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According to the Russian news agency, citing the Ministry of Defense, the Russian military shot down 354 drones overnight.On June 3rd, Citigroup issued a report stating that Tencent (00700.HK) has reportedly begun testing its AI agent prototype on the WeChat application. Given Tongcheng Travels (00780.HK) "all-around WeChat" strategy, the sophisticated and comprehensive features of its mini-programs, its relationship with Tencent, and its status as the only online travel agency (OTA) service provider within WeChat Wallet, Citigroup believes that if Tencent launches an AI agent on WeChat, Tongcheng Travel will be one of the beneficiaries of the WeChat ecosystem. Tongcheng Travels share price has been under pressure due to the valuation downgrade of vertical industry leader Ctrip Group (09961.HK) and the impact of rising oil prices on domestic tourism demand, but its current valuation corresponds to a forward P/E ratio of less than 8 times for 2026, which Citigroup considers not expensive. Citigroup maintains its "Buy" rating on Tongcheng Travel with a target price of HK$25.Futures News, June 3rd - Data released by the Petroleum Institute of Japan (PAJ) on Wednesday showed that for the week ending May 30th, Japans commercial crude oil inventories stood at 10.0167 million kiloliters, an increase of 537,049 kiloliters from the previous weeks 9.4797 million kiloliters. Refinery operational capacity (BPSD) utilization was 79.1%, compared to 82.1% the previous week. Refinery design capacity (BPCD) utilization was 63.1%, compared to 73.5% the previous week. Due to changes in Japans petroleum product supply structure, the PAJ has suspended the release of weekly inventory details for gasoline, jet fuel, kerosene, and diesel.June 3rd - According to the Financial Times, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Winsch stated that a peace agreement between the US and Iran reached before next weeks ECB meeting would not weaken the case for an interest rate hike. Winsch said, "If a peace agreement is indeed reached before the meeting, it will be part of the discussion. But we cannot know whether it will be lasting or credible." He hinted at support for a 25 basis point rate hike by the ECB. He believes that if the conflict remains unresolved, discussions among policymakers before setting interest rates on June 11th will be "quite easy." If a peace agreement is reached between the US and Iran, the discussions "may be slightly less easy. But the case for a rate hike may still exist, just not as strongly." He stated, "At some point, we cannot let the markets bear everything. We need to make a position clear."Market news: Humanoid robot company Pacini is reportedly considering a Hong Kong IPO.

Near 1.3600, USD/CAD Meets Difficult Resistance Amid a Weak USD Index and Rising Crude Prices

Daniel Rogers

Mar 29, 2023 14:32

USD:CAD.png 

 

Near 1.3600, the USD/CAD pair encountered resistance during the Asian session. As the US Dollar Index (DXY) appears vulnerable to further losses below 102.40, the Canadian dollar appears to have a sturdy downside bias. The USD Index has found support near 102.40, but a retracement is likely as risk appetite improves.

 

The USD Index is under intense pressure as a result of the decline in U.S. banking concerns. As reported by Reuters, US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy stated in an interview with CNBC on Tuesday that "at this time" there is no need for universal insurance on all bank deposits, reviving concerns of a banking crisis in the United States.

 

Tuesday's S&P500 futures remained predominantly constrained in response to House Speaker Kevin McCarthy's remarks. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to maintain a consistent tone when announcing its interest rate decision at its May monetary policy meeting, despite the optimistic market sentiment.

 

In the interim, demand for U.S. government bonds remained low due to investors' expectation that the nation will emerge from its banking crisis sooner. This led to a rise in 10-year US Treasury yields to 3.57 percent.

 

According to Bloomberg, the Canadian Dollar remained volatile on Tuesday after Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland's announcement that dividends received by financial institutions from holding domestic equities will be considered business income. This will generate billions in tax revenue from banks and insurance firms that receive dividends from Canadian corporations.

 

Due to a weakening US Dollar and expectations of additional sanctions against Russia, the price of oil has risen to close to $74.00 on the energy front. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) oil inventory data will be attentively monitored for additional guidance. As anticipated, the US EIA will report an increase of 0.187 million barrels in oil stocks for the week ending March 24.

 

Notably, Canada is the leading oil exporter to the United States, and rising crude prices would strengthen the Canadian Dollar further.

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