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SenseTime (00020.HK): It is expected to record a profit of approximately RMB500 million to RMB700 million in the first half of the year, compared with a loss of approximately RMB1.48927 billion in the same period last year.On August 16, the Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRIB) reported that Iranian Army Commander-in-Chief Amir Hatami announced a $30,000 reward for the capture or killing of U.S. soldiers. The reward will reportedly be given to any Iranian soldier who comes from "the Iranian people."On August 16, Zijin Mining International (02259.HK) announced that in the first half of the year, thanks to the full contribution of newly acquired assets and the continued optimization of mature mines, gold production increased by 44% year-on-year to approximately 27.3 tons; revenue and profit attributable to owners of the parent company increased by 100% and 179% year-on-year, respectively, and net cash flow from operating activities increased significantly by 331% year-on-year.On August 16, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces reported that Ukrainian forces attacked the "Kamensky Joint Enterprise" in Rostov Oblast, Russia, a Russian military-industrial complex. The Ukrainian side stated that a fire broke out at the target site, and the extent of the damage and the results of the operation are still being verified. The Ukrainian military stated that this military-industrial enterprise is a major Russian military-industrial enterprise, producing solid rocket fuel for the "Hurricane," "Tornado," and "Tornado-S" multiple rocket launcher munitions, as well as related fuels for various missile systems and air-to-ground weapons. On August 16, local time, the Russian Ministry of Defense released a 24-hour combat report stating that Russian forces had taken control of two settlements: Pershomalievka in the Donetsk region and Kudyevka in the Kharkiv region. The report stated that Russian air defense forces shot down 14 guided bombs, 1 US-made HIMARS rocket, 9 Flamingo long-range cruise missiles, and 1,478 fixed-wing drones. This is the highest number of Ukrainian drones shot down in a single day as reported by the Russian Ministry of Defense to date.On August 16th, according to a report by Axios, citing three sources familiar with the matter, in mid-May, US negotiators encountered a problem when attempting to reach an agreement with Iran to end the war: they were unsure whether the Iranian representatives across the negotiating table truly represented the countrys powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). The report stated that, therefore, Trump administration officials took an unusual approach—bypassing Iranian negotiators and contacting the IRGC leadership directly. The person chosen by the US to oversee this secret communication channel was Nechirvan Barzani, the president of the Iraqi Kurdistan Region. He possessed an extremely rare advantage: the trust of both the US and the IRGC leadership. This incident highlights that a key reason for the difficulties in US-Iran negotiations lies in Washingtons inability to ascertain who truly holds decision-making power in Iran. The US and Iran did ultimately reach a memorandum of understanding, but it quickly collapsed.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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