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On November 8, Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson addressed the UN Human Rights Council on November 7. Johnson stated that the US federal governments refusal to accept review by the Human Rights Council was an attempt to evade scrutiny. He argued that the Human Rights Council should apply the same accountability standards to the US federal government as it does elsewhere in the world, and that no country is above international law. Johnson called on the Human Rights Council to send independent experts to Chicago to investigate the challenges facing the city; he also urged the Council to take further accountability measures, including convening a special session to investigate the worsening human rights crisis in the United States. The UN Human Rights Council was scheduled to hold its fourth round of Universal Periodic Review (UPR) on November 7, but the US representative refused to attend, preventing the review from proceeding normally. The Human Rights Council adopted a decision that day urging the United States to resume cooperation with the UPR mechanism.Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian troops have occupied the village of Vovche in the Dnipropetrovsk region of Ukraine.Ukrainian Prime Minister: Russia’s attack on Ukrainian dams damaged several large energy facilities in the Kyiv, Kharkiv and Poltava regions.November 8th - Pfizer has finalized its $10 billion acquisition offer for Metsera, a startup focused on weight-loss drugs, after a bidding war with Novo Nordisk. Novo Nordisk stated that after careful evaluation, it decided not to raise its offer and will continue to monitor business expansion and other acquisition opportunities. Under the agreement, Pfizer will complete the transaction at a maximum price of $86.25 per share, including an initial cash payment of $65.60 per share, and an additional consideration of up to $20.65 per share if certain performance targets are met.November 8th - On November 7th local time, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney stated that the increasingly close economic relationship between Canada and the United States over the past decades has come to an end. Carney said that Canada once enjoyed some economic advantages due to its close ties with the US, but this has now become a weakness. He described this change as rapid and almost seamless, and called for a swift and radical shift in Canadas economic strategy.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

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Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


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