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July 18th - According to US media reports on the 17th, the US government has notified Israel that it will send dozens more refueling aircraft to Israel, potentially escalating military operations against Iran. Axios, citing Israeli officials, reported that the US hopes to send dozens more refueling aircraft to Israel in the coming days, restoring the number to the level at the beginning of the US-Israel conflict with Iran in late February. The report stated that the US government has requested Israel to accept the additional refueling aircraft, and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu will make the final decision. The US currently has approximately 30 refueling aircraft parked at Ben Gurion International Airport near Tel Aviv, Israel, and a similar number at Ramon Airport in southern Israel. The report suggests that US President Trump appears intent on escalating the conflict to create sufficient disruption to force Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz and accept US demands on the nuclear issue. According to US and Israeli officials, Trump may order an escalation of the situation in the coming days.Lucid Group (LCID.O) rose 32%, marking its biggest single-day gain in nearly a year.This week, the S&P 500 fell 1.55%, the Nasdaq fell 2.9%, and the Dow Jones fell 0.93%.The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 406.55 points, or 0.77%, at 52,146.42 on Friday, July 17; the S&P 500 closed down 76.11 points, or 1.01%, at 7,457.66; and the Nasdaq Composite closed down 361.70 points, or 1.40%, at 25,520.24.Hang Seng Index futures closed up 0.54% at 24,602 points in overnight trading, a premium of 40 points.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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