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Market news: The Thai Prime Minister stated that the Thai government has developed contingency plans to address the prolonged oil crisis, and the fuel shortage situation in some parts of Thailand has improved.The U.S. House of Representatives passed a temporary homeland security funding bill aimed at ending the government shutdown and has sent it to the Senate.March 28th - If approved by US President Trump, the US will soon deploy over 17,000 ground troops on Irans doorstep. This is far from enough for a full-scale invasion, but they could seize strategic locations on the Iranian mainland, acquire Tehrans uranium reserves, or occupy an island. Previously reported, despite Trump weighing peace talks with Iran, the Pentagon is still considering sending an additional 10,000 ground troops to the Middle East. This is an increase on top of approximately 5,000 Marines and 2,000 paratroopers from the 82nd Airborne Division. The additional troops would likely include infantry, armored vehicles, and logistical support. This is far less than the 150,000 troops the US deployed during its March 2003 invasion of Iraq, a country much smaller than Iran in both area and population.On March 28, Zhang Zhili, Vice Minister of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, met with a delegation of American business leaders led by Tan Sen, President of the US-China Business Council, in Beijing on March 26. The two sides exchanged views on Sino-US agricultural exchanges and cooperation, veterinary drug research and development, and the development and policies of bio-breeding. Zhang Zhili stated that Chinas 15th Five-Year Plan outlines key deployments for "accelerating the modernization of agriculture and rural areas and solidly promoting the comprehensive revitalization of rural areas," providing broad market space and cooperation opportunities for foreign-invested enterprises in agriculture. American companies in China should seize the historic opportunity of Chinas rural revitalization, closely integrate their own advantages with the actual needs of Chinas agricultural and rural development, and share the development dividends in the process of Chinas agricultural and rural modernization. He hoped that the US-China Business Council would continue to play a bridging role, promoting the steady and healthy development of friendly exchanges and agricultural cooperation between China and the US.March 28th - The "No King" protest movement plans to revive on Saturday with over 3,000 rallies across the United States to protest against President Trump. Organizers say Saturdays protests could be one of the largest in U.S. history, covering a range of grievances from Trumps anti-immigration policies to his war with Iran. Large-scale protests are expected in Washington, D.C., Minneapolis, Chicago, and San Francisco.

As the BoJ ponders a YCC expansion, EUR/JPY continues to decline, falling below 142.60

Alina Haynes

Apr 06, 2023 11:52

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After plunging below 142.60 during the Asian trading session, the EUR/JPY pair's three-day losing trend was extended. Renewed rumors of an expansion of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC) are exerting immense pressure on the cross.

 

The Japanese economy is experiencing gradual wage growth, and inflation is expected to respond to recent increases in crude oil prices. Analysts at Wells Fargo believe the BoJ will take advantage of a tactical opportunity to further modify its policy settings in the fourth quarter of 2022, and are inclined toward a meeting in October. They added that this timeframe is optimal for a smooth policy adjustment, as monetary easing from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and other major central banks should alleviate yield pressure.

 

In particular, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise the target yield for 10-year Japanese government bonds (JGBs) from 0% to 0.25% and increase the tolerance interval surrounding this target to +/- 75 basis points.

 

Accelerating PMIs in the Eurozone provide support for the European Central Bank's sustained rate hikes. (ECB). S&P Global reported a Composite PMI of 53.7 on Wednesday, which was higher than the previous release of 52.0 but below expectations of 54.1, the highest level in the past ten months.

 

According to Reuters, S&P Global issued the following statement: "Manufacturing production increased slightly, but the service sector had the greatest impact on March's accelerated growth."

 

Wednesday, ECB policymaker Boris Vuji stated regarding interest rate forecasts, "The majority of the rate-hiking cycle has passed." He added, "We may require additional rate increases to address core inflation."