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On April 18, it was learned from the Ministry of Public Security that on April 17, eight departments—the State Taxation Administration, the Ministry of Public Security, the Supreme Peoples Court, the Supreme Peoples Procuratorate, the Peoples Bank of China, the General Administration of Customs, the State Administration for Market Regulation, and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange—held a national meeting in Beijing on April 16 to promote the normalized joint crackdown on tax-related crimes. The meeting discussed and deployed key tasks for the next stage, focusing on promoting the normalized joint crackdown mechanism on tax-related crimes to play a greater role, effectively safeguarding a fair and law-based economic and tax order, and better serving high-quality development. The meeting emphasized that all departments should strengthen the construction of a full-chain, integrated crackdown mechanism from administrative law enforcement to criminal justice; deepen multi-departmental data sharing, information exchange, joint analysis, and coordinated crackdowns; intensify efforts to combat tax-related crimes such as invoice violations, export tax fraud, and fraudulent tax benefits; strengthen case-based tax education and legal interpretation; continuously strengthen warnings and deterrence; and continuously improve the effectiveness of joint punishment, further creating a new situation in the joint crackdown on tax-related crimes by the eight departments.On April 18, Turkish Foreign Minister Fedan stated that Israel uses security as a pretext to seize more land, but true peace requires an end to the use of force against other countries. AFP reported that Fedan, speaking at the Antalya Diplomatic Forum in Turkey, said, "Israel is not pursuing its own security, but more land. The Netanyahu government is using security as a pretext to occupy more land." "Israel has created a false impression internationally, claiming it is acting for its own security. But the facts are very clear, especially in recent years… its aims go far beyond that," Fedan said.U.S. Central Command: Since the blockade began, 23 ships have turned back at the direction of the U.S. military.German Finance Minister: Structural reforms are a certainty.German Finance Minister: Germany has indicated its willingness to cooperate with the Global South on the issue of UN Security Council reform.

As investors wait for US/Canada employment data, the USD/CAD trading range is limited to 40 pips

Daniel Rogers

Apr 06, 2023 13:36

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The USD/CAD pair retraced below 1.3450 in the early Asian session as the US Dollar Index (DXY) lost upside momentum after reaching the key resistance level of 102.00. As investors anticipate the release of the United States/Canada Employment data, the Canadian dollar is expected to deliver a dazzling performance.

 

As a consequence of a decline in Job Openings and sluggish additions of new positions, as measured by Automatic Data Processing, firms have slackened recruitment efforts, thereby alleviating the tight US labor market. (ADP). This has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates unchanged at its May meeting.

 

In the interim, S&P500 futures have resumed their downward trend, indicating a cautious market sentiment.

 

Employment data will influence the Canadian Dollar. The consensus estimate for Net Change in Employment is 12K, which is a decrease from the previous release of 21.8K. The estimated unemployment rate is 5.1%, up from 5.0% previously.

 

The USD/CAD exchange rate is exhibiting an Inverted Flag pattern on an hourly time frame. The Inverted Flag is a trend-following pattern that consists of a protracted consolidation followed by a decline. Participants prefer to enter an auction after a bearish bias has been established, and current vendors increase their position size during the consolidation phase of a chart pattern.

 

The Canadian dollar was unable to maintain a position above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3458, indicating that further declines are imminent.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has an upper limit of 60.00. A violation of the unfavorable 20.00-40.00 range will trigger downward momentum.

 

A break below the low of April 04, 1.3406, would expose the asset to a fresh six-week low around 1.3350, the low of February 6 followed by round-number support at 1.3300.

 

In an alternative scenario, a move above the psychological resistance of 1.3500 would lend momentum to US Dollar supporters, propelling the asset toward the 31- and 29-March highs of 1.3559 and 1.3619, respectively.