EUR/USD 1.17858
0.110%
Gold 5096.86
2.005%
Oil 66.320
-0.480%
USD/JPY 155.059
0.041%
GBP/USD 1.34890
0.196%
GBP/JPY 209.162
0.248%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
February 22nd - According to foreign media analysis, Nvidia has played a key role in driving the stock market to record highs for years. However, with growing skepticism about artificial intelligence, Wall Street is increasingly worried that the chip giants earnings report next week, regardless of the outcome, will depress its stock price. Nvidias stock price has been trading sideways for months, a significant setback for a company that was recently a leading index performer and achieved triple-digit year-over-year gains. Investors expect Nvidias earnings next week to exceed Wall Street expectations and raise forecasts for the next few quarters. But this may not be enough to boost the stock price. Meanwhile, if Nvidias performance fails to quell investor anxiety about artificial intelligence, it could lead to greater volatility in AI-related stocks and the broader market.February 22 - Libyas state-owned Arabian Gulf Oil Company (AGOCO) announced on Sunday that the Sinawan oil field in the Nalut region of western Libya has resumed production. The field had been shut down for over three years due to financial and technical problems. Under normal operating conditions, the field can produce up to 20,000 barrels of oil per day.February 22 – According to AXIOS, a senior U.S. official said on Sunday that if U.S. negotiators receive a detailed nuclear agreement proposal from Iran within the next 48 hours, they are prepared to hold a new round of talks with Iran in Geneva on Friday. The U.S. official stated that the current diplomatic efforts may be the last chance President Trump is giving Iran before launching a large-scale U.S.-Israel joint military operation (potentially targeting Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei). The senior U.S. official indicated that the Trump administration is awaiting Irans proposal.U.S. Trade Representative Greer: We will continue the trade investigation so that we can impose tariffs.U.S. Trade Representative Greer: We will explore policy continuity issues after the tariffs imposed under Section 122 expire.

As investors wait for US/Canada employment data, the USD/CAD trading range is limited to 40 pips

Daniel Rogers

Apr 06, 2023 13:36

 USD:CAD.png

 

The USD/CAD pair retraced below 1.3450 in the early Asian session as the US Dollar Index (DXY) lost upside momentum after reaching the key resistance level of 102.00. As investors anticipate the release of the United States/Canada Employment data, the Canadian dollar is expected to deliver a dazzling performance.

 

As a consequence of a decline in Job Openings and sluggish additions of new positions, as measured by Automatic Data Processing, firms have slackened recruitment efforts, thereby alleviating the tight US labor market. (ADP). This has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates unchanged at its May meeting.

 

In the interim, S&P500 futures have resumed their downward trend, indicating a cautious market sentiment.

 

Employment data will influence the Canadian Dollar. The consensus estimate for Net Change in Employment is 12K, which is a decrease from the previous release of 21.8K. The estimated unemployment rate is 5.1%, up from 5.0% previously.

 

The USD/CAD exchange rate is exhibiting an Inverted Flag pattern on an hourly time frame. The Inverted Flag is a trend-following pattern that consists of a protracted consolidation followed by a decline. Participants prefer to enter an auction after a bearish bias has been established, and current vendors increase their position size during the consolidation phase of a chart pattern.

 

The Canadian dollar was unable to maintain a position above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3458, indicating that further declines are imminent.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has an upper limit of 60.00. A violation of the unfavorable 20.00-40.00 range will trigger downward momentum.

 

A break below the low of April 04, 1.3406, would expose the asset to a fresh six-week low around 1.3350, the low of February 6 followed by round-number support at 1.3300.

 

In an alternative scenario, a move above the psychological resistance of 1.3500 would lend momentum to US Dollar supporters, propelling the asset toward the 31- and 29-March highs of 1.3559 and 1.3619, respectively.


Suggestion