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August 28th - Data released on Friday showed that Tokyos core CPI rose 1.8% year-on-year in August, gradually approaching the central banks 2% target, indicating that price pressures from the Middle East conflict are widening. Previously, the Bank of Japan raised its main interest rate to a 31-year high of 1% in June, and kept it unchanged in July, but issued its strongest statement to date regarding escalating inflation risks. Analysts pointed out that the recent sharp rise in wholesale prices, reaching 7.2% year-on-year in July, highlights the increasing price pressures from the Middle East conflict, which may push up consumer prices in the future.SEOUL, Aug. 28 (Yonhap) -- A ship carrying petroleum products caught fire Thursday evening in waters near Incheon, west of Seoul, the South Korean Coast Guard said. The fire has been extinguished. The Coast Guard said the 7,000-ton vessel caught fire at around 10:38 p.m. Thursday. There were 18 crew members on board; two died, and the remaining 16 were rescued and are in stable condition. Initial suspicions suggest the fire originated in the engine room but did not spread to the fuel storage tanks.On August 28th, Futures News reported that, according to foreign media, sources revealed that US President Trump and his energy, environment, and agriculture officials met on Wednesday to discuss a plan to expand exemptions for small refineries to blend biofuels. The proposal aims to double the number of exemptions from the current 990 million renewable fuel credits (RINs) to as many as 1.8 billion, with a final decision expected by the end of August. This move aims to curb soaring gasoline prices caused by the six-month-long US-Israel war in Iraq, helping Republicans maintain control of Congress in the November midterm elections, but has already triggered a strong backlash from the US agricultural sector. US renewable fuel identification numbers (RINs) have also fallen sharply due to market expectations of weakening biofuel demand. On Thursday, an agricultural and biofuel industry consortium, including the US Renewable Fuels Association, Growth Energy, and the National Farmers Union, wrote to Trump urging him to reject the exemption expansion plan, warning that a significant increase in small refinery exemptions would weaken demand for crops such as corn and soybean oil, as well as renewable fuels, severely damaging the rural economy.Japans Tokyo unadjusted CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month in August, unchanged from the previous month.Japans Tokyo CPI rose 1.9% year-on-year in August, below the expected 1.90% and the previous figure revised from 2.00% to 1.80%.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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