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Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: On September 7th, COMEX gold continued its sideways trading, closing at $4452.0 per ounce, down 0.55%. Domestic SHFE gold futures continued to hover around 960 points in the night session, closing at 954.1 yuan per gram, down 0.04%. 1. News: The US-Canada trade war escalated, with Canada planning to impose tariffs ranging from 15% to 50% on hundreds of US goods on Tuesday. Trump threatened to ban the sale of Bombardier aircraft in the US. Geopolitically, Saudi Aramco oil facilities were attacked again, and traffic in the Strait of Hormuz fell to its lowest level since May. Regarding central banks, Chinas gold reserves at the end of August were 76.73 million ounces (approximately 2386.57 tons), an increase of 650,000 ounces (approximately 20.22 tons) month-on-month. The Peoples Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for the 22nd consecutive month. 2. CME data shows that interest rate hike expectations are still rising. If the FOMC does raise rates in September, it will mark a reversal of the policy tone of the easing cycle that has been in place since 2024. However, given the influence of US Treasury bonds, a rate hike would essentially mean that market expectations have been met. Nevertheless, with interest rate hike expectations fluctuating, there is significant uncertainty surrounding the September Fed meeting, and price performance may also be volatile. The US August PPI and CPI data will be released successively from September 10th to 11th, which may provide strong guidance for the Feds interest rate decision, and the market may experience increased intraday volatility around these data releases.Sri Lankan Ceylon Petroleum executives: In addition to WTI and Siberian Light crude, they are testing Sahara blends to diversify their refining feedstock sources.Sri Lankan Ceylon Petroleum executives: Seeking foreign joint venture partners with access to crude oil to expand refining capacity.Sri Lankan Ceylon Petroleum executives: Plans to double refining capacity to 100,000 barrels per day within four years.On September 8th, according to Henan Daily, Henan Province successfully implemented its first new policy-based financial instrument for 2026. On September 7th, reporters learned from the Henan Branch of the Export-Import Bank of China that the bank provided 60 million yuan in new policy-based financial instruments to Henan Yinjinda New Materials Co., Ltd., specifically for supplementing the companys capital for its intelligent production line project. This is expected to stimulate 600 million yuan in effective investment. This precise allocation of funds will effectively guide financial resources towards private investment and boost investor confidence.

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Protects NZ Inflation-Induced Support Break; 0.6140 in Sight

Daniel Rogers

Apr 20, 2023 13:51

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During the mid-Asian session on Thursday, NZD/USD bears maintain control at the lowest levels in five weeks while defending New Zealand (NZ) losses caused by inflation near 0.6160. This justifies not only the weaker-than-anticipated New Zealand inflation, but also the recent break of one-month-old horizontal support, which is now immediate resistance, as well as the bearish MACD signals.

 

As measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policy purists were unpleasantly surprised by New Zealand's (NZ) first-quarter (Q1) inflation. Despite this, the Quarter-over-Quarter change in the New Zealand Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreases from 1.7% and 1.4%, respectively, to 1.2%.

 

Following the publication of disappointing data, the NZD/USD pair breached a one-month-old horizontal support level, which is now acting as a barrier near 0.6170. The bearish MACD signals are now directing NZD/USD traders toward a horizontal support level that has been in place for 1.5 months and is located near 0.6140.

 

If the NZD/USD bears remain dominant above 0.6140, the 2023 low of 0.6085 cannot be ruled out.

 

The 200-day simple moving average hurdle of 0.6220 becomes crucial for NZD/USD investors to return.

 

If the NZD/USD pair remains above 0.6220, a run up to the previous weekly high around 0.6315 and then to the monthly high of 0.6386 cannot be ruled out.