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Hong Kong-listed AI application stocks showed mixed performance. Meitu (01357.HK) surged over 16%, Kingsoft Cloud (03896.HK) rose over 5%, and Zhixing Technology (01274.HK), Baidu (09888.HK), and Alibaba (09988.HK) all rose over 3%. Meanwhile, 51Vision (06651.HK) fell over 6%, Micro-Robotics (02252.HK) and MyFT (02556.HK) fell over 5.5%, and Xunze (03317.HK) fell over 4%.Hong Kong-listed mainland property stocks continued their upward trend during the session, with China Jinmao (00817.HK) and Yuexiu Property (00123.HK) both rising by more than 6%, Jianfa International Group (01908.HK) rising by more than 5.5%, and China Resources Land (01109.HK), China Overseas Land & Investment (00688.HK), Greentown China (03900.HK), Longfor Group (00960.HK), and many other stocks rising by more than 4%.The main contract for low-sulfur fuel oil (LU) surged 4.00% intraday, currently trading at 5294.00 yuan/ton.May 6 – Following fuel supply concerns in Australia stemming from the conflict with Iran, the country plans to include a A$10 billion (US$7.2 billion) fuel security and resilience plan in next weeks budget proposal. Australian Prime Minister Barnes stated that the plan will help build fuel and fertilizer reserves, including supporting the expansion of total diesel and aviation fuel reserves to a 50-day supply. He also indicated that the government itself will hold approximately 1 billion liters of fuel reserves. The Prime Minister and the Energy Minister discussed the plan after a national security meeting in Sydney. The Energy Minister stated that Australia has responded to the crisis and currently has more fuel reserves than at the start of the conflict with Iran. He said, "This marks a significant shift in our national response. We have been looking at how to better prepare for future shocks."On May 6th, analysts stated that gold futures prices rose as tensions in the Middle East eased. Vivek Dahl of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia noted in a research report that Trumps announcement of a temporary suspension of plans to provide safe passage for ships in the Strait of Hormuz eased tensions. Since gold prices hit an intraday high of $5,422 per ounce on March 2nd, gold futures have generally moved negatively correlated with the level of tension in the Middle East. Dahl added that the upward momentum in gold prices could be driven by several factors: hopes for a ceasefire in the Middle East, market pricing in interest rate cuts due to high energy prices dragging down global growth, and concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve.

USD/CAD declines to 1.3500 on firmer Oil prices, BoC concerns over US inflation, and Fed Minutes

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:35

 USD:CAD.png

 

The USD/CAD maintains losses close to 1.3500, shattering a four-day winning trend, as traders brace for key Easter Monday data/events on major bourses. However, the recent decline in the Loonie-U.S. dollar exchange rate may be due to the increase in the price of WTI petroleum oil, Canada's primary export. In contrast to the recent increase in ardent Fed forecasts, the Bank of Canada's (BoC) dovish bias poses a challenge to pair sellers.

 

After increasing for three consecutive weeks, WTI crude oil prices gain 0.61 percent intraday near $80.00. Recent increases in the price of black gold may be due to geopolitical concerns surrounding China and Taiwan. In addition to the supply cut by OPEC+ and the faltering US dollar, the energy benchmark is sustained by the supply cut by OPEC+ and the weakening US dollar.

 

However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen for three consecutive weeks and is under pressure near 102,000.

 

Fears of higher Fed rates versus inaction from the Bank of Canada (BoC) grew after the upbeat US Jobs report versus the lack of significant positives in the March Canadian jobs report.

 

As a result, the CME's FedWatch Tool indicates a 69% chance of a 0.25 basis point rate hike in May, up from 55% prior to the US employment report.

 

Canada's headline Net Change in Employment increased to 34.7K in March from 21.8K in February, compared to the market consensus of 12K, while the Unemployment Rate came in at 5% versus the analysts' estimate of 5.0%. During the specified month, the Participation Rate decreased to 65.6% from the expected and previous rate of 65.7%. In addition, the average hourly wage fell 5.2% year-over-year in March, down from 5.5% in February.

 

In contrast, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 236K in March, the lowest increase since January 2021 (considering revisions), compared to the expected 240K and the previous 330,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate fell from 3.6% to 3.5%, while the labor force participation rate rose from 62.6% to 62.6%. The annual wage inflation rate decreased from 4.6% to 4.2%, below market expectations of 4.3%.

 

Futures on US equities ended higher, but yields remain under pressure ahead of the crucial BoC monetary policy meeting, US inflation, and Fed Minutes. Given the dovish concerns from the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the likely hawkish comments in the FOMC Minutes, the USD/CAD may see additional gains, barring any unexpected developments.


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