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September 7th - According to Nikkei, Toyota Motor Corporation aims to increase its operating profit (excluding new car sales, such as software updates and vehicle leasing) by approximately 40% to 3 trillion yen (about US$19.2 billion) by fiscal year 2030. The Japanese automaker hopes to move away from its current business model, which is heavily reliant on new car sales, by generating profits from its existing 150 million Toyota vehicles worldwide.Conflict Status 1. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard claims to have struck a US aircraft carrier and destroyer. 2. Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon have resulted in multiple casualties. 3. Clashes between Yemeni government forces and Houthi rebels have left at least 117 people dead. Strait of Hormuz 1. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard released video footage of its actions against vessels violating regulations, claiming that the US escort was a complete lie. 2. Iran says it will declare the Strait of Hormuz a "no-go zone" in the coming days. 3. Secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council: The navigational route map for the Strait of Hormuz agreed upon with Oman will be signed in the coming days. 4. Secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council: Iran will only commit to keeping the Strait of Hormuz open if the US ceases its threats or attacks. 5. UK Maritime Trade Operations Office: 59 vessels passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 48 hours. Other Matters 1. Iranian military: Has demonstrated a new mode of resistance and will not surrender to the US. 2. Lebanese President: Israels attacks have exceeded the scope of the ceasefire agreement and the framework agreement for national institutions. 3. Iranian Parliament Speaker: Any future actions targeting Iranian interests and security will be met with a "faster, fiercer, and more painful" response. 4. The UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and eight other countries issued a joint statement condemning Israels statements regarding the expulsion of Palestinians from the Gaza Strip. 5. Iranian Foreign Ministry: The US waged war but made the whole world pay the price. 6. Iran will raise gasoline prices for heavy users.September 7th - Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Baghae stated: "The Strait of Hormuz was completely unobstructed until February 28th, when the US and Israel invaded Iran. Washington launched an illegal and barbaric war, disrupting normal commercial shipping; oil tankers stopped sailing, trade was interrupted, and energy prices soared. The US started the war, yet expects the whole world to pay for it, while portraying Iran as the instigator of this chaos. This is utterly absurd."September 7th - According to the Financial Times, citing multiple Western defense and intelligence officials, Europe has failed to effectively deter Russias "hybrid warfare" against the continent and must quickly develop new methods to curb Moscows actions against NATO member states, or risk escalating conflict with the Kremlin. Western officials stated that last months thwarted drone strike on Leipzig/Halle airport, carrying military-grade explosives, highlighted Russias brazenness in its aggressive practices against NATO and the ineffectiveness of existing deterrents. They added that a collective action from European countries is needed to address the issue. A senior Western defense official stated, "It is clear that we are doing far too little to deter provocations that do not violate NATOs Article 5." They added, "The deterrent force we provide is sufficient to prevent Russia from escalating conventional and nuclear warfare. But we really need to rethink our strategy for dealing with hybrid warfare."Ukrainian President Zelensky: We may prefer certain forms of negotiation, but worse is that there are no forms of negotiation at all. I want to thank U.S. Special Envoy for the Middle East, Witkov, and Trumps son-in-law, Kushner, for their roles in restarting the negotiation process today. It is very important that the U.S. team met with the Russian leaders and then with me today to discuss all possibilities. We held trilateral talks with European representatives, as well as a meeting of national security advisors, and I believe we will do everything we can to resume negotiations.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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