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On May 3, OPEC issued a statement announcing that the seven OPEC+ countries (Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman) will hold an online meeting on May 3, 2026, to review the global market situation and outlook. The seven participating countries decided to implement a production adjustment of 188,000 barrels per day, on top of the additional voluntary adjustments announced in April 2023. This adjustment will be implemented in June 2026. The seven countries will meet again on June 7.On May 3, local time, Russian Presidential Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov stated that if Ukraine is unwilling to reach an agreement, Russia will use sustained and intensified military action until a "victory" is achieved to force it to accept it. Peskov emphasized that achieving the goal through a peace agreement—namely, resolving the Ukrainian issue through negotiations—remains a priority for Russia. Peskov stated that despite facing a "serious energy crisis," Russias interests will be protected. He pointed out that Ukraines attacks on Russian oil infrastructure will trigger a greater oil shortage, while the resulting increase in fuel prices will actually boost the revenue of Russian companies and the national treasury.TankerTrackers: This is the second time Iraq has shipped fuel oil to Syria for export by sea. The first shipment was sent to Spain last week.TankerTrackers: According to Al Jazeera, Iraq is diverting fuel to Syria in search of reliable alternative oil export routes due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.Iranian Foreign Ministry: Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi briefed the Omani Foreign Minister on Irans efforts to end the war.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.