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Indian government: Diesel sales in India rose 4.7% year-on-year in November, while gasoline sales rose 2.6% year-on-year.On December 6th, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Rehn stated that the medium-term inflation risks in the Eurozone are slightly tilted to the downside. He cited "relatively low energy prices, the appreciation of the euro, and expectations of slower inflation in the services and wage sectors" as downside factors. Factors pushing up inflation include "potential impacts on supply chains from geoeconomic fragmentation" and a stronger-than-expected economic rebound that could lower the savings rate. Rehn said, "We need to pay attention to both upside and downside risks." He refuted suggestions from some colleagues that another rate cut should be subject to high thresholds. Rehn stated, "We shouldnt impose any unnecessary constraints on our monetary policy, whether high or low thresholds. Its best to follow our strategy and be consistent in word and deed. I believe we will." When asked about ECB President Lagardes recent comments that the central bank is in a "good but not fixed" position regarding interest rates, Rehn agreed.December 6th - According to the Gaza Strip Media Office, since the ceasefire agreement took effect this year, Gaza has experienced a severe gas shortage. Originally, 660 gas delivery trucks were scheduled to enter Gaza, but only 104 have been approved so far, representing only about 16% of the agreed demand. This shortfall directly affects 2.4 million residents of Gaza, impacting essential sectors such as homes, hospitals, bakeries, and public kitchens. Currently, gas in Gaza is allocated based on the actual number of registered households to ensure fairness. Each household is allocated an 8kg gas cylinder per cycle, and can only collect it once per cycle. 252,000 households have already received their quotas, but the system targets approximately 470,000 households. Due to the continued shortage, each allocation cycle takes at least three months to complete the distribution to all registered households.Ukrainian President Zelensky: He spoke by phone with NATO Secretary General Rutte.Market news: The Indian government is preparing to take action against IndiGo, or may seek to remove IndiGos CEO.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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