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On May 10, according to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), Irans Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary to Armenia, Khalil Sherhrami, emphasized that an agreement is possible if those countries that have illegally invaded Iran return to rational and logical practices in their policies and actions. In an interview with Armenian television on Saturday, Sherhrami stressed that the aggression against Iran by the US and Israeli regimes clearly demonstrates that Iran cannot be forced to surrender or accept extreme demands from either side through military means, pressure, or threats. He stated that Iran is willing to reach an agreement through negotiations, but this requires clear guarantees that the US will adopt rational and logical practices and ensure that it will not launch another military invasion of Iran. He also emphasized that Iran opposes the selective interpretation of international law and will never allow the Iranian nation to be deprived of its right to the peaceful use of nuclear capabilities.On May 10th, the head of the German Airports Association warned that due to the continued shortage of aviation fuel, more flights may be canceled in the future, and airfares may rise further. (Note: The German Airports Association is an industry organization representing the interests of German airport operators.) The German Press Agency (dpa) reported on the 9th that Ralf Bessel, CEO of the association, said in an interview with the German newspaper Die Welt: "We are concerned that more flights will be canceled, especially flights of low-cost carriers and flights to destinations less important to tourism." Bessel predicted that in the best-case scenario, passenger numbers will remain at current levels this year, while "in the worst-case scenario, capacity at some airports will decrease by 10%. If this is extrapolated to all airports, it will affect 20 million passengers."May 10 - According to the European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre, a 5.5-magnitude earthquake struck the coastal region of the Biobío Region in central Chile at 22:34 local time on May 9, with a focal depth of 34.3 kilometers. There are currently no reports of casualties or property damage.Israeli Foreign Minister: Two aid convoy activists have been expelled from Israel today.According to the official measurement of the China Earthquake Networks Center, a 3.2-magnitude earthquake occurred at 11:27 on May 10 in Qinghe County, Altay Prefecture, Xinjiang (45.81 degrees north latitude, 90.16 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 18 kilometers.

As investors wait for US/Canada employment data, the USD/CAD trading range is limited to 40 pips

Daniel Rogers

Apr 06, 2023 13:36

 USD:CAD.png

 

The USD/CAD pair retraced below 1.3450 in the early Asian session as the US Dollar Index (DXY) lost upside momentum after reaching the key resistance level of 102.00. As investors anticipate the release of the United States/Canada Employment data, the Canadian dollar is expected to deliver a dazzling performance.

 

As a consequence of a decline in Job Openings and sluggish additions of new positions, as measured by Automatic Data Processing, firms have slackened recruitment efforts, thereby alleviating the tight US labor market. (ADP). This has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates unchanged at its May meeting.

 

In the interim, S&P500 futures have resumed their downward trend, indicating a cautious market sentiment.

 

Employment data will influence the Canadian Dollar. The consensus estimate for Net Change in Employment is 12K, which is a decrease from the previous release of 21.8K. The estimated unemployment rate is 5.1%, up from 5.0% previously.

 

The USD/CAD exchange rate is exhibiting an Inverted Flag pattern on an hourly time frame. The Inverted Flag is a trend-following pattern that consists of a protracted consolidation followed by a decline. Participants prefer to enter an auction after a bearish bias has been established, and current vendors increase their position size during the consolidation phase of a chart pattern.

 

The Canadian dollar was unable to maintain a position above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3458, indicating that further declines are imminent.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has an upper limit of 60.00. A violation of the unfavorable 20.00-40.00 range will trigger downward momentum.

 

A break below the low of April 04, 1.3406, would expose the asset to a fresh six-week low around 1.3350, the low of February 6 followed by round-number support at 1.3300.

 

In an alternative scenario, a move above the psychological resistance of 1.3500 would lend momentum to US Dollar supporters, propelling the asset toward the 31- and 29-March highs of 1.3559 and 1.3619, respectively.


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