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May 16 – According to the New York Times, the Trump administration is considering establishing a $1.7 billion fund to compensate allies investigated by the Justice Department during former President Bidens term, a move that would create a moral, legal, and political minefield for Republicans and Justice Department leadership. According to three people familiar with the matter, this unusual plan has not yet been finalized or approved. Democrats and former administration officials have criticized the plan as a massive, taxpayer-funded secret political fund. The proposal is a response to various allegations brought by President Trump against the federal government he controls. He has sought compensation for leaked tax returns during his first term, post-leave investigations into his handling of classified documents, and investigations into potential ties between his 2016 campaign and Russia. The idea of establishing a government fund to pay Trumps political allies has gained increasing support internally as the Justice Department and the White House attempt to resolve Trumps $10 billion lawsuit against the IRS, which he filed in January. Officials familiar with the details revealed that establishing a compensation fund for Trumps allies, but not for the president himself, could provide a short-term solution, allowing the president to obtain tangible benefits from the lawsuit before a judge dismisses it.Market news: BlackRocks private credit fund valuation is under investigation by the U.S. Department of Justice.According to SEC filings, Berkshire Hathaway reduced its stake in Chevron (CVX.N) by 35.2%, down to 84.4 million shares.SEC filings show that Berkshire Hathaway has sold off all of its Amazon (AMZN.O) shares.S&P: As a major net exporter of crude oil and an emerging producer of refined products, Nigeria has been less affected by the Middle East conflict.

Near 1.3600, USD/CAD Meets Difficult Resistance Amid a Weak USD Index and Rising Crude Prices

Daniel Rogers

Mar 29, 2023 14:32

USD:CAD.png 

 

Near 1.3600, the USD/CAD pair encountered resistance during the Asian session. As the US Dollar Index (DXY) appears vulnerable to further losses below 102.40, the Canadian dollar appears to have a sturdy downside bias. The USD Index has found support near 102.40, but a retracement is likely as risk appetite improves.

 

The USD Index is under intense pressure as a result of the decline in U.S. banking concerns. As reported by Reuters, US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy stated in an interview with CNBC on Tuesday that "at this time" there is no need for universal insurance on all bank deposits, reviving concerns of a banking crisis in the United States.

 

Tuesday's S&P500 futures remained predominantly constrained in response to House Speaker Kevin McCarthy's remarks. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to maintain a consistent tone when announcing its interest rate decision at its May monetary policy meeting, despite the optimistic market sentiment.

 

In the interim, demand for U.S. government bonds remained low due to investors' expectation that the nation will emerge from its banking crisis sooner. This led to a rise in 10-year US Treasury yields to 3.57 percent.

 

According to Bloomberg, the Canadian Dollar remained volatile on Tuesday after Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland's announcement that dividends received by financial institutions from holding domestic equities will be considered business income. This will generate billions in tax revenue from banks and insurance firms that receive dividends from Canadian corporations.

 

Due to a weakening US Dollar and expectations of additional sanctions against Russia, the price of oil has risen to close to $74.00 on the energy front. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) oil inventory data will be attentively monitored for additional guidance. As anticipated, the US EIA will report an increase of 0.187 million barrels in oil stocks for the week ending March 24.

 

Notably, Canada is the leading oil exporter to the United States, and rising crude prices would strengthen the Canadian Dollar further.