• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
A fire has broken out at an oil refinery in Russias Bashkortostan and firefighting is underway, with the production site suffering minor damage, the regional governor said.British retailer Sainsburys confirmed it is in discussions to sell its Argos subsidiary to JD.com (JD.O).The Cyberspace Administration of China is soliciting public opinions on the "Regulations on Promoting and Standardizing the Application of Electronic Documents (Draft for Comments)".On September 13th, Trump released a letter to all NATO nations and the world. He stated, "I am ready to impose significant sanctions on Russia when all NATO nations agree and begin taking the same actions, and all NATO nations stop buying Russian oil." As you know, NATOs commitment to "winning this war" is far from 100%, yet some countries are still buying Russian oil, which is truly shocking! This significantly weakens their negotiating position and leverage with Russia. This is not Trumps war (if I were president, this war would never have happened!), but Biden and Zelenskys war. My sole purpose is to help end this war and save tens of thousands of Russian and Ukrainian lives. If NATO does what I say, this war will end quickly, and all these lives will be saved!On September 13, Russian Permanent Representative to the United Nations Vasily Nebenzya revealed on the 12th that Poland acknowledged that a drone that recently entered Polish airspace may have originated from Ukrainian territory, stating that it was no secret that Ukraine "has been attempting to expand the geographical scope of the Russia-Ukraine conflict." This statement further complicates the Polish version of the Russian drones entry into Polish airspace. Several European and American experts, scholars, and politicians speculated that there may be a hidden story behind this incident.

USD/CAD declines to 1.3500 on firmer Oil prices, BoC concerns over US inflation, and Fed Minutes

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:35

 USD:CAD.png

 

The USD/CAD maintains losses close to 1.3500, shattering a four-day winning trend, as traders brace for key Easter Monday data/events on major bourses. However, the recent decline in the Loonie-U.S. dollar exchange rate may be due to the increase in the price of WTI petroleum oil, Canada's primary export. In contrast to the recent increase in ardent Fed forecasts, the Bank of Canada's (BoC) dovish bias poses a challenge to pair sellers.

 

After increasing for three consecutive weeks, WTI crude oil prices gain 0.61 percent intraday near $80.00. Recent increases in the price of black gold may be due to geopolitical concerns surrounding China and Taiwan. In addition to the supply cut by OPEC+ and the faltering US dollar, the energy benchmark is sustained by the supply cut by OPEC+ and the weakening US dollar.

 

However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen for three consecutive weeks and is under pressure near 102,000.

 

Fears of higher Fed rates versus inaction from the Bank of Canada (BoC) grew after the upbeat US Jobs report versus the lack of significant positives in the March Canadian jobs report.

 

As a result, the CME's FedWatch Tool indicates a 69% chance of a 0.25 basis point rate hike in May, up from 55% prior to the US employment report.

 

Canada's headline Net Change in Employment increased to 34.7K in March from 21.8K in February, compared to the market consensus of 12K, while the Unemployment Rate came in at 5% versus the analysts' estimate of 5.0%. During the specified month, the Participation Rate decreased to 65.6% from the expected and previous rate of 65.7%. In addition, the average hourly wage fell 5.2% year-over-year in March, down from 5.5% in February.

 

In contrast, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 236K in March, the lowest increase since January 2021 (considering revisions), compared to the expected 240K and the previous 330,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate fell from 3.6% to 3.5%, while the labor force participation rate rose from 62.6% to 62.6%. The annual wage inflation rate decreased from 4.6% to 4.2%, below market expectations of 4.3%.

 

Futures on US equities ended higher, but yields remain under pressure ahead of the crucial BoC monetary policy meeting, US inflation, and Fed Minutes. Given the dovish concerns from the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the likely hawkish comments in the FOMC Minutes, the USD/CAD may see additional gains, barring any unexpected developments.