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On August 13th, it was reported that Zhenbao Technology, a listed company in Chinas semiconductor component sector, has invested in and will construct a semiconductor component R&D and production base in Optics Valley. The project has a total investment of 520 million yuan and a construction period of three years. The base will focus on three core product categories: silicon carbide components, high-purity silicon precision components, and aluminum nitride ceramic materials and related components. These are essential consumables for front-end manufacturing processes such as chip etching and thin-film deposition. Once operational, the base will rapidly expand the companys existing production capacity, providing convenient services to wafer manufacturing companies in Central China and shortening delivery cycles.On August 13, according to a report by The Times of Israel on the 12th, a US State Department official criticized Israeli Defense Minister Katz, pointing out that his remarks about "preparing for a long-term occupation of southern Lebanon" contradicted previous commitments made by the Israeli government. Katz reportedly claimed earlier on the 12th in southern Lebanon that "Israeli forces will remain in the security zone of Lebanon, Syria, and Gaza to defend Israel." He also stated that he had instructed the Israeli military to take all necessary measures to prepare for a long-term presence in the region. A US State Department official stated, "The United States expects all parties to act in accordance with the framework agreements they have agreed to, and Israel has made it clear that it has no territorial ambitions in Lebanon. Maintaining a permanent military presence in southern Lebanon is neither in line with the commitments made in that framework agreement nor conducive to long-term peace and security between the two countries." The official emphasized that the United States "fully supports Lebanons territorial integrity and sovereignty."August 13 - According to Russias TASS news agency today (August 13), Russian President Vladimir Putin visited Iturup Island, one of the four islands in the Southern Kuril Islands (known as the "Northern Territories" in Japan). One of the main obstacles preventing Russia and Japan from concluding a peace treaty is the dispute over the ownership of the Southern Kuril Islands.Iraqi Prime Minister: We will never tolerate any party violating our airspace or threatening national security.August 13th - According to foreign media reports, South Korea has raised the ceiling on household debt growth and pledged to increase housing supply in the Seoul metropolitan area, further intensifying efforts to curb the continued rise in the real estate market. Soaring housing prices have gradually become a political burden for President Lee Jae-myung. According to a joint statement released by the South Korean government on Thursday, the government plans to supply more than 230,000 housing units in the Seoul metropolitan area, including 100,000 units to be built in newly designated areas. This is a further increase on top of existing targets. Previously, the South Korean government had set a target to start construction on 1.35 million housing units in the Seoul metropolitan area between 2026 and 2030. The latest measures are a further step up from the supply-side policies announced last September. At that time, a prolonged slump in the construction industry raised concerns that a shortage of new housing supply would continue to drive up housing prices and make it more difficult for young families to afford a home.

As investors wait for US/Canada employment data, the USD/CAD trading range is limited to 40 pips

Daniel Rogers

Apr 06, 2023 13:36

 USD:CAD.png

 

The USD/CAD pair retraced below 1.3450 in the early Asian session as the US Dollar Index (DXY) lost upside momentum after reaching the key resistance level of 102.00. As investors anticipate the release of the United States/Canada Employment data, the Canadian dollar is expected to deliver a dazzling performance.

 

As a consequence of a decline in Job Openings and sluggish additions of new positions, as measured by Automatic Data Processing, firms have slackened recruitment efforts, thereby alleviating the tight US labor market. (ADP). This has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates unchanged at its May meeting.

 

In the interim, S&P500 futures have resumed their downward trend, indicating a cautious market sentiment.

 

Employment data will influence the Canadian Dollar. The consensus estimate for Net Change in Employment is 12K, which is a decrease from the previous release of 21.8K. The estimated unemployment rate is 5.1%, up from 5.0% previously.

 

The USD/CAD exchange rate is exhibiting an Inverted Flag pattern on an hourly time frame. The Inverted Flag is a trend-following pattern that consists of a protracted consolidation followed by a decline. Participants prefer to enter an auction after a bearish bias has been established, and current vendors increase their position size during the consolidation phase of a chart pattern.

 

The Canadian dollar was unable to maintain a position above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3458, indicating that further declines are imminent.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has an upper limit of 60.00. A violation of the unfavorable 20.00-40.00 range will trigger downward momentum.

 

A break below the low of April 04, 1.3406, would expose the asset to a fresh six-week low around 1.3350, the low of February 6 followed by round-number support at 1.3300.

 

In an alternative scenario, a move above the psychological resistance of 1.3500 would lend momentum to US Dollar supporters, propelling the asset toward the 31- and 29-March highs of 1.3559 and 1.3619, respectively.


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