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Futures News, April 16th: Enterprise Singapore (ESG) reported that Singapores light distillate fuel inventories rose by 1.495 million barrels to a three-week high of 18.002 million barrels in the week ending April 15th.Futures News, April 16th: Enterprise Singapore (ESG) reported that as of the week ending April 15th, Singapores middle distillate fuel inventories rose by 1.434 million barrels, reaching a 25-week high of 10.272 million barrels.According to a report from Futures on April 16, Enterprise Singapore (ESG) reported that Singapores fuel oil inventories rose by 1.943 million barrels to a three-week high of 23.665 million barrels in the week ending April 15.Italys final harmonized CPI annual rate for March was 1.6%, below the expected 1.5% and the previous reading of 1.50%.April 16th - According to foreign media reports, EU officials stated that the EU is drafting a plan to address the impending shortage of aviation fuel and maximize refinery output. European airlines have warned of potential aviation fuel shortages within weeks due to the conflict with Iran, disrupting pre-summer flight schedules. Europe is more dependent on aviation fuel imports than other transport fuels, with approximately 75% coming from the Middle East. A draft indicates that starting next month, the European Commission will release a map covering the entire EUs petroleum product refining capacity and take measures to "ensure that existing refining capacity is fully utilized and maintained." Officials familiar with the proposals stated that the EU is also developing measures for aviation fuel supply, but these measures are still being refined.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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