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Starlink: Starlink Mobile is providing free internet access to Movistar customers in the La Guaira region of Venezuela. Efforts are underway to provide free service to Digitel and Movilnet users as soon as possible.On June 28, local time, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) issued a statement saying that IDF Chief of Staff Zamir, during a visit to the IDF Northern Command, formally approved plans to continue military operations in the "safe zone" of southern Lebanon, in accordance with the ceasefire agreement. Zamir stated that the IDFs 36th Division and assault brigade are currently maintaining operational control over the Beaufort Heights area and are equipped with all the tools and capabilities needed to weaken the enemy. Zamir stated that the Northern Commands area of responsibility is now the IDFs "main operational focus." The IDF is fully prepared to "rapidly resume offensive operations in Lebanon and Iran" should the need arise. Zamir stated that the agreement signed with the Lebanese government is historic and of great significance. He reiterated that the IDF will abide by the agreement but emphasized that "the test now lies in the actions of both sides, and the coming period will shape the future."US House Speaker Johnson: The housing bill will be submitted to President Trump on Monday.June 28 – The U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations stated that our actions will continue as needed to destroy Iranian infrastructure used to control the Strait of Hormuz. If Iran believes Trump will stand idly by while he attacks shipping and our bases, it is mistaken. Iran must either choose to be a responsible nation or continue down a path of destruction.On June 28, local time, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated at the United Russia party congress that Russia is currently at a critical juncture. The West cannot defeat Russia on the battlefield and therefore attempts to destabilize Russias domestic situation will ultimately fail. Russia will firmly defend its fundamental interests. Putin stated that Russia has adjusted some development goals according to the actual situation, but all strategic plans will be fully realized. The security of the country and its citizens, as well as the inviolability of Russias borders, will be guaranteed. Putin stated that the State Duma (lower house of parliament) elections will be held strictly in accordance with the law within the established timeframe. He will instruct relevant departments to take measures to ensure the safe conduct of the elections and prevent attempts at external manipulation.

USD/CAD declines to 1.3500 on firmer Oil prices, BoC concerns over US inflation, and Fed Minutes

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:35

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The USD/CAD maintains losses close to 1.3500, shattering a four-day winning trend, as traders brace for key Easter Monday data/events on major bourses. However, the recent decline in the Loonie-U.S. dollar exchange rate may be due to the increase in the price of WTI petroleum oil, Canada's primary export. In contrast to the recent increase in ardent Fed forecasts, the Bank of Canada's (BoC) dovish bias poses a challenge to pair sellers.

 

After increasing for three consecutive weeks, WTI crude oil prices gain 0.61 percent intraday near $80.00. Recent increases in the price of black gold may be due to geopolitical concerns surrounding China and Taiwan. In addition to the supply cut by OPEC+ and the faltering US dollar, the energy benchmark is sustained by the supply cut by OPEC+ and the weakening US dollar.

 

However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen for three consecutive weeks and is under pressure near 102,000.

 

Fears of higher Fed rates versus inaction from the Bank of Canada (BoC) grew after the upbeat US Jobs report versus the lack of significant positives in the March Canadian jobs report.

 

As a result, the CME's FedWatch Tool indicates a 69% chance of a 0.25 basis point rate hike in May, up from 55% prior to the US employment report.

 

Canada's headline Net Change in Employment increased to 34.7K in March from 21.8K in February, compared to the market consensus of 12K, while the Unemployment Rate came in at 5% versus the analysts' estimate of 5.0%. During the specified month, the Participation Rate decreased to 65.6% from the expected and previous rate of 65.7%. In addition, the average hourly wage fell 5.2% year-over-year in March, down from 5.5% in February.

 

In contrast, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 236K in March, the lowest increase since January 2021 (considering revisions), compared to the expected 240K and the previous 330,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate fell from 3.6% to 3.5%, while the labor force participation rate rose from 62.6% to 62.6%. The annual wage inflation rate decreased from 4.6% to 4.2%, below market expectations of 4.3%.

 

Futures on US equities ended higher, but yields remain under pressure ahead of the crucial BoC monetary policy meeting, US inflation, and Fed Minutes. Given the dovish concerns from the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the likely hawkish comments in the FOMC Minutes, the USD/CAD may see additional gains, barring any unexpected developments.


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