decision of the Fed to increase interest rates is reflected in quarterly earnings. Data from Refinitiv indicates that analysts have largely maintained last week's forecast of a near 5% YoY decline in quarterly profits for the 500 largest U.S. equities. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers. 

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been defending the key support level of 101.60 in recent trading sessions. The USD Index maintained the aforementioned support despite the release of disappointing Jobless claims data on Thursday. Initial Jobless Claims increased to 245K for the week ending April 4, which is greater than the previous release of 240K and estimates of 240K. Increasing unemployment claims heightened fears of a deteriorating labor market.

 

Despite this, Fed policymakers continue to anticipate further rate hikes from the central bank. Thursday, Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, reaffirmed that the Fed has more work to do because US inflation remains too high, according to Reuters. He added, "The Federal Reserve will need to raise its policy rate above 5% and hold it there for some time."

 

Preliminary Consumer Confidence (April) for the Eurozone increased to -17.5 from -18.5 and the previous reading of -19.2. This may be the consequence of extraordinary efforts by the European Central Bank (ECB) to reduce inflationary pressures.


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