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On March 29th, it was learned from the Beijing Financial Regulatory Bureau that Beijing has taken the lead nationwide in launching the development and application of commercial insurance products for intelligent connected new energy vehicles. The new products largely follow the existing new energy commercial vehicle insurance system, adhering to the principle of "overall stability with partial optimization." They primarily provide risk protection for specific intelligent driving scenarios and software/hardware losses that are of concern to consumers and automakers, and can be uniformly adapted to all levels of intelligent connected new energy vehicles from L2 to L4. For example, existing car insurance products mainly define drivers based on the basic scenario of "human driving," which is not fully applicable to L3 and L4 level "human-machine co-driving" or "machine driving" scenarios. Furthermore, for L2 level assisted driving vehicles, some consumers upgrade their assisted driving systems at their own expense after purchasing a new car, but existing car insurance products do not cover this portion of the loss, requiring further optimization.According to Iranian state media, Iranian Parliament Speaker Qaribaf stated that the United States talks about negotiations in public but is secretly planning a ground offensive.On March 29, local time, a U.S. military KC-135R aerial refueling tanker encountered an emergency during a mission and was forced to return to Tel Aviv, Israel.The Israel Defense Forces have detected another ballistic missile launch by Iran. Alarms are expected to sound in southern Israel within the next few minutes.On March 29, South Korean Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance and Economy Koo Yoon-cheol stated that if international oil prices rise to $120 to $130 per barrel, the government is likely to activate a Level 3 resource security crisis alert, and the vehicle license plate number restriction measures will be expanded to include the private sector.

USD/CAD declines to 1.3500 on firmer Oil prices, BoC concerns over US inflation, and Fed Minutes

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:35

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The USD/CAD maintains losses close to 1.3500, shattering a four-day winning trend, as traders brace for key Easter Monday data/events on major bourses. However, the recent decline in the Loonie-U.S. dollar exchange rate may be due to the increase in the price of WTI petroleum oil, Canada's primary export. In contrast to the recent increase in ardent Fed forecasts, the Bank of Canada's (BoC) dovish bias poses a challenge to pair sellers.

 

After increasing for three consecutive weeks, WTI crude oil prices gain 0.61 percent intraday near $80.00. Recent increases in the price of black gold may be due to geopolitical concerns surrounding China and Taiwan. In addition to the supply cut by OPEC+ and the faltering US dollar, the energy benchmark is sustained by the supply cut by OPEC+ and the weakening US dollar.

 

However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen for three consecutive weeks and is under pressure near 102,000.

 

Fears of higher Fed rates versus inaction from the Bank of Canada (BoC) grew after the upbeat US Jobs report versus the lack of significant positives in the March Canadian jobs report.

 

As a result, the CME's FedWatch Tool indicates a 69% chance of a 0.25 basis point rate hike in May, up from 55% prior to the US employment report.

 

Canada's headline Net Change in Employment increased to 34.7K in March from 21.8K in February, compared to the market consensus of 12K, while the Unemployment Rate came in at 5% versus the analysts' estimate of 5.0%. During the specified month, the Participation Rate decreased to 65.6% from the expected and previous rate of 65.7%. In addition, the average hourly wage fell 5.2% year-over-year in March, down from 5.5% in February.

 

In contrast, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 236K in March, the lowest increase since January 2021 (considering revisions), compared to the expected 240K and the previous 330,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate fell from 3.6% to 3.5%, while the labor force participation rate rose from 62.6% to 62.6%. The annual wage inflation rate decreased from 4.6% to 4.2%, below market expectations of 4.3%.

 

Futures on US equities ended higher, but yields remain under pressure ahead of the crucial BoC monetary policy meeting, US inflation, and Fed Minutes. Given the dovish concerns from the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the likely hawkish comments in the FOMC Minutes, the USD/CAD may see additional gains, barring any unexpected developments.


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