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Futures News, August 11th: Oil prices continued to rise, and positive news and cost guidance for fuel oil fuels fueled the upward trend in refineries. However, downstream traders remained cautious in their purchasing, hesitant to place orders at high prices, with market transactions primarily driven by immediate needs, thus limiting further price increases. It is expected that fuel oil trading today will see some areas remain stable, with some experiencing slight increases.According to Futures News on August 11, as of 8:30 AM Beijing time, spot platinum rose 0.53% and spot palladium rose 0.72%.Singapores Ministry of Trade and Industry has revised its 2026 non-oil domestic export growth forecast upward from 3.0%-5.0% to 14.0%-16.0%.On August 11th, Futures News reported that precious metal prices fluctuated and strengthened on Monday, with international gold prices approaching their highest level since mid-June. Domestic Shanghai gold and silver futures prices both rose by more than 2%, indicating a significant recovery in market bullish sentiment. 1. "Recently, multiple positive factors have converged to drive the rise in gold and silver prices," said Bai Suna, chief precious metals analyst at Guomao Futures. She explained that the simultaneous weakening of geopolitical and macroeconomic negative factors has laid a solid foundation for the rebound in gold and silver prices. On the one hand, the Strait of Hormuz signaled a peace talks, and the decline in oil prices eased upward pressure on US inflation, reducing the impact of geopolitical conflicts on the market. On the other hand, US non-farm payrolls and ADP employment data for July were all weak, with non-farm payrolls significantly lower than expected, cooling expectations for a Fed rate hike and pushing down the dollar and US Treasury yields, easing valuation pressures on precious metals. 2. Looking ahead, analysts generally believe that the short-term fluctuation and medium-to-long-term upward trend in gold and silver prices remains unchanged. Bai Suna stated that the logic of a medium-to-long-term upward trend in gold and silver prices remains unchanged. With factors such as the gradual decline in US inflation, the continued weakening of negative macroeconomic factors, limited upside potential for US Treasury real interest rates, and the ongoing global de-dollarization process, the gold bull market is expected to continue. Overall, gold and silver prices are currently at a cyclical bottom, and market volatility is high. Investors are advised to closely monitor three core variables: geopolitical tensions, inflation data, and Federal Reserve policy, avoid blindly chasing the market higher, and manage their positions prudently.August 11th - According to sources familiar with the matter, Intel (INTC.O) is seeking to expand its stock offering to approximately $20 billion, a third higher than the $15 billion target set when it announced the deal Monday morning. The sources indicated that Intel expects to offer shares at approximately $95 per share or higher. One source stated that if the so-called over-allotment option is exercised, the offering could further expand to over $20 billion, and demand for the offering has already exceeded $100 billion. The sources indicated that discussions are ongoing, and details, including the offering size and pricing, are still subject to change.

GBP/USD maintains a defensive posture above 1.2400, with focus on US inflation, BoE Governor Bailey, and Fed minutes

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:47

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GBP/USD fluctuates between 1.2415 and 1.2420 in the early hours of Wednesday's crucial session as bulls struggle to maintain control. This reflects a cautious outlook advance of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March and the minutes from the most recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Monetary Policy Meeting. The speech of Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey is also crucial to monitor.

 

The most recent Bloomberg headlines indicate, however, that the British labor market is no longer constrained. "For the first time in two years, the number of people available for work in the United Kingdom increased, easing one of the tightest labor markets in more than a decade," reported the news.

 

In a similar vein, Reuters reported optimistic UK housing prices, allowing GBP/USD buyers to remain optimistic prior to high-profile data events. Reuters reported on Wednesday that British housing sales recovered to within a whisker of pre-crisis levels in March, signifying a rebound from September, when the failed economic plan of former prime minister Liz Truss caused market turmoil.

 

Recently, Neel Kashkari, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, stated, "The inflation target of 2% should not be changed." However, other Fed policymakers have recently signaled divergent concerns, which has depressed the Cable investors. President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Patrick Harker, stated that the Federal Reserve will continue to scrutinize available data to determine if additional action is required. John Williams, president of the New York Fed, had previously stated that interest rates will need to be lowered if inflation declines. In addition, the president of the Chicago Fed, Austan Goolsbee, stated on Tuesday that they should be cautious about increasing interest rates in light of recent developments in the banking sector.

 

In its January report, the IMF lowered its forecast for global real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for 2023 from 2.9% to 2.8%. However, the international lender defends the efforts of the main central banks to combat inflation and gives GBP/USD pair traders no substantial indications.

 

After Wall Street's muddled close, S&P 500 Futures remain directionless in this environment, while US Treasury bond yields rise and encourage US Dollar sellers.

 

To thwart GBP/USD investors, the FOMC Minutes must defend the rate hike path. The meeting between US President Joe Biden and British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak in Northern Ireland is also notable. (NI).