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August 16th - Despite a significant rebound in the stock market from the panic triggered by the plunge in chip and AI-related stocks, data shows that short selling is still on the rise. According to data released by the Korea Exchange on Sunday, as of Tuesday, the outstanding short position in the South Korean stock market was approximately 19 trillion won (about $13.4 billion), an increase of 2.27 trillion won, or 14%, from 16.73 trillion won at the end of last month. At the end of February this year, the short position was 15 trillion won, briefly fell to 12 trillion won in early March, and then rose again to 23 trillion won in early June. So far this month, the benchmark KOSPI index has risen by 6%, while the tech-heavy KOSDAQ index has surged by 20%. Last month, the South Korean stock market experienced a sharp drop due to market concerns about the profitability of AI-related investments (which could weaken chip demand). However, investors remain concerned about the rapid short-term gains and are uncertain whether the chip industry has peaked.On August 16, Libyas National Electricity Corporation announced that an explosion occurred near the Zawiya power station in western Libya on August 15. The explosion caused multiple power plants to shut down, paralyzed the power grid, and resulted in power outages in the capital Tripoli and large areas of western Libya. In a statement, the company said that maintenance teams were working to resolve the fault and power supply to the affected areas was being gradually restored. Technical teams have begun investigating the cause and technical details of the explosion.According to Al Arabiya satellite television: Libyan sources say the Al-Hashah power station in Zawara was attacked by drones.On August 16th, local time, police in Virginia, USA, arrested a 19-year-old man suspected of involvement in a shooting that day that injured five people. No one was killed in the shooting, but one victim is in critical condition. Chesterfield County Sheriffs Office announced the arrest of Camron Harris, from Henrico, Virginia. Authorities stated that he is not a student at the school. Police said they have issued eight felony warrants for the man, including charges of intentional assault and use of a firearm during a felony. Although the shooting occurred on school grounds, only one of the five injured was a student at the school. Authorities stated that the other four victims are between 17 and 23 years old.Conflict Updates: 1. The UAE reports an attack on a ship in the Strait of Hormuz. 2. Lebanon condemns Israeli attacks on southern Lebanon as a violation of the framework agreement. 3. Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon kill 11. 4. Lebanon condemns Israeli attacks on southern Lebanon as a violation of the framework agreement. 5. The UAE Foreign Ministry condemns Irans attack on an ADNOC vessel. 6. Israeli airstrikes on the southern Lebanese town of Deir Zahrani kill 4 and injure 17. 7. Irans Communications Minister: Over 500 telecommunications sites have been attacked during the war, and some facilities were hit again after being repaired and service restored. 8. According to Saudi Arabias Al Arabiya TV: The Yemeni military vowed a strong response to the Houthi attack on the port city of Mocha. 9. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: Hezbollah violated the ceasefire agreement in Lebanon and attacked our fighters within the "yellow line." In response, the Israel Defense Forces attacked the Hezbollah command post that issued the order for the attack. Strait of Hormuz: 1. A maritime accident occurred in the Strait of Hormuz; a bulk carrier was hit by an unidentified flying object. 2. Iran and Oman have reached an agreement on shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz. 3. Iranian Foreign Minister: The United States must meet (Irans) conditions before shipping through the Strait of Hormuz can resume. 4. Iranian Foreign Minister: Qatar and Pakistan are exchanging information with us, but this is not a negotiation. The talks between Iran and Oman are being conducted independently, focusing on sea routes through the Strait of Hormuz. Other Matters: 1. US media: Trumps demands are putting pressure on the US Navy. 2. Iranian Foreign Minister: Iran has not yet decided whether to resume negotiations with the United States. 3. Bandar Abbas International Airport resumes flight operations today. 4. Iran and Tajikistan sign a long-term oil cooperation agreement. 5. Head of Mocha Port, Yemen: The port of Mocha in Yemen ceased operations after the Houthi attack. 6. US media: The root cause of the US aircraft carrier predicament lies in the attack on the logistics hub of the Bahrain base in the early stages of the war. 7. According to Iranian media Fars News: Iranian military officials say three Iranian Air Force personnel went missing after an operation targeting US bases in March and are currently being held in Qatar. 8. The head of Irans Energy Optimization Organization: As part of three ongoing proposals to manage Irans gasoline supply, Iran is considering a proposal to allocate 30 liters of gasoline per person per month, and that this quota be transferable and tradable.

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Protects NZ Inflation-Induced Support Break; 0.6140 in Sight

Daniel Rogers

Apr 20, 2023 13:51

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During the mid-Asian session on Thursday, NZD/USD bears maintain control at the lowest levels in five weeks while defending New Zealand (NZ) losses caused by inflation near 0.6160. This justifies not only the weaker-than-anticipated New Zealand inflation, but also the recent break of one-month-old horizontal support, which is now immediate resistance, as well as the bearish MACD signals.

 

As measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policy purists were unpleasantly surprised by New Zealand's (NZ) first-quarter (Q1) inflation. Despite this, the Quarter-over-Quarter change in the New Zealand Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreases from 1.7% and 1.4%, respectively, to 1.2%.

 

Following the publication of disappointing data, the NZD/USD pair breached a one-month-old horizontal support level, which is now acting as a barrier near 0.6170. The bearish MACD signals are now directing NZD/USD traders toward a horizontal support level that has been in place for 1.5 months and is located near 0.6140.

 

If the NZD/USD bears remain dominant above 0.6140, the 2023 low of 0.6085 cannot be ruled out.

 

The 200-day simple moving average hurdle of 0.6220 becomes crucial for NZD/USD investors to return.

 

If the NZD/USD pair remains above 0.6220, a run up to the previous weekly high around 0.6315 and then to the monthly high of 0.6386 cannot be ruled out.