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On June 24, the Bank of Korea reiterated its hawkish stance, stating that rising housing prices, expanding household debt, and increased leveraged investment could exacerbate financial imbalances, necessitating further interest rate hikes at an appropriate time. The Bank of Koreas semi-annual Financial Stability Report, released Wednesday, noted that despite increased domestic and international uncertainties, the South Korean financial system remained generally stable thanks to strong economic growth, resilient financial institutions, and sound external payments. However, the report warned that the risk of financial imbalances could further increase as housing prices in Seoul and surrounding areas accelerate and investors become increasingly reliant on leveraged asset purchases. Furthermore, while banks and other financial institutions maintain capital and liquidity buffers, credit risks for vulnerable borrowers and businesses continue to rise. The report stated, "The Bank of Korea will maintain the benchmark interest rate at 2.5% from the second half of 2025, but considering inflationary pressures, economic conditions, and financial stability risks, it believes it is necessary to raise the policy rate at an appropriate time."ASE (ASE): Many customers are following Nvidia (NVDA.O) and AMD (AMD.O) in expanding their investments in Taiwan.On June 24th, according to The Hill, "U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant called Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnik an idiot to his face during a dispute over a Ukrainian mineral deal." The report noted that the conflict stemmed from preparations for the rare earth metals deal with Ukraine. Lutnik accused Bessant of "sabotaging" the agreement, while Bessant called Lutniks proposal a "shit deal" and called him an "idiot" to his face. On April 30, 2025, the United States and Ukraine signed an agreement on Ukraines natural resources. Under the agreement, the United States has the right of first refusal to purchase minerals mined in Ukraine. The agreement stipulates the establishment of an investment fund in Ukraine, with both parties sharing management and funding responsibilities equally (50% each).Futures News, June 24th - According to foreign media reports, data released by the Petroleum Institute of Japan (PAJ) on Wednesday showed that as of the week ending June 20th, Japans commercial crude oil inventories were 9,757,338 kiloliters, an increase of 33,755 kiloliters from the previous weeks 9,723,583 kiloliters. Refinery operational capacity utilization was 80.3%, compared to 81.9% the previous week. Refinery design capacity utilization was 70.5%, unchanged from the previous week. Due to changes in Japans petroleum product supply structure, the Petroleum Institute of Japan has suspended the release of weekly inventory details for gasoline, jet fuel, kerosene, and diesel.On June 24th, SoftBank Group Chairman Masayoshi Son stated at the shareholders meeting that Arm (ARM.O), SoftBanks UK-based chip design company, will evolve from a chip designer to a chip provider, and will be directly involved in manufacturing. He predicted that "the future AI era will be CPU-centric," and emphasized that Arm "still has more than 10 times the growth potential." He also mentioned SoftBanks approximately 300 billion yen investment in Intel, saying that "it was initially met with criticism," but currently "its profits, calculated by market capitalization, have reached trillions of yen."

Near 1.3600, USD/CAD Meets Difficult Resistance Amid a Weak USD Index and Rising Crude Prices

Daniel Rogers

Mar 29, 2023 14:32

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Near 1.3600, the USD/CAD pair encountered resistance during the Asian session. As the US Dollar Index (DXY) appears vulnerable to further losses below 102.40, the Canadian dollar appears to have a sturdy downside bias. The USD Index has found support near 102.40, but a retracement is likely as risk appetite improves.

 

The USD Index is under intense pressure as a result of the decline in U.S. banking concerns. As reported by Reuters, US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy stated in an interview with CNBC on Tuesday that "at this time" there is no need for universal insurance on all bank deposits, reviving concerns of a banking crisis in the United States.

 

Tuesday's S&P500 futures remained predominantly constrained in response to House Speaker Kevin McCarthy's remarks. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to maintain a consistent tone when announcing its interest rate decision at its May monetary policy meeting, despite the optimistic market sentiment.

 

In the interim, demand for U.S. government bonds remained low due to investors' expectation that the nation will emerge from its banking crisis sooner. This led to a rise in 10-year US Treasury yields to 3.57 percent.

 

According to Bloomberg, the Canadian Dollar remained volatile on Tuesday after Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland's announcement that dividends received by financial institutions from holding domestic equities will be considered business income. This will generate billions in tax revenue from banks and insurance firms that receive dividends from Canadian corporations.

 

Due to a weakening US Dollar and expectations of additional sanctions against Russia, the price of oil has risen to close to $74.00 on the energy front. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) oil inventory data will be attentively monitored for additional guidance. As anticipated, the US EIA will report an increase of 0.187 million barrels in oil stocks for the week ending March 24.

 

Notably, Canada is the leading oil exporter to the United States, and rising crude prices would strengthen the Canadian Dollar further.