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The Iranian military claims that its drones attacked fuel storage tanks and aircraft refueling at Israels Ben Gurion Airport.On March 21, according to a customs announcement, on the morning of March 20, Sun Meijun, Director-General of the General Administration of Customs, met with Qu Dongyu, Director-General of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), and his delegation at the Administration. They exchanged in-depth views and reached broad consensus on strengthening cooperation between Chinese Customs and the FAO, assisting in the capacity building of agricultural and food product security in the Global South, promoting international trade facilitation through smart customs, and supporting the Hainan Free Trade Port in playing an international exemplary role. Deputy Director-General Zhang Baofeng also attended the meeting.On March 21, following the conditional easing of US sanctions on Iranian oil, an Axios reporter stated that this move would allow Iran to earn approximately $14 billion in oil revenue. This would be the first time the US has purchased Iranian oil since 1996, all during the war with Iran. However, the New York Times points out that it remains unclear whether the limited lifting of sanctions on Iranian oil will affect global oil prices. Energy analysts believe that most of the crude oil shipped by sea has already been purchased and accounted for, meaning that lifting sanctions on this oil will not significantly increase the supply of oil in the market. Former US Treasury official Daniel Tannebaum stated, "I dont think Iranian crude oil will be imported into the United States." He added, "First, the supply of crude oil is a problem because most of it has already been booked; second, which global bank is funding the Iranian oil trade, regardless of whether such trade is legal?"On March 21, Sun Meijun, Director-General of the General Administration of Customs, met with Lee Myung-koo, Director-General of the Korean Customs Service, who was in China to attend the 20th China-Korea Customs Cooperation Conference. The meeting focused on implementing the important consensus reached by the leaders of China and South Korea, deepening customs cooperation between the two countries, and jointly promoting trade security and facilitation in China, South Korea, and the Asia-Pacific region. Three customs cooperation documents were signed. Following the meeting, Zhang Baofeng and Lee Myung-koo co-chaired the 20th China-Korea Customs Cooperation Conference. Both sides exchanged in-depth views on strengthening the partnership in "smart customs," deepening electronic networking of rules of origin, risk management, customs statistics, intellectual property protection, mutual recognition of Authorized Economic Operators (AEO), inter-customs cooperation, and anti-smuggling enforcement cooperation, reaching broad consensus on cooperation.On March 21, according to the US-based "War Zone" website, the Pentagon confirmed that a US F-35A fighter jet operating over Iran made an emergency return and landed at an undisclosed US military airfield in the Middle East. Video released by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard shows the stealth fighter jet being attacked. Foreign media reports suggest this may be the first time an F-35 has been hit in combat since its introduction, setting a new world record for air combat.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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