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On April 12th, Maybank senior strategist Fiona Lim stated that while the market may be somewhat disappointed by the lack of progress in US-Iran negotiations, this was not entirely unexpected. The US dollar may gain further upward momentum at the opening on Monday. Some Asian currencies, particularly those of net energy importers such as the South Korean won, Philippine peso, Japanese yen, and Thai baht, began to weaken last Friday and may continue to face pressure this week.On April 12th, Saxo Banks Chief Investment Strategist, Charu Chanana, stated that the failure of the US-Iran negotiations was a setback. For the market, this means the previous easing of tensions is likely to fade. Oil prices may rebound, risk sentiment will be dampened again, and the Strait of Hormuz, even without a complete closure, will remain a real choke point risk. However, this is not surprising given the significant differences in the two sides positions on nuclear safeguards and the Strait of Hormuz issue. For the US dollar, this means some renewed safe-haven support, but unless there is a new military escalation, a broad-based surge is unlikely. Gold may benefit from renewed geopolitical hedging demand, but the market is not yet fully back to the worst-case inflation shock scenario.Kremlin: Russia is prepared to sell natural gas to Europe if there is still a surplus in supply to "alternative markets".Kremlin: Russia currently has only 17% to 18% of Donetsk Oblast in Ukraine out of control.Kremlin: Even if Russia doesnt sell natural gas to the EU, the EU will find ways to buy it.

The EUR/USD Price Analysis Is Supported By Rebounds From 1.0840-45

Alina Haynes

Apr 11, 2023 14:37

EUR:USD.png 

 

On Tuesday morning, the EUR/USD reaches a new intraday peak near 1.0880 as bulls attempt to regain control following a two-day downtrend. Consequently, the Euro-U.S. dollar pair recovers after the convergence of the 100-day simple moving average and a two-week-long ascending support line.

 

However, the recovery movements of the major currency pair remain elusive unless the quote remains below the 13-day-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.0930.

 

A one-week-old descending trend line near 1.0900 is protecting the EUR/USD pair's near-term upside at press time.

 

In the event that the EUR/USD pair maintains strength above 1.0930, the 1.0975 monthly high may serve as the last line of defense for pair sellers before pushing the price to February's high of 1.1033.

 

Alternately, a breach of the 1.0840-45 support confluence would drive the price to the 1.0788 monthly low without hesitation.

 

Future EUR/USD skeptics may be challenged by the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels of the pair's March-April upswing, respectively near 1.0745 and 1.0690.

 

To restore market confidence, supporters of the EUR/USD must surpass 1.0930. The quote remains on the bears' radar despite the fact that 1.0845-40 limits the near-term decline.