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Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba: Rice prices need to be reduced to a reasonable level.On May 19, according to the public prospectus, TSMC (TSM.N) will issue the second unsecured ordinary corporate bond of the year in June, totaling NT$14.1 billion, all of which are green bonds. The 5-year interest rate rose to 1.92%, with an issuance of NT$12.5 billion; the 10-year interest rate was 2.05%, with an issuance of NT$1.6 billion.Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi: Refused to comment on the US rating downgrade.On May 19, Xiaomi announced today that it will hold a Xiaomi strategic new product launch conference at 7 pm on May 22. At that time, Xiaomi will launch the new mobile phone SoC chip Xuanjie O1, the new flagship Xiaomi 15S Pro and Xiaomi Tablet 7 Ultra, as well as the new Xiaomi YU7, Xiaomis first SUV.On May 19, by the location of business units, in April, the retail sales of consumer goods in urban areas was 3237.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%; the retail sales of consumer goods in rural areas was 479.8 billion yuan, an increase of 4.7%. From January to April, the retail sales of consumer goods in urban areas was 14043.3 billion yuan, an increase of 4.7%; the retail sales of consumer goods in rural areas was 2141.2 billion yuan, an increase of 4.8%. By consumption type, in April, the retail sales of goods was 3300.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.1%; catering revenue was 416.7 billion yuan, an increase of 5.2%. From January to April, the retail sales of goods was 14365.1 billion yuan, an increase of 4.7%; catering revenue was 1819.4 billion yuan, an increase of 4.8%. By retail formats, from January to April, the retail sales of convenience stores, specialty stores, supermarkets, department stores and brand stores in retail units above the limit increased by 9.1%, 6.4%, 5.2%, 1.7% and 1.4% year-on-year respectively.

USD/CAD declines to 1.3500 on firmer Oil prices, BoC concerns over US inflation, and Fed Minutes

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:35

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The USD/CAD maintains losses close to 1.3500, shattering a four-day winning trend, as traders brace for key Easter Monday data/events on major bourses. However, the recent decline in the Loonie-U.S. dollar exchange rate may be due to the increase in the price of WTI petroleum oil, Canada's primary export. In contrast to the recent increase in ardent Fed forecasts, the Bank of Canada's (BoC) dovish bias poses a challenge to pair sellers.

 

After increasing for three consecutive weeks, WTI crude oil prices gain 0.61 percent intraday near $80.00. Recent increases in the price of black gold may be due to geopolitical concerns surrounding China and Taiwan. In addition to the supply cut by OPEC+ and the faltering US dollar, the energy benchmark is sustained by the supply cut by OPEC+ and the weakening US dollar.

 

However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen for three consecutive weeks and is under pressure near 102,000.

 

Fears of higher Fed rates versus inaction from the Bank of Canada (BoC) grew after the upbeat US Jobs report versus the lack of significant positives in the March Canadian jobs report.

 

As a result, the CME's FedWatch Tool indicates a 69% chance of a 0.25 basis point rate hike in May, up from 55% prior to the US employment report.

 

Canada's headline Net Change in Employment increased to 34.7K in March from 21.8K in February, compared to the market consensus of 12K, while the Unemployment Rate came in at 5% versus the analysts' estimate of 5.0%. During the specified month, the Participation Rate decreased to 65.6% from the expected and previous rate of 65.7%. In addition, the average hourly wage fell 5.2% year-over-year in March, down from 5.5% in February.

 

In contrast, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 236K in March, the lowest increase since January 2021 (considering revisions), compared to the expected 240K and the previous 330,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate fell from 3.6% to 3.5%, while the labor force participation rate rose from 62.6% to 62.6%. The annual wage inflation rate decreased from 4.6% to 4.2%, below market expectations of 4.3%.

 

Futures on US equities ended higher, but yields remain under pressure ahead of the crucial BoC monetary policy meeting, US inflation, and Fed Minutes. Given the dovish concerns from the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the likely hawkish comments in the FOMC Minutes, the USD/CAD may see additional gains, barring any unexpected developments.