EUR/USD 1.17130
-0.066%
Gold 4687.16
-1.119%
Oil 94.553
3.582%
USD/JPY 159.512
0.129%
GBP/USD 1.35178
-0.115%
GBP/JPY 215.627
-0.050%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
According to Futures News on April 27, crude oil prices remain supported, but end-user demand is insufficient, coupled with weak refined oil prices. The PX market is expected to rise today, but the increase will be limited.On April 27th, according to foreign media reports, multiple positive factors supported a firm global corn market price trend. 1. Demand: US corn export sales for the 2025/26 marketing year reached 74.1 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 28%, reaching 88% of the USDAs annual target, higher than the historical average of 84%. 2. Supply: Brazils second-season corn production is estimated at 109.12 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.6%. Weather forecasts indicate that drought will continue in Brazils central-western and southeastern regions for the next two weeks, potentially affecting the growth of second-season corn during the pollination period. 3. Planting progress: As of April 19th, US corn planting was 11% complete, higher than the five-year average of 9%. The market expects planting progress to reach 20% to 22% by the week ending April 26th, but rainy weather in the eastern corn belt is drawing market attention. 4. Energy and External Impacts: Due to the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz, Brent crude oil futures were at $105.33 per barrel, up 16.54% week-on-week. Soaring energy prices and escalating tensions in the Middle East exacerbated volatility in the corn market. 5. Production Forecast: The International Grains Council (IGC) lowered its 2026/27 global corn production forecast by 2.9 million tons to 1.2999 billion tons, and its global ending stocks forecast by 2.4 million tons to 291.5 million tons.Futures News, April 27th - According to foreign media reports, Malaysian crude palm oil futures on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange (BMD) are likely to open higher on Monday morning, following gains in external markets. Escalating tensions in the Middle East have fueled a strong rebound in international crude oil futures, coupled with strength in Chicago soybean oil futures, which will likely support the early performance of Malaysian crude palm oil futures. Plans by Malaysia and Indonesia to increase the blending ratio of palm oil-based biodiesel will boost domestic palm oil demand in both countries, potentially leading to tighter export supplies and supporting prices. However, weak palm oil exports so far in April will limit the upside potential of the palm oil market.1. International precious metals futures generally closed higher. COMEX gold futures rose 0.03% to $4725.40 per ounce, down 3.16% for the week; COMEX silver futures rose 0.24% to $75.69 per ounce, down 7.52% for the week. The conclusion of the US Department of Justices investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Powell boosted expectations of interest rate hikes, supporting gold prices. However, hawkish policy expectations, coupled with geopolitical and economic disturbances, led to profit-taking, resulting in only a slight increase in gold prices. 2. The main US crude oil contract closed down 1.01% at $94.88 per barrel, up 14.88% for the week; the main Brent crude oil contract rose 0.79% to $105.9 per barrel, up 17.17% for the week. 3. Most London base metals rose. LME nickel rose 2.07% to $19,125.0/ton, a weekly increase of 5.56%; LME lead rose 0.31% to $1,960.5/ton, a weekly decrease of 0.08%; LME zinc rose 0.28% to $3,462.5/ton, a weekly increase of 0.48%; LME tin rose 0.26% to $50,345.0/ton, a weekly decrease of 0.69%; LME copper fell 0.50% to $13,289.0/ton, a weekly decrease of 0.43%; and LME aluminum fell 0.80% to $3,591.0/ton, a weekly increase of 0.74%. 4. The three major U.S. stock indexes closed mixed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.16% to 49,230.71 points, the S&P 500 rose 0.8% to 7,165.08 points, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.63% to 24,836.6 points. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both hit new highs. Merck fell more than 2%, and Verizon fell more than 1%, leading the Dows decline. The Wind U.S. Technology Big Seven Index rose 2%, Nvidia rose more than 4%, and Amazon rose more than 3%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose 1.59%, Hesai Technology rose more than 6%, and Baidu Group rose nearly 6%. This week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.44%, the S&P 500 rose 0.55%, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.5%. 5. European stock markets closed lower across the board. Germanys DAX index fell 0.11% to 24,128.98 points, Frances CAC40 index fell 0.84% to 8,157.82 points, and the UKs FTSE 100 index fell 0.75% to 10,379.08 points. The uncertain future of the US-Iran ceasefire agreement and the continued US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz weighed on European market sentiment. This week, Germanys DAX index fell 2.32%, Frances CAC40 index fell 3.17%, and the UKs FTSE 100 index fell 2.7%.Investinglive analyst Eamonn Sheridan: As of the episodes aired so far, Trump has not mentioned Iran in his CBS interview.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

 EUR:USD.png

 

Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


Suggestion