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On September 7th, Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Ghalibaf announced on Sunday that Iran would adopt a more aggressive military posture in its war with the United States. Ghalibaf stated in a post, "If they havent understood by now, then they should understand before its too late that the rules of the game have changed. From now on, any act that infringes upon Irans interests and security will be met with a faster, fiercer, and more painful response." He had previously warned that Irans retaliatory actions would no longer be "reciprocal." Ghalibaf also acknowledged that Iran is facing severe economic pressure under the comprehensive sanctions and "strangulation" and isolation efforts led by the United States. He said, "Sharp exchange rate fluctuations, inflation, unemployment, and market management are fundamental challenges that have placed enormous pressure on peoples livelihoods." He further stated that Iran must commit to strengthening domestic production and utilizing technology to "develop short-term and permanent solutions."September 7th - Clashes between Yemeni government forces and Houthi rebels in Taiz and Hodeidah provinces entered their fourth day on the 6th. According to medical sources from both sides, the fighting has resulted in at least 117 deaths. A senior medical official operating with government forces on the west coast stated on the 6th that since the conflict began on the 3rd, 54 government soldiers have been killed and many others wounded. The fighting continues to escalate with no signs of abating. Meanwhile, medical personnel at a Houthi-controlled hospital in western Hodeidah province reported that 63 Houthi fighters have been killed in the clashes.September 7th - The 26th China International Fair for Investment and Trade (CIFIT) will be held in Xiamen, Fujian Province, from September 8th to 11th. This years CIFIT has attracted over 1,200 government agencies and business delegations from 129 countries and regions and 30 international organizations.Jared Kushner, Trumps son-in-law: We are working with Hamas to move towards disarmament and have reached an agreement with Israel on the ultimate goal of the Gaza Strip plan.The UK Maritime Trade Operations Office reports that 59 vessels have passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 48 hours.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.