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On September 6, the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) reported that the public relations department of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) issued a statement saying that the IRGC Air Force launched multiple ballistic missiles, striking a US aircraft carrier and a destroyer. The targeted US warships were involved in the naval blockade of Iran and interfered with Iranian vessels. The statement said that both US warships were forced to withdraw from the conflict zone after suffering damage.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.7 earthquake occurred at 10:29 on September 6 in Wuqia County, Kizilsu Kirghiz Autonomous Prefecture, Xinjiang (40.00 degrees north latitude, 75.75 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 20 kilometers.September 6th - The recent US military strikes against Iran, which Iran retaliated against, have led to a rise in international oil prices. On September 4th, local time, Virgin Atlantic founder Richard Branson stated in an interview in the UK that the conflict with Iran is completely unnecessary, as it will only push up oil prices, increase costs for airlines and consumers, and contribute to inflation.On September 6th, TankerTrackers reported on Saturday that Iraqs oil exports in August fell by 36% compared to pre-war levels, making it one of the Middle Eastern oil-producing countries with the largest decline in exports. The comparison is based on export levels in January and February before the conflict. Iran saw the largest drop, with crude oil exports plummeting by 100%. Qatar and Saudi Arabia followed closely, both experiencing a 48% decline in exports. Kuwaits crude oil exports also fell by 36% in August, matching Iraqs decline, placing these two countries tied for third place among those tracked by TankerTrackers. The UAE saw the smallest decline, with crude oil exports falling by only 0.02% compared to pre-war levels.TeslaAI: The training data for Teslas (TSLA.O) Cyber self-driving electric vehicles exceeds the combined driving experience of 16,000 human drivers over their entire lifetimes. It is now providing a safe, easy, and affordable shared mobility experience to the public in Austin, Texas.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

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Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


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