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According to AXIOS: OpenAI is in advanced talks to purchase electricity from Helion Energy, a nuclear fusion startup backed by Sam Altman.On March 23, the UK gilt market suffered a sharp decline on Monday as markets anticipated the Bank of England would have to raise interest rates four times this year to combat soaring energy prices. In the morning, the yield on 10-year UK gilts rose 0.06 percentage points to 5.05%, keeping borrowing costs at their highest level since 2008. Since the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East, the yield on 10-year UK gilts has risen 0.8 percentage points, putting UK gilts on track for their worst month since the 2022 “mini-budget” crisis. The surge in energy prices has fueled concerns that the UK may be heading into stagflation. Derek Halpenny, head of global markets research for Europe, the Middle East and Africa at MUFG, said, “The UK gilt market looks a bit overdone.” He also noted that market expectations for four rate hikes were “exaggerated.” The chief investment officer of Aegon Asset Management stated, “UK gilts are suffering from the combined effects of stagflation, fiscal instability and unfavorable market positioning – a truly frightening combination.”On March 23, local time, Alexander Drozdenko, governor of Leningrad Oblast, Russia, said on social media that an oil depot at the port of Primorsk in Leningrad Oblast was attacked by a drone and caught fire in the early hours of the day. Workers were evacuated, and the fire is still burning. Drozdenko said that more than 60 drones have been destroyed in the skies over Leningrad Oblast in less than a day. The press office of Pulkovo Airport in St. Petersburg reported that 62 flights were canceled and 80 flights were delayed due to the drone attack threat. Takeoffs and landings gradually resumed from 9:00 AM local time on March 23. The Russian Federal Aviation Administration stated that it will continue to monitor the situation at airports in northwestern Russia to ensure flight safety.March 23 - United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby stated that the companys worst-case scenario is that oil prices rise to $175 per barrel and do not fall back below $100 by the end of next year. High oil prices could lead to a reduction in air capacity, and several airlines have already begun cutting flight frequencies.On March 23, according to Qichacha APP, Zhiyuan Innovation (Shanghai) Technology Co., Ltd. recently successfully registered the trademark "Zhiyuan Kootop," with international classifications including scientific instruments, mechanical equipment, and design research. Media reports also indicate that on March 23, Zhiyuan Robotics released the Zhiyuan Kootop D1MAX, an industry-leading quadruped robot. The Zhiyuan Kootop D1MAX reportedly boasts a 30km range, IP67 protection, a 30kg payload capacity, a speed of 8m/s, and a 30km range for traversing extreme terrain, making it suitable for applications in security, inspection, emergency response, firefighting, and logistics.

As investors wait for US/Canada employment data, the USD/CAD trading range is limited to 40 pips

Daniel Rogers

Apr 06, 2023 13:36

 USD:CAD.png

 

The USD/CAD pair retraced below 1.3450 in the early Asian session as the US Dollar Index (DXY) lost upside momentum after reaching the key resistance level of 102.00. As investors anticipate the release of the United States/Canada Employment data, the Canadian dollar is expected to deliver a dazzling performance.

 

As a consequence of a decline in Job Openings and sluggish additions of new positions, as measured by Automatic Data Processing, firms have slackened recruitment efforts, thereby alleviating the tight US labor market. (ADP). This has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates unchanged at its May meeting.

 

In the interim, S&P500 futures have resumed their downward trend, indicating a cautious market sentiment.

 

Employment data will influence the Canadian Dollar. The consensus estimate for Net Change in Employment is 12K, which is a decrease from the previous release of 21.8K. The estimated unemployment rate is 5.1%, up from 5.0% previously.

 

The USD/CAD exchange rate is exhibiting an Inverted Flag pattern on an hourly time frame. The Inverted Flag is a trend-following pattern that consists of a protracted consolidation followed by a decline. Participants prefer to enter an auction after a bearish bias has been established, and current vendors increase their position size during the consolidation phase of a chart pattern.

 

The Canadian dollar was unable to maintain a position above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3458, indicating that further declines are imminent.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has an upper limit of 60.00. A violation of the unfavorable 20.00-40.00 range will trigger downward momentum.

 

A break below the low of April 04, 1.3406, would expose the asset to a fresh six-week low around 1.3350, the low of February 6 followed by round-number support at 1.3300.

 

In an alternative scenario, a move above the psychological resistance of 1.3500 would lend momentum to US Dollar supporters, propelling the asset toward the 31- and 29-March highs of 1.3559 and 1.3619, respectively.


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