EUR/USD 1.15962
-0.133%
Gold 5160.84
1.424%
Oil 74.835
0.742%
USD/JPY 157.414
-0.173%
GBP/USD 1.33207
-0.266%
GBP/JPY 209.691
-0.421%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
March 4th - Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated on Wednesday that a significant increase in wage levels is needed for Japan to sustainably achieve its 2% inflation target. Speaking in parliament, Ueda said, "The Bank of Japan cannot exert a strong influence on real wage growth," which depends primarily on medium- to long-term labor productivity. He added, "However, we will implement monetary policy to ensure that Japan sustainably and stably achieves its inflation target while wages grow."Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: If the economic and price trends are in line with our forecasts, we will continue to raise interest rates.Japans household consumer confidence index for February was 40, below the expected 38.2 and the previous reading of 37.9.March 4th - Since the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East this week, the yen has continued to weaken, deviating from its traditional safe-haven asset role, and Tokyo traders are preparing for possible government intervention. The yen has depreciated by about 1% since last Friday, to 157.2 yen to the dollar. Traders say this contrasts sharply with previous periods of geopolitical tension. Neil Newman, Japan strategist at Astris Advisory, said, "The yen is no longer a safe-haven asset. Companies stopped doing so about four years ago. They are now under pressure to the opposite, encouraged to invest overseas, and are still doing so on a large scale. In Japans current economic environment, there is no incentive to repatriate funds." Analysts say the yens unexpected weakness highlights structural changes and vulnerabilities in the Japanese economy. The market has been assessing the impact of Sanae Takashis expanded fiscal spending plan and her opposition to further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. Tai Hui, chief market strategist for Asia Pacific at JPMorgan Asset Management, said increased exchange rate volatility has significantly reduced the yens appeal as a hedging currency. Geopolitical conflicts have also increased Japans exposure to rising energy prices and upside inflation risks.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: (When asked whether Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi expressed reservations about raising interest rates during their meeting in February) The two exchanged general views on economic and price developments.

As investors wait for US/Canada employment data, the USD/CAD trading range is limited to 40 pips

Daniel Rogers

Apr 06, 2023 13:36

 USD:CAD.png

 

The USD/CAD pair retraced below 1.3450 in the early Asian session as the US Dollar Index (DXY) lost upside momentum after reaching the key resistance level of 102.00. As investors anticipate the release of the United States/Canada Employment data, the Canadian dollar is expected to deliver a dazzling performance.

 

As a consequence of a decline in Job Openings and sluggish additions of new positions, as measured by Automatic Data Processing, firms have slackened recruitment efforts, thereby alleviating the tight US labor market. (ADP). This has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates unchanged at its May meeting.

 

In the interim, S&P500 futures have resumed their downward trend, indicating a cautious market sentiment.

 

Employment data will influence the Canadian Dollar. The consensus estimate for Net Change in Employment is 12K, which is a decrease from the previous release of 21.8K. The estimated unemployment rate is 5.1%, up from 5.0% previously.

 

The USD/CAD exchange rate is exhibiting an Inverted Flag pattern on an hourly time frame. The Inverted Flag is a trend-following pattern that consists of a protracted consolidation followed by a decline. Participants prefer to enter an auction after a bearish bias has been established, and current vendors increase their position size during the consolidation phase of a chart pattern.

 

The Canadian dollar was unable to maintain a position above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3458, indicating that further declines are imminent.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has an upper limit of 60.00. A violation of the unfavorable 20.00-40.00 range will trigger downward momentum.

 

A break below the low of April 04, 1.3406, would expose the asset to a fresh six-week low around 1.3350, the low of February 6 followed by round-number support at 1.3300.

 

In an alternative scenario, a move above the psychological resistance of 1.3500 would lend momentum to US Dollar supporters, propelling the asset toward the 31- and 29-March highs of 1.3559 and 1.3619, respectively.


Suggestion