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February 7th - US President Trump tweeted: "We need more competition to fight our enemies—the national television networks that spread fake news. Facilitating a good deal like Nexstar-Tegna will help combat fake news because it will bring more, higher-level, and more sophisticated competition. Those who oppose it dont fully understand the benefits for them, but they will in the future. Get this deal done!"February 7th - Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy posted a message on the 7th local time, stating that he received a briefing from the Ukrainian negotiating team following their talks with the US and Russia. The Ukrainian negotiating team provided him with a detailed overview of the progress of the negotiations. He stated that Ukraine needs to achieve substantial results, and one of the most important foundations for a peaceful resolution is effective security guarantees.February 7th - While the control dispute at Nexperia remains unresolved, another Chinese acquisition of a British chip company is attracting increasing attention. February 7th was the deadline set by the UK government for the mandatory sale of the FTDI acquisition, subject to national security review. This overseas acquisition by China, completed in 2021, is now entering its final countdown to mandatory sale. Back in November 2024, the UK government formally notified the Chinese consortium that it must transfer all its shares in Future Technology Devices International Limited (FTDI), a UK USB bridge chip company, by the stipulated time. The UK cited the National Security and Investments Act (NSIA), which came into effect in 2022, citing "potential threats to national security." An industry insider stated that the Chinese consortium has been trying to secure more time. The latest extension application is still awaiting a response from the UK, and based on past experience, there is still a certain probability of the extension being approved.February 7th - It was learned from the Ministry of Water Resources that, in order to further improve the construction, operation, and management mechanisms of major water conservancy projects, the Ministry of Water Resources and the National Development and Reform Commission recently issued the "Implementation Opinions on Improving the Construction, Operation, and Management Mechanisms of Major Water Conservancy Projects." Major water conservancy projects are important infrastructure for promoting high-quality economic and social development, playing a crucial supporting role in ensuring flood control, water supply, food security, and ecological security. The opinions are divided into four parts: general requirements, improving the high-quality construction mechanism, improving the high-level operation mechanism, and improving the high-efficiency management mechanism. The opinions require that, focusing on the national water network construction goals of "complete systems, safety and reliability, intensive and efficient, green and intelligent, smooth circulation, and orderly regulation," the government should guide and the market should participate, coordinating "hard investment" and "soft construction," improving the construction and operation mechanism of projects with clear responsibilities, diversified investment, and a focus on both quality and efficiency, and forming a comprehensive, data-driven, and efficient management and guarantee system to achieve high-quality construction, high-level operation, and high-efficiency management of major water conservancy projects.Algeria plans to cancel its air services agreement with the United Arab Emirates.

USD/CAD declines to 1.3500 on firmer Oil prices, BoC concerns over US inflation, and Fed Minutes

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:35

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The USD/CAD maintains losses close to 1.3500, shattering a four-day winning trend, as traders brace for key Easter Monday data/events on major bourses. However, the recent decline in the Loonie-U.S. dollar exchange rate may be due to the increase in the price of WTI petroleum oil, Canada's primary export. In contrast to the recent increase in ardent Fed forecasts, the Bank of Canada's (BoC) dovish bias poses a challenge to pair sellers.

 

After increasing for three consecutive weeks, WTI crude oil prices gain 0.61 percent intraday near $80.00. Recent increases in the price of black gold may be due to geopolitical concerns surrounding China and Taiwan. In addition to the supply cut by OPEC+ and the faltering US dollar, the energy benchmark is sustained by the supply cut by OPEC+ and the weakening US dollar.

 

However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen for three consecutive weeks and is under pressure near 102,000.

 

Fears of higher Fed rates versus inaction from the Bank of Canada (BoC) grew after the upbeat US Jobs report versus the lack of significant positives in the March Canadian jobs report.

 

As a result, the CME's FedWatch Tool indicates a 69% chance of a 0.25 basis point rate hike in May, up from 55% prior to the US employment report.

 

Canada's headline Net Change in Employment increased to 34.7K in March from 21.8K in February, compared to the market consensus of 12K, while the Unemployment Rate came in at 5% versus the analysts' estimate of 5.0%. During the specified month, the Participation Rate decreased to 65.6% from the expected and previous rate of 65.7%. In addition, the average hourly wage fell 5.2% year-over-year in March, down from 5.5% in February.

 

In contrast, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 236K in March, the lowest increase since January 2021 (considering revisions), compared to the expected 240K and the previous 330,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate fell from 3.6% to 3.5%, while the labor force participation rate rose from 62.6% to 62.6%. The annual wage inflation rate decreased from 4.6% to 4.2%, below market expectations of 4.3%.

 

Futures on US equities ended higher, but yields remain under pressure ahead of the crucial BoC monetary policy meeting, US inflation, and Fed Minutes. Given the dovish concerns from the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the likely hawkish comments in the FOMC Minutes, the USD/CAD may see additional gains, barring any unexpected developments.


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