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On June 11th, J&T Express responded to the State Post Bureaus investigation into the company, stating that J&T Express China attaches great importance to the matter, sincerely accepts, and will resolutely comply with and fully cooperate with the relevant authorities in carrying out all investigations in accordance with laws and regulations. J&T emphasized that safe production is a red line that the company cannot cross. J&T China has deeply reflected on its practices in light of important instructions regarding safe production, and deeply feels that as the brand headquarters, it has fallen short in fulfilling its unified management responsibility for safety assurance for some companies operating under the "J&T Express" trademark, trade name, and waybills. The lessons learned are profound. J&T China sincerely accepts supervision.The yield on Japans 5-year government bonds fell 1.5 basis points to 1.920%.The yield on Japans 40-year government bonds rose 3.0 basis points to 3.765%.June 11th - Analysts at BMO Capital Markets stated that some members of the European Central Banks (ECB) Governing Council may be thinking, "Weve waited long enough. Lets act!" And they will indeed act, meaning they will raise interest rates on June 11th. Since the outbreak of the Iran-Iraq war, several other central banks, such as the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Norwegian central bank, have tightened monetary policy. But the ECB will be the first G7 central bank to do so. The ECB previously stated that the Eurozones inflation rate and monetary policy were "in good shape," but now the situation is quite different. Concerns about the duration of the Iran-Iraq war and the sustainability of a potential peace agreement, and how these factors will affect inflation expectations and wage demand, are prompting the ECB to shift towards a tighter policy. Eurozone inflation has not eased since the last meeting. Adding to the woes, the risk of economic stagnation is increasing. The ECB must proceed cautiously, but the risk of further rate hikes remains, potentially as early as July.Local authorities said the fire at the Russian Afipsky oil refinery has been extinguished.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

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Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


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