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Russia has stated that its troops have captured the village of Tsvetkove in the Zaporizhzhia region of Ukraine.On February 15th, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Galuzin stated that Russia is willing to discuss the possibility of introducing a UN-led interim external governance mechanism into Ukraine with the United States, Europe, and other regional countries. Galuzin stated that this approach would allow Ukraine to hold democratic elections and produce a government with governing capacity capable of signing peace treaties and other legitimate treaties related to international cooperation. Similar precedents have been set in UN peacekeeping operations. In March 2025, Russian President Putin stated that this was a feasible option. Galuzin also indicated that the possibility of such an approach has not been publicly discussed recently.February 15th news: The fourth issue of Qiushi magazine, to be published on February 16th, will carry an important article by Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee, President of the Peoples Republic of China, and Chairman of the Central Military Commission, entitled "Key Tasks of Current Economic Work." The article points out that it is necessary to adhere to the bottom line and actively and steadily resolve risks in key areas. Strengthen the coordination between risk prevention and development promotion policies to further enhance development resilience. Focus on stabilizing the real estate market, implementing city-specific policies to control new supply, reduce inventory, and optimize supply, encouraging the acquisition of existing commercial housing for the purpose of affordable housing, etc. Deepen the reform of the housing provident fund system, orderly promote the construction of "good houses," and accelerate the construction of a new model for real estate development. Actively and orderly resolve local government debt risks, urging local governments to proactively resolve their debts. Optimize debt restructuring and replacement methods, and take multiple measures to resolve the operational debt risks of local government financing platforms.February 15th news: The fourth issue of Qiushi magazine, to be published on February 16th, will carry an important article by Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee, President of the Peoples Republic of China, and Chairman of the Central Military Commission, entitled "Key Tasks of Current Economic Work." The article points out that it is necessary to persist in reform and strengthen the driving force and vitality of high-quality development. This includes formulating regulations for the construction of a unified national market, thoroughly addressing "involutionary" competition, and creating a sound market ecosystem. It also includes formulating and implementing a plan to further deepen the reform of state-owned assets and enterprises, and improving supporting regulations and policies for the Law on Promoting the Private Economy. Furthermore, it calls for accelerating the clearing of overdue payments to enterprises, promoting win-win development for platform enterprises and their operators and workers, expanding pilot projects for market-oriented reforms of factors of production, optimizing the structure of fiscal transfer payments, and improving the local tax system. Finally, it emphasizes further promoting the reduction and improvement of small and medium-sized financial institutions and continuously deepening the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market.February 15th news: The fourth issue of Qiushi magazine, to be published on February 16th, will carry an important article by Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee, President of the Peoples Republic of China, and Chairman of the Central Military Commission, entitled "Key Tasks of Current Economic Work." The article points out that it is necessary to adhere to innovation-driven development and accelerate the cultivation and expansion of new growth drivers. It emphasizes adhering to the principle of using scientific and technological innovation to lead industrial upgrading and continuously generate new quality productivity. It calls for formulating an integrated plan to promote the development of education, science and technology talent. It also emphasizes building international science and technology innovation centers in Beijing (Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region), Shanghai (Yangtze River Delta region), and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, creating world-class sources of scientific and technological innovation. Furthermore, it stresses strengthening the leading role of enterprises in innovation, supporting the expansion of application demonstrations of new technologies, new products, and new scenarios, improving the intellectual property protection system in emerging fields, and accelerating the transformation of scientific and technological achievements. The article also calls for formulating an action plan to expand and improve the service industry, implementing a new round of high-quality development action for key industrial chains, deepening and expanding "artificial intelligence +", improving artificial intelligence governance, and innovating science and technology financial services.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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