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March 9th - The de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted shipping, forcing Saudi Arabia to divert its crude oil shipments to the Red Sea. Saudi Aramco recently launched a rare tender to supply approximately 4.6 million barrels of crude oil for immediate delivery, encompassing ultra-light, heavy, and its flagship Arab Light grade. This tender in the spot market reflects the pressure it faces. Because it typically sells only through long-term contracts, Saudi Aramco is unable to sell most of its oil through conventional channels and is instead transporting a record volume of crude to Yanbu port on the Red Sea via pipeline. Bloomberg vessel tracking data shows that its western terminal shipments have surged to approximately 2.3 million barrels per day this month, about 50% higher than any month since the end of 2016. Traders say the prices in these tenders represent a premium over the official selling prices for their respective grades in March. These official prices were set a month ago, well before the current Middle East conflict began.March 9th - According to foreign media reports, Saudi Aramco has provided spot crude oil supplies through a series of rare tenders due to the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz forcing cargoes to be diverted via the Red Sea. According to informed traders, the company recently offered approximately 4.6 million barrels of crude oil across three grades – Arab Extra Light, Arab Heavy, and Arab Light.Market news: Saudi Aramco has provided immediate crude oil supplies through a series of rare tenders.March 9th - As the escalating conflict in the Middle East pushes up global oil prices, the South Korean government has taken emergency measures. South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, at an emergency economic meeting on Monday, called for the "swift introduction and bold implementation of a maximum oil price system" to curb excessive price increases. Lee made these remarks as international oil prices approached $120 per barrel, a new high since 2022. Production cuts by Middle Eastern oil-producing countries, the continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and the USs threats to escalate the conflict have put continuous pressure on the energy market. South Korea relies almost entirely on energy imports, with approximately 70% of its oil transported through the Strait of Hormuz. This proposed oil price cap mechanism would be the first time South Korea has used such measures in nearly 30 years, aiming to mitigate the impact of geopolitical instability on its domestic energy supply chain.March 9th - According to the Financial Times, G7 finance ministers will hold an emergency meeting on Monday to discuss the possibility of jointly releasing emergency oil reserves under the coordination of the International Energy Agency (IEA). This meeting aims to address the surge in oil prices following the conflict in the Gulf region. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that the G7 finance ministers and IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol will hold a teleconference at 8:30 AM New York time (8:30 PM Beijing time) to discuss the impact of the war with Iran. Sources also indicated that three G7 countries, including the United States, have so far expressed support for the idea. The 32 member countries of the IEA hold strategic reserves as part of a collective emergency system established to address the oil price crisis. One source stated that some US officials believe a joint release of 300 to 400 million barrels of oil reserves would be appropriate, equivalent to 25% to 30% of the total reserves of 1.2 billion barrels.

The EUR/USD Price Analysis Is Supported By Rebounds From 1.0840-45

Alina Haynes

Apr 11, 2023 14:37

EUR:USD.png 

 

On Tuesday morning, the EUR/USD reaches a new intraday peak near 1.0880 as bulls attempt to regain control following a two-day downtrend. Consequently, the Euro-U.S. dollar pair recovers after the convergence of the 100-day simple moving average and a two-week-long ascending support line.

 

However, the recovery movements of the major currency pair remain elusive unless the quote remains below the 13-day-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.0930.

 

A one-week-old descending trend line near 1.0900 is protecting the EUR/USD pair's near-term upside at press time.

 

In the event that the EUR/USD pair maintains strength above 1.0930, the 1.0975 monthly high may serve as the last line of defense for pair sellers before pushing the price to February's high of 1.1033.

 

Alternately, a breach of the 1.0840-45 support confluence would drive the price to the 1.0788 monthly low without hesitation.

 

Future EUR/USD skeptics may be challenged by the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels of the pair's March-April upswing, respectively near 1.0745 and 1.0690.

 

To restore market confidence, supporters of the EUR/USD must surpass 1.0930. The quote remains on the bears' radar despite the fact that 1.0845-40 limits the near-term decline.