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① Iran 1. Iran released the wreckage of a downed enemy drone. 2. Iranian officials stated that the country currently has sufficient supplies of petrochemical products. 3. Iran stated that its ports are ready to provide general maritime services and support. 4. Iranian President: Distrust of the US stems from its hostile actions. 5. Iranian Parliament Speaker: Iran is prepared to open fire if the US does not make necessary concessions. 6. US media: The damage Iran inflicted on US military assets far exceeded publicly reported levels. 7. Iranian and Saudi foreign ministers called for strengthened regional cooperation to prevent escalation of tensions. 8. Military advisor to Irans Supreme Leader: The US must compensate Iran for its losses. ② United States 1. According to the Wall Street Journal: Iran called for the rejection of the US-backed UN resolution on the Sea of Hormuz. 2. Trump: Operation "Epic Fury" will end if Iran complies with its commitments; otherwise, bombing will resume. 3. Trump: Iran has agreed not to possess nuclear weapons; there are no deadlines for the Iran issue. 4. Trump reiterated his optimism about reaching a US-Iran agreement, and when asked about the specific timeframe, he estimated it would be "a week." ③ Israel 1. Reports indicate that Netanyahu consulted with the Trump administration regarding US-Iran negotiations. 2. Israeli Chief of Staff: A series of targets in Iran remain to be targeted. 3. According to Lebanese media reports, the third round of negotiations between Israel and Lebanon could be held as early as next week. 4. Israeli sources: Israel is unaware that Trump is close to reaching an agreement with Iran; Israel has been prepared for an escalation of hostilities. 5. Netanyahu: Will speak with US President Trump later on Wednesday. Common US-Israel objectives include removing all enriched uranium from Iran. ④ Strait of Hormuz 1. Iran warned ships against transiting the Strait of Hormuz without permission. 2. The US military stated it has ordered 52 ships to turn back during its blockade of Iranian ports. 3. Iranian officials: The security of the Strait of Hormuz can only be guaranteed by Iran and its people. 4. The French aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle sailed towards the Red Sea in preparation for escort duties in the Strait of Hormuz. 5. South Koreas Blue House: There is currently no need to review Trumps call to participate in the "Freedom Initiative." 6. Italian Government: Freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz is a fundamental principle of international law and a necessary element of the global economy. 7. South Koreas Blue House: It is unclear yesterday whether HMM Shippings ships were attacked. The fire on an HMM Shipping ship in the Persian Gulf occurred in the engine room. 8. US Energy Secretary Wright: The US will ensure unimpeded traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. Free flow will be achieved regardless of whether an agreement with Iran is reached. 9. French shipping company CMA CGM: Its ship "San Antonio" was attacked on Tuesday while transiting the Strait of Hormuz. The attack resulted in crew injuries and damage to the ship. The injured crew members have been evacuated and are receiving medical treatment. 10. US Central Command: An Iranian ship attempted to break through the blockade; US warplanes damaged the ships rudder. 11. Irans Permanent Mission to the United Nations proposed a feasible solution to the Strait of Hormuz issue: a permanent end to the war, lifting the maritime blockade, and restoring normal passage. ⑤ Ceasefire Negotiations 1. US media reports that the US and Iran are close to reaching a one-page memorandum to end the conflict and open a 30-day negotiation window; Iran accuses some US media reports of being inaccurate, stating that it is still reviewing the US proposal. 2. US media: Trump says it is too early for face-to-face negotiations between the US and Iran. 3. US media: US-Iran negotiations may resume as early as next week in Islamabad. 4. Trump says the war in Iran is "very likely to end," and the two sides are close to reaching an agreement. 5. US Middle East envoy Witkov recently held indirect negotiations with Iranian officials. 6. Pakistani Foreign Minister: We are working to promote a ceasefire between the US and Iran to ultimately achieve a permanent end to the war. 7. Senior Israeli official: In related discussions, the US has made it clear to us that Trump will adhere to his "red lines," the most important of which is the removal of nuclear materials from Iran. ⑥ Other Situations 1. Lebanese Prime Minister says he will not seek normalization of relations with Israel. 2. According to Israeli media: Sources say the US has informed Israel that Hamas refuses to disarm. 3. Israel Defense Forces Chief of Staff: More than 2,000 Hezbollah militants have been killed since the operation began. 4. Hezbollah: Contrary to reports from within Israel, Hezbollah has rebuilt its capabilities and will continue the fight. 5. Sources: Drone attacks targeted an arms depot at an Iranian Kurdish opposition camp north of Erbil, Iraq. 6. Israel Defense Forces: In the past 24 hours, the Israel Defense Forces attacked approximately 25 Hezbollah targets, including a weapons storage facility, several buildings used for military purposes, and other terrorist infrastructure. 7. Market news: Israel launched an airstrike in Beirut targeting the commander of Hezbollahs Radwan Force; the commander, Marki Blut, is reportedly dead.Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Brehman: Despite global uncertainty, the banking system is under very little pressure.On May 7, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy posted on social media on the evening of May 6 that since the early hours of May 6, Russia had responded to Ukraines ceasefire proposal with attacks and had not ceased any military operations. Therefore, Ukraine would respond "in return." Zelenskyy emphasized that Russia had received a clear proposal from Ukraine regarding a ceasefire and a shift to diplomatic channels, and knew how to contact Ukraine or relevant partners to reach a consensus on specific details.Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Brehman: Economic growth is expected to slow, but we still anticipate growth this year.Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Brehman: Inflation is expected to rise in the near term.

USD/CHF Consolidates Around 0.9040 As Attention Shifts To US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:27

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The USD/CHF pair continues to trade lacklusterly above the crucial support level of 0.9036 in the early Tokyo session. Investors are shifting their focus to Wednesday's release of United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, making it difficult for the Swiss Franc to gain traction.

 

As tensions between China and Taiwan escalate, S&P500 futures have pared some of their gains. The market's anxiety has been alleviated by the increasing intensity of Chinese military exercises around Taiwan Island. In addition, concerns of a recession are likely to cause volatility in US equities.

 

Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, stated in an interview with CNN that the recent banking turmoil caused by the dissolution of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank has increased the likelihood of a recession in the United States.  Despite the robustness and security of the banking system, the recent turmoil in the financial system is "another weight on the scale" toward recession, he added.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the 102.00 support level ahead of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. According to the consensus, headline inflation will fall from 6.0% to 5.2%. In addition, the headline monthly CPI would decelerate to 0.3% from 0.4% previously reported. As a consequence of oil prices remaining low in March, inflationary pressures are anticipated to become evident.

 

In contrast, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, is anticipated to increase to 5.6% from 5.5%. The tenacity of inflationary pressures is maintained by the resiliency of demand for essential products, as a result of a higher labor cost index. A similar event could compel the Federal Reserve (Fed) to raise rates again at its May monetary policy meeting.

 

Regarding the Swiss Franc, Swiss markets are suspended on Easter Monday. This week, the Producer Price Index (PPI) data will have an impact on the Swiss Franc.