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March 4th - Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated on Wednesday that a significant increase in wage levels is needed for Japan to sustainably achieve its 2% inflation target. Speaking in parliament, Ueda said, "The Bank of Japan cannot exert a strong influence on real wage growth," which depends primarily on medium- to long-term labor productivity. He added, "However, we will implement monetary policy to ensure that Japan sustainably and stably achieves its inflation target while wages grow."March 4 – Lou Qinjian, spokesperson for the Fourth Session of the 14th National Peoples Congress, stated that safeguarding national sovereignty, security, and development interests is the starting point and ultimate goal of all foreign relations. The Taiwan question is Chinas internal affair and is the core of Chinas core interests. China firmly opposes the erroneous remarks made by Japanese leaders regarding Taiwan. The Chinese people will never allow any external forces to interfere in Chinas internal affairs and will resolutely safeguard national sovereignty, unity, and territorial integrity.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: If the economic and price trends are in line with our forecasts, we will continue to raise interest rates.Japans household consumer confidence index for February was 40, below the expected 38.2 and the previous reading of 37.9.March 4th - Since the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East this week, the yen has continued to weaken, deviating from its traditional safe-haven asset role, and Tokyo traders are preparing for possible government intervention. The yen has depreciated by about 1% since last Friday, to 157.2 yen to the dollar. Traders say this contrasts sharply with previous periods of geopolitical tension. Neil Newman, Japan strategist at Astris Advisory, said, "The yen is no longer a safe-haven asset. Companies stopped doing so about four years ago. They are now under pressure to the opposite, encouraged to invest overseas, and are still doing so on a large scale. In Japans current economic environment, there is no incentive to repatriate funds." Analysts say the yens unexpected weakness highlights structural changes and vulnerabilities in the Japanese economy. The market has been assessing the impact of Sanae Takashis expanded fiscal spending plan and her opposition to further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. Tai Hui, chief market strategist for Asia Pacific at JPMorgan Asset Management, said increased exchange rate volatility has significantly reduced the yens appeal as a hedging currency. Geopolitical conflicts have also increased Japans exposure to rising energy prices and upside inflation risks.

USD/CAD Bears In Control And Aiming At Support Zone Lows

Alina Haynes

Apr 04, 2023 13:53

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The USD/CAD exchange rate is unchanged on the day after a succession of negative impulses drove the price into new territory to the downside and deeper into a support region as a result of the oil price rally. The USD/CAD exchange rate was 1.3431 at the time of writing.

 

Monday's 6.3% rise in West Texas Intermediate WTI crude oil to an intraday high of $81.51 strengthened the CAD. The oil price surged after the OPEC+ cartel surprised the market with a production cut of 1.1 million barrels per day to support prices, with the cartel announcing that it will reduce output prior to Monday's ministerial meeting.

 

Analysts at TD Securities observed that the Bank of Canada's Business/Consumer Surveys painted a more dovish picture ahead of the April BoC meeting, with a marked improvement in capacity pressures and consumer inflation expectations.

 

Analysts noted that firm-level inflation expectations continue to be elevated and that consumer growth and income expectations have also increased since the fourth quarter.

 

''The Bank of Canada should be pleased with these results, which indicate a decline in capacity pressures and a moderation in inflationary pressures. However, inflation expectations remain a formidable impediment to near-term relief. If growth does not decelerate substantially in the second quarter, it may be difficult for the Bank of Canada to keep rates at 4.50 percent. Analysts believe that the report is optimistic for CAD.