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On September 19th, the General Administration of Customs released import and export data for January-August 2026. Chinas merchandise exports showed relatively strong overall growth in 2026, reaching $2.9255 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 19%. August saw a record high of $401.4 billion, demonstrating strong export growth. Automobile exports reached $129.1 billion in January-August 2026, a 53% increase, with August exports reaching $18.3 billion, a 43% increase, indicating strong vitality in the Chinese automotive market. Auto parts exports reached $69.8 billion in January-August 2026, an 8% increase, with August exports reaching $9.1 billion, a 7% increase, highlighting significant export pressure for Chinese auto parts. Motorcycle exports reached $15.5 billion in January-August 2026, a 26% increase, with August exports reaching $2.1 billion, a 28% year-on-year increase. Exports of gasoline-powered motorcycles slowed due to high oil prices, while electric motorcycles surged. The country needs to follow the development of domestic vehicle manufacturers and change its reliance on European and American after-sales systems.Court websites show that Iran executed a man convicted of passing intelligence on missile bases to Israel during the war.September 19 - According to the Russian Ministry of Defense, Russian air defense systems destroyed 344 Ukrainian drones over Russia overnight. During the night, on-duty air defense systems intercepted and destroyed 344 Ukrainian fixed-wing drones over Leningrad Oblast, Novgorod Oblast, Bryansk Oblast, Kursk Oblast, Belgorod Oblast, Oryol Oblast, Kaluga Oblast, Tula Oblast, Ryazan Oblast, Lipetsk Oblast, Vladimir Oblast, Rostov Oblast, Krasnodar Krai, Moscow region, Yamal-Nenets Autonomous Okrug, Dagestan Republic, and the Black Sea region.On September 19th, a preliminary investigation report released by the UKs National Air Traffic Control (NAC) on the 18th concluded that the widespread disruption at multiple UK airports last week, resulting in the cancellation of over 2,000 flights, was caused by a "millisecond-level" software glitch. The investigation revealed that a software failure occurred in the UK air traffic control system on September 8th, "the entire failure occurring within one millisecond," rather than a human error as many had initially speculated. This system is responsible for assigning flight codes, allowing air traffic controllers to identify flights on radar. This glitch forced the cancellation or delay of numerous flights, affecting hundreds of thousands of passengers. Several major airports, including London Heathrow, Edinburgh, and Manchester, were impacted, with many passengers stranded at airports, and order only gradually being restored after several days.On September 19th, Bolivian President Rodrigo Paz announced the termination of state subsidies for diesel fuel and a shift to a unified pricing model to help address the long-standing fuel shortage. Paz stated that Bolivia relies on imports for approximately 90% of its diesel, with the government spending about $55 million weekly on subsidies. From today, the price of diesel will equal the cost of purchasing it abroad. Rampant fuel smuggling and black market resale are key factors contributing to the weekly losses. This move replaces the dual-pricing system introduced in August, which charged high-volume consumers 18 Bolivianos ($2.60) per liter while maintaining a subsidized price of 9.80 Bolivianos for other consumers. Paz stated that domestic prices will now follow global benchmarks, and if international costs decrease, domestic prices will also decrease. To offset the financial pressure on households and key economic sectors, the government announced targeted relief measures, including direct cash transfers and concessional credit lines.

AUD/JPY Exceeds 90.30 As RBA Considers Option To Raise Rates Prior To Pause

Daniel Rogers

Apr 18, 2023 14:02

AUD:JPY.png 

 

Following the release of the minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), the AUD/JPY pair surged above the 90.30-point critical resistance level. According to the RBA minutes, policymakers actively considered the decision to raise rates further. However, the decision to maintain the status quo was made after the collection of additional data.

 

Citing the resilience of Australia's financial system, RBA policymakers believed that the Board's future cash rate decisions would depend on the global economy, household spending trends, inflation projections, and employment forecasts.

 

Continue to monitor China's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) statistics. Compared to its stagnant performance in the final quarter of CY2022, the Chinese economy is estimated to have grown by 2.2%. Compared to the previous annual growth rate of 2.9%, the current annual growth rate for the economy is 4.0%. Australia is China's greatest trading partner, and stronger Chinese GDP data would strengthen the Australian Dollar.

 

The announcement of the People's Bank of China (PBOC) interest rate decision later this week will be crucial. Last week, the People's Bank of China pledged to provide additional monetary support to spur retail demand. Despite the reopening of China's economy following a period of economic restraint, the country's inflation rate has been consistently declining over the past few months.

 

According to Jiji news and Reuters, the Bank of Japan is reportedly considering a projection for consumer price growth between 1.6% and 1.9% for the 2025 fiscal year, a move seen as preventing market participants from betting on the central bank's departure from stimulus. This has also delayed the possibility of a shift away from an expansionary monetary policy, which cannot be considered until the Japanese inflation rate persists above 2%.


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