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On July 20th, the Ministry of Commerce held a national teleconference on July 17th to advance the mid-year work of the consumer goods trade-in program. The meeting summarized the progress and achievements of the policy implementation in the first half of the year and deployed key tasks for the next stage. The meeting emphasized that all regions and relevant departments should further enhance their political awareness, establish and practice a correct view of performance, and implement the consumer goods trade-in policy meticulously and effectively with a persistent and dedicated approach. They should further intensify their efforts, strengthen inter-departmental coordination, widely publicize the policy, and expand its coverage. They should also continuously enrich offline consumption scenarios, optimize the subsidy review and disbursement process, facilitate public participation in and enjoyment of the policy, and enhance the publics sense of gain.Preliminary plans indicate that Angola will load 34 tankers of crude oil in September, compared to 35 tankers planned for August.On July 20th, Citigroup strategists stated that the widely discussed "Big Seven" tech concept is "no longer applicable" in assessing investment opportunities in the US AI sector. The strategy team, led by Scott Chronert, suggested that investors should turn their attention to a broader range of stocks that have consistently been major drivers of earnings growth and share price increases for the S&P 500. They recommended focusing on the so-called "growth cluster," a group that includes not only large-cap tech stocks but also most companies benefiting from AI infrastructure development. Chronert stated that this group accounts for more than half of the S&P 500s total market capitalization and contributes nearly 48% of earnings. After driving the S&P 500 to record highs in recent years, the "Big Seven" tech index is projected to underperform the market by 2026 as investors favor sectors expected to benefit from massive AI capital expenditures.July 20th - According to the Guangzhou Railway Bureau, due to rainfall in parts of Hunan Province, and to ensure the safety of passenger train operations, train schedules will be continuously adjusted based on the affected area. From July 20th to 21st, some trains on the Beijing-Guangzhou Railway and the Shanghai-Kunming Railway are scheduled to be suspended. Please check the 12306 website (App) for specific train cancellations. The railway department will continue to dynamically adjust train schedules based on the rainfall situation. Passengers with travel needs are advised to pay close attention to announcements on the 12306 website and at stations to plan their trips accordingly.The EU has stated that it has filed charges against several companies and multiple trade associations in France, Germany, and Spain.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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