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April 8th - Ebury analysts stated in a report that market volatility is expected to intensify in the coming days as the US and Iran begin negotiations on a long-term peace plan. They said, "We suspect that market participants will not fully commit to risk-on trading, and oil futures or the dollar will not return to pre-war levels until a permanent agreement is reached."On April 8, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Mao Ning held a regular press conference. A reporter asked whether the spokesperson could introduce the arrangements for Foreign Minister Wang Yis visit to North Korea, and what Chinas expectations were for the visit. Mao Ning stated that China and North Korea are traditional friendly neighbors connected by mountains and rivers. Maintaining, consolidating, and developing China-North Korea relations has always been the unwavering strategic policy of the Chinese Party and government. Foreign Minister Wang Yis visit is an important measure for both sides to implement the consensus reached by the top leaders of the two parties and countries and promote the development of bilateral relations. China is willing to work with North Korea to strengthen strategic communication, enhance exchanges and cooperation, and continuously advance the traditional friendly and cooperative relations between China and North Korea.On April 8, local time, Ali Nikozadeh, Deputy Speaker of the Iranian Islamic Parliament, stated that Irans Supreme Leader would not approve the signing of a ceasefire agreement if the United States did not accept the 10 ceasefire terms proposed by Iran. Nikozadeh also stated that the Strait of Hormuz would not be restored to its previous state.Dutch Foreign Minister: I welcome the two-week ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran. All parties must abide by it and work towards a sustainable solution to the conflict. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz is crucial for all shipping.April 8 - It was learned from the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council (SASAC) that a new Overseas State-owned Assets Management Bureau has been established under the SASAC.

AUD/USD However, 0.6700 is the key to the upside

Daniel Rogers

Apr 11, 2023 14:41

AUD:USD.png 

 

In the early hours of Tuesday morning in Asia, the AUD/USD receives bids near 0.6650 to recover recent losses. In doing so, the Aussie pair recovers from the lowest levels in two weeks while reversing course from the horizontal support that has been in place for 12 days around 0.6620.

 

Nonetheless, imminent bearish MACD signals and a stable RSI indicate that the AUD/USD pair will continue to decline.

 

The convergence of the 10-day moving average and the support-turned-resistance line from March 10, close to the round number 0.6700, may also threaten the most recent price recovery.

 

Even if the AUD/USD bulls are able to surpass 0.6700, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair's February-March decline, located around 0.6805, will serve as the final line of defense for the bears.

 

Alternately, a break below 0.6620 could initiate a new decline aiming for the Year-to-Date (YTD) low established in February around 0.6565.

 

Notably, the AUD/USD pair's decline beyond 0.6565 confronts multiple obstacles to the south, including the highs for October 2022 near 0.6545 and 0.6520.

 

After that, a decline to the November 2022 low of approximately 0.6275 cannot be ruled out.

 

Regardless of the recent corrective rally, the AUD/USD remains on the radar of skeptics.