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On August 15th, a 5.0 magnitude earthquake struck Granada province in southern Spain. Local authorities stated that no casualties have been reported. The Andalusian regional government has activated its emergency response plans early warning phase to prepare for potential secondary disasters and aftershocks. Previously, strong tremors were felt in the affected area and surrounding provinces, prompting some residents to evacuate outdoors. Emergency services subsequently received multiple reports of minor cracks in buildings and falling debris, and safety inspections and damage assessments were rapidly launched after the earthquake.Irans Communications Minister: More than 500 telecommunications sites were attacked during the war, and some facilities were hit again after being repaired and service restored.On August 15th, it was announced that the 16th issue of Qiushi magazine, to be published on August 16th, will carry an important article by Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee, President of the Peoples Republic of China, and Chairman of the Central Military Commission, entitled "Improving Disaster Prevention, Mitigation, and Relief Capabilities." The article emphasizes that my country has a vast territory, complex geography, and diverse climate, making it prone to frequent natural disasters. Since the 18th CPC National Congress, the CPC Central Committee has consistently treated disaster prevention, mitigation, and relief as a major issue concerning the safety of the people and national security, making numerous deployments in areas such as conceptual transformation, institutional reform, system construction, and capacity building. It has led the vast number of cadres and the masses to overcome a series of major natural disasters, minimizing casualties and property losses to the greatest extent possible, with achievements recognized worldwide. To effectively carry out disaster prevention, mitigation, and relief work, it is essential to uphold the Partys overall leadership, adhere to the principle of putting people and their lives first, respect the laws of nature, prioritize prevention, persist in reform and innovation, maintain a systematic approach, and uphold social co-governance. These valuable experiences must be upheld and effectively utilized, and continuously enriched and developed in light of new realities.August 15th - According to the Ministry of Emergency Management, affected by Typhoon Dolphin (No. 13 of this year) and recent heavy rainfall, Taihu Lake has experienced significant basin-wide flooding. It is predicted that the water level of Taihu Lake will continue to rise slowly in the later period. From August 15th to 16th, parts of eastern and southern Zhejiang Province will experience heavy rain, with some areas experiencing torrential rain. In accordance with the "National Flood and Drought Relief Emergency Plan" and relevant regulations, the State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters and the Ministry of Emergency Management decided to upgrade the flood control emergency response for Jiangsu Province from Level IV to Level III at 12:00 on August 15th, and activate a Level IV flood control emergency response for Zhejiang Province.On August 15th, Mexican President Jacques Sinbaum stated at a morning press conference on August 14th that the US decision to revoke the visa of the son of former Mexican President López Obrador was politically motivated and constituted interference in Mexicos internal affairs. Sinbaum emphasized that Mexico must remain steadfast in the face of such events, and that Mexico and the US should maintain a mutually respectful bilateral relationship. In fact, the US revoked the visas of at least six Mexican ruling party officials in 2026 alone. Simultaneously, citing involvement in drug trafficking to the US, the US requested the extradition of four current governors, mayors, and members of parliament, as well as six former officials, to the US for trial. The Mexican government rejected the US request, citing insufficient evidence from the US.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

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Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


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