EUR/USD 1.16141
-0.097%
Gold 4434.77
-0.854%
Oil 89.430
-0.234%
USD/JPY 156.234
0.280%
GBP/USD 1.35183
-0.046%
GBP/JPY 211.206
0.242%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
September 5th - US President Trump posted that it has been an incredible summer for the American tourism industry. Americans have traveled nearly 300 billion miles, our national parks welcomed 78 million visitors, and millions more traveled by air. The FIFA World Cup alone brought in over $18 billion for our economy and supported over 160,000 jobs! Tourism means jobs, investment, and billions of dollars flowing into American businesses and communities. We are cutting red tape and modernizing air travel to make it easier to travel and do business in the United States. America is opening its doors to the world—and the best is yet to come.On September 5th, U.S. District Judge Trevor McFadden rejected a temporary restraining order application filed by Stars and Stripes publisher Max Laidler, editor-in-chief Eric Slavin, and Middle East journalist Lara Colter on September 4th, allowing the Department of Defense to proceed with the dismissal of the three. The judge ruled that the three had failed to demonstrate that their First Amendment rights were likely violated. The three had previously sued the Department of Defense, claiming they were being retaliated against for publicly supporting Stars and Stripes editorial independence and related reporting. In his ruling, Judge McFadden stated that while Slavin and Colter had been granted permission to give interviews, existing materials showed they were making these statements in the course of official duties, not as private citizens. Regarding Laidler, the judge stated that his failure to follow orders was not protected by the First Amendment.On September 5th, US President Trump posted: "Great news! Our booming economy added 162,000 jobs in August to honor the great American workers we celebrate this year (and every year!) for Labor Day." This strong figure is almost three times the prediction of so-called "economists" in a Bloomberg survey—people still suffering from "Trump mania." The impact of Trumps economic boom is evident across numerous industries. This administrations fair trade policies, implemented through a superb tool called "tariffs," have reshaped the global economic landscape, bringing manufacturing jobs back to the US on an unprecedented scale. Factory construction is booming as businesses utilize the "full deduction" policy (full deduction within one year). Soon, these factories will be packed with American workers.September 5th - The 5th China-Canada (China-Canada) Defence Working Meeting was held in Canada on September 4th. Both sides exchanged candid and in-depth views on international and regional issues of common concern, expressed their positive desire to strengthen practical exchanges and cooperation between the two militaries, and enhanced mutual understanding and trust.September 5 - According to the Lebanese National News Agency on the 4th, Israel launched airstrikes on several areas in southern Lebanon that day, resulting in at least 5 deaths and 23 injuries.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

 EUR:USD.png

 

Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


Suggestion