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On February 4th, Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, commented on the US January Services PMI data, stating that the continued expansion of the services sector, supported by strong manufacturing output growth in January, indicates that the economy is growing at an annualized rate of approximately 1.7%. However, this growth rate is significantly slower than the pace of expansion before the slowdown in December, suggesting that first-quarter GDP growth may be cooling. Consumer-facing businesses are increasingly reporting a challenging operating environment, with service demand declining in January and nearly stagnating in December, reflecting weak consumer confidence and cost-of-living pressures. While financial and business service providers have shown relative resilience, demand growth in these sectors is also beginning to weaken amid growing concerns about the economic outlook, often attributed to political uncertainty. Meanwhile, inflationary pressures in the services sector remain high.The US January ISM non-manufacturing PMI will be released in ten minutes.The European Parliament may hold a preliminary vote on the US trade agreement on February 24.EU lawmakers said the European Parliament has agreed to resume efforts to implement the US trade agreement.The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened 215.49 points higher, or 0.44%, at 49,456.48 on Wednesday, February 4; the Nasdaq Composite Index opened 110.00 points lower, or 0.47%, at 23,145.19 on Wednesday, February 4; and the S&P 500 Index opened 1.81 points lower, or 0.03%, at 6,915.98 on Wednesday, February 4.

Extends Recovery Off 100-HMA Towards Critical Resistance at 0.9230 in USD/CHF Price Analysis

Daniel Rogers

Mar 30, 2023 16:02

USD:CHF.png 

 

Following yesterday's retreat, USD/CHF investors are back at the table on Thursday morning as the currency pair's price continues to rise around 0.9200. Consequently, the Swiss currency pair recovers from the 100-Hour Moving Average (HMA) and validates the upwardly sloping RSI (14) line, indicating that the market is not overbought.

 

As a result, USD/CHF investors should see further gains. A confluence of an ascending trend line from last Friday and a three-week-old descending resistance line near 0.9230 appears to be an insurmountable barrier for pair buyers to overcome before regaining control.

 

If USD/CHF buyers are able to maintain control above 0.9230, an advance to 0.9300 and the monthly high near 0.9340 cannot be ruled out. A decisive break above 0.9340, however, would not hesitate to challenge the monthly high near 0.9440.

 

In contrast, the 100-HMA level surrounding 0.9180 restricts the immediate downside of the USD/CHF price, and a breach of this level could drive prices toward a rising support line from March 13, close to 0.9150.

 

Notably, the USD/CHF pair's susceptibility beyond 0.9150 makes it susceptible to testing the monthly low around 0.9070.

 

Overall, the USD/CHF pair is likely to rise further, but confirmation of the uptrend is needed at 0.9230.