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Market news: An earthquake warning has been issued in Mexico City.February 9th - Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama stated that she would communicate with financial markets on Monday, if necessary, to calm market sentiment as soon as possible. However, she also warned of the possibility of intervention in the yens exchange rate at any time. Katayama revealed that she maintains close contact with US Treasury Secretary Bessenter, sharing the responsibility of maintaining the stability of the dollar-yen exchange rate. She explained that Japan and the US have signed a memorandum of understanding stipulating that decisive measures can be taken against rapid fluctuations deviating from fundamentals, which certainly includes intervention. She reiterated that she is closely monitoring financial markets, while emphasizing her commitment to responsible fiscal policy and stressing the governments strong focus on fiscal sustainability and its desire to maintain it.February 9th - According to NHK, the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Restoration Party won a majority of seats in the House of Representatives election held on the 8th.Musk: Teslas electric semi-truck will begin mass production this year.February 9th - Goldman Sachs trading arm stated that after a rebound in U.S. stocks last Friday, almost recovering the weeks brutal losses, this week will face further selling pressure from trend-following algorithmic funds. The S&P 500 has broken through a short-term trigger point, prompting commodity trading advisors (CTAs) to sell stocks. Goldman Sachs expects these systematic strategies, which track stock market movements rather than fundamental factors, to remain net sellers in the coming week, regardless of market direction. Goldman Sachs stated that if the stock market falls again, it could trigger approximately $33 billion in selling this week. If market pressure persists and the S&P 500 falls below 6707 points, there could be as much as $80 billion in systemic selling over the next month. In a stable market environment, CTAs are expected to sell approximately $15.4 billion in U.S. stocks this week, and even if the stock market rises, these funds are still expected to sell approximately $8.7 billion.

As the BoJ ponders a YCC expansion, EUR/JPY continues to decline, falling below 142.60

Alina Haynes

Apr 06, 2023 11:52

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After plunging below 142.60 during the Asian trading session, the EUR/JPY pair's three-day losing trend was extended. Renewed rumors of an expansion of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC) are exerting immense pressure on the cross.

 

The Japanese economy is experiencing gradual wage growth, and inflation is expected to respond to recent increases in crude oil prices. Analysts at Wells Fargo believe the BoJ will take advantage of a tactical opportunity to further modify its policy settings in the fourth quarter of 2022, and are inclined toward a meeting in October. They added that this timeframe is optimal for a smooth policy adjustment, as monetary easing from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and other major central banks should alleviate yield pressure.

 

In particular, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise the target yield for 10-year Japanese government bonds (JGBs) from 0% to 0.25% and increase the tolerance interval surrounding this target to +/- 75 basis points.

 

Accelerating PMIs in the Eurozone provide support for the European Central Bank's sustained rate hikes. (ECB). S&P Global reported a Composite PMI of 53.7 on Wednesday, which was higher than the previous release of 52.0 but below expectations of 54.1, the highest level in the past ten months.

 

According to Reuters, S&P Global issued the following statement: "Manufacturing production increased slightly, but the service sector had the greatest impact on March's accelerated growth."

 

Wednesday, ECB policymaker Boris Vuji stated regarding interest rate forecasts, "The majority of the rate-hiking cycle has passed." He added, "We may require additional rate increases to address core inflation."