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Japans March trade balance will be released in ten minutes.South Korea added only 74,000 jobs in April, the weakest performance since a year-on-year decrease of 52,000 in December 2024, following data released Wednesday by Statistics Korea. The job gains in February and March were both in the 200,000 range. The unemployment rate was 2.9%, unchanged from the same period last year. The number of unemployed was 853,000, a decrease of 2,000 year-on-year. By sector, employment in the health and social welfare services industry increased by 261,000 year-on-year, arts, sports and leisure-related services by 54,000, and real estate by 49,000. Employment in the science and technology services industry decreased by 115,000, and manufacturing by 55,000. Statistics Korea noted that the record decline in employment in the science and technology services industry since it was classified separately in 2013 is mainly due to the base effect of strong employment growth in previous years.On May 13, Iranian Vice President Shina Ansari stated that a suspected oil spill near Kharg Island, Irans main oil hub, was likely caused by wastewater discharge from an oil tanker, rather than a leak from oil facilities. Satellite images show the suspected spill area covers tens of square kilometers of sea near Kharg Island. According to Iranian state media, Vice President Ansari said, "Our monitoring results indicate that the pollution was caused by ballast water containing contaminants discharged from a non-Iranian oil tanker. No oil leaks were found in pipelines or oil facilities."On May 13, Yonhap News Agency reported that South Korean Defense Minister Ahn Gyu-baek stated on Wednesday that South Korea is studying a phased approach to participating in actions to ensure navigational safety in the Strait of Hormuz, signaling a preference for support without direct military involvement. Ahn stated that he conveyed South Koreas position during his meeting with US Defense Secretary Hergsays on Monday. Ahn said, "We broadly expressed this position: fundamentally, South Korea will participate as a responsible member of the international community and will assess ways to contribute in phases." Ahn indicated that phased support could include statements of political support, personnel deployment, information sharing, and the provision of military assets, but he emphasized that the two sides did not have detailed discussions on expanding South Korean military involvement. The day before the South Korea-US defense ministers meeting, South Korea condemned the attack on a South Korean-flagged vessel near the Strait of Hormuz last week. The South Korean presidential office strongly condemned the incident but stated that the investigation into the perpetrators was ongoing.South Koreas unemployment rate was 2.8% in April, compared to an expected 2.7% and a previous reading of 2.70%.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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