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Chart: US market data for Monday, July 20, 2026July 20 (Xinhua) -- Bulgarian Prime Minister Radev said on the 20th that the Bulgarian government has received a request from the United States to deploy up to eight refueling aircraft at the Bezmer Air Base in Bulgaria and will submit it to parliament for approval. Radev stated that the government received the request from the US on the 17th, which aims to support its military operations in the Middle East. The US cited a 2006 intergovernmental defense cooperation agreement between the two countries. This agreement allows the US military to use bases within Bulgaria, including the Bezmer Air Base. Radev said that although the US urgently submitted the deployment request, the Bulgarian government has not yet approved it because, according to Bulgarian law, such a decision must be made by parliament. The government will propose to parliament that the refueling aircraft be deployed at the Bezmer Air Base.July 20 – KPMG Canada Chief Economist Ali Jaffery stated that Canadas June inflation report showed limited evidence of rising energy costs being passed on to goods such as food. The June report indicated that the inflation rate slowed to 2.8% in June from 3.2% in the previous month. Jaffery said that economic literature suggests this transmission could take a year or more to peak, but the slow start is encouraging. He stated that concerns about accelerating commodity price increases due to the combined effect of rising energy prices and US tariffs have not been substantiated. He added that the CPI basket showed "considerable weakness" after excluding travel services; travel service prices rose in June due to the World Cup matches held in Toronto and Vancouver.The U.S. Geological Survey reports a 6.4-magnitude earthquake that struck approximately 86 kilometers southwest of San Augustine (Chiapas), Mexico.Jupiter Asset Management: Weak UK economic growth may eventually allow the Bank of England to cut interest rates.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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