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March 11 – Due to persistent inflationary pressures, two major Australian banks expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to raise interest rates for the second consecutive week. National Australia Bank (NAB) and Westpac predicted on Wednesday that the RBA will raise rates by 25 basis points to 4.1% next week, in line with expectations from UBS and Deutsche Bank. NAB Chief Economist Sally Auld stated, “Given Australia’s relatively unfavorable inflation starting point and recent data confirming that the economy is running well above trend growth, the rationale for a rate hike in the near term is clear.” Westpac Chief Economist Luci Ellis said that the RBA’s belief that demand continues to exceed economic capacity and its willingness to address surging overall inflation to prevent a sustained rise in price expectations prompted her to change her forecast. Ellis stated, “There could be disagreements at next week’s meeting. Market participants should consider the possibility that the RBA might choose to wait until May to raise rates, but this is no longer our base case scenario.”March 11 (Kyodo News) – Japanese Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Ryosuke Akazawa stated on Wednesday during a parliamentary committee meeting, in response to questions from lawmakers, that the Japanese government has not ruled out the possibility of releasing national oil reserves "on its own initiative," rather than as part of a coordinated action. He added, "We will take all possible measures to ensure a stable energy supply." As of the end of December, Japans total oil reserves were sufficient to meet domestic consumption needs for 254 days, of which 146 days worth were held by the government, 101 days worth were held by the private sector, and the remainder were stored jointly with oil-producing countries.March 11th - This years government work report further clarified the need to "expand market access with a focus on the service sector," accelerating Beijings new round of opening up. In the first batch of pilot programs nationwide to expand opening up in areas such as value-added telecommunications and healthcare, Beijing became the first city in China to establish a foreign-invested enterprise specializing in human gene diagnosis and treatment technology. To date, more than 60 foreign-invested enterprises have participated in the pilot programs. Last year, Beijing saw over 2,400 new foreign-invested enterprises, a record high. According to the Beijing Municipal Bureau of Commerce, this year will see the release of the 3.0 plan for the comprehensive demonstration zone for expanding opening up in the service sector, the implementation of actions to enhance the opening-up level of key industrial parks, the promotion of differentiated development of comprehensive bonded zones, and proactive alignment with high-standard international trade and economic rules, injecting new momentum into a higher level of opening up.Market news: The Saudi Foreign Minister spoke with the US Secretary of State to discuss Irans regional aggression.Piper Jaffray: Lowered its target price for Oracle (ORCL.N) from $240 to $210.

Analysis of the EUR/USD Price Indicates 1.0930 Is a Crucial Resistance Level for Bulls

Daniel Rogers

Apr 04, 2023 14:39

 EUR:USD.png

 

EUR/USD sustains its week-beginning strength as bulls approach the crucial 1.0930 resistance level, trading near 1.0910 as of early Tuesday press time.

 

In doing so, the EUR/USD pair validates the bullish MACD signals and the ascending RSI (14) line, indicating it is not overbought.

 

The Euro pair's effective trading beyond the convergence of the 21-DMA and the 50-DMA, around 1.0730-25 at the time of publication, strengthens the bullish outlook.

 

As a result, EUR/USD purchasers are likely to surmount the critical resistance area comprised of multiple levels marked since late January 2023.

 

The Year-to-Date (YTD) high of 1.1033 could act as a further filter to the north before directing EUR/USD investors to the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of its November 2022 to March 2023 moves near 1.1190.

 

It should be noted that the psychological magnetism of 1.000 can also be used to verify Euro-Pair purchasers.

 

In the interim, a downside break of the aforementioned DMA confluence near 1.0730-25 is not an open invitation to the EUR/USD bears, as an ascending support line from September 2022, close to 1.0630 at the absolute minimum, could act as the buyers' last line of defense.

 

A decline to the previous monthly low of 1.0548 cannot be ruled out if the Euro-U.S. dollar exchange rate remains below 1.0630.