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On September 14th, U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright warned oil traders not to expect a quick breakthrough on the Strait of Hormuz issue. Iran is planning to propose a shipping agreement to other Gulf states. In an interview on Sunday, Wright stated, "Expecting to reach a consensus agreement with Iran today is clearly not a good option." He said the market still needs to rely on alternative shipping routes. He estimated that these alternative routes can currently still supply about 10 million barrels of crude oil and petroleum products per day. Wright said, "Therefore, the current global oil market supply is indeed tighter than we would like, but not excessively so." Wright also said that Irans nuclear program will end "in some way," adding, "We prefer a negotiated solution. If negotiations fail, they can continue with a secret, hidden, covered-up, and denied nuclear weapons program, but after that, Iran will face the U.S. military, and the U.S. military will ensure they cannot develop nuclear weapons."U.S. Energy Secretary Wright stated that the U.S. will terminate Irans nuclear program "no matter what"; the U.S. expressed concern over the suspension of inspections of Irans nuclear program. Hoping to reach a Hormuz-related agreement with Iran is not a prudent option.Musk confirmed that Tesla will livestream the launch event for its Roadster electric sports car.According to the Iranian news agency IRNA: The Israeli military continues its airstrikes in southern Lebanon, bombing several towns and areas in Nabatieh.On September 14th, Business Insider, citing a source familiar with the matter, reported that Anthropic has chosen Nasdaq as the listing venue for its potential IPO. Another source indicated that the company, planning to list in October, has chosen Nasdaq, meaning the exchange has won another significant competition. Earlier this year, Nasdaq successfully secured a listing for SpaceX, which is valued at $1.75 trillion. Some estimates suggest Anthropic could be valued at $2 trillion, although this figure is not yet finalized. Previously, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated that OpenAI would not be going public at this time due to the controversy surrounding the potential existential threat of AI to humanity.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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