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Hong Kong-listed auto stocks continued to rise in the afternoon, with Li Auto (02015.HK) and BYD (01211.HK) up more than 4%, NIO (09866.HK) up nearly 4%, and XPeng (09868.HK) and Great Wall Motor (02333.HK) up more than 2%.On January 28th, Hengrui Medicine announced that its subsidiary, Shandong Shengdi Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., received a "Drug Clinical Trial Approval Notice" from the National Medical Products Administration, authorizing the company to conduct a Phase III clinical trial of its independently developed Class 1 innovative oral small molecule GLP-1 receptor agonist, HRS-7535 tablets, for the indication of hypertension complicated by overweight or obesity. HRS-7535 tablets are a novel oral small molecule GLP-1R agonist; currently, there are no other oral small molecule GLP-1R agonists on the market globally.ASMLs stock price rose 7.3% on the TRADEGATE platform compared to yesterdays closing price.On January 28th, according to futures market news: 1. WTI crude oil futures trading volume was 1,070,018 lots, an increase of 331,219 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 2,036,077 lots, an increase of 32,401 lots from the previous trading day. 2. Brent crude oil futures trading volume was 208,054 lots, an increase of 55,495 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 267,545 lots, an increase of 10,832 lots from the previous trading day. 3. Natural gas futures trading volume was 923,107 lots, a decrease of 177,024 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,626,209 lots, a decrease of 7,743 lots from the previous trading day.1. Nomura: Powell is not expected to give a clear signal on future rate cuts, and may reiterate that current policy is "in good shape," adding that current interest rates are "within a neutral and reasonable range." 2. Morgan Stanley: Powell is expected to rely on recent strong economic data, stable hiring, and declining unemployment to justify a pause in rate cuts. 3. Bank of America: Powell is expected to use cautious language, and investors will closely watch his assessment of the December unemployment rate decline and his view on whether strong economic growth is consistent with higher neutral interest rates. 4. Rabobank: Powell may be asked about forward guidance such as the timing and conditions of the next rate cut. He will likely use the default phrase of "meeting-by-meeting" and "data-dependent," but may further elaborate on the criteria for rate cuts. Powell may also be asked about his court subpoena, and he may be more hawkish than in previous press conferences. 5. Allianz: Market focus will be on the strength of Powells response to recent government challenges to the Feds independence, which may have a greater market impact than the interest rate decision itself. 6. First US Financial: Powell is likely to emphasize that last years cumulative rate cuts have given the Fed more room for maneuver, while closely monitoring the latest data and broader funding conditions. Further rate cuts are still possible later this year if inflation continues to moderate or economic growth slows more than expected.

AUD/JPY Exceeds 90.30 As RBA Considers Option To Raise Rates Prior To Pause

Daniel Rogers

Apr 18, 2023 14:02

AUD:JPY.png 

 

Following the release of the minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), the AUD/JPY pair surged above the 90.30-point critical resistance level. According to the RBA minutes, policymakers actively considered the decision to raise rates further. However, the decision to maintain the status quo was made after the collection of additional data.

 

Citing the resilience of Australia's financial system, RBA policymakers believed that the Board's future cash rate decisions would depend on the global economy, household spending trends, inflation projections, and employment forecasts.

 

Continue to monitor China's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) statistics. Compared to its stagnant performance in the final quarter of CY2022, the Chinese economy is estimated to have grown by 2.2%. Compared to the previous annual growth rate of 2.9%, the current annual growth rate for the economy is 4.0%. Australia is China's greatest trading partner, and stronger Chinese GDP data would strengthen the Australian Dollar.

 

The announcement of the People's Bank of China (PBOC) interest rate decision later this week will be crucial. Last week, the People's Bank of China pledged to provide additional monetary support to spur retail demand. Despite the reopening of China's economy following a period of economic restraint, the country's inflation rate has been consistently declining over the past few months.

 

According to Jiji news and Reuters, the Bank of Japan is reportedly considering a projection for consumer price growth between 1.6% and 1.9% for the 2025 fiscal year, a move seen as preventing market participants from betting on the central bank's departure from stimulus. This has also delayed the possibility of a shift away from an expansionary monetary policy, which cannot be considered until the Japanese inflation rate persists above 2%.


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