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BNP Paribas expects the Bank of England to keep interest rates unchanged in March, whereas it had previously anticipated a rate cut.March 11 – Due to persistent inflationary pressures, two major Australian banks expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to raise interest rates for the second consecutive week. National Australia Bank (NAB) and Westpac predicted on Wednesday that the RBA will raise rates by 25 basis points to 4.1% next week, in line with expectations from UBS and Deutsche Bank. NAB Chief Economist Sally Auld stated, “Given Australia’s relatively unfavorable inflation starting point and recent data confirming that the economy is running well above trend growth, the rationale for a rate hike in the near term is clear.” Westpac Chief Economist Luci Ellis said that the RBA’s belief that demand continues to exceed economic capacity and its willingness to address surging overall inflation to prevent a sustained rise in price expectations prompted her to change her forecast. Ellis stated, “There could be disagreements at next week’s meeting. Market participants should consider the possibility that the RBA might choose to wait until May to raise rates, but this is no longer our base case scenario.”March 11 (Kyodo News) – Japanese Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Ryosuke Akazawa stated on Wednesday during a parliamentary committee meeting, in response to questions from lawmakers, that the Japanese government has not ruled out the possibility of releasing national oil reserves "on its own initiative," rather than as part of a coordinated action. He added, "We will take all possible measures to ensure a stable energy supply." As of the end of December, Japans total oil reserves were sufficient to meet domestic consumption needs for 254 days, of which 146 days worth were held by the government, 101 days worth were held by the private sector, and the remainder were stored jointly with oil-producing countries.March 11th - This years government work report further clarified the need to "expand market access with a focus on the service sector," accelerating Beijings new round of opening up. In the first batch of pilot programs nationwide to expand opening up in areas such as value-added telecommunications and healthcare, Beijing became the first city in China to establish a foreign-invested enterprise specializing in human gene diagnosis and treatment technology. To date, more than 60 foreign-invested enterprises have participated in the pilot programs. Last year, Beijing saw over 2,400 new foreign-invested enterprises, a record high. According to the Beijing Municipal Bureau of Commerce, this year will see the release of the 3.0 plan for the comprehensive demonstration zone for expanding opening up in the service sector, the implementation of actions to enhance the opening-up level of key industrial parks, the promotion of differentiated development of comprehensive bonded zones, and proactive alignment with high-standard international trade and economic rules, injecting new momentum into a higher level of opening up.Market news: The Saudi Foreign Minister spoke with the US Secretary of State to discuss Irans regional aggression.

EUR/USD Is Anticipated To Fall Below 1.0950 Due To Market Optimism Regarding US Economic Prospects

Daniel Rogers

Apr 20, 2023 13:54

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The EUR/USD pair is expected to decline drastically below the near-term support level of 1.0950 during the Asian session. The major currency pair is attracting bids as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has shown a recovery move and surpassed the 102.00 level of resistance.

 

S&P500 futures have extended their losses during the Asian session in anticipation of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to raise interest rates, which could undermine revenue guidance.

 

According to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book minutes, economic activity is stable in the majority of districts. However, loans and advances to businesses and consumers have decreased due to stringent credit conditions imposed by commercial banks in the United States in order to prevent uncertainty in an unstable environment.

 

In the interim, Fed policymakers remain optimistic regarding the economic prognosis due to the labor market's tightness. As reported by Reuters, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, James Bullard, advocated for the continuation of the central bank's policy tightening in view of the continued strength of labor market data. A Fed official added that the demand for labor has not yet diminished and that a robust labor market results in robust consumer spending.

 

Citi Group forecasts a fourth-quarter recession in the US economy due to the constrained US labor market. Previously, it was anticipated that the United States would enter a recession during the third quarter of 2023.

 

Investors are anticipating the release of Eurozone Consumer Confidence data. Preliminary Consumer Confidence (April) data is anticipated to improve from -19.2 to -18.5. This may be the result of persistently declining inflation in the Eurozone, which reduces the burden on households.