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On June 7, according to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), Iranian First Vice President Ariff stated that all senior officials are completely aligned on Irans negotiating strategy and refuted any claims of disagreement regarding the negotiating text or agenda. Ariff stated that Tehran has adopted a clear and coordinated approach in the negotiations. He said, "Iran has developed a clear strategy in the negotiations, and all officials are implementing it in a fully coordinated manner." He added that officials "have no disagreement on the negotiating text and agenda." He was referring to the ongoing indirect negotiations between Iran and the United States, aimed at permanently ending the war waged by the United States and Israel against Iran. Ariff also emphasized Irans experience in dealing with two wars, stating that Iran has drawn valuable crisis management experience from them.June 7th - According to Nikkei, while major cities worldwide are expanding their tree cover to curb rising summer temperatures related to climate change, the number of street trees in Japan has plummeted from its peak, with a shift towards planting species with limited canopy growth. According to statistics from the University of Tokyo, Tokyos canopy cover (the percentage of land area covered by branches, trunks, and leaves) has decreased from 9.2% in 2013 to 7.3% in 2022. This means that approximately 12 square kilometers of shaded area disappeared during this period, roughly equivalent to 250 large baseball fields. Even Phoenix, the capital of Arizona, a desert-surrounded city, has a higher tree cover than Tokyo, reaching 11% in 2024.British Airways CEO said that if fuel costs remain high, airfares will rise again.June 7th - According to recent news from Japan, due to the deteriorating situation in the Middle East, aviation fuel prices continue to rise. All Nippon Airways (ANA) and Japan Airlines (JAL) have basically decided to significantly increase fuel surcharges for international routes booked in July and August. The one-way fuel surcharge for North American and European routes booked in May and June has already reached 56,000 yen (approximately 2,363 yuan), and is expected to increase further, potentially breaking the record and reaching 65,000 to 70,000 yen (approximately 2,743 to 2,954 yuan). The specific increase is currently being coordinated with the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism and other departments, and will be finalized soon. It is understood that ANA and JAL have already significantly increased their international fuel surcharges for June, with an increase of over 70% compared to April and May.APK-Inform has revised its 2026 wheat production forecast for Ukraine upward to 21.7 million tons from 19.9 million tons. It has also revised its 2026 grain production forecast for Ukraine upward to 58.7 million tons from 56.9 million tons.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

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Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


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