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According to RIA Novosti, Russian air defense forces shot down 21 Ukrainian drones at night.On August 31st, the China Securities Association reported that in the first half of 2025, all listed companies achieved operating revenue of 35.01 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.16%. Second-quarter revenue reached 18.11 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.43% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.15%. Net profit in the first half of the year reached 3.00 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.54%, an increase of 4.76 percentage points over the previous years full-year growth rate. Nearly 60% of companies in the market saw positive revenue growth, and over three-quarters were profitable. 2,475 companies saw positive net profit growth, and 1,943 companies saw both revenue and net profit growth.Joerg Kraemer, economist at Commerzbank: The recent strengthening of the euro, especially against the US dollar, is likely to continue in the coming months, which will reduce the price competitiveness of European products on the world market.Conflict Details: 1. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian forces occupied Komishuvakha in eastern Ukraine. 2. The Ukrainian military said it attacked oil refineries in Krasnodar and Syzran at night. 3. The Ukrainian Air Force said Russia launched 537 drones and 45 missiles during the nighttime attacks. 4. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russia attacked Ukrainian businesses, rocket and aviation facilities, and military airfields at night. 5. The regional governor stated that Russias attack on Zaporizhia, Ukraine, resulted in one death and at least 24 injuries. 6. Russian Chief of the General Staff Gerasimov: Russian forces are continuing their offensive along all fronts, and the task of establishing a buffer zone along the border between the Ukrainian Sumy and Kharkiv regions is progressing smoothly. 7. Russia and Ukraine are engaged in fierce battles over the key cities of Krasnodar (also known as Pokrovsk in Ukraine) and Konstantinovka in the Donetsk region. Other Developments: 1. Hungarian Foreign Minister: The European Commission has become a "Ukrainian Commission," representing the interests of Ukraine, not those of an EU member state. 2. EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Kallas stated that the return of frozen Russian assets to Russia is unthinkable unless Russia pays war reparations for Ukraine. 3. Ukrainian President Zelensky stated that Moscow exploited the lead-up to the summit to launch the attack and called for energy and banking sanctions. 4. Russian Chief of the General Staff Gerasimov stated that Russia controls 99.7% of Ukraines Luhansk region, 79% of the Donetsk region, 74% of the Zaporizhia region, and 76% of the Kherson region. 5. EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Kallas stated that EU countries have been asked to submit proposals for new sanctions against Russia next week.On August 31, officials of the Yemeni Houthi armed forces issued a statement saying that the group is ready to confront Israel after Israel launched an airstrike in Sanaa on Thursday, killing a senior official.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

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Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


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