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UN Secretary-General António Guterres: The United Nations faces enormous difficulties in curbing the surge in global conflicts.On May 20, President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin jointly met with reporters at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing.Interest rate futures indicate that the Bank of England will raise interest rates by about 52 basis points by December, compared to about 60 basis points on Tuesday.On May 20, Chen Binhua, spokesperson for the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, commented on the remarks made by Taiwan leader Lai Ching-te during his "May 20" speech and Q&A session regarding cross-strait relations. He stated that Lais speech was filled with lies and deception, hostility and confrontation, stubbornly adhering to the erroneous "Taiwan independence" stance, promoting the fallacies of so-called "sovereign independence" and "non-subordination," exaggerating the "mainland threat," escalating cross-strait confrontation, and deliberately seeking "independence through force" and "independence through foreign support," thus undermining peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. This once again confirms that he is an out-and-out "disruptor of cross-strait peace" and a "creator of the Taiwan Strait crisis." While continuing to advocate "Taiwan independence" and manipulate "anti-China" sentiments, he hypocritically claims to promote cross-strait dialogue and exchanges, attempting to deceive the Taiwanese people and mislead international public opinion. These habitual tricks have been seen through by an increasing number of Taiwanese people, and his deceptive behavior and provocative actions will inevitably be met with resolute opposition from compatriots on both sides of the strait and the international community, and are doomed to failure.The Nikkei 225 index closed down 746.18 points, or 1.23%, at 59,804.41 on Wednesday, May 20.

USD/CAD declines to 1.3500 on firmer Oil prices, BoC concerns over US inflation, and Fed Minutes

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:35

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The USD/CAD maintains losses close to 1.3500, shattering a four-day winning trend, as traders brace for key Easter Monday data/events on major bourses. However, the recent decline in the Loonie-U.S. dollar exchange rate may be due to the increase in the price of WTI petroleum oil, Canada's primary export. In contrast to the recent increase in ardent Fed forecasts, the Bank of Canada's (BoC) dovish bias poses a challenge to pair sellers.

 

After increasing for three consecutive weeks, WTI crude oil prices gain 0.61 percent intraday near $80.00. Recent increases in the price of black gold may be due to geopolitical concerns surrounding China and Taiwan. In addition to the supply cut by OPEC+ and the faltering US dollar, the energy benchmark is sustained by the supply cut by OPEC+ and the weakening US dollar.

 

However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen for three consecutive weeks and is under pressure near 102,000.

 

Fears of higher Fed rates versus inaction from the Bank of Canada (BoC) grew after the upbeat US Jobs report versus the lack of significant positives in the March Canadian jobs report.

 

As a result, the CME's FedWatch Tool indicates a 69% chance of a 0.25 basis point rate hike in May, up from 55% prior to the US employment report.

 

Canada's headline Net Change in Employment increased to 34.7K in March from 21.8K in February, compared to the market consensus of 12K, while the Unemployment Rate came in at 5% versus the analysts' estimate of 5.0%. During the specified month, the Participation Rate decreased to 65.6% from the expected and previous rate of 65.7%. In addition, the average hourly wage fell 5.2% year-over-year in March, down from 5.5% in February.

 

In contrast, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 236K in March, the lowest increase since January 2021 (considering revisions), compared to the expected 240K and the previous 330,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate fell from 3.6% to 3.5%, while the labor force participation rate rose from 62.6% to 62.6%. The annual wage inflation rate decreased from 4.6% to 4.2%, below market expectations of 4.3%.

 

Futures on US equities ended higher, but yields remain under pressure ahead of the crucial BoC monetary policy meeting, US inflation, and Fed Minutes. Given the dovish concerns from the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the likely hawkish comments in the FOMC Minutes, the USD/CAD may see additional gains, barring any unexpected developments.


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