• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
1. Market Update: Precious metals futures fell overnight, and the weakness continued today. Currently, Shanghai silver futures are down nearly 7%, and Shanghai gold futures are down over 3%. 2. US February PPI rose 3.4% year-on-year, while core PPI reached a one-year high of 3.9%, indicating higher-than-expected inflation. The Federal Reserve held its March policy meeting last night, maintaining its current policy stance as expected, raising its inflation forecast, and still projecting one rate cut this year. Following the meeting, Powell stated that the economic impact of the US-Iran conflict remains uncertain, and the current decline in inflation has stalled. Tariffs and rising oil prices are creating combined pressure, gradually transmitting to core inflation. 3. Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued an emergency statement early this morning (March 19th), announcing a large-scale missile attack on US-related oil and energy facilities in the region. The Revolutionary Guard stated that this action was a "direct and reciprocal retaliation" for the March 18th attack on Iranian energy infrastructure, aimed at targeting energy facilities "with US interests and US ownership." 4. Everbright Futures: Escalating geopolitical tensions coupled with hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve became the final straw for gold. However, investors should not be overly pessimistic. With rapid inflation in the US, real interest rates are expected to weaken. A wait-and-see approach or a buy-on-dips strategy is recommended in the short term. Silver, platinum, and palladium are currently fluctuating in tandem with gold, making trading more difficult. Gold plays a significant role as a "ballast" for precious metals. Watch for when gold prices return to an upward trend and wait for the right opportunity. 5. Minmetals Futures: The surge in oil prices against the backdrop of the Iran war has boosted market inflation expectations and prompted a reassessment of the US economys resilience to energy shocks. The FOMC meeting decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.5%–3.75%. Furthermore, the possibility of further rate hikes was mentioned at this meeting. The released dot plot maintained the expectation of one rate cut each in the next two years, but the distribution was more hawkish than before, putting short-term pressure on precious metal prices. (The above content is compiled from publicly available market data such as Everbright Futures and is for reference only, not investment advice.)A Japanese power group executive said they will join a nationwide effort to ensure stable liquefied natural gas supplies amid the Iranian crisis.On March 19th, Daiwa Securities economists stated that despite rising geopolitical uncertainty, Bank of Japan Policy Board members Hajime Takada and Naoki Tamura maintained a hawkish stance, indicating that the central banks internal monetary tightening position remains unchanged. Takada proposed raising interest rates to 1%, while Tamura disagreed with the committees view on the inflation outlook, believing that core inflation will reach the 2% target sooner than other members expect. The meetings summary of opinions, scheduled for release on March 30th, may provide clues as to whether other committee members are inclined to raise interest rates.March 19th - According to Counterpoint Researchs "Foldable Smartphone Market Forecast" report, global foldable smartphone shipments are projected to grow by 20% in 2026, supported by factors such as Apples anticipated entry into the market, the continued premiumization of the smartphone market, and increased OEM participation. With Apple preparing to launch its first foldable iPhone, the foldable smartphone market will enter a new phase of competition in 2026. As the foldable market evolves, the competitive landscape is expected to change rapidly. Apples entry will be a key inflection point. Counterpoint Research predicts that Apple will achieve a 28% market share in 2026, closing in on Samsungs leading position.Goldman Sachs raised its target price for China Literature (00772.HK) from HK$44.90 to HK$45.50.

USD/CHF Consolidates Around 0.9040 As Attention Shifts To US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:27

USD:CHF.png

 

The USD/CHF pair continues to trade lacklusterly above the crucial support level of 0.9036 in the early Tokyo session. Investors are shifting their focus to Wednesday's release of United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, making it difficult for the Swiss Franc to gain traction.

 

As tensions between China and Taiwan escalate, S&P500 futures have pared some of their gains. The market's anxiety has been alleviated by the increasing intensity of Chinese military exercises around Taiwan Island. In addition, concerns of a recession are likely to cause volatility in US equities.

 

Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, stated in an interview with CNN that the recent banking turmoil caused by the dissolution of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank has increased the likelihood of a recession in the United States.  Despite the robustness and security of the banking system, the recent turmoil in the financial system is "another weight on the scale" toward recession, he added.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the 102.00 support level ahead of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. According to the consensus, headline inflation will fall from 6.0% to 5.2%. In addition, the headline monthly CPI would decelerate to 0.3% from 0.4% previously reported. As a consequence of oil prices remaining low in March, inflationary pressures are anticipated to become evident.

 

In contrast, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, is anticipated to increase to 5.6% from 5.5%. The tenacity of inflationary pressures is maintained by the resiliency of demand for essential products, as a result of a higher labor cost index. A similar event could compel the Federal Reserve (Fed) to raise rates again at its May monetary policy meeting.

 

Regarding the Swiss Franc, Swiss markets are suspended on Easter Monday. This week, the Producer Price Index (PPI) data will have an impact on the Swiss Franc.