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On August 3, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant posted on social media on the evening of August 2 that "the coordinated U.S.-Japan foreign exchange intervention effectively curbed the disorderly fluctuations in the yen exchange rate," and the Trump administration strongly supports "Japans market and monetary policy measures to correct the significant undervaluation of the yen." Bessant stated that the U.S. Treasury is closely monitoring the situation and will "not hesitate to participate in further joint intervention." Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama also confirmed on August 3 that Japan and the U.S. jointly implemented foreign exchange market intervention. She also stated, "We will not hesitate to further jointly implement foreign exchange market intervention in the future." It is understood that to curb the historic depreciation of the yen, the monetary authorities of Japan and the United States jointly implemented a foreign exchange market intervention last week, buying yen. In the international foreign exchange market, the trend of buying yen and selling dollars dominated, and the yen exchange rate once rose to the range of 156 yen to the dollar—the first time it has reached this level in about three months since early May of this year.According to foreign media reports, CBOT soybean futures fell in the week ending July 31, with the benchmark contract closing down 5.27%, retreating from a more than two-year high reached the previous week. This decline mainly reflected favorable rainfall expected in the Midwest in the coming days. Crude oil futures also fell, with funds liquidating positions at the end of the month. However, strong demand for US soybeans provided bottom support. Weather factors were the core factor suppressing soybean prices this week. The USDAs crop progress report showed that as of July 26, the US soybean condition rating had fallen to 63%, down from 66% a week earlier and also at a relatively low level for the same period in recent years, reflecting the stress that previous high temperatures and drought had placed on crops. Demand continued to provide important support. The USDAs weekly export sales report showed that as of the week ending July 23, US net soybean sales were 1.63 million tons (300,000 tons of old crop and 1.33 million tons of new crop), up from 1.59 million tons a week earlier (50,000 tons of old crop and 1.54 million tons of new crop). The soybean market was also affected by the sharp fluctuations in the energy market. The sharp decline in international crude oil prices weakened the energy premium of soybean oil and dragged down soybean futures prices.Lenovo Holdings (03396.HK): It expects its net profit for the first half of this year to be no less than RMB 2 billion, an increase of 186% year-on-year.August 3rd - According to foreign media reports, Malaysia is considering allowing some exports of unprocessed rare earth elements to solidify its position in supply chains across industries ranging from automobile manufacturing to defense and consumer goods. Malaysia suspended unprocessed rare earth exports in 2024 to stimulate investment in domestic processing industries—a common strategy among resource-rich developing countries. However, according to a senior government official, authorities are currently assessing the feasibility of relaxing restrictions as competition surrounding these minerals intensifies. Syed, Malaysias Deputy Minister of Natural Resources and Sustainable Environment, stated, "Any new exports will come with conditions, including being linked to inbound investment and technology transfer." He declined to provide a timeline for adjusting export regulations. Syed stated that Malaysia possesses 16.1 million tons of "inferred reserves" of rare earth elements. The government has previously indicated that these reserves could be worth 970 billion ringgit (US$237 billion).Japans Ministry of Finance: We remain vigilant and maintain close contact with the U.S. Treasury Department.

As investors wait for US/Canada employment data, the USD/CAD trading range is limited to 40 pips

Daniel Rogers

Apr 06, 2023 13:36

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The USD/CAD pair retraced below 1.3450 in the early Asian session as the US Dollar Index (DXY) lost upside momentum after reaching the key resistance level of 102.00. As investors anticipate the release of the United States/Canada Employment data, the Canadian dollar is expected to deliver a dazzling performance.

 

As a consequence of a decline in Job Openings and sluggish additions of new positions, as measured by Automatic Data Processing, firms have slackened recruitment efforts, thereby alleviating the tight US labor market. (ADP). This has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates unchanged at its May meeting.

 

In the interim, S&P500 futures have resumed their downward trend, indicating a cautious market sentiment.

 

Employment data will influence the Canadian Dollar. The consensus estimate for Net Change in Employment is 12K, which is a decrease from the previous release of 21.8K. The estimated unemployment rate is 5.1%, up from 5.0% previously.

 

The USD/CAD exchange rate is exhibiting an Inverted Flag pattern on an hourly time frame. The Inverted Flag is a trend-following pattern that consists of a protracted consolidation followed by a decline. Participants prefer to enter an auction after a bearish bias has been established, and current vendors increase their position size during the consolidation phase of a chart pattern.

 

The Canadian dollar was unable to maintain a position above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3458, indicating that further declines are imminent.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has an upper limit of 60.00. A violation of the unfavorable 20.00-40.00 range will trigger downward momentum.

 

A break below the low of April 04, 1.3406, would expose the asset to a fresh six-week low around 1.3350, the low of February 6 followed by round-number support at 1.3300.

 

In an alternative scenario, a move above the psychological resistance of 1.3500 would lend momentum to US Dollar supporters, propelling the asset toward the 31- and 29-March highs of 1.3559 and 1.3619, respectively.