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September 18 – According to the Associated Press, the U.S. State Department confirmed that it has approved Iranian President Peshizian and Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi, along with other senior officials, to travel to New York for next weeks high-level meeting of the United Nations General Assembly. The State Department stated that the Iranian "core delegation" and essential personnel will be allowed to attend the General Assembly activities, but will be subject to travel restrictions and will be prohibited from purchasing luxury goods and other restricted items in accordance with U.S. policy. The U.S. stated that this years Iranian delegation is smaller than last years. This decision was made against the backdrop of the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, which has lasted for more than six months. Currently, there has been no significant progress between the two sides on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and resuming negotiations on the Iranian nuclear issue. As the host country of the United Nations, the United States is usually bound by obligations to the host country and finds it difficult to prevent foreign leaders from attending the General Assembly. Previously, the United States has also issued limited visas to representatives of countries involved in conflicts and imposed restrictions on their activities. This decision to approve the Iranian delegations visas comes just one day after the U.S. refused to allow Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas and his delegation to the General Assembly.A U.S. State Department spokesperson said that the core delegation of the Iranian regime will be able to attend the high-level week of the UN General Assembly.U.S. State Department: Washington has issued visas to Iran to attend a United Nations meeting.Houthi rebels in Yemen: In the past 24 hours, the Saudi Air Force launched 37 airstrikes on Taiz and Hodeidah provinces in Yemen, using F-15 fighter jets that took off from Khamis Mushait Air Base, causing civilian casualties.ExxonMobil (XOM.N): A power outage occurred at its refinery in Joliet, Illinois. Flooding caused the pumping stations at the Joliet refinery to be submerged.

As investors wait for US/Canada employment data, the USD/CAD trading range is limited to 40 pips

Daniel Rogers

Apr 06, 2023 13:36

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The USD/CAD pair retraced below 1.3450 in the early Asian session as the US Dollar Index (DXY) lost upside momentum after reaching the key resistance level of 102.00. As investors anticipate the release of the United States/Canada Employment data, the Canadian dollar is expected to deliver a dazzling performance.

 

As a consequence of a decline in Job Openings and sluggish additions of new positions, as measured by Automatic Data Processing, firms have slackened recruitment efforts, thereby alleviating the tight US labor market. (ADP). This has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates unchanged at its May meeting.

 

In the interim, S&P500 futures have resumed their downward trend, indicating a cautious market sentiment.

 

Employment data will influence the Canadian Dollar. The consensus estimate for Net Change in Employment is 12K, which is a decrease from the previous release of 21.8K. The estimated unemployment rate is 5.1%, up from 5.0% previously.

 

The USD/CAD exchange rate is exhibiting an Inverted Flag pattern on an hourly time frame. The Inverted Flag is a trend-following pattern that consists of a protracted consolidation followed by a decline. Participants prefer to enter an auction after a bearish bias has been established, and current vendors increase their position size during the consolidation phase of a chart pattern.

 

The Canadian dollar was unable to maintain a position above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3458, indicating that further declines are imminent.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has an upper limit of 60.00. A violation of the unfavorable 20.00-40.00 range will trigger downward momentum.

 

A break below the low of April 04, 1.3406, would expose the asset to a fresh six-week low around 1.3350, the low of February 6 followed by round-number support at 1.3300.

 

In an alternative scenario, a move above the psychological resistance of 1.3500 would lend momentum to US Dollar supporters, propelling the asset toward the 31- and 29-March highs of 1.3559 and 1.3619, respectively.


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