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A Malaysian government spokesperson said that the oil and gas company has confirmed that energy supplies are sufficient in May and June, but some fuel shortages are expected afterward.On April 29th, the World Gold Council released its Q1 2026 "Global Gold Demand Trends Report," showing that global physical gold ETFs maintained net inflows in Q1, with global holdings increasing by 62 tons. Asian investors bought a significant 84 tons, while holdings in European and American markets saw a slight decline – net outflows from Western markets in March reversed the strong inflow momentum at the beginning of the year. Affected by high gold prices, global gold jewelry demand declined by 23% year-on-year to 300 tons. Demand for gold jewelry generally cooled in major global markets. However, in terms of spending, gold jewelry demand bucked the trend, indicating that even with historically high gold prices, consumers willingness to buy gold jewelry remains robust.On April 29th, the World Gold Council released its Q1 2026 "Global Gold Demand Trends Report," showing that global gold demand (including OTC transactions) reached 1,231 tons in the first quarter, a 2% year-on-year increase. While the increase in gold volume was moderate, the total value of demand surged to a record $193 billion, a significant 74% year-on-year increase. Strong gold prices and rising safe-haven demand drove a 42% year-on-year increase in global gold bar and coin investment, reaching 474 tons, continuing to drive structural changes in the global gold demand landscape. Chinas demand for gold bars and coins surged 67% year-on-year to 207 tons, a new quarterly high. Demand for gold bars and coins also increased in other Asian markets such as India, South Korea, and Japan. Demand for gold bars and coins in the US and European markets also saw strong growth, increasing by 14% and 50% year-on-year, respectively.On April 29th, RBC Capital Markets stated that it expects the Bank of Canada to keep interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive time, with policymakers closely monitoring the impact of rising energy prices on inflation. Overall CPI in April is likely to exceed the 1% to 3% target range for the first time since December 2023. However, interest rate policy cannot influence global oil prices, and its impact on the economy is lagged, meaning the central bank needs to base monetary policy on future inflation levels rather than current inflation. The Bank of Canada is expected to proceed cautiously as long as inflation expectations and broader inflationary pressures (excluding rising energy prices) remain under control. The Bank of Canadas Business Outlook Survey showed a rise in inflation expectations, but signs of further slowing in the March "core" indicators should allow the central bank to maintain policy flexibility in assessing new data and its recent forecasts. First-quarter GDP growth was broadly in line with the January forecast, and recent data suggests a modest recovery in economic momentum. The labor market also shows signs of stabilization, but the unemployment rate remains low, insufficient to indicate that underlying inflationary pressures are intensifying, meaning there is limited urgency for further policy adjustments in the near term.UK Housing Minister Reed: We are not considering rent control.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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