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On June 15th, former Israeli Ambassador to the US, Aaron Pincus, stated that Iran has become stronger and more confident since the war, and the regional balance facing Israel has clearly shifted unfavorably. He pointed out that by mid-June 2026, Iran will be geopolitically exponentially stronger than it was on the day the war broke out (February 28th), and has altered the regional balance during the war. Pincus warned that Iran has "upended the strategic balance," not only attacking the Arab Gulf states but also driving a wedge between Israel and the United States. He stated that how the post-war balance of power between Israel and Iran will develop remains to be seen, but "it will certainly be different from what it was in February, and less favorable to Israel than before."On June 15, the Iranian Foreign Ministry strongly condemned the Israeli regimes terrorist act of military aggression against a residential area in the southern suburbs of Beirut this afternoon (June 14). The attack has resulted in casualties among Lebanese citizens. The Iranian Foreign Ministry stated that this terrorist crime not only blatantly violated Lebanons national sovereignty and territorial integrity but also seriously contravened the ceasefire understanding reached between Iran and the United States on April 8. Iran reiterated that the US government bears direct responsibility for the Israeli regimes crimes and repeated violations of the ceasefire, and emphasized that it will take all necessary measures to exercise its legitimate right to self-defense. Iran warned that the dangerous consequences of the Israeli regimes frivolous actions on regional peace and security should be borne by the United States and the Israeli regime.Iranian Parliament Speaker: The enemy can never defeat any resistance front alone.The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has reported that the number of confirmed Ebola cases has risen to 782.According to Irans Mehr News Agency, the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority stated that it has not issued any new flight notices to restrict domestic flights.

EUR/USD Is Anticipated To Fall Below 1.0950 Due To Market Optimism Regarding US Economic Prospects

Daniel Rogers

Apr 20, 2023 13:54

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The EUR/USD pair is expected to decline drastically below the near-term support level of 1.0950 during the Asian session. The major currency pair is attracting bids as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has shown a recovery move and surpassed the 102.00 level of resistance.

 

S&P500 futures have extended their losses during the Asian session in anticipation of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to raise interest rates, which could undermine revenue guidance.

 

According to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book minutes, economic activity is stable in the majority of districts. However, loans and advances to businesses and consumers have decreased due to stringent credit conditions imposed by commercial banks in the United States in order to prevent uncertainty in an unstable environment.

 

In the interim, Fed policymakers remain optimistic regarding the economic prognosis due to the labor market's tightness. As reported by Reuters, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, James Bullard, advocated for the continuation of the central bank's policy tightening in view of the continued strength of labor market data. A Fed official added that the demand for labor has not yet diminished and that a robust labor market results in robust consumer spending.

 

Citi Group forecasts a fourth-quarter recession in the US economy due to the constrained US labor market. Previously, it was anticipated that the United States would enter a recession during the third quarter of 2023.

 

Investors are anticipating the release of Eurozone Consumer Confidence data. Preliminary Consumer Confidence (April) data is anticipated to improve from -19.2 to -18.5. This may be the result of persistently declining inflation in the Eurozone, which reduces the burden on households.