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Ukrainian Foreign Minister: The international community must respond to Russia’s actions with stronger pressure, harsher sanctions, and more support for Ukraine.On March 14, finance ministers from Japan and South Korea met in Tokyo on Saturday and expressed shared concern over the rapid depreciation of their currencies. A joint statement adopted at the meeting expressed serious concern about the recent sharp depreciation of the Korean won and the Japanese yen. The statement also noted that Japan and South Korea reaffirmed their commitment to closely monitoring the foreign exchange market and continuing to take appropriate action against excessive and disorderly exchange rate fluctuations. Furthermore, it emphasized the importance of close cooperation between Japan and South Korea to ensure stable energy supplies against the backdrop of escalating tensions in the Middle East (such as Irans blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a major oil shipping route).According to Irans Tasnim News Agency, the Iranian ambassador to India stated that Iran has allowed Indian ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.Tanker tracking website: Following yesterdays US airstrike on Kharg Island, all oil storage tanks appear to be intact. Today, two Iranian oil tankers have begun loading 2.7 million barrels of crude oil onto Kharg Island.The Israeli military stated that half of the missiles launched by Iran into Israel during this war would drop a large number of small explosive devices over their targets, thereby increasing the potential damage and casualties.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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