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The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 151.42 points, or 0.28%, to close at 54,036.52 on Friday, August 7; the S&P 500 rose 47.63 points, or 0.62%, to close at 7,757.59; and the Nasdaq Composite rose 342.26 points, or 1.30%, to close at 26,690.62.Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy expressed his gratitude for the US Senates passage of the Russian sanctions bill.According to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), in the week ending August 4, speculators reduced their net short positions in Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) U.S. Treasury futures by 41,225 contracts to 176,272 contracts. They reduced their net short positions in CBOT 2-year U.S. Treasury futures by 120,346 contracts to 1,004,228 contracts. They increased their net short positions in CBOT 5-year U.S. Treasury futures by 179,319 contracts to 1,325,719 contracts. They reduced their net short positions in CBOT 2-year U.S. Treasury futures by 120,346 contracts to 1,004,228 contracts. They reduced their net short positions in CBOT ultra-long-term U.S. Treasury futures by 5,723 contracts to 314,985 contracts.The Spanish government announced that passport and nationality checks for Italian passengers will begin at midnight on Saturday and continue until September 7.On August 8th, JPMorgan Chase predicted that corporate bond issuance related to technology would exceed $500 billion this year. The bank raised its 2026 debt issuance forecast for the technology, media, and telecommunications sectors from $450 billion to $540 billion, citing increased spending by large technology companies as they lead an artificial intelligence investment cycle. A team led by JPMorgan strategist Erica Spier stated in a report on Friday that chip-backed financing will be the "next major frontier" supporting AI infrastructure development, potentially "expanding to trillions of dollars" by the end of this decade. JPMorgan has identified seven investment-grade data center financing opportunities beyond the six projects already financed, four of which are expected to come from Oracle and OpenAI. The bank anticipates Meta Platforms will return to the bond market after releasing its third-quarter earnings, while Microsoft is seen as the "biggest uncertainty," potentially raising funds from bond investors for the first time since 2017.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers above 0.8000 in advance of Eurozone inflation and UK gross domestic product

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 16:05

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The EUR/GBP pair extended its recovery above 0.88 during the Asian trading session. Anticipating that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the cross has depreciated progressively. Friday will see the publication of preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) figures. Prior to the publication of these figures, it is anticipated that the asset will exhibit explosive activity.

 

It is anticipated that the preliminary Eurozone HICP will decelerate significantly from 8.5% to 7.3%. While it is anticipated that the core HICP will rise to 5.7% from 5.6% in the previous release. Weak energy prices are anticipated to have a significant impact on Eurozone inflation. In light of Christine Lagarde's prediction that inflation will remain elevated for an extended period of time, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy.

 

In the interim, banking tensions are subsiding as the absence of information regarding additional collateral damage has a positive impact on the market. Chief Economist Philip Lane stated on Wednesday that ECB interest rates must rise if banking tension has no or a "relatively limited" impact.

 

Investors avidly anticipate the United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. According to the consensus, the United Kingdom's growth in the fourth quarter of CY2022 remained unchanged. It is anticipated that the annual GDP will remain unchanged at 0.4%. It is expected that the British economy will undergo a severe recession as a result of high inflation and sluggish growth.

 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers appear confident that inflation will moderate in the near future and that the unexpected rise in February's inflation was a one-time anomaly; however, the absence of evidence raises doubts. If inflation persists, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that additional rate increases would be announced. In contrast, Bank of America (BoA) analysts anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will not increase rates and will maintain current levels until 2024.


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