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On May 5th, following the Reserve Bank of Australias (RBA) third consecutive interest rate hike and raising its cash rate target to 4.35%, the rate remains below Societe Generales year-end forecast of 4.7%. Societe Generale economists stated in a report, "The RBA still has room to maneuver and may raise rates at least one more time." Economists expect the RBA to maintain interest rates at 4.7% throughout 2027 and the first half of 2028, predicting core inflation will peak at 3.8% in the second quarter, before falling to 3.1% by the end of 2026. They added, "A pause in rate hikes in June seems inevitable," noting that RBA Governor Bullocks more neutral tone prompted demand for short-term rates, simultaneously pushing the yield curve for Australian 2-year and 10-year government bonds into a "bull market steepening."The World Health Organization says it plans to medically evacuate the two people on board who are infected with Hantavirus, and the cruise ship will continue its journey to the Canary Islands.World Health Organization: Our hypothesis is that the Hantavirus cases were contracted outside the cruise ship where the incident occurred.Iranian border police commander: Five smuggling vessels carrying 200,000 liters of smuggled fuel were seized in Khuzestan province.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.1 earthquake occurred at 17:05 on May 5 in Kuqa City, Aksu Prefecture, Xinjiang (41.35 degrees north latitude, 83.89 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 15 kilometers.

USD/CAD Bears In Control And Aiming At Support Zone Lows

Alina Haynes

Apr 04, 2023 13:53

USD:CAD.png 

 

The USD/CAD exchange rate is unchanged on the day after a succession of negative impulses drove the price into new territory to the downside and deeper into a support region as a result of the oil price rally. The USD/CAD exchange rate was 1.3431 at the time of writing.

 

Monday's 6.3% rise in West Texas Intermediate WTI crude oil to an intraday high of $81.51 strengthened the CAD. The oil price surged after the OPEC+ cartel surprised the market with a production cut of 1.1 million barrels per day to support prices, with the cartel announcing that it will reduce output prior to Monday's ministerial meeting.

 

Analysts at TD Securities observed that the Bank of Canada's Business/Consumer Surveys painted a more dovish picture ahead of the April BoC meeting, with a marked improvement in capacity pressures and consumer inflation expectations.

 

Analysts noted that firm-level inflation expectations continue to be elevated and that consumer growth and income expectations have also increased since the fourth quarter.

 

''The Bank of Canada should be pleased with these results, which indicate a decline in capacity pressures and a moderation in inflationary pressures. However, inflation expectations remain a formidable impediment to near-term relief. If growth does not decelerate substantially in the second quarter, it may be difficult for the Bank of Canada to keep rates at 4.50 percent. Analysts believe that the report is optimistic for CAD.


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