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July 31 – Despite the disruption of approximately 500,000 barrels per day of production at ExxonMobil (XOM.N) due to the conflict with Iran, the company remains committed to its Middle East growth plans. Chief Financial Officer Neil Hansen stated, “We don’t make broad investment decisions based on today’s headlines. We can thrive in these kinds of environments and remain committed to our current and future investments in the region.” Before the outbreak of the war in late February, ExxonMobil’s combined crude oil production in the UAE and Qatar was equivalent to 900,000 barrels per day, accounting for about one-fifth of its global production, both of which have been severely impacted. Furthermore, two gas projects in Qatar in which ExxonMobil holds partial stakes were also severely damaged in the Iranian attacks, resulting in the suspension of approximately 450,000 barrels per day of production in Qatar and another 50,000 barrels per day in the UAE. Hansen stated that some of the company’s production in the UAE is currently stored in inventory awaiting the lifting of transportation restrictions. Hansen added, “We’ve noticed that some companies see the absence from such an important region as an advantage. We believe this view is very short-sighted and not in the best business interest.”The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) is investigating 1.2 million Tesla (TSLA.O) vehicles for suspension issues.According to CCTV: Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, which decided to approve four nuclear power projects, including the first phase of the Zhuanghe nuclear power project in Liaoning.According to CCTV: Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, which reviewed and approved the "Draft Decision of the State Council on Amending the Regulations on the Administration of Housing Provident Funds" and the "Draft Decision of the State Council on Amending and Repealing Some Administrative Regulations".According to CCTV: Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council to study relevant work on the implementation of the health-first development strategy.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

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Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


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