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July 1st - According to statistics from the Hengqin Border Inspection Station of the Zhuhai Border Inspection General Station, in the first half of 2026, the total number of passengers entering and leaving the country through the Hengqin Port exceeded 17.77 million, a year-on-year increase of 27.8%; the number of vehicles entering and leaving the country reached 2.21 million, a year-on-year increase of 40.6%. Among them, 1.46 million vehicles had Macao license plates, accounting for 66.2% of the total number of vehicles. The ports passenger and vehicle traffic increased simultaneously, and the vitality of two-way exchanges between Hengqin and Macao continued to be released.On July 1st, Jun Mimura, Japans top foreign exchange official, stated that Japans intervention in the foreign exchange market two months prior to support the yen was successful and received support from some U.S. officials. He said, "Judging from the subsequent market performance, I believe that intervention was clearly meaningful. To my knowledge, the U.S. never commented against our actions; on the contrary, they actually made some more supportive statements." Mimuras remarks came as the yen fell to a 40-year low against the dollar, posing a greater risk of inflation for Japan. Japan is a major energy importer, and food imports account for more than half of its economy. He emphasized frequent communication with Washington, stating, "Through phone calls and emails, I contact them much more frequently than people imagine."Japans household consumer confidence index for June was 33.8, below the expected 34.1 and the previous reading of 33.6.Japans top foreign exchange official: To the best of my knowledge, the United States has never made any comments opposing our actions; on the contrary, the U.S. has actually made some more supportive statements.Japans top foreign exchange official: Judging from the subsequent market movements, I think that intervention was clearly meaningful.

EUR/USD Expects Fourth Weekly Gains Above 1.0900 Despite The US Dollar's Rebound Advance Ahead Of US NFP

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:42

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Despite a recent retreat, the EUR/USD bulls maintain control around 1.0920. This reflects the typical Good Friday inactivity and apprehension ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released early in the day. The major currency pair was volatile on Thursday as a result of the US Dollar's initial rebound on fears of a recession, but ended the day unchanged as disappointing US data contrasted with stronger Eurozone data.

 

Fears of a recession in the world's largest economy were prompted by consecutive lackluster US data and falling US Treasury bond yields, giving USD bears a reprieve on Thursday morning. As traders prepared for the all-important NFP, the dollar's subsequent gains were reversed by another disappointing US employment report.

 

Despite this, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 rose to 228K from 200K anticipated and an upwardly revised 246K the prior week. Notable is the increase in Challenger Job Cuts from 77,77K to 89,703K in the given month.

 

Notably, Reuters fanned fears of a recession by citing the most recent decline in the preferred bond market indicator of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. The most reliable bond market indicator of an imminent economic contraction, according to Federal Reserve research, is the "near-term forward spread" between the forward rate on Treasury bills 18 months from now and the current yield on three-month Treasury bills.

 

According to Reuters, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in prepared remarks on Thursday that the global economy is projected to expand by less than 3% in 2023, a decrease from 3.4% in 2022.

 

In other news, Germany's Industrial Production (IP) increased 0.6% year-over-year in February, versus market predictions of -2.7% and previous readings of -1.7%. Additionally, the monthly figures exceeded expectations by 0.1%, coming in at 2.0% compared to 3.7% previously. On Wednesday, Germany Factory Orders for February improved to -5.7% YoY from -12.0% previously revised down and -10.5% market expectations, while MoM growth came in at 4.8% compared to 0.3% expected and 0.5% previous readings.

 

Wall Street and US Treasury bond yields have both reduced weekly losses as a result of these strategies, but investors remain skeptical.

 

In the context of less liquidity surrounding the March US employment report, sporadic activity on the major markets can keep the EUR/USD inactive and prone to abrupt price swings. Notable is the fact that recent dovish Fed forecasts and disappointing US data generate expectations for a positive surprise and enormous price volatility thereafter.


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