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On September 21, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that he spoke with US President Donald Trump that day, and the two agreed to meet in New York. Zelenskyy said that this meeting "could bring about important changes," and that the diplomatic process is currently underway.On September 21, the Wall Street Journal reported that the Trump administration is preparing broader sanctions against the International Criminal Court (ICC) to expand its previous pressure campaign against the institution. According to documents, the new measures could prohibit most transactions with the ICC after a six- to seven-month grace period and may restrict its use of the US dollar, thus affecting its participation in the global financial system. The report, citing officials, stated that the final decision and announcement date are yet to be determined, but could be announced as early as this week during the UN General Assembly or in the following days. A State Department spokesperson did not disclose specific sanctions but stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio believes the ICC poses a threat to US sovereignty. Previously, the US has sanctioned several ICC officials, including former Chief Prosecutor Karim Khan, ICC President Tomoko Akane, and several judges and prosecutors. The proposed measures would expand from targeting individuals to targeting transactions with the court as a whole. The deterioration in US relations with the ICC is linked to the courts 2024 arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Galant.On September 21, U.S. President Donald Trump will meet with New York City Mayor Nancy Mamdani at Gracie Mansion, the official residence of the New York City mayor, on Monday. Mamdanis office stated that the talks will focus on issues affecting New York City and its residents, but did not release a specific agenda or meeting arrangements. White House officials confirmed the meeting plans but did not provide further details. This will be Mamdanis third face-to-face meeting with Trump since being elected mayor.According to the Wall Street Journal, the Trump administration is preparing to impose sanctions on the International Criminal Court.Slovak Prime Minister Fico: We will not support any actions that could lead to conflict between NATO and Russia.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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