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On May 15th, Reuters reported that Milan formally submitted his resignation to the Federal Reserve on Thursday, setting his departure date to be either or shortly before Warshs swearing-in as Fed chairman. Warsh is expected to be sworn in as Fed chairman in the coming days. In his resignation letter, Milan continued to warn that interest rates may be too high. He wrote that broader economic trends such as slowing population growth and deregulation will, on their own, reduce inflation, giving the Fed an opportunity to ease policy. He also argued that the technical challenges of measuring inflation could lead to inflation statistics being higher than they actually are.Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: If we had not waged two wars against Iran, we would be facing an entity with nuclear weapons, which would pose an existential threat to us.GFZ (German Center for Geosciences): A 6.37-magnitude earthquake struck the Banda Sea region.Iranian Foreign Ministry: Foreign Minister Araghchi met with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov, and the two sides discussed and reviewed cooperation between Tehran and Moscow in the fields of politics, energy, transportation, and regional cooperation. They also exchanged views on the latest developments in West Asia and negotiations related to the Iranian nuclear issue.On May 15th, local time, an emergency meeting of interior ministers from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member states was held in Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia, on May 14th. The meeting was chaired by Bahrain. The UAE delegation was led by Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Interior Saif al-Islam. Saif stated that the UAEs participation in this meeting demonstrates the UAEs consistent adherence to the principle of "indivisible security within the GCC," meaning that any threat to GCC member states will directly affect the security and stability of the entire region. Saif stated that the UAE will continue to be committed to strengthening national security, safeguarding development achievements, consolidating social cohesion, and responding to all attempts to undermine the security and stability of GCC member states.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.