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Bank of England Chief Economist Peel: Monetary policy has not been tight enough in the past few years.June 29th - Thomas Mathews, Head of Asia Pacific Markets at Capital Economics, stated in a report that the rally in US Treasuries that previously drove yields lower is expected to lose momentum, while German bonds may rise further. He said that US Treasuries face some key tests this week. He pointed out that one of the key reasons for the Federal Reserves rate cuts is to protect the health of the labor market. "But labor market momentum has strengthened recently, and we expect the US June jobs report, to be released later this week, to be strong again," Mathews said. It is becoming increasingly clear that labor market conditions will not be a reason to postpone tightening policy. "This may be the biggest risk facing US Treasuries in the near term, but it is not the only risk."On June 29th, Samsung Group Chairman Lee Jae-yong stated, "This is a race against time." He added that the updated plan accelerates Samsung Electronics pace in building chip plants in the Seoul metropolitan area. According to the plan, Gwangju in southwestern South Korea will be developed into a new memory chip manufacturing center, while Cheonan and Onyang will be built into high-bandwidth memory (HBM) packaging centers. Furthermore, Samsung Electronics plans to deploy humanoid robots at its chip plant in Gumi, North Gyeongsang Province, and increase related investments.Samsung Group Chairman Lee Jae-yong: This is a race against time. The updated plan accelerates Samsung Electronics pace in building a chip factory in the Seoul metropolitan area.SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-won: We will invest 400 trillion won to build a new chip cluster.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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