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Angola plans to launch its next round of oil licensing bidding in the fourth quarter to maintain crude oil production above 1 million barrels per day (bpd). This bidding round will be the final under a multi-year strategy launched in 2019 to grant 50 oilfield development rights to Africas third-largest crude producer. "Our goal is to achieve 1 million bpd next year," Minerals, Oil, and Gas Minister Diamantino Azevedo said in a statement on Sunday. "Most of our countrys oilfields have mature wells, and the solution is to find new reservoirs." This round of bidding is part of the governments efforts to attract investment in the oil industry. In July, Angolas daily crude oil production fell below 1 million bpd for the first time since its exit from OPEC in 2023.On September 7, OPEC+ agreed to increase production again in October. Amid weakening global demand, the Saudi-led OPEC group is pressing ahead with a six-month plan to regain market share. This decision will put pressure on oil prices, further confirming that Saudi Arabia has given up on pursuing higher prices and is focused on increasing revenue by restoring as much idle production as possible. Eight OPEC members, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and the UAE, said they will increase production by a total of 137,000 barrels per day next month. However, analysts say only Saudi Arabia and the UAE will be able to increase supply because most other members are already close to their production capacity limits. People familiar with the matter said that for Saudi Arabia, the political and economic costs of maintaining production cuts are too high. By quickly restoring production, Riyadh will also be able to assess the production capacity of each member country for possible future renegotiation of quotas.With a September Federal Reserve rate cut all but certain, options traders are widely betting on a stable stock market ahead of Thursdays CPI data. However, this bet could be risky if the data shows rising inflation. The markets rationale for a rate cut is straightforward: US job growth is stagnant and the economy needs stimulus. Fridays weak jobs data reinforced this expectation, prompting investors to fully price in a 25 basis point rate cut from the Fed next week. The markets reaction has been muted: US stocks fell slightly on Friday, and the fear gauge edged up slightly, but remains well below the critical 20 level, where it has mostly remained since June. Looking ahead, options traders are betting on a roughly 0.7% two-way move in the S&P 500 following Thursdays CPI release, below the 1% average realized move over the past year. However, this trade ignores a key risk: what if inflation figures significantly exceed expectations? "Its a very delicate balance right now," said Eric Teal, chief investment officer of Comerica Wealth Management. "Any data thats very positive or very negative could change the market outlook."On September 7, U.S. Treasury Secretary Jeffrey Bessant stated that the United States and Europe are discussing a new round of sanctions and secondary tariffs against Russia, hoping that the "collapse" of the Russian economy will prompt Putin to engage in peace talks with Ukraine. "We are ready to increase pressure on Russia, but we need the cooperation of our European partners," Bessant said. He also stated that President Trump and Vice President Cyril Vance spoke with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on Friday, and that von der Leyen subsequently discussed sanctions with Bessant.Israel Airports Authority: The first flight from Ramon Airport to Tel Aviv will take off soon.

The EUR/USD Price Analysis Is Supported By Rebounds From 1.0840-45

Alina Haynes

Apr 11, 2023 14:37

EUR:USD.png 

 

On Tuesday morning, the EUR/USD reaches a new intraday peak near 1.0880 as bulls attempt to regain control following a two-day downtrend. Consequently, the Euro-U.S. dollar pair recovers after the convergence of the 100-day simple moving average and a two-week-long ascending support line.

 

However, the recovery movements of the major currency pair remain elusive unless the quote remains below the 13-day-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.0930.

 

A one-week-old descending trend line near 1.0900 is protecting the EUR/USD pair's near-term upside at press time.

 

In the event that the EUR/USD pair maintains strength above 1.0930, the 1.0975 monthly high may serve as the last line of defense for pair sellers before pushing the price to February's high of 1.1033.

 

Alternately, a breach of the 1.0840-45 support confluence would drive the price to the 1.0788 monthly low without hesitation.

 

Future EUR/USD skeptics may be challenged by the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels of the pair's March-April upswing, respectively near 1.0745 and 1.0690.

 

To restore market confidence, supporters of the EUR/USD must surpass 1.0930. The quote remains on the bears' radar despite the fact that 1.0845-40 limits the near-term decline.