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According to the Daily Mail, sources say British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has told close friends that he intends to resign and has developed a well-organized timetable for his departure.On May 17, British Columbia health officials reported on May 16 that a passenger from the cruise ship *Hundius*, who was quarantined in the province, tested positive for hantavirus in a preliminary test. British Columbias Chief Medical Officer of Health, Bonnie Henry, said the patient developed mild symptoms such as fever and headache two days prior and was subsequently hospitalized. Her preliminary hantavirus test on May 15 was positive. The patient is currently in isolation, and her test results still require confirmation by a microbiology laboratory. Her partner tested negative. Currently, 10 Canadian citizens are under quarantine due to the *Hundius* outbreak; four are in British Columbia for a 21-day quarantine, and the other six are in Alberta, Ontario, and Quebec.According to Israeli media reports, the massive explosion near Beit Shemesh, Israel, was a controlled industrial blast, with no casualties or property damage.May 17th - According to a report in the British newspaper *The Sun* on Saturday evening, British Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves plans to announce next week that she will postpone the planned fuel tax increase originally scheduled for September. The temporary fuel tax reduction measure, which began in 2022, was originally scheduled to expire this September. If the measure expires, fuel prices will rise by 5 pence (approximately 6.6 US cents) per liter. However, the British government has previously extended this tax reduction measure several times, most recently in the annual budget last November. *The Sun* reports that Reeves is preparing to extend the measure again.On May 17, US President Trump posted an AI-generated image on social media. In the image, Trump and a general are standing on a warship, while small boats and ships flying the Iranian flag are nearby. The caption reads, "This is the calm before the storm."

USD/CAD declines to 1.3500 on firmer Oil prices, BoC concerns over US inflation, and Fed Minutes

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:35

 USD:CAD.png

 

The USD/CAD maintains losses close to 1.3500, shattering a four-day winning trend, as traders brace for key Easter Monday data/events on major bourses. However, the recent decline in the Loonie-U.S. dollar exchange rate may be due to the increase in the price of WTI petroleum oil, Canada's primary export. In contrast to the recent increase in ardent Fed forecasts, the Bank of Canada's (BoC) dovish bias poses a challenge to pair sellers.

 

After increasing for three consecutive weeks, WTI crude oil prices gain 0.61 percent intraday near $80.00. Recent increases in the price of black gold may be due to geopolitical concerns surrounding China and Taiwan. In addition to the supply cut by OPEC+ and the faltering US dollar, the energy benchmark is sustained by the supply cut by OPEC+ and the weakening US dollar.

 

However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen for three consecutive weeks and is under pressure near 102,000.

 

Fears of higher Fed rates versus inaction from the Bank of Canada (BoC) grew after the upbeat US Jobs report versus the lack of significant positives in the March Canadian jobs report.

 

As a result, the CME's FedWatch Tool indicates a 69% chance of a 0.25 basis point rate hike in May, up from 55% prior to the US employment report.

 

Canada's headline Net Change in Employment increased to 34.7K in March from 21.8K in February, compared to the market consensus of 12K, while the Unemployment Rate came in at 5% versus the analysts' estimate of 5.0%. During the specified month, the Participation Rate decreased to 65.6% from the expected and previous rate of 65.7%. In addition, the average hourly wage fell 5.2% year-over-year in March, down from 5.5% in February.

 

In contrast, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 236K in March, the lowest increase since January 2021 (considering revisions), compared to the expected 240K and the previous 330,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate fell from 3.6% to 3.5%, while the labor force participation rate rose from 62.6% to 62.6%. The annual wage inflation rate decreased from 4.6% to 4.2%, below market expectations of 4.3%.

 

Futures on US equities ended higher, but yields remain under pressure ahead of the crucial BoC monetary policy meeting, US inflation, and Fed Minutes. Given the dovish concerns from the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the likely hawkish comments in the FOMC Minutes, the USD/CAD may see additional gains, barring any unexpected developments.


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