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February 7th - It was learned from the Ministry of Water Resources that, in order to further improve the construction, operation, and management mechanisms of major water conservancy projects, the Ministry of Water Resources and the National Development and Reform Commission recently issued the "Implementation Opinions on Improving the Construction, Operation, and Management Mechanisms of Major Water Conservancy Projects." Major water conservancy projects are important infrastructure for promoting high-quality economic and social development, playing a crucial supporting role in ensuring flood control, water supply, food security, and ecological security. The opinions are divided into four parts: general requirements, improving the high-quality construction mechanism, improving the high-level operation mechanism, and improving the high-efficiency management mechanism. The opinions require that, focusing on the national water network construction goals of "complete systems, safety and reliability, intensive and efficient, green and intelligent, smooth circulation, and orderly regulation," the government should guide and the market should participate, coordinating "hard investment" and "soft construction," improving the construction and operation mechanism of projects with clear responsibilities, diversified investment, and a focus on both quality and efficiency, and forming a comprehensive, data-driven, and efficient management and guarantee system to achieve high-quality construction, high-level operation, and high-efficiency management of major water conservancy projects.Algeria plans to cancel its air services agreement with the United Arab Emirates.February 7th - A Beijing Municipal Market Supervision Work Conference was held on February 7th. The conference revealed that this years focus will be on investigating and punishing monopolistic practices in public utilities and the platform economy, as well as addressing prominent issues such as unfair competition online.On February 7th, local time, the Russian Ministry of Defense released a war report stating that in the past 24 hours, in response to attacks by Ukraine on civilian infrastructure targets within Russia, the Russian military launched a large-scale strike against Ukrainian military energy and transportation infrastructure using sea-based and air-based long-range high-precision weapons, including the Kinzhal hypersonic missile. All designated targets were hit. In addition, Russian air defense systems shot down one guided-missile bomb and 168 fixed-wing drones belonging to the Ukrainian military. Earlier that day, the Ukrainian Air Force posted on social media that from the evening of February 6th to the early morning of February 7th, the Russian military launched a large-scale air strike against key Ukrainian infrastructure using 39 missiles, including two Zircon hypersonic missiles, and 408 drones.The Ukrainian General Staff stated that its forces attacked an oil depot in Russias Saratov region.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

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Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


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