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On March 29th, it was learned from the Beijing Financial Regulatory Bureau that Beijing has taken the lead nationwide in launching the development and application of commercial insurance products for intelligent connected new energy vehicles. The new products largely follow the existing new energy commercial vehicle insurance system, adhering to the principle of "overall stability with partial optimization." They primarily provide risk protection for specific intelligent driving scenarios and software/hardware losses that are of concern to consumers and automakers, and can be uniformly adapted to all levels of intelligent connected new energy vehicles from L2 to L4. For example, existing car insurance products mainly define drivers based on the basic scenario of "human driving," which is not fully applicable to L3 and L4 level "human-machine co-driving" or "machine driving" scenarios. Furthermore, for L2 level assisted driving vehicles, some consumers upgrade their assisted driving systems at their own expense after purchasing a new car, but existing car insurance products do not cover this portion of the loss, requiring further optimization.According to Iranian state media, Iranian Parliament Speaker Qaribaf stated that the United States talks about negotiations in public but is secretly planning a ground offensive.On March 29, local time, a U.S. military KC-135R aerial refueling tanker encountered an emergency during a mission and was forced to return to Tel Aviv, Israel.The Israel Defense Forces have detected another ballistic missile launch by Iran. Alarms are expected to sound in southern Israel within the next few minutes.On March 29, South Korean Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance and Economy Koo Yoon-cheol stated that if international oil prices rise to $120 to $130 per barrel, the government is likely to activate a Level 3 resource security crisis alert, and the vehicle license plate number restriction measures will be expanded to include the private sector.

As investors wait for US/Canada employment data, the USD/CAD trading range is limited to 40 pips

Daniel Rogers

Apr 06, 2023 13:36

 USD:CAD.png

 

The USD/CAD pair retraced below 1.3450 in the early Asian session as the US Dollar Index (DXY) lost upside momentum after reaching the key resistance level of 102.00. As investors anticipate the release of the United States/Canada Employment data, the Canadian dollar is expected to deliver a dazzling performance.

 

As a consequence of a decline in Job Openings and sluggish additions of new positions, as measured by Automatic Data Processing, firms have slackened recruitment efforts, thereby alleviating the tight US labor market. (ADP). This has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates unchanged at its May meeting.

 

In the interim, S&P500 futures have resumed their downward trend, indicating a cautious market sentiment.

 

Employment data will influence the Canadian Dollar. The consensus estimate for Net Change in Employment is 12K, which is a decrease from the previous release of 21.8K. The estimated unemployment rate is 5.1%, up from 5.0% previously.

 

The USD/CAD exchange rate is exhibiting an Inverted Flag pattern on an hourly time frame. The Inverted Flag is a trend-following pattern that consists of a protracted consolidation followed by a decline. Participants prefer to enter an auction after a bearish bias has been established, and current vendors increase their position size during the consolidation phase of a chart pattern.

 

The Canadian dollar was unable to maintain a position above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3458, indicating that further declines are imminent.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has an upper limit of 60.00. A violation of the unfavorable 20.00-40.00 range will trigger downward momentum.

 

A break below the low of April 04, 1.3406, would expose the asset to a fresh six-week low around 1.3350, the low of February 6 followed by round-number support at 1.3300.

 

In an alternative scenario, a move above the psychological resistance of 1.3500 would lend momentum to US Dollar supporters, propelling the asset toward the 31- and 29-March highs of 1.3559 and 1.3619, respectively.


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