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1. U.S. stock indexes closed mixed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.29% to 51,712.71 points, the S&P 500 fell 0.37% to 7,472.79 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.32% to 26,166.6 points. Caterpillar rose more than 3%, and Amgen rose more than 2%, leading the Dow. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index fell 2.33%, with Google falling more than 5% and Amazon falling more than 4%. SpaceX fell more than 16%, wiping out $400 billion in market value and falling below its first-day closing price. 2. European stock indexes closed mixed. The German DAX rose 0.62% to 25,139.69 points; the French CAC40 fell 0.25% to 8,400.11 points; and the UK FTSE 100 rose 0.72% to 10,437.85 points. 3. US Treasury yields rose across the board. The 2-year Treasury yield rose 5.31 basis points to 4.226%, the 3-year Treasury yield rose 5.36 basis points to 4.246%, the 5-year Treasury yield rose 5.86 basis points to 4.287%, the 10-year Treasury yield rose 5.55 basis points to 4.509%, and the 30-year Treasury yield rose 4.97 basis points to 4.948%. 4. The most active US crude oil futures contract closed down 3.21% at $74.08 per barrel; the most active Brent crude oil futures contract fell 2.8% to $77.81 per barrel. 5. International precious metals futures generally closed higher. COMEX gold futures rose 0.88% to $4209.70 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rose 0.42% to $65.19 per ounce. 6. Most London base metals rose, with LME zinc up 1.28% to $3,602.0/ton, LME nickel up 0.74% to $17,710.0/ton, LME copper up 0.56% to $13,671.0/ton, LME lead up 0.56% to $1,965.0/ton, LME tin down 0.11% to $53,235.0/ton, and LME aluminum down 1.07% to $3,360.0/ton.UK grid operator: Ample power supply expected this winter.June 23 - Asian stocks are poised for a higher open as market optimism about progress in US-Iran peace talks boosts oil prices, offsetting weakness in Wall Street stocks after declines in several tech giants dragged down benchmark indices. Stock index futures suggest gains in Sydney, Hong Kong, and Tokyo markets. SpaceX shares plunged 16% on Monday after announcing a large-scale investment-grade bond issuance. Market expectations of a US-Iran agreement, coupled with a recovery in AI trade and robust corporate earnings, have propelled the S&P 500 nearly 20% from its war-induced lows. UBSs Chief Investment Office stated that while geopolitical developments may remain a major source of market volatility in the short term, shifts in investor confidence regarding the sustainability of the AI rally could also cause market fluctuations.Air raid sirens have been issued in Kyiv, Ukraine, and the government is urging residents to seek refuge.June 23 – According to CNN, citing a source familiar with the matter, a large-scale layoff initiated by Bill Pulte, acting Director of National Intelligence appointed by US President Trump, began on Monday. The source stated, "The purge of the deep state has begun," but declined to specify the number of positions to be cut. Previously, sources indicated that Pulte was considering cutting hundreds of positions in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI). The source said that Pulte arrived at his post the day before his official start date last week and requested a complete list of all office staff, a move that even caught outgoing Director of National Intelligence Gabbard off guard. Another source indicated that the National Counterterrorism Center and the National Counterintelligence and Security Center are expected to be the primary targets of the layoffs.

Near 1.3600, USD/CAD Meets Difficult Resistance Amid a Weak USD Index and Rising Crude Prices

Daniel Rogers

Mar 29, 2023 14:32

USD:CAD.png 

 

Near 1.3600, the USD/CAD pair encountered resistance during the Asian session. As the US Dollar Index (DXY) appears vulnerable to further losses below 102.40, the Canadian dollar appears to have a sturdy downside bias. The USD Index has found support near 102.40, but a retracement is likely as risk appetite improves.

 

The USD Index is under intense pressure as a result of the decline in U.S. banking concerns. As reported by Reuters, US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy stated in an interview with CNBC on Tuesday that "at this time" there is no need for universal insurance on all bank deposits, reviving concerns of a banking crisis in the United States.

 

Tuesday's S&P500 futures remained predominantly constrained in response to House Speaker Kevin McCarthy's remarks. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to maintain a consistent tone when announcing its interest rate decision at its May monetary policy meeting, despite the optimistic market sentiment.

 

In the interim, demand for U.S. government bonds remained low due to investors' expectation that the nation will emerge from its banking crisis sooner. This led to a rise in 10-year US Treasury yields to 3.57 percent.

 

According to Bloomberg, the Canadian Dollar remained volatile on Tuesday after Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland's announcement that dividends received by financial institutions from holding domestic equities will be considered business income. This will generate billions in tax revenue from banks and insurance firms that receive dividends from Canadian corporations.

 

Due to a weakening US Dollar and expectations of additional sanctions against Russia, the price of oil has risen to close to $74.00 on the energy front. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) oil inventory data will be attentively monitored for additional guidance. As anticipated, the US EIA will report an increase of 0.187 million barrels in oil stocks for the week ending March 24.

 

Notably, Canada is the leading oil exporter to the United States, and rising crude prices would strengthen the Canadian Dollar further.