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According to Fox News: U.S. Central Command says the U.S. strike operation has temporarily ended.U.S. Central Command spokesman Captain Tim Hawkins said the U.S. military conducted a self-defense strike in southern Iran on the 25th, “aimed at protecting U.S. forces from the threat posed by Iranian forces.” The spokesman said the targets included missile launch sites and Iranian vessels attempting to lay mines. “U.S. Central Command continues to defend U.S. forces while exercising restraint during the current ceasefire.”The UKs BRC Shop Price Index rose 1.2% year-on-year in May, down from 1.00% in the previous month.1. Major European stock indices closed higher across the board. The German DAX index rose 2.01% to 25,389.10 points; the French CAC40 index rose 1.76% to 8,258.26 points; the UK stock market was closed for the Spring Bank Holiday. 2. Most major Asia-Pacific stock indices closed higher, while the South Korean stock market was closed for a holiday. The Nikkei 225 index rose 2.87% to 65,158.19 points, setting a new record high. AI and semiconductor sectors led the gains, with Kioxia rising over 14%, and SoftBank Group and Tokyo Electron rising nearly 5%. The Indian SENSEX 30 index rose 1.42% to 76,488.96 points. 3. International precious metal futures generally closed higher. COMEX gold futures rose 1.11% to $4,573.6 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rose 2.89% to $78.4 per ounce. 4. International oil prices fell across the board. The WTI crude oil futures contract fell 6.52% to $90.30 per barrel, while the Brent crude oil futures contract fell 6.56% to $93.64 per barrel. 5. US Treasury yields fell across the board. The 2-year Treasury yield fell 8.72 basis points to 4.034%, the 3-year Treasury yield fell 9.90 basis points to 4.078%, the 5-year Treasury yield fell 11.24 basis points to 4.156%, the 10-year Treasury yield fell 11.27 basis points to 4.463%, and the 30-year Treasury yield fell 9.59 basis points to 4.991%.On May 26, Fox News reported, citing U.S. Central Command spokesman Captain Tim Hawkins, that U.S. forces conducted defensive strikes in southern Iran on Monday, targeting missile launch sites and Iranian vessels attempting to lay mines. U.S. Central Command continues to defend U.S. forces while maintaining restraint during the ongoing ceasefire.

USD/CAD declines to 1.3500 on firmer Oil prices, BoC concerns over US inflation, and Fed Minutes

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:35

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The USD/CAD maintains losses close to 1.3500, shattering a four-day winning trend, as traders brace for key Easter Monday data/events on major bourses. However, the recent decline in the Loonie-U.S. dollar exchange rate may be due to the increase in the price of WTI petroleum oil, Canada's primary export. In contrast to the recent increase in ardent Fed forecasts, the Bank of Canada's (BoC) dovish bias poses a challenge to pair sellers.

 

After increasing for three consecutive weeks, WTI crude oil prices gain 0.61 percent intraday near $80.00. Recent increases in the price of black gold may be due to geopolitical concerns surrounding China and Taiwan. In addition to the supply cut by OPEC+ and the faltering US dollar, the energy benchmark is sustained by the supply cut by OPEC+ and the weakening US dollar.

 

However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen for three consecutive weeks and is under pressure near 102,000.

 

Fears of higher Fed rates versus inaction from the Bank of Canada (BoC) grew after the upbeat US Jobs report versus the lack of significant positives in the March Canadian jobs report.

 

As a result, the CME's FedWatch Tool indicates a 69% chance of a 0.25 basis point rate hike in May, up from 55% prior to the US employment report.

 

Canada's headline Net Change in Employment increased to 34.7K in March from 21.8K in February, compared to the market consensus of 12K, while the Unemployment Rate came in at 5% versus the analysts' estimate of 5.0%. During the specified month, the Participation Rate decreased to 65.6% from the expected and previous rate of 65.7%. In addition, the average hourly wage fell 5.2% year-over-year in March, down from 5.5% in February.

 

In contrast, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 236K in March, the lowest increase since January 2021 (considering revisions), compared to the expected 240K and the previous 330,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate fell from 3.6% to 3.5%, while the labor force participation rate rose from 62.6% to 62.6%. The annual wage inflation rate decreased from 4.6% to 4.2%, below market expectations of 4.3%.

 

Futures on US equities ended higher, but yields remain under pressure ahead of the crucial BoC monetary policy meeting, US inflation, and Fed Minutes. Given the dovish concerns from the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the likely hawkish comments in the FOMC Minutes, the USD/CAD may see additional gains, barring any unexpected developments.


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