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July 10th – According to the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology (CAICT), the Satellite Communications Working Group of the Industrial Internet Industry Alliance (hereinafter referred to as the "Satellite Communications Working Group") was officially established in Beijing recently, under the guidance of the Information and Communications Administration of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. The Satellite Communications Working Group aims to build a platform for industry exchange and cooperation, accelerate breakthroughs in key core technologies for satellite communications, promote technological innovation and development such as non-terrestrial networks (NTN), and pool resources to jointly cultivate an open and shared satellite communications industry ecosystem, contributing to the construction of a manufacturing powerhouse, a space powerhouse, a cyber powerhouse, and a digital China.July 10th - The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP) released the "2026 China Highway Transport Capacity Development Report" today (July 10th). According to the report, the highway transport market will continue to adjust and optimize in 2025, with the capacity structure accelerating its upgrade towards large-scale, professional, and green development. Enterprises risk resistance and resilience in normalized operations have improved. Survey data shows that fuel-powered vehicles still dominate the current highway freight capacity structure, accounting for approximately 50%, but new energy vehicles have formed an irreversible substitution trend in specific scenarios. Among the surveyed enterprises, the penetration rate of new energy trucks is 44.4%. Of the enterprises that have already purchased new energy vehicles, 37.5% chose to "continue to expand their new energy vehicle fleet," and 37.5% chose to "maintain their existing scale."The main Shanghai silver futures contract surged 4.00% intraday, currently trading at 14,805.00 yuan/kg.On July 10, Japans Nuclear Regulation Authority (NRA) reported on July 9 that improper management of counterterrorism-related classified information at Tokyo Electric Power Companys Fukushima Daiichi and Fukushima Daini nuclear power plants allowed unauthorized personnel easy access to such information. The NRA stated that the two nuclear power plants possessed numerous classified documents related to counterterrorism measures, which should have been strictly managed and stored in designated locations for access only by authorized personnel. However, an investigation revealed that these documents were stored in shared folders on computers across multiple departments, allowing even staff without proper access to view them. According to the NRA, no leaks of classified information have been found so far, but further investigation will be conducted to determine the cause of the information management lapse.July 10th - The Times of Israel, citing a US official on the 9th, reported that Israeli troops will withdraw from one of two "pilot areas" in southern Lebanon in the coming days, paving the way for the next phase of negotiations between Israel and Lebanon. The report stated that, according to a framework agreement reached between Israel and Lebanon in Washington, D.C., Israel agreed to withdraw its troops from two small areas in southern Lebanon where Hezbollah military facilities have been cleared, handing them over to the Lebanese Armed Forces. The report also quoted an Arab official as saying that Lebanon has informed the United States that it will not participate in the new round of Lebanon-Israel talks scheduled for next week in Rome, Italy, until Israel completes its agreed withdrawal. Currently, a timetable for the withdrawal from the second "pilot area" has not been announced.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

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Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


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