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According to the Iranian Students News Agency, nuclear talks between Iran and the United States will be held in Oman on Friday, with a format similar to previous rounds.February 4th - US businesses added fewer jobs in January than expected, indicating a continued slowdown in the labor market at the start of the year. ADP Research data released Wednesday showed that private sector employment increased by only 22,000 jobs in January, below market expectations, and the previous months figure was revised downwards. Due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, the official data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics was delayed, making ADP data likely the most complete reference for the January labor market this week. Despite some signs of stabilization in recent months, the lower-than-expected increase in private sector employment suggests that the labor market continued to cool in January. ADP data showed that education and healthcare services led hiring growth, while professional/business services saw its largest job decline since June of last year.ADP report: Salary growth for employed workers remained largely unchanged in January, with a year-over-year increase of 4.5%. However, the year-over-year salary increase for those changing jobs slowed to 6.4% from 6.6%.ADP report: The total number of new jobs in December has been revised from 41,000 to 37,000.Financial website InvestingLive commented on the US January ADP employment data: The situation is quite severe, with widespread loss of various white-collar jobs, while net job growth is almost entirely concentrated in government-related fields.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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