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An Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman said that Tehran’s response to the U.S. 14-point proposal regarding Iran has not yet been conveyed to Pakistan.On May 6, advisory firm SOC Investment Group urged the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to investigate SpaceXs financial situation ahead of its potential IPO, which could value the company at over $2 trillion. The firm stated that SpaceXs relationships with other companies under Elon Musks umbrella are concerning. According to a letter dated May 6 and filed with the SEC, SOC requested the SEC review the accuracy and reliability of SpaceXs financial disclosures and ensure the independence of SpaceXs auditors. SOC also urged the SEC to focus on the accounting treatment of transactions between SpaceX and Musks other companies. The letter stated, "We are particularly concerned that SpaceXs IPO will expose a significant number of investors to a company whose value may decline after its financial disclosures have been independently reviewed and verified."May 6th - According to a foreign media survey, OPECs crude oil production fell to a 36-year low last month as the ongoing war with Iran continues to hamper Persian Gulf exports and force more oil fields to shut down. The survey shows that OPECs crude oil production fell by 420,000 barrels per day in April to 20.55 million barrels per day, the lowest level since 1990, mainly dragged down by further declines in production from Kuwait and Iran. The survey shows that Kuwait saw the largest drop in production last month, with daily output falling by 470,000 barrels to 800,000 barrels per day, less than a third of pre-war levels. The countrys exports have fallen to only 22,000 barrels per day. Iran followed, with production falling by 180,000 barrels per day to 3.05 million barrels per day, more than doubling the cumulative reduction since the start of the war. OPEC also suffered another blow last week. The United Arab Emirates announced its withdrawal from the organization, after years of friction with the organizations leader, Saudi Arabia, over production limits. The April survey still included UAE data because the UAEs withdrawal only officially took effect on May 1st.On May 6th, St. Louis Federal Reserve President Mohamed Mussaleem stated that there is significant uncertainty regarding the outlook for the U.S. economy and monetary policy, but he believes that the risks to inflation are currently rising compared to the risks to employment. Mussaleem said on Wednesday, "Inflation is significantly above our 2% target level. We face risks on both the employment and inflation fronts. As I understand it, the risks are tilting more towards inflation than towards employment." Mussaleem stated that the Feds benchmark policy rate is currently at a neutral level that neither stimulates nor inhibits the economy, or may be slightly accommodative. He said, "There are very reasonable scenarios that would require us to maintain the current policy rate unchanged for some time." However, he also noted that he sees scenarios that might require officials to further cut or raise interest rates.Federal Housing Finance Agency President Pulte: It is expected that Federal Reserve Governor Cook will be prosecuted.

Near 1.3600, USD/CAD Meets Difficult Resistance Amid a Weak USD Index and Rising Crude Prices

Daniel Rogers

Mar 29, 2023 14:32

USD:CAD.png 

 

Near 1.3600, the USD/CAD pair encountered resistance during the Asian session. As the US Dollar Index (DXY) appears vulnerable to further losses below 102.40, the Canadian dollar appears to have a sturdy downside bias. The USD Index has found support near 102.40, but a retracement is likely as risk appetite improves.

 

The USD Index is under intense pressure as a result of the decline in U.S. banking concerns. As reported by Reuters, US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy stated in an interview with CNBC on Tuesday that "at this time" there is no need for universal insurance on all bank deposits, reviving concerns of a banking crisis in the United States.

 

Tuesday's S&P500 futures remained predominantly constrained in response to House Speaker Kevin McCarthy's remarks. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to maintain a consistent tone when announcing its interest rate decision at its May monetary policy meeting, despite the optimistic market sentiment.

 

In the interim, demand for U.S. government bonds remained low due to investors' expectation that the nation will emerge from its banking crisis sooner. This led to a rise in 10-year US Treasury yields to 3.57 percent.

 

According to Bloomberg, the Canadian Dollar remained volatile on Tuesday after Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland's announcement that dividends received by financial institutions from holding domestic equities will be considered business income. This will generate billions in tax revenue from banks and insurance firms that receive dividends from Canadian corporations.

 

Due to a weakening US Dollar and expectations of additional sanctions against Russia, the price of oil has risen to close to $74.00 on the energy front. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) oil inventory data will be attentively monitored for additional guidance. As anticipated, the US EIA will report an increase of 0.187 million barrels in oil stocks for the week ending March 24.

 

Notably, Canada is the leading oil exporter to the United States, and rising crude prices would strengthen the Canadian Dollar further.