EUR/USD 1.14859
0.096%
Gold 4376.53
0.805%
Oil 95.469
-1.085%
USD/JPY 156.726
0.486%
GBP/USD 1.33935
0.269%
GBP/JPY 209.919
0.759%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
According to Politico: Anthropic, OpenAI, SpaceX AI, and Google are being sued for calling for a “slowdown” in AI development.The U.S. State Department has decided to approve the sale of $2.68 billion worth of foreign military equipment to Ukraine to support its air defense development and upgrades.On September 19th, the Shaanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics released its report on the provinces economic performance in the first eight months of the year: industrial production steadily rebounded, consumer demand continued to be released, and the economy showed a steady and positive development trend. According to relevant personnel from the Provincial Bureau of Statistics, in the first eight months, the added value of industries above designated size increased by 4.6% year-on-year, an acceleration of 0.5 percentage points compared to the first seven months. Industrial production steadily rebounded, and product output grew steadily. Looking at the three major sectors, the added value of mining increased by 7.7% year-on-year, manufacturing by 1.5%, and the added value of electricity, heat, gas and water production and supply by 2.5%. Key industries performed well, with the added value of coal mining and washing increasing by 9.0% year-on-year and the added value of oil and gas extraction increasing by 9.7%. Product output grew steadily, with raw coal output increasing by 3.8% year-on-year and natural gas output increasing by 7.3%.September 19th - According to Shenzhen Railway authorities, the railway transportation period for this years Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays will run from September 23rd to October 8th, lasting 16 days. Shenzhen Railway expects to transport 5.7312 million passengers, averaging 358,200 passengers per day, an increase of 21,500 passengers per day compared to last year, representing a 6.39% increase and setting a new record for the same period. Among them, Shenzhen North Station is expected to transport 3.856 million passengers, averaging 241,000 passengers per day, an increase of 10,400 passengers per day compared to last year, representing a 4.3% increase.On September 19th, French President Emmanuel Macron stated on September 18th that France will push the EU to take action to address energy issues. He also believes that the US and Iran are unlikely to reach an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz in the short term. Macron stated that the sharp rise in fuel prices in recent weeks has created difficult circumstances for French citizens and families. Fuel prices at French gas stations have reached historic highs, causing considerable hardship and exacerbating purchasing power issues. Natural gas prices and the overall energy situation are also worrying, and these circumstances are entirely due to the war and the international situation. Macron said that France hopes to take action at the EU level and will communicate with the President of the European Commission on this matter.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

 EUR:USD.png

 

Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


Suggestion