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May 9th - The Ministry of Commerce will hold a special press conference on the APEC Trade Ministers Meeting at 15:00 on Saturday, May 9th, 2026, in the Ministrys press conference hall.On May 9th, it was reported that on May 8th, Ling Ji, Vice Minister of Commerce and Deputy Representative for International Trade Negotiations, met with Doumont, Director-General of the Treasury of the French Ministry of Economy, Finance and Industry, Energy and Digital Sovereignty. The two sides exchanged views on Sino-French and Sino-EU economic and trade relations. Ling Ji stated that under the strategic guidance of the two heads of state, Sino-French economic and trade cooperation has been continuously deepening, with diversified development in trade and investment. China is willing to work with France to implement the Memorandum of Understanding on Strengthening Sino-French Bilateral Investment, providing an open, fair, and non-discriminatory business environment for investment cooperation between enterprises of both sides. China is highly concerned about the series of foreign subsidy investigations launched by the EU against Chinese enterprises investment and trade, as well as the recently released draft amendments to the Industrial Accelerator Act and the Cybersecurity Act, among other trade and economic restrictive tools. China believes these constitute trade and investment barriers and institutional discrimination, which will seriously affect normal Sino-EU economic and trade cooperation and the stability of global supply chains. China hopes that France will play a positive role in promoting open markets within the EU and properly resolving Sino-EU economic and trade differences and frictions through dialogue and consultation.On May 9th, Futures News reported that from a macroeconomic perspective, Trumps primary objectives are to secure low-priced Middle Eastern oil, curb Irans nuclear program, and expand the dollars dominance in oil settlements, rather than perpetuating an energy price crisis. The likelihood of a macroeconomic upside is relatively high, but further analysis is needed. If the escalation of the US-Iran situation leads to a continued surge in oil prices and stagflation, the market will price gold as an inflation hedge and safe haven, thus boosting silver. However, weakness in the industrial sector will drag down silver, limiting its upside potential or causing a pullback. Conversely, if the Middle East situation does not lead to stagflation, and the Federal Reserve begins raising interest rates to mitigate inflation risks, silver will be under pressure. If US-Iran relations ease and the Strait of Hormuz resumes normal navigation, oil prices may fall significantly, and the market may price in a Fed rate cut this year, leading to an upward correction in silver prices. Overall, looking ahead to the second quarter, given the possibility of a breakthrough in the Middle East situation, the logic of a Fed rate hike this year may be disproven. Coupled with the supply and demand situation of regional market differentiation but persistent overall deficits, silver prices are likely to continue their moderate rise.On May 9th, NIO posted on social media to refute rumors that it had been summoned for questioning, stating that they were pure fabrication.On May 9th, JiKrs legal department posted on social media that they have recently noticed a group of social media accounts maliciously spreading information such as "eight new energy vehicle companies were summoned for talks," and using AI software to fabricate false information that JiKr had been "summoned for talks," which has greatly damaged JiKrs brand reputation. JiKr has not received any such "summoning" information. Regarding these malicious attacks and defamation, we have collected and secured evidence and will protect our rights in accordance with the law.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

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Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


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