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Iran says it struck Israeli radar centers and airports on Saturday.The Israeli military has confirmed that Iran launched a missile.On March 29th, the Guangdong Provincial Administration for Market Regulation, in conjunction with the Guangzhou Municipal Administration for Market Regulation, held a symposium for platform enterprises. The meeting focused on issues such as regulating fair and rational competition in the platform economy, providing administrative guidance to platform enterprises, and jointly proposing implementation measures. The meeting pointed out that Guangdong Province and Guangzhou City, leveraging their traditional industrial advantages, have a large number of operators and significant business volume on leading platforms nationwide. Platform rules are crucial for the operation and development of small and micro-sized businesses. The meeting encouraged platforms to take effective measures to strengthen compliance, improve compliance levels, and focus on innovative, standardized, and win-win development. Efforts should be made to continuously strengthen compliance in areas such as regulating competitive behavior, respecting merchants independent operating rights, implementing quality grading and control, protecting the rights and interests of small and micro-sized businesses, empowering the incubation of high-quality brands, and protecting the legitimate rights and interests of consumers. This will jointly resist "involutionary" competition, promote high-quality development of the industry, and drive out inferior players with superior ones.March 29th - With the Iraq War nearing its one-month mark, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz continues to be disrupted, disrupting the global energy supply system and causing international oil prices to soar. Wan Zhe, a professor of economics at Beijing Normal University, stated that firstly, global inflation faces a full-scale rebound, and rising oil prices will be transmitted along the entire industrial chain. Costs across all industries, including energy, food, transportation, and chemicals, will surge, with economies highly dependent on energy imports, such as Europe, Japan, and India, facing even greater pressure. The US is a net energy exporter, but inflationary stickiness may become completely entrenched, putting the Federal Reserves monetary policy in a dilemma. Currently, the average price of gasoline in the US has surged by more than 30% in three weeks, directly reversing the previous downward trend in inflation and completely altering market expectations for interest rate cuts. A prolonged high-interest-rate environment will directly suppress the US real estate market, corporate financing, and stock market valuations. Especially this year is a US midterm election year, and gasoline prices are one of the most sensitive livelihood indicators for American voters. For global economic growth, there will be a slowdown, as high oil prices directly erode disposable income, squeeze non-energy consumption, and also increase production costs for businesses.On March 29th, the Victorian government announced in an email that residents of the state would not have to pay for public transport for one month, starting March 31st. The Tasmanian government stated in a press release that it would waive bus and ferry fares from March 30th to July 1st. Australia faces a significant risk to fuel supplies, with hundreds of petrol stations reporting fuel shortages and disruptions occurring in agriculture and mining. Australian Prime Minister Albanese reassured anxious households and businesses on Friday that short-term supplies were secure.

USD/CHF Consolidates Around 0.9040 As Attention Shifts To US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:27

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The USD/CHF pair continues to trade lacklusterly above the crucial support level of 0.9036 in the early Tokyo session. Investors are shifting their focus to Wednesday's release of United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, making it difficult for the Swiss Franc to gain traction.

 

As tensions between China and Taiwan escalate, S&P500 futures have pared some of their gains. The market's anxiety has been alleviated by the increasing intensity of Chinese military exercises around Taiwan Island. In addition, concerns of a recession are likely to cause volatility in US equities.

 

Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, stated in an interview with CNN that the recent banking turmoil caused by the dissolution of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank has increased the likelihood of a recession in the United States.  Despite the robustness and security of the banking system, the recent turmoil in the financial system is "another weight on the scale" toward recession, he added.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the 102.00 support level ahead of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. According to the consensus, headline inflation will fall from 6.0% to 5.2%. In addition, the headline monthly CPI would decelerate to 0.3% from 0.4% previously reported. As a consequence of oil prices remaining low in March, inflationary pressures are anticipated to become evident.

 

In contrast, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, is anticipated to increase to 5.6% from 5.5%. The tenacity of inflationary pressures is maintained by the resiliency of demand for essential products, as a result of a higher labor cost index. A similar event could compel the Federal Reserve (Fed) to raise rates again at its May monetary policy meeting.

 

Regarding the Swiss Franc, Swiss markets are suspended on Easter Monday. This week, the Producer Price Index (PPI) data will have an impact on the Swiss Franc.

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