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1. The three major U.S. stock indexes closed slightly lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.13% to 50,121.4 points, the S&P 500 was flat at 6,941.47 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.16% to 23,066.47 points. IBM fell more than 6%, and Salesforce fell more than 4%, leading the decline in the Dow. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index fell 0.57%, with Google and Microsoft falling more than 2%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 0.65%, with Hesai Technology falling nearly 6% and Huya falling more than 5%. 2. The three major European stock indexes closed mixed. The German DAX fell 0.53% to 24,856.15 points, the French CAC40 fell 0.18% to 8,313.24 points, and the UK FTSE 100 rose 1.14% to 10,472.11 points. 3. International precious metals futures generally closed higher, with COMEX gold futures rising 1.53% to $5107.80 per ounce and COMEX silver futures rising 4.60% to $84.08 per ounce. 4. The most active US crude oil contract closed up 1.45% at $64.89 per barrel; the most active Brent crude oil contract rose 1.15% to $69.60 per barrel.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially determined that a 4.7-magnitude earthquake occurred in the South China Sea at 06:27 on February 12, with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.February 12th - A surprisingly strong surge in US non-farm payrolls weighed on the US Treasury market, with traders reducing their bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut this year. Short-term Treasury bonds were hit hardest, with the two-year Treasury yield rising 6 basis points to around 3.51%. The money market now expects the next Fed rate cut to occur in July, rather than the previously anticipated June. Asian stock index futures diverged after US stocks closed flat. Futures indicated a rise in Japanese stocks after Thursdays holiday, while the Australian benchmark stock index contract fell. This volatility suggests that the current strength of the US economy is offsetting market desire for lower borrowing costs, supporting risk sentiment. Bret Kenwell of eToro said investors should welcome the US jobs report, even if it gives the Fed more room to keep interest rates unchanged. He noted, "If the labor market does stabilize, that will be constructive for both the economy and the markets."On February 12, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy refuted reports that he would announce elections on February 24, emphasizing that elections could only be held if all security guarantees were in place. Furthermore, Zelenskyy denied reports that the United States had threatened to withdraw its security guarantees to Ukraine if it did not announce a presidential election date, stating, "Some of Ukraines partners have raised the issue of elections, but Ukraine itself has never brought it up. However, Ukraine is absolutely ready for elections. Achieving this goal is simple: as long as there is a ceasefire, elections can be held."February 12th - Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Milan said on Wednesday that he would be "very happy" to remain at the Fed long-term if asked, but the decision is not in his hands. Milans term has expired, making it the only remaining position available for President Trump to nominate former Fed Governor Peter Warsh as his nominee for Fed Chair, unless Fed Chair Jerome Powell resigns when his term expires in mid-May. Powell has not yet indicated his intention to leave. In an interview, Milan stated, "What happens next this year depends on many factors: whether there is a vacancy, the presidents choice, and the Senates confirmation decision."

Prior to the release of Australian employment data, the AUD/JPY pair attempts to regain 89.00

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:44

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The AUD/JPY pair attempts to reclaim the critical resistance level of 89.00 during the Asian session. Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), has advocated for an extension of the already decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy in order to consistently achieve an inflation rate above 2%.

 

The decelerating Producer Price Index (PPI) contradicts the optimistic outlook of the Japanese government regarding wage growth. As expected by market participants, the March PPI did not change. The annual PPI came in at 7.2%, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 7.1% but lower than the previous release of 8.1%. The inability of companies to sustain accelerating production rates at factory gates is indicative of weak household demand.

 

Analysts at Commerzbank anticipate that the Japanese Yen will only appreciate over the long term if the current monetary policy is abandoned quickly.

 

Regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC), the IMF has stated that allowing more flexibility in YCC could have repercussions for global markets, but it could also prevent future policy shifts that could result in significant spillovers.

 

Investors are awaiting the March Employment Report for fresh impetus in the Australian Dollar. The market expects the Australian economy to add 20,000 employment, which is less than the previous estimate of 64.6K. While the Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 3.6% from 3.5% in February, it is anticipated that the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6%.

 

Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the door open for additional rate hikes if Australian inflation persists, so the publication of stronger-than-expected employment gains could reignite fears of additional rate hikes.