EUR/USD 1.14264
-0.126%
Gold 4122.70
-1.013%
Oil 69.252
0.990%
USD/JPY 161.937
-0.088%
GBP/USD 1.33767
-0.096%
GBP/JPY 216.623
-0.182%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Zhipu (02513.HK) saw its share price rise to 10%, after the company stated that media reports claiming it had withdrawn its A-share IPO filing were untrue.On July 7th, Daiwa Securities released a research report stating that the latest channel inspections show that the retail sales value (RSV) of the sporting goods industry slowed quarter-on-quarter in the second quarter of this year, and the monthly volatility of RSV increased, further reducing the short-term predictability of Xtep (01368.HK). Meanwhile, the transformation of Xteps core brand will disrupt its wholesale business and require upfront investment, potentially diluting Xteps short-term revenue and profit margins. Although the Saucony brand can continue to maintain high growth, the core Xtep brand may face challenges from slower growth and increased competition. The bank lowered its earnings per share forecast for Xtep this year by approximately 12%, and reduced its target price from HK$5.2 to HK$3.9, downgrading its rating from "Outperform" to "Hold".On July 7th, Samsung Electronics announced preliminary results that exceeded expectations, yet its stock price fell, once again confirming the markets tendency for "positive earnings to become a selling signal"—investors often take profits when earnings are realized, as the market has already priced in the milestone news. Data shows that since the beginning of 2019, Samsung (prior to todays announcement) had exceeded operating profit expectations for 16 quarters, but its stock price fell after the announcement in 10 of those instances. This pattern repeated itself on Tuesday—after disclosing a 19-fold increase in quarterly profit, Samsungs stock price plummeted by nearly 10%. This phenomenon reflects a typical market psychology: strong earnings are seen as an opportunity to reduce holdings rather than a reason to increase them. AI optimism has already been priced in, and better-than-expected data is unlikely to drive the stock price higher; instead, it triggers immediate profit-taking as market focus shifts to peak profit margins and the sustainability of technology spending. Gary Tan, portfolio manager at Allspring Global Investments, said: "In a strong memory uptrend, when headline data exceeds expectations, most of the positive impact is already priced into positions and expectations. Better-than-expected earnings may simply confirm existing investor expectations, triggering profit-taking rather than further gains."Indian government officials said India will supply Indonesia with BrahMos cruise missile systems and Astra air-to-air missiles.Japans May coincident economic index rose 0.4% month-on-month, down from 1.3% in the previous month.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

 EUR:USD.png

 

Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


Suggestion