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On August 19th, China Resources Beer (00291.HK) announced in Hong Kong that its unaudited consolidated revenue for the first half of 2026 was RMB24.24 billion, an increase of 1.2% year-on-year; unaudited profit before interest and tax was RMB6.881 billion; and profit attributable to shareholders was RMB5.169 billion, compared to RMB5.789 billion in the same period last year. Net cash inflow from operating activities reached RMB6.729 billion, an increase of 5.6% year-on-year. The Board of Directors declared an interim dividend of RMB0.446 per share, representing a payout ratio of 28%, an increase of 2 percentage points year-on-year.On August 19th, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388.HK) announced in Hong Kong that its revenue and other income and profit for the first half of 2026 reached a record high for any half-year. Revenue and other income for the first half of 2026 was HK$16.702 billion, an increase of 19% compared to the first half of 2025. EBITDA margin was 81%, an increase of 2 percentage points compared to the first half of 2025. Profit attributable to shareholders was HK$10.568 billion, an increase of 24% compared to the first half of 2025.August 19th - According to the Financial Times, sources familiar with the matter said that Iran is considering including military targets in Europe in its strike range should Trump escalate the war. The sources indicated that the Iranian military has assessed the possibility of striking US military assets in Bulgaria and other southeastern European countries. The Iranian military has also assessed the option of severing undersea fiber optic cables in the Strait of Hormuz in the event of an escalation.On August 19th, the National Healthcare Security Administration interpreted the "15th Five-Year Plan for Universal Medical Security." The plan proposes to steadily advance the national centralized procurement of medicines and high-value medical consumables, while guiding local governments to establish procurement alliances with "one province leading and nationwide participation." It aims to continuously deepen cooperation in areas such as traditional Chinese medicine, biopharmaceuticals, and medical consumables, gradually including medicines and medical consumables with high clinical usage and inflated prices into the procurement scope to reduce the financial burden on the public. In accordance with the requirements of the Party Central Committee and the State Council, the plan adheres to the principles of "stabilizing clinical use, ensuring quality, combating involution, and preventing bid-rigging," optimizing and improving procurement rules, further enhancing the matching degree between centralized procurement products and clinical needs, colluding with drug regulatory authorities to ensure the quality of selected products, guiding fair and rational competition in the industry, and resolutely cracking down on bid-rigging and collusion in the pharmaceutical centralized procurement field.On August 19th, the National Healthcare Security Administration interpreted the "15th Five-Year Plan for Universal Medical Security." The plan emphasizes vigorously promoting the development of commercial medical insurance. It actively supports and guides the complementary and differentiated development of commercial medical insurance with basic medical insurance, focusing on the diverse needs of the public. It supports commercial insurance companies in enriching their product offerings, with a focus on developing commercial insurance products that primarily cover areas outside the basic medical insurance catalog, offer high levels of coverage, and support pharmaceutical innovation. The aim is to meet the unmet needs of the public beyond basic medical insurance and promote the better supplementary role of commercial medical insurance in the multi-tiered medical security system.

USD/CAD declines to 1.3500 on firmer Oil prices, BoC concerns over US inflation, and Fed Minutes

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:35

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The USD/CAD maintains losses close to 1.3500, shattering a four-day winning trend, as traders brace for key Easter Monday data/events on major bourses. However, the recent decline in the Loonie-U.S. dollar exchange rate may be due to the increase in the price of WTI petroleum oil, Canada's primary export. In contrast to the recent increase in ardent Fed forecasts, the Bank of Canada's (BoC) dovish bias poses a challenge to pair sellers.

 

After increasing for three consecutive weeks, WTI crude oil prices gain 0.61 percent intraday near $80.00. Recent increases in the price of black gold may be due to geopolitical concerns surrounding China and Taiwan. In addition to the supply cut by OPEC+ and the faltering US dollar, the energy benchmark is sustained by the supply cut by OPEC+ and the weakening US dollar.

 

However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen for three consecutive weeks and is under pressure near 102,000.

 

Fears of higher Fed rates versus inaction from the Bank of Canada (BoC) grew after the upbeat US Jobs report versus the lack of significant positives in the March Canadian jobs report.

 

As a result, the CME's FedWatch Tool indicates a 69% chance of a 0.25 basis point rate hike in May, up from 55% prior to the US employment report.

 

Canada's headline Net Change in Employment increased to 34.7K in March from 21.8K in February, compared to the market consensus of 12K, while the Unemployment Rate came in at 5% versus the analysts' estimate of 5.0%. During the specified month, the Participation Rate decreased to 65.6% from the expected and previous rate of 65.7%. In addition, the average hourly wage fell 5.2% year-over-year in March, down from 5.5% in February.

 

In contrast, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 236K in March, the lowest increase since January 2021 (considering revisions), compared to the expected 240K and the previous 330,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate fell from 3.6% to 3.5%, while the labor force participation rate rose from 62.6% to 62.6%. The annual wage inflation rate decreased from 4.6% to 4.2%, below market expectations of 4.3%.

 

Futures on US equities ended higher, but yields remain under pressure ahead of the crucial BoC monetary policy meeting, US inflation, and Fed Minutes. Given the dovish concerns from the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the likely hawkish comments in the FOMC Minutes, the USD/CAD may see additional gains, barring any unexpected developments.