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On September 5th, the European Border and Coast Guard Agency (EBR) announced on the 4th that it had deployed a patrol vessel to the English Channel for the first time to support French search and rescue operations against overloaded migrant boats at sea. More vessels will be deployed in the coming months. According to EBR, the patrol vessel, from the Spanish Civil Guard, began operations off the French coast this week, working in conjunction with reconnaissance aircraft deployed over the English Channel since 2021. The agency emphasized that its mission is limited to supporting French search and rescue operations and does not include intercepting migrants at sea. The patrol vessel will help France gain a more comprehensive understanding of maritime dynamics, detecting, identifying, and tracking small vessels, and transmitting precise information to French authorities in real time. EBR stated that more vessels from other EU member states will join the operation in the coming months.On September 5, U.S. Central Command issued a statement saying that on September 5, after the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) launched ballistic missiles at two U.S. Navy warships patrolling in regional waters, U.S. Central Command forces attacked three Iranian oil tankers. A U.S. aircraft carrier and a guided-missile destroyer successfully evaded multiple unprovoked attacks by Iran. There were no U.S. casualties. Following the failed Iranian attacks, U.S. Central Command permanently sank the IRGC oil tanker "Downy" near Harqa Island and the oil tanker "Stark 1" near Jask. The U.S. military also completely destroyed the unloaded oil tanker "Kailo" (also known as "Noxson") in the Gulf of Oman. After the crew was ordered to abandon ship, the U.S. military struck several key parts of the ship, rendering it unable to continue sailing. These three Iranian oil tankers belonged to a secret network worth billions of dollars that financed the IRGC and its regional proxies. Iran was unable to protect these tankers.U.S. Central Command: The United States retaliated against Irans ballistic missile attack on two U.S. Navy warships.U.S. Central Command: U.S. forces attacked three Iranian oil tankers.September 5th - According to tanker tracking agency Tankertrackers, satellite images released today show that the VLCC supertanker "DOWNY," owned by the National Iranian Tanker Company (NITC), was attacked. The vessel was currently empty of oil cargo and in a ballast-less state. This type of vessel is typically targeted by the US Central Command in retaliation for Iranian attacks on tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Satellite images show frequent activity from multiple tugboats around the vessel, a finding corroborated by Automatic Identification System (AIS) data, with the activity beginning around 12:45 PM Beijing time today. This activity was concentrated on the port stern (lower left corner of the vessel), suggesting an attack on the engine room, most likely by a US Hellfire missile. No signs of fire or smoke were observed in thermal imaging.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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