• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Domestic News: 1. The State Taxation Administration clarified the threshold for value-added tax (VAT) collection and management. 2. Wang Yi held strategic communication with Sergei Shoigu, Secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation. 3. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC): Investors should closely monitor changes in precious metal prices and reasonably control their position size. 4. The first-month performance reports of emerging electric vehicle manufacturers in the new year are released. Xiaomi, Wenjie, and HarmonyOS performed well, while BYDs production and sales both declined. 5. Guotou Silver LOF: Trading will be suspended from the opening of the market on February 2nd until 10:30 am on the same day. The daily price fluctuation limit after resumption of trading will be 10%. 6. China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom announced: The scope of application of VAT on telecommunications services has been adjusted, and the tax rate has increased to 9%, which will affect the companys revenue and profits. International News: 1. The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament announced that the armies of European countries will be considered "terrorist organizations." 2. US media: The Speaker of the US House of Representatives said he is confident that the partial government shutdown will end by Tuesday. 3. Zelensky: A new round of trilateral talks between Ukraine, the US, and Russia will be held on February 4th and 5th. 4. Saudi stocks suffered their biggest drop since June last year due to geopolitical factors and a gold price plunge. 5. Indias budget: 400 billion rupees will be allocated to support the semiconductor manufacturing industry. 6. Indias stock market held a special trading session on Sunday due to the budget, with metal stocks and ETFs suffering heavy losses. 7. OPEC+ statement: Eight member countries will maintain their original plan to suspend increases in oil production in March. 8. US-Iran situation—① It is reported that high-ranking US and Israeli military officials held intensive talks this weekend to discuss a strike against Iran. ② Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei stated that if the US launches a war this time, it will trigger a regional conflict. ③ Iranian officials: Media reports about the Revolutionary Guard planning military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz are incorrect. ④ US media: The US military is strengthening its air defense deployment in the Middle East to prepare for potential action against Iran.OPEC+ Statement: The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) reiterated the importance of full compliance with oil production targets.On February 1st, OPEC+ held an online meeting to assess the global market situation and outlook. The eight participating countries reaffirmed the decision made on November 2nd, 2025, to suspend increased production in March 2026 due to seasonal factors. The eight countries reiterated that the previous production cut of 1.65 million barrels per day may be partially or fully restored depending on market developments, and this will be done gradually. Countries will continue to closely monitor and assess market conditions, and while continuing efforts to maintain market stability, reiterated the importance of a cautious approach and sufficient flexibility to continue suspending (increased production) or canceling additional (production cuts), including the voluntary production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day announced in November 2023. The organization will hold its next meeting on March 1st, 2026.OPEC+ statement: Reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining market stability, and stated that the global economic outlook is stable and the current oil market fundamentals are healthy with low inventory levels.OPEC+ statement: The eight member countries will maintain their original plan to suspend increasing oil production in March.

GBP/USD maintains a defensive posture above 1.2400, with focus on US inflation, BoE Governor Bailey, and Fed minutes

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:47

 GBP:USD.png

 

GBP/USD fluctuates between 1.2415 and 1.2420 in the early hours of Wednesday's crucial session as bulls struggle to maintain control. This reflects a cautious outlook advance of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March and the minutes from the most recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Monetary Policy Meeting. The speech of Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey is also crucial to monitor.

 

The most recent Bloomberg headlines indicate, however, that the British labor market is no longer constrained. "For the first time in two years, the number of people available for work in the United Kingdom increased, easing one of the tightest labor markets in more than a decade," reported the news.

 

In a similar vein, Reuters reported optimistic UK housing prices, allowing GBP/USD buyers to remain optimistic prior to high-profile data events. Reuters reported on Wednesday that British housing sales recovered to within a whisker of pre-crisis levels in March, signifying a rebound from September, when the failed economic plan of former prime minister Liz Truss caused market turmoil.

 

Recently, Neel Kashkari, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, stated, "The inflation target of 2% should not be changed." However, other Fed policymakers have recently signaled divergent concerns, which has depressed the Cable investors. President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Patrick Harker, stated that the Federal Reserve will continue to scrutinize available data to determine if additional action is required. John Williams, president of the New York Fed, had previously stated that interest rates will need to be lowered if inflation declines. In addition, the president of the Chicago Fed, Austan Goolsbee, stated on Tuesday that they should be cautious about increasing interest rates in light of recent developments in the banking sector.

 

In its January report, the IMF lowered its forecast for global real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for 2023 from 2.9% to 2.8%. However, the international lender defends the efforts of the main central banks to combat inflation and gives GBP/USD pair traders no substantial indications.

 

After Wall Street's muddled close, S&P 500 Futures remain directionless in this environment, while US Treasury bond yields rise and encourage US Dollar sellers.

 

To thwart GBP/USD investors, the FOMC Minutes must defend the rate hike path. The meeting between US President Joe Biden and British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak in Northern Ireland is also notable. (NI).