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Musk: GROK 4.6 will be released on social media on August 7.The SC crude oil futures contract fell more than 2.00% intraday, currently trading at 529.30 yuan per barrel.On July 28th, TD Securities strategists stated in a report that the dollar could experience a reflexive weakening if the Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged on Wednesday. They expect rates to remain unchanged, but Fed officials Hamack and Logan are expected to dissentively support a rate hike. Nevertheless, any short-term dollar weakness is likely to be limited as expectations for Fed rate hikes throughout the remainder of 2026 remain well-informed. TD Securities anticipates that Warsh will offer little forward guidance, instead reiterating his commitment to price stability. They stated that Warsh is likely to point to recent declines in inflation data while suggesting that inflation remains high. 1. ADP Weekly Employment Report: In the four weeks ending July 11, 2026, private sector employers added an average of 15,000 jobs per week. 2. Agricultural consultancy Sovecon: The Sea of Azov shipping route remains closed, and Sovecon has lowered its 2026/27 Russian wheat export forecast by 1.9 million tons to 44.6 million tons. Russian grain exports are projected at 53.8 million tons. The Sea of Azov shipping route is not expected to return to normal in the coming weeks. 3. Despite market expectations of a low probability of a Fed rate hike in July, Bank of America still expects the Fed to keep rates unchanged. The bank stated that a July rate hike by the Fed would be unprecedented: since 1994, the Fed has never raised rates when the market probability of a rate hike was below 60%. Bank of America believes that higher oil prices are the main inflation risk and remains bullish on the dollar. 4. US President Trump: Now is a good time to reach an agreement with Iran; he hopes to avoid attacking Iranian bridges and power plants. Iran needs a formal declaration that it does not possess nuclear weapons. If no agreement is reached, it will be very easy to destroy the Jagdpanzer. 5. As of July 28, the national soybean oil port inventory was 993,000 tons, compared to 976,000 tons on July 21, an increase of 17,000 tons month-on-month. 6. The Brazilian Vegetable Oil Industry Association (Abiove) released its latest forecast data on Tuesday: Brazils soybean exports in 2026 are expected to reach 115.4 million tons, up from the previous forecast of 114.1 million tons, a 1.1% upward revision from the June forecast. Soybean crush volume is expected to reach 63.3 million tons, up from the previous forecast of 63 million tons. Ending stocks of soybeans are expected to reach 6.58 million tons, up from the previous forecast of 7.87 million tons, still the highest level since 2019. 7. Data released by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) shows that private exporters reported selling 197,272 tons of corn to unknown destinations for delivery in 2026/2027. 8. According to the London Metal Exchange (LME) Commitment of Traders (COT) report, as of the week ending July 24, 2026, investment funds held a net long position of 38,000 contracts in LME copper, an increase of 6,977 contracts from the previous week. Of these, long positions increased by 5,788 contracts, while short positions decreased by 1,189 contracts. Commercial participants held a net short position of 29,700 contracts in LME copper, an increase of 2,925 contracts from the previous week. 9. According to foreign media reports, brokerage and analysis firm StoneX stated on Tuesday that the global sugar market is expected to experience a supply-demand gap of 1.7 million tons in the 2026/27 marketing year (starting in October). In comparison, the revised supply surplus for the current year is 2.94 million tons. 10. A Reuters survey predicts that the average gold price will be $4,509 per ounce in 2026 and $4,610 per ounce in 2027; the average silver price is expected to be $72 per ounce in 2026 and $71 per ounce in 2027.Market news: The meeting between Ukrainian President Zelensky and Trump has ended, and Zelensky will leave the White House.

USD/CHF Consolidates Around 0.9040 As Attention Shifts To US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:27

USD:CHF.png

 

The USD/CHF pair continues to trade lacklusterly above the crucial support level of 0.9036 in the early Tokyo session. Investors are shifting their focus to Wednesday's release of United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, making it difficult for the Swiss Franc to gain traction.

 

As tensions between China and Taiwan escalate, S&P500 futures have pared some of their gains. The market's anxiety has been alleviated by the increasing intensity of Chinese military exercises around Taiwan Island. In addition, concerns of a recession are likely to cause volatility in US equities.

 

Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, stated in an interview with CNN that the recent banking turmoil caused by the dissolution of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank has increased the likelihood of a recession in the United States.  Despite the robustness and security of the banking system, the recent turmoil in the financial system is "another weight on the scale" toward recession, he added.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the 102.00 support level ahead of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. According to the consensus, headline inflation will fall from 6.0% to 5.2%. In addition, the headline monthly CPI would decelerate to 0.3% from 0.4% previously reported. As a consequence of oil prices remaining low in March, inflationary pressures are anticipated to become evident.

 

In contrast, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, is anticipated to increase to 5.6% from 5.5%. The tenacity of inflationary pressures is maintained by the resiliency of demand for essential products, as a result of a higher labor cost index. A similar event could compel the Federal Reserve (Fed) to raise rates again at its May monetary policy meeting.

 

Regarding the Swiss Franc, Swiss markets are suspended on Easter Monday. This week, the Producer Price Index (PPI) data will have an impact on the Swiss Franc.

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