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November 15th - Stephen Innes, Managing Partner of SPI Asset Management, stated that with the US government reopening, a backlog of important data will be released, including employment and inflation indicators, which the market expects to be weak. Weaker US data could depress US Treasury yields, reigniting market expectations for an interest rate cut in early 2026 and providing room for a rebound in gold prices, which have been squeezed by rising real yields. The recent pullback in gold prices appears more like position adjustments than a trend reversal. The outlook for gold remains positive, and investors will closely watch US real yields, a weaker dollar, and upcoming data. If the data points to a cooling US economy, gold could rebound next week.November 15th - According to the Financial Times, Apple (AAPL.O) is accelerating its succession planning, preparing for Tim Cook to potentially step down as CEO as early as next year. Multiple sources familiar with internal discussions revealed that Apples board and senior management have recently expedited preparations to welcome Cooks departure. John Ternus, Apples senior vice president of hardware engineering, is widely considered Cooks most likely successor, but a final decision has not yet been made. Sources close to Apple indicate that this long-awaited transition is not due to the companys current performance, as Apples iPhone sales season at the end of this year is expected to be very strong. If a successor is announced early next year, the new leadership team will have time to establish themselves before Apples key annual events, including the Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) in June and the iPhone launch event in September.According to the Financial Times, Apple (AAPL.O) is preparing for Tim Cook to step down as CEO as early as next year, with John Ternus, the companys senior vice president of hardware engineering, widely considered the most likely successor.According to the Financial Times, Apple (AAPL.O) is stepping up its planning for a successor to CEO Tim Cook.On November 15th, the European Parliament adopted its position paper on amendments to the European Climate Law on the 13th, supporting the addition of a legally binding 2040 mid-term climate target to the existing EU climate law. The position paper requires the EU to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions by 90% from 1990 levels by 2040, while also supporting the European Commissions proposal to introduce flexibility in achieving the target. The European Parliament stated its support for member states to offset emissions reductions of up to 5% of their 1990 emissions by purchasing international carbon credits from other partner countries starting in 2036. The European Parliament also advocated for incorporating permanent carbon removal into the EU Emissions Trading System, in addition to existing reduction methods, to offset some emissions that are difficult to reduce.

As the BoJ ponders a YCC expansion, EUR/JPY continues to decline, falling below 142.60

Alina Haynes

Apr 06, 2023 11:52

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After plunging below 142.60 during the Asian trading session, the EUR/JPY pair's three-day losing trend was extended. Renewed rumors of an expansion of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC) are exerting immense pressure on the cross.

 

The Japanese economy is experiencing gradual wage growth, and inflation is expected to respond to recent increases in crude oil prices. Analysts at Wells Fargo believe the BoJ will take advantage of a tactical opportunity to further modify its policy settings in the fourth quarter of 2022, and are inclined toward a meeting in October. They added that this timeframe is optimal for a smooth policy adjustment, as monetary easing from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and other major central banks should alleviate yield pressure.

 

In particular, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise the target yield for 10-year Japanese government bonds (JGBs) from 0% to 0.25% and increase the tolerance interval surrounding this target to +/- 75 basis points.

 

Accelerating PMIs in the Eurozone provide support for the European Central Bank's sustained rate hikes. (ECB). S&P Global reported a Composite PMI of 53.7 on Wednesday, which was higher than the previous release of 52.0 but below expectations of 54.1, the highest level in the past ten months.

 

According to Reuters, S&P Global issued the following statement: "Manufacturing production increased slightly, but the service sector had the greatest impact on March's accelerated growth."

 

Wednesday, ECB policymaker Boris Vuji stated regarding interest rate forecasts, "The majority of the rate-hiking cycle has passed." He added, "We may require additional rate increases to address core inflation."