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On April 25th, it was reported that on April 24th, 2026, the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) held a system-wide warning education meeting and a meeting to promote the study and education on establishing and practicing a correct view of performance. Pan Gongsheng, Secretary of the Party Committee and Governor of the PBOC, delivered a speech and a Party lecture. Pan Gongsheng pointed out that it is necessary to promote the high-quality development of the central banks work. Based on the responsibilities of the PBOC, it is crucial to deeply analyze the performance-related issues behind economic and financial problems, strictly and practically implement the rectification measures following central inspections and audits, continuously address the "involutionary" competition among financial institutions, effectively coordinate the "five major tasks" in the financial sector, actively and steadily promote the resolution of local government financing platform debt and risks of small and medium-sized financial institutions, maintain a high-pressure crackdown on illegal financial activities in related fields, and continuously optimize the central banks management and services for county-level finance.On April 25th, in preparation for King Charles IIIs visit to the United States, the British flag was flown in Washington, D.C., but some residents noticed that many Australian flags were also displayed. A Washington, D.C. official stated that after discovering the error, they quickly replaced the incorrectly displayed Australian flags with British flags, but the cause of the error is still under investigation. A Buckingham Palace spokesperson announced on April 14th that King Charles III would begin a four-day visit to the United States on April 27th.On April 25th, the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) released its 2026 plan for establishing cosmetic standards, proposing to formulate or revise 27 standards covering raw materials for hair dyes, cosmetic raw materials, and general technical requirements and testing methods for toothpaste, providing more precise technical support for cosmetic regulation in my country. According to the NMPAs Cosmetics Supervision Department, new cosmetic raw materials must be registered or filed before they can be used in my country.Li Auto (LI.O) executives: Europe and Southeast Asia are seen as the companys next export markets.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.1 earthquake occurred at 10:19 a.m. on April 25 in Shawan City, Tacheng Prefecture, Xinjiang (43.52 degrees north latitude, 84.93 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 16 kilometers.

As investors wait for US/Canada employment data, the USD/CAD trading range is limited to 40 pips

Daniel Rogers

Apr 06, 2023 13:36

 USD:CAD.png

 

The USD/CAD pair retraced below 1.3450 in the early Asian session as the US Dollar Index (DXY) lost upside momentum after reaching the key resistance level of 102.00. As investors anticipate the release of the United States/Canada Employment data, the Canadian dollar is expected to deliver a dazzling performance.

 

As a consequence of a decline in Job Openings and sluggish additions of new positions, as measured by Automatic Data Processing, firms have slackened recruitment efforts, thereby alleviating the tight US labor market. (ADP). This has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates unchanged at its May meeting.

 

In the interim, S&P500 futures have resumed their downward trend, indicating a cautious market sentiment.

 

Employment data will influence the Canadian Dollar. The consensus estimate for Net Change in Employment is 12K, which is a decrease from the previous release of 21.8K. The estimated unemployment rate is 5.1%, up from 5.0% previously.

 

The USD/CAD exchange rate is exhibiting an Inverted Flag pattern on an hourly time frame. The Inverted Flag is a trend-following pattern that consists of a protracted consolidation followed by a decline. Participants prefer to enter an auction after a bearish bias has been established, and current vendors increase their position size during the consolidation phase of a chart pattern.

 

The Canadian dollar was unable to maintain a position above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3458, indicating that further declines are imminent.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has an upper limit of 60.00. A violation of the unfavorable 20.00-40.00 range will trigger downward momentum.

 

A break below the low of April 04, 1.3406, would expose the asset to a fresh six-week low around 1.3350, the low of February 6 followed by round-number support at 1.3300.

 

In an alternative scenario, a move above the psychological resistance of 1.3500 would lend momentum to US Dollar supporters, propelling the asset toward the 31- and 29-March highs of 1.3559 and 1.3619, respectively.


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