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On June 6, according to Irans Tasnim News Agency, Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister for Legal and International Affairs, Kazem Gharibabadi, stated that at least 50% of Irans frozen financial assets must be immediately unfrozen should a memorandum of understanding be signed with the United States. Gharibabadi stated that Tehran would only consider any draft agreement as final if "its interests and concerns were fully considered." Gharibabadi said, "Iran insists at least that 50% of these funds must be provided to Iran immediately after the signing of the memorandum of understanding." He added that the remaining funds should be "unfrozen within a limited period of one to two months after the signing of the agreement." Gharibabadi stated that these assets belong to Iran and were "illegally frozen" by the United States, and unfreezing these assets is a core requirement of any potential understanding. He indicated that the remaining details of the access mechanism, including technical and financial arrangements, will be further negotiated during the 60-day implementation period following the signing of the memorandum.Saudi Arabia condemned Irans attacks on Bahrain and Kuwait.The Bahraini military stated that it successfully intercepted three missiles and several drones from Iran.According to Saudi media outlet Alhadath, sources say Iran has requested three months of negotiations regarding the details of its nuclear documents.On June 6th, Du Xiaogang, Secretary of the Wuxi Municipal Party Committee, chaired a special meeting to promote the development of the integrated circuit (artificial intelligence) industry in Wuxi. The meeting emphasized the need to strengthen project support. It stressed focusing on key aspects such as design, manufacturing, packaging and testing, and equipment materials, and targeting cutting-edge sectors like AIDC and Token. The meeting called for a tiered and categorized approach to project listings, the establishment of a promotion mechanism, and strengthened routine scheduling, targeted services, and precise support for key projects, especially benchmark projects. Simultaneously, the meeting emphasized close collaboration with listed companies, leading enterprises, research institutions, and investment institutions to grasp industry trends, accurately identify key sectors, and jointly implement more high-quality incremental projects.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

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Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.