EUR/USD 1.17797
0.486%
Gold 4723.80
0.784%
Oil 92.012
-2.817%
USD/JPY 156.725
-0.130%
GBP/USD 1.36276
0.570%
GBP/JPY 213.582
0.450%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On May 9, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced via social media that he had spoken with European Council President Costa, exchanging views on Ukraines cooperation with Europe and its integration into European integration. Zelenskyy stated that he and Costa focused on joint efforts to further Ukraines integration into Europe, clarifying Ukraines commitment to becoming a full member of the EU and that preparations are underway for initiating negotiations and subsequent decisions.On May 9th, the chairman of the Iranian Parliaments Energy Committee stated that production continues uninterrupted at multiple oil fields across the country. He asserted that the actions of adversaries targeting Iranian oil tankers are entirely illegal, and that pressure on Iranian oil exports has been ineffective. There are currently no official reports of an oil spill near Kharg Island. Earlier reports indicated that satellite images suggested a large-scale oil spill near Kharg Island, a key Iranian oil export hub, with pollution covering tens of square kilometers of sea surface.On May 9th, according to CCTV, Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, during which a report was heard on the construction of the national comprehensive transportation system. The meeting emphasized the need for coordinated advancement of transportation infrastructure construction, adhering to integrated planning and systematic integration, effectively utilizing existing resources and optimizing new supply. It stressed the importance of improving management and service levels, creating a more convenient travel environment to facilitate the smooth flow of people and goods, and promoting cost reduction, quality improvement, and efficiency enhancement in freight transportation. The meeting also called for deepening reform and innovation, building a unified and open transportation market, actively promoting the application of new technologies, developing new transportation business models safely and orderly, and cultivating more new growth points.On May 9th, according to CCTV, Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, which discussed and promoted work related to resolving local government debt risks. The meeting pointed out that since the implementation of the comprehensive debt reduction plan, significant progress has been made in resolving debt risks. It is necessary to continue focusing on key areas and weak links, improve policies supporting debt reduction, enhance local governments ability to repay debts independently, and ensure the timely completion of debt reduction tasks. It is also necessary to establish and improve a long-term mechanism to resolutely prevent the creation of new hidden debt.On May 9th, according to CCTV, Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, emphasizing the need to strengthen the planning and construction of water networks, new power grids, computing power networks, next-generation communication networks, urban underground pipe networks, and logistics networks. He stressed that efforts to ensure peoples livelihoods should focus on stabilizing employment and providing a safety net, while also improving education, healthcare, childcare, and rural development. He called for greater efforts and more concrete measures to strengthen basic research, placing it high on the agenda, identifying key areas and priorities based on both urgent national needs and long-term objectives, increasing investment through multiple measures, and fostering a favorable research environment.

USD/CAD declines to 1.3500 on firmer Oil prices, BoC concerns over US inflation, and Fed Minutes

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:35

 USD:CAD.png

 

The USD/CAD maintains losses close to 1.3500, shattering a four-day winning trend, as traders brace for key Easter Monday data/events on major bourses. However, the recent decline in the Loonie-U.S. dollar exchange rate may be due to the increase in the price of WTI petroleum oil, Canada's primary export. In contrast to the recent increase in ardent Fed forecasts, the Bank of Canada's (BoC) dovish bias poses a challenge to pair sellers.

 

After increasing for three consecutive weeks, WTI crude oil prices gain 0.61 percent intraday near $80.00. Recent increases in the price of black gold may be due to geopolitical concerns surrounding China and Taiwan. In addition to the supply cut by OPEC+ and the faltering US dollar, the energy benchmark is sustained by the supply cut by OPEC+ and the weakening US dollar.

 

However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen for three consecutive weeks and is under pressure near 102,000.

 

Fears of higher Fed rates versus inaction from the Bank of Canada (BoC) grew after the upbeat US Jobs report versus the lack of significant positives in the March Canadian jobs report.

 

As a result, the CME's FedWatch Tool indicates a 69% chance of a 0.25 basis point rate hike in May, up from 55% prior to the US employment report.

 

Canada's headline Net Change in Employment increased to 34.7K in March from 21.8K in February, compared to the market consensus of 12K, while the Unemployment Rate came in at 5% versus the analysts' estimate of 5.0%. During the specified month, the Participation Rate decreased to 65.6% from the expected and previous rate of 65.7%. In addition, the average hourly wage fell 5.2% year-over-year in March, down from 5.5% in February.

 

In contrast, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 236K in March, the lowest increase since January 2021 (considering revisions), compared to the expected 240K and the previous 330,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate fell from 3.6% to 3.5%, while the labor force participation rate rose from 62.6% to 62.6%. The annual wage inflation rate decreased from 4.6% to 4.2%, below market expectations of 4.3%.

 

Futures on US equities ended higher, but yields remain under pressure ahead of the crucial BoC monetary policy meeting, US inflation, and Fed Minutes. Given the dovish concerns from the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the likely hawkish comments in the FOMC Minutes, the USD/CAD may see additional gains, barring any unexpected developments.


Suggestion