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On June 6, Mohsen Rezaei, military advisor to Irans Supreme Leader, warned in an interview with CNN on June 5 that if the fighting continues and the US does not lift its naval blockade of Iran, the conflict could spread to a wider area, including the Indian Ocean, and Iran would also strike more US military bases, at which point the US would suffer "very heavy" losses.Jamaican Energy Minister Daryl Wass said on social media on the 5th that Jamaica experienced a nationwide blackout that day, with several administrative districts losing power. The cause of the failure is still under investigation, and the national power company has begun emergency repairs.On June 6, Russian Presidential Aide Ushakov stated on June 5 that the United States has relegated the Ukraine issue to a secondary position, to some extent withdrawing from this issue that is "crucial to Russia but irrelevant to the United States." Speaking at the 29th St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Ushakov said that the United States is currently prioritizing the Iran issue, and the Ukraine issue has been "placed in a secondary position." However, compared to the Biden administration, the Trump administrations policies have undergone "minor adjustments."June 6 – The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Ministry of Health released a report on June 5 stating that as of June 4, the total number of confirmed Ebola cases in the DRC had risen to 452, with 82 deaths. The report noted that 71 new cases were reported on June 4 in Ituri and North Kivu provinces, indicating rapid and sustained community transmission in this outbreak. The report showed that 258 patients are currently in isolation or hospitalized, with 8 recoveries. The report stated that the current response to the outbreak faces multiple challenges, including some members of the public not cooperating with the sampling of remains of their relatives, insufficient standardized treatment capacity at Ebola treatment centers, low contact tracing rates, and shortages of basic medicines and protective equipment. Furthermore, there remains a funding gap for the response efforts.On June 6th, it was reported that, with the approval of the State Administration for Market Regulation (CNCA), the China National Accreditation Service for Conformity Assessment (CNAS) recently launched an accreditation system for product carbon footprint verification bodies. This system stipulates the basic qualifications, personnel capabilities, standardization of verification activities, and accreditation procedures for product carbon footprint verification bodies. The implementation of this system will further regulate the behavior of product carbon footprint verification bodies, improve the quality of product carbon footprint data, and contribute to the improvement of my countrys product carbon footprint management system.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

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Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


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