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A Reuters poll shows that two-thirds of Japanese companies are concerned about Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis fiscal discipline.Dominic LeBlanc, Canadas Minister for Canada-US Trade: (When asked if Canada had discussed any contingency plans with Mexico should the US seek a bilateral agreement) No.Dominic LeBlanc, the Canadian Minister in charge of trade with the United States and Canada: I am reassured that the Mexican Minister of Economy has expressed his willingness to work with Canada and ensure that the review of the USMCA results in a trilateral trade arrangement.Conflict Status: 1. Ukraine reportedly recaptured 201 square kilometers of land in five days. 2. Russian troops have taken control of Krinichny in eastern Ukraine. 3. Russian Foreign Ministry: Dutch mercenaries flying Ukrainian aircraft will be legal targets. Peace Negotiations: 1. Russian media: No documents were signed at the Geneva talks. 2. Head of the Russian delegation: The negotiations lasted about two hours, difficult but pragmatic. A new round of talks on the Ukraine issue will be held soon. 3. White House Press Secretary: The latest round of trilateral contacts "made meaningful progress," and all parties agreed to continue negotiations. 4. Zelensky: Differences remain in current positions; European participation in peace negotiations is crucial. 5. Zelensky: The talks at the military level were substantive; political issues need further study. He hopes the next round of negotiations will be held in February. 6. Zelensky: Ukraine and Russia are "close" to forming a document on how to monitor the ceasefire; the United States will play a leading role in monitoring the ceasefire. 7. Russian Foreign Minister: Russia and the United States have agreed to establish a bilateral economic working group to discuss trade and economic issues separately. 8. Zelensky: The next round of talks with Russia will be held in Switzerland. Other developments: 1. Zelensky: Sanctions have been imposed on Belarusian President Lukashenko. 2. Hungary and Slovakia have announced a suspension of diesel exports to Ukraine. 3. The EU has adopted a comprehensive strategy to support member states bordering Russia and Ukraine. 4. Russian oil drilling activity is projected to fall to its lowest level in three years by 2025. 5. Data shows that India imported 1.1 million barrels per day of Russian oil in January, the lowest level since November 2022. February 19th - According to CBS News, citing sources familiar with the matter, senior U.S. national security officials have informed Trump that the military could launch a strike against Iran as early as Saturday, but the timeline for any action could be extended beyond the end of the week. Trump has not yet made a final decision on whether to launch a strike. Several officials stated that the Pentagon will temporarily evacuate some personnel from the Middle East over the next three days, primarily to Europe or back to the United States, in preparation for potential U.S. actions or a potential Iranian retaliation following a U.S. strike. One source stated that moving assets and personnel in the lead-up to potential military action is routine Pentagon practice and does not necessarily indicate that a strike against Iran is imminent.

AUD/JPY Exceeds 90.30 As RBA Considers Option To Raise Rates Prior To Pause

Daniel Rogers

Apr 18, 2023 14:02

AUD:JPY.png 

 

Following the release of the minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), the AUD/JPY pair surged above the 90.30-point critical resistance level. According to the RBA minutes, policymakers actively considered the decision to raise rates further. However, the decision to maintain the status quo was made after the collection of additional data.

 

Citing the resilience of Australia's financial system, RBA policymakers believed that the Board's future cash rate decisions would depend on the global economy, household spending trends, inflation projections, and employment forecasts.

 

Continue to monitor China's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) statistics. Compared to its stagnant performance in the final quarter of CY2022, the Chinese economy is estimated to have grown by 2.2%. Compared to the previous annual growth rate of 2.9%, the current annual growth rate for the economy is 4.0%. Australia is China's greatest trading partner, and stronger Chinese GDP data would strengthen the Australian Dollar.

 

The announcement of the People's Bank of China (PBOC) interest rate decision later this week will be crucial. Last week, the People's Bank of China pledged to provide additional monetary support to spur retail demand. Despite the reopening of China's economy following a period of economic restraint, the country's inflation rate has been consistently declining over the past few months.

 

According to Jiji news and Reuters, the Bank of Japan is reportedly considering a projection for consumer price growth between 1.6% and 1.9% for the 2025 fiscal year, a move seen as preventing market participants from betting on the central bank's departure from stimulus. This has also delayed the possibility of a shift away from an expansionary monetary policy, which cannot be considered until the Japanese inflation rate persists above 2%.


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