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July 26th - According to French LCI television news, Trump stated regarding Iran that if we cannot get 100% of what we want from Iran, we will absolutely consider resuming a full-scale war. When asked what he would like to say to European allies, Trump said they are lucky to have a friend like him.Ukrainian President Zelensky: Russian satellite monitoring shows that Moscow is assisting Tehran in its strike operations in the Middle East.The UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office advises against traveling to any area within 10 kilometers of the Saudi border with Yemen; except where necessary, avoid areas between 10 and 80 kilometers from the Saudi border with Yemen.On July 26, local time, US President Trump ordered the US military not to launch new airstrikes against Iran that day, ending nearly two weeks and 13 days of daily strikes. It is understood that Trump had previously approved daily strike plans submitted by the military, but after receiving a new operational plan on the 25th, he did not approve its implementation and instead directly ordered a halt to airstrikes for the day. It is unclear whether this decision is merely a one-day temporary measure or signifies a pause in military operations. Reportedly, hours before Trump ordered the suspension of airstrikes, an Omani delegation arrived in Tehran to negotiate new arrangements for reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Two regional sources familiar with the negotiations stated that progress had been made, and Oman and Iran are expected to reach an agreement by the end of the week, at which time Trump will decide whether to accept the proposed solution.A spokesperson for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard stated: "In 15 days of fighting, we destroyed 11 U.S. fighter jets and helicopters."

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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