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August 20th - According to sources, the Trump administration is preparing to lower tariffs on imported Canadian cars from 25% to 15% as part of a broader agreement. Under this agreement, Canada would remove retaliatory trade measures imposed on the United States. Last year, the White House imposed a 25% tariff on foreign-made cars and trucks. For vehicles manufactured in Canada and Mexico, this tariff applied only to non-U.S. components, a move aimed at encouraging companies to move more production to the United States. Sources say the new 15% tariff rate will also use this "non-U.S. component" calculation rule. The specific details of the agreement have not yet been finalized. Furthermore, Trump has a history of last-minute changes to trade agreements, even canceling them altogether, just before a deal is reached, so the final outcome remains uncertain.Mayor of Kyiv: Kyiv is under attack by ballistic missiles.August 20th - As US government borrowing increases at an unprecedented rate, the total US national debt has surpassed $40 trillion. Despite Trumps promises to control government spending, the ever-expanding debt continues to raise concerns among investors about the state of US public finances. According to data released by the US Treasury Department on Wednesday, the total US federal debt surpassed the $40 trillion threshold on Tuesday. In the past year, its debt has increased by $3 trillion, the fastest growth rate in history excluding the pandemic period. "Its like a huge warning light on a car engine," said Mark Godwin, senior policy director at the Committee on a Responsible Federal Budget. "It doesnt mean the engine will burn out tomorrow, but its a clear signal that things are out of control. The problem isnt just the sheer size of the debt, but the speed at which weve reached this level." Over the past two decades, US national debt has risen dramatically, climbing from less than $6 trillion at the beginning of the century to its current level. Massive public spending during the financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic exacerbated the widening budget deficit. In the past decade alone, the overall debt has doubled. The Congressional Budget Office projects that the ratio of publicly held federal debt to GDP will exceed the historical peak of 106% set in 1946 after World War II around 2030, and will further climb to 120% by 2036.According to Al Jazeera: A U.S. State Department spokesperson said the Trump administration has begun discussions on Syrian sovereignty and Israels right to self-defense.On August 20th, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is soliciting public comments on computing power futures contracts as industry giants begin to accept computing power as a tradable asset. Several exchanges, including the CME Group, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), and emerging fintech company Architect Financial Technologies, have announced plans to launch related contracts after obtaining regulatory approval. These exchanges stated that establishing a computing power futures market would help end-users and speculators hedge against risks related to energy shortages or other issues that could impact the technological progress of AI developers. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig stated in a statement on Wednesday, “The U.S. cannot win the AI race without a robust computing power derivatives market. This comment period is the first step in establishing clear rules for the U.S. computing power market.” One of the issues addressed in the CFTCs comment period is how computing power futures differ from other types of derivatives or underlying commodities that the agency already regulates. Allowing computing power futures to be listed on CFTC-regulated exchanges may require further standardization of variables affecting computing power prices, including price indices used for settlement references.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.