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On July 10th, the National Energy Administration issued the "Action Plan for Energy Conservation and Carbon Reduction in the Energy Sector (2026-2028)". The plan proposes to vigorously promote energy conservation and carbon reduction in thermal power. It calls for the orderly and prudent shutdown of a number of qualified 300 MW and below coal-fired power units, and encourages the construction of replacement units according to the requirements of next-generation coal-fired power. It also promotes the implementation of ultra-critical (supercritical) generational upgrades for a number of 600 MW coal-fired power units. Support is provided for qualified units to undergo zero-carbon and low-carbon fuel blending and carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) retrofits, with a target reduction of approximately 10% in carbon emissions per kilowatt-hour after the retrofits. The plan also calls for the implementation of a number of projects integrating coal-fired power, gas-fired power, and new energy sources, supporting the integration of coal-fired power and new energy sources through methods such as thermal energy storage coupling for peak shaving and integrated peak power generation and transmission, to achieve integrated carbon reduction effects.July 10th – According to the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology (CAICT), the Satellite Communications Working Group of the Industrial Internet Industry Alliance (hereinafter referred to as the "Satellite Communications Working Group") was officially established in Beijing recently, under the guidance of the Information and Communications Administration of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. The Satellite Communications Working Group aims to build a platform for industry exchange and cooperation, accelerate breakthroughs in key core technologies for satellite communications, promote technological innovation and development such as non-terrestrial networks (NTN), and pool resources to jointly cultivate an open and shared satellite communications industry ecosystem, contributing to the construction of a manufacturing powerhouse, a space powerhouse, a cyber powerhouse, and a digital China.July 10th - The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP) released the "2026 China Highway Transport Capacity Development Report" today (July 10th). According to the report, the highway transport market will continue to adjust and optimize in 2025, with the capacity structure accelerating its upgrade towards large-scale, professional, and green development. Enterprises risk resistance and resilience in normalized operations have improved. Survey data shows that fuel-powered vehicles still dominate the current highway freight capacity structure, accounting for approximately 50%, but new energy vehicles have formed an irreversible substitution trend in specific scenarios. Among the surveyed enterprises, the penetration rate of new energy trucks is 44.4%. Of the enterprises that have already purchased new energy vehicles, 37.5% chose to "continue to expand their new energy vehicle fleet," and 37.5% chose to "maintain their existing scale."The main Shanghai silver futures contract surged 4.00% intraday, currently trading at 14,805.00 yuan/kg.On July 10, Japans Nuclear Regulation Authority (NRA) reported on July 9 that improper management of counterterrorism-related classified information at Tokyo Electric Power Companys Fukushima Daiichi and Fukushima Daini nuclear power plants allowed unauthorized personnel easy access to such information. The NRA stated that the two nuclear power plants possessed numerous classified documents related to counterterrorism measures, which should have been strictly managed and stored in designated locations for access only by authorized personnel. However, an investigation revealed that these documents were stored in shared folders on computers across multiple departments, allowing even staff without proper access to view them. According to the NRA, no leaks of classified information have been found so far, but further investigation will be conducted to determine the cause of the information management lapse.

USD/CAD declines to 1.3500 on firmer Oil prices, BoC concerns over US inflation, and Fed Minutes

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:35

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The USD/CAD maintains losses close to 1.3500, shattering a four-day winning trend, as traders brace for key Easter Monday data/events on major bourses. However, the recent decline in the Loonie-U.S. dollar exchange rate may be due to the increase in the price of WTI petroleum oil, Canada's primary export. In contrast to the recent increase in ardent Fed forecasts, the Bank of Canada's (BoC) dovish bias poses a challenge to pair sellers.

 

After increasing for three consecutive weeks, WTI crude oil prices gain 0.61 percent intraday near $80.00. Recent increases in the price of black gold may be due to geopolitical concerns surrounding China and Taiwan. In addition to the supply cut by OPEC+ and the faltering US dollar, the energy benchmark is sustained by the supply cut by OPEC+ and the weakening US dollar.

 

However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen for three consecutive weeks and is under pressure near 102,000.

 

Fears of higher Fed rates versus inaction from the Bank of Canada (BoC) grew after the upbeat US Jobs report versus the lack of significant positives in the March Canadian jobs report.

 

As a result, the CME's FedWatch Tool indicates a 69% chance of a 0.25 basis point rate hike in May, up from 55% prior to the US employment report.

 

Canada's headline Net Change in Employment increased to 34.7K in March from 21.8K in February, compared to the market consensus of 12K, while the Unemployment Rate came in at 5% versus the analysts' estimate of 5.0%. During the specified month, the Participation Rate decreased to 65.6% from the expected and previous rate of 65.7%. In addition, the average hourly wage fell 5.2% year-over-year in March, down from 5.5% in February.

 

In contrast, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 236K in March, the lowest increase since January 2021 (considering revisions), compared to the expected 240K and the previous 330,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate fell from 3.6% to 3.5%, while the labor force participation rate rose from 62.6% to 62.6%. The annual wage inflation rate decreased from 4.6% to 4.2%, below market expectations of 4.3%.

 

Futures on US equities ended higher, but yields remain under pressure ahead of the crucial BoC monetary policy meeting, US inflation, and Fed Minutes. Given the dovish concerns from the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the likely hawkish comments in the FOMC Minutes, the USD/CAD may see additional gains, barring any unexpected developments.


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