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On September 19th, it was reported that the Beijing Municipal Administration for Market Regulation, based on the work deployment of the State Administration for Market Regulation and preliminary investigations, has initiated investigations into four online hotel and travel booking platforms for suspected illegal activities. In response, Meituan issued a statement saying that its online hotel booking platform, Meituan Travel, and others received notification from the Beijing Municipal Administration for Market Regulation that the authorities are investigating these companies for suspected violations of market supervision laws and regulations. Meituan Travel will actively cooperate with the regulatory authorities investigation, fully implement regulatory requirements, and work with all parties in the industry to build a sustainable market environment.September 19th - From the evening of September 18th to the early morning of September 19th, the Saudi Civil Defense issued a series of security alerts covering areas including Riyadh, Jeddah, Khaliq, Abha, Al-Ulah, Jizan, Yanbu, Khamis Mushait, Taif, and the Firasan Islands, with explosions reported in multiple locations. The Chinese Embassy and Consulates in Saudi Arabia reiterate their reminder to Chinese-funded institutions and citizens in Saudi Arabia to strengthen their security precautions and to take immediate evacuation measures as required by the alerts. Do not photograph military operations or spread unverified information. Passengers with air travel plans should maintain close contact with their airlines to avoid disruptions to their travel plans. In case of emergency, please contact the police immediately and the Chinese Embassy or Consulates in Saudi Arabia.On September 19th, the German government announced on the 18th that it had reached an agreement with the federal states on a package of tax relief measures, including a new round of fuel tax cuts and a fuel price cap, to alleviate the pressure on residents and businesses caused by persistently high fuel prices. According to the plan, the German government will reduce the energy tax, resulting in an actual reduction of approximately 17 euro cents per liter for gasoline and diesel. The measures are scheduled to be implemented by October 1st and will continue until the end of this year, with a total tax reduction of approximately 2.5 billion euros. This fuel tax cut is similar to the temporary measures implemented in May and June this year, which were expected to reduce tax revenue by 1.6 billion euros this year.On September 19th, Li Xunlei, Chief Economist of Zhongtai International, stated at the Tsinghua PBC School of Finance Chief Economist Forum that global economic imbalances are difficult to avoid; imbalance is the norm, and balance is temporary. Over time, any system will inevitably lead to imbalances; no system is perfect, therefore continuous reform and adjustment are necessary. Currently, in my countrys dual circulation economic model, the international circulation is relatively smooth, but the domestic circulation is not, and the latter is a problem that urgently needs to be addressed. Regarding smoothing the domestic circulation, Li Xunlei suggested promoting fiscal and tax reforms to increase the central governments financial resources. "Facts have shown that over the years, the efficiency of local government debt has been low. my countrys institutional advantages have not been well reflected in the fiscal and tax field. Promoting fiscal and tax reforms can greatly enhance fiscal support for investment and consumption," Li Xunlei said.Saudi Arabias Civil Defense Ministry announced that the alert for the Riyadh and Khairji areas has been lifted.

As investors wait for US/Canada employment data, the USD/CAD trading range is limited to 40 pips

Daniel Rogers

Apr 06, 2023 13:36

 USD:CAD.png

 

The USD/CAD pair retraced below 1.3450 in the early Asian session as the US Dollar Index (DXY) lost upside momentum after reaching the key resistance level of 102.00. As investors anticipate the release of the United States/Canada Employment data, the Canadian dollar is expected to deliver a dazzling performance.

 

As a consequence of a decline in Job Openings and sluggish additions of new positions, as measured by Automatic Data Processing, firms have slackened recruitment efforts, thereby alleviating the tight US labor market. (ADP). This has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates unchanged at its May meeting.

 

In the interim, S&P500 futures have resumed their downward trend, indicating a cautious market sentiment.

 

Employment data will influence the Canadian Dollar. The consensus estimate for Net Change in Employment is 12K, which is a decrease from the previous release of 21.8K. The estimated unemployment rate is 5.1%, up from 5.0% previously.

 

The USD/CAD exchange rate is exhibiting an Inverted Flag pattern on an hourly time frame. The Inverted Flag is a trend-following pattern that consists of a protracted consolidation followed by a decline. Participants prefer to enter an auction after a bearish bias has been established, and current vendors increase their position size during the consolidation phase of a chart pattern.

 

The Canadian dollar was unable to maintain a position above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3458, indicating that further declines are imminent.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has an upper limit of 60.00. A violation of the unfavorable 20.00-40.00 range will trigger downward momentum.

 

A break below the low of April 04, 1.3406, would expose the asset to a fresh six-week low around 1.3350, the low of February 6 followed by round-number support at 1.3300.

 

In an alternative scenario, a move above the psychological resistance of 1.3500 would lend momentum to US Dollar supporters, propelling the asset toward the 31- and 29-March highs of 1.3559 and 1.3619, respectively.