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On September 15th, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that in August, the year-on-year decline in new residential property prices in first-tier cities was 0.9%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month. Specifically, prices in Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen fell by 2.3%, 1.9%, and 2.3% respectively, while Shanghai saw an increase of 3.0%. In second- and third-tier cities, the year-on-year declines in new residential property prices were 2.7% and 4.1% respectively, both narrowing by 0.1 percentage points. In August, the year-on-year decline in existing residential property prices in first-tier cities was 2.7%, a decrease of 1.0 percentage point compared to the previous month. Specifically, prices in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen fell by 3.5%, 0.8%, 3.8%, and 2.7% respectively. In second- and third-tier cities, the year-on-year declines in existing residential property prices were 4.9% and 5.6% respectively, both narrowing by 0.2 percentage points.New Residential Housing Prices: 1. Beijing: August new residential housing prices -0.2% month-on-month (previous value -0.3%), -2.3% year-on-year (previous value -2.3%). 2. Shanghai: August new residential housing prices +0.4% month-on-month (previous value +0.2%), +3.0% year-on-year (previous value +3.0%). 3. Guangzhou: August new residential housing prices +0.1% month-on-month (previous value +0.1%), -1.9% year-on-year (previous value -2.2%). 4. Shenzhen: August new residential housing prices +0.2% month-on-month (previous value +0.2%), -2.3% year-on-year (previous value -2.9%). Second-hand Residential Housing Prices: 1. Beijing: August second-hand residential housing prices -0.1% month-on-month (previous value 0.0%), -3.5% year-on-year (previous value -4.5%). 2. Shanghais existing home prices in August increased by 0.3% month-on-month (previous value +0.3%) and decreased by 0.8% year-on-year (previous value -2.0%). 3. Guangzhous existing home prices in August remained unchanged month-on-month (previous value +0.4%) and decreased by 3.8% year-on-year (previous value -4.7%). 4. Shenzhens existing home prices in August increased by 0.1% month-on-month (previous value +0.2%) and decreased by 2.7% year-on-year (previous value -3.6%).National Bureau of Statistics: Beijings second-hand housing prices in August decreased by 0.1% month-on-month (previous value +0%) and decreased by 3.5% year-on-year (previous value -4.5%).According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the price of second-hand residential properties in Shenzhen rose 0.1% month-on-month in August (up 0.2% in the previous month) and fell 2.7% year-on-year (down 3.6% in the previous month).September 15th - The 2026 China Carbon Market Conference was held in Wuhan, Hubei Province this morning, and the "National Carbon Market Development Report (2026)" was released at the conference. Reporters learned that as of the end of August, the national carbon emission trading market had accumulated transactions exceeding 900 million tons, with a transaction value exceeding 60 billion yuan. The national carbon market has grown from nothing to a significant stage, playing a crucial role in promoting the achievement of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.

As investors wait for US/Canada employment data, the USD/CAD trading range is limited to 40 pips

Daniel Rogers

Apr 06, 2023 13:36

 USD:CAD.png

 

The USD/CAD pair retraced below 1.3450 in the early Asian session as the US Dollar Index (DXY) lost upside momentum after reaching the key resistance level of 102.00. As investors anticipate the release of the United States/Canada Employment data, the Canadian dollar is expected to deliver a dazzling performance.

 

As a consequence of a decline in Job Openings and sluggish additions of new positions, as measured by Automatic Data Processing, firms have slackened recruitment efforts, thereby alleviating the tight US labor market. (ADP). This has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates unchanged at its May meeting.

 

In the interim, S&P500 futures have resumed their downward trend, indicating a cautious market sentiment.

 

Employment data will influence the Canadian Dollar. The consensus estimate for Net Change in Employment is 12K, which is a decrease from the previous release of 21.8K. The estimated unemployment rate is 5.1%, up from 5.0% previously.

 

The USD/CAD exchange rate is exhibiting an Inverted Flag pattern on an hourly time frame. The Inverted Flag is a trend-following pattern that consists of a protracted consolidation followed by a decline. Participants prefer to enter an auction after a bearish bias has been established, and current vendors increase their position size during the consolidation phase of a chart pattern.

 

The Canadian dollar was unable to maintain a position above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3458, indicating that further declines are imminent.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has an upper limit of 60.00. A violation of the unfavorable 20.00-40.00 range will trigger downward momentum.

 

A break below the low of April 04, 1.3406, would expose the asset to a fresh six-week low around 1.3350, the low of February 6 followed by round-number support at 1.3300.

 

In an alternative scenario, a move above the psychological resistance of 1.3500 would lend momentum to US Dollar supporters, propelling the asset toward the 31- and 29-March highs of 1.3559 and 1.3619, respectively.


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