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On August 15th, regarding the issue of non-Shanghai residents purchasing homes for replacement purposes, a staff member at the Shanghai Real Estate Transaction Center hotline stated that no new policies have been introduced. According to the hotline staff, non-Shanghai resident families who sell their only property can exchange it for one more home within the city, provided the ownership remains the same before and after. No social security or individual income tax certificates are required. This policy has been in effect since May 28, 2024. For non-Shanghai resident families or single adults selling some of their properties (i.e., owning two or more properties), when purchasing a new home, the number and location of the new home must match the previously sold property—if a property is sold outside the outer ring road, it can only be purchased outside the outer ring road; if a property is sold within the outer ring road, it can only be purchased within the outer ring road. No social security or individual income tax certificates are required. This policy has been in effect since February 26, 2026. Regarding home purchases and exchanges by foreign individuals, hotline staff stated that foreign individuals who sell all their properties in Shanghai can exchange them for and purchase one additional home in the city without submitting a foreigners residence permit (work category), a Shanghai employment contract valid for at least one consecutive year prior to the date of purchase, or proof of social security and individual income tax payments valid for at least one consecutive year prior to the date of purchase. However, they still need to sign a commitment letter for self-occupancy of the property. This policy will take effect on July 29, 2026.On August 15th, a rare occurrence this week was Jensen Huang joining forces with six Wall Street asset management giants to endorse the idea of "developing AI computing power into an independent asset class." Analysts believe this is Huang putting his "meta-economics" into practice, signifying that the AI hype is extending from a technology race to a capital race. However, this latest plan has also sparked investor concerns about "revolving financing" and debt risks. Faced with these questions, Huang personally reassured the market again. He stated that Nvidia might "provide a residual value support mechanism of up to 25% for individual investment projects" and would carefully evaluate each project. Market sentiment subsequently eased slightly.August 15th - According to Lighthouse Pro, as of August 15th, the total box office (including pre-sales) for August 2026 has exceeded 3 billion yuan. Spider-Man: New Day, Welcome to Dragon Restaurant, Eight Immortals, Odyssey, and Kung Fu Soccer are currently ranked in the top five at the August box office.According to Irans Press TV, Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon have killed seven people and injured three.Ukrainian President Zelensky: The Ukrainian military attacked a Russian military airbase in Nizhny Novgorod and Russian oil facilities in Ust-Luga.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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