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According to Israeli media reports, the massive explosion near Beit Shemesh, Israel, was a controlled industrial blast, with no casualties or property damage.May 17th - According to a report in the British newspaper *The Sun* on Saturday evening, British Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves plans to announce next week that she will postpone the planned fuel tax increase originally scheduled for September. The temporary fuel tax reduction measure, which began in 2022, was originally scheduled to expire this September. If the measure expires, fuel prices will rise by 5 pence (approximately 6.6 US cents) per liter. However, the British government has previously extended this tax reduction measure several times, most recently in the annual budget last November. *The Sun* reports that Reeves is preparing to extend the measure again.On May 17, US President Trump posted an AI-generated image on social media. In the image, Trump and a general are standing on a warship, while small boats and ships flying the Iranian flag are nearby. The caption reads, "This is the calm before the storm."Dutch Prime Minister: ASML (ASML.O) and Tata Electronics have also jointly signed a statement, which is an important step toward closer cooperation in the semiconductor field.On May 17, according to the Israeli newspaper Haaretz, the Israeli military stated that a soldier was killed in combat operations in southern Lebanon. This soldiers death brings the total number of soldiers killed since the resumption of fighting with Hezbollah in early March to 21.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

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Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


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