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On September 13, the Saudi Civil Defense Agency issued a statement on the evening of the 12th, saying that the Tuwar district of Jazan province in Saudi Arabia was attacked by Yemeni Houthi rebels that day, resulting in two injuries and damage to several buildings and vehicles. The Saudi Civil Defense Agency stated that the attack on civilian targets was a blatant violation of international humanitarian law, and that the incident had been handled according to established procedures. On the same day, the Yemeni Houthi rebels said that Saudi warplanes had conducted 129 airstrikes on seven provinces in Yemen in the past 48 hours. The group warned that these airstrikes "will not go unpunished."On September 13th, Tesla announced a press conference scheduled for October 1st to showcase its next-generation Roadster electric sports car. This highly anticipated fall event for Tesla fans may further fuel speculation about a potential merger between Tesla and SpaceX. Teslas official social media accounts used the phrase "Go for launch," echoing SpaceXs rocket launches, and Tesla has previously used live events to generate excitement among customers and investors. The launch of the second-generation Roadster has been delayed multiple times. In its recent earnings presentation, Tesla stated that the Roadster is still in the "design and development" phase. During Teslas first-quarter earnings call in April, Musk said of the Roadster, "I think it could be one of the most amazing presentations ever."September 13th - According to Axios, the United States is gradually losing its status as the "default option" for other governments to purchase weapons and store funds, and is also losing its appeal to international students. The report states, "The United States is losing its position as the default option for saving money, purchasing weapons, and sending international students." The report argues that even minor alienation from the United States could negatively impact Washingtons efforts to maintain its economic and geopolitical dominance over the years.ECB President Christine Lagarde: I will step down as ECB president in 2027; I am not considering returning to French politics and do not believe I am suitable as a French presidential candidate.European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: The European economy is resilient. The current inflationary shock is expected to last longer, and market volatility and energy price pressures are anticipated to persist.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

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Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


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