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Futures News, August 12th: Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) precious metals and non-ferrous metals warehouse receipts and changes on August 12th: 1. Copper futures warehouse receipts: 24,131 tons, an increase of 953 tons compared to the previous trading day; 2. Aluminum futures warehouse receipts: 303,168 tons, a decrease of 1,023 tons compared to the previous trading day; 3. Zinc futures warehouse receipts: 110,721 tons, an increase of 396 tons compared to the previous trading day; 4. Lead futures warehouse receipts: 61,228 tons, an increase of 301 tons compared to the previous trading day; 5. Nickel futures warehouse receipts: 100,769 tons, a decrease of 158 tons compared to the previous trading day. 6. Tin futures warehouse receipts: 5,199 tons, up 136 tons from the previous trading day; 7. Alumina futures warehouse receipts: 264,286 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 8. Alumina futures factory warehouse receipts: 9,300 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 9. Gold futures warehouse receipts: 113,676 kg, unchanged from the previous trading day; 10. Silver futures warehouse receipts: 1,305,953 kg, up 5,003 kg from the previous trading day; 11. International copper futures warehouse receipts: 5,651 tons, down 251 tons from the previous trading day.US July Seasonally Adjusted CPI MoM (Previous: -0.4%; Expected: 0.1%) 1. Capital Economics: +0.0%; Citigroup: +0.0%; Mizuho Securities: +0.0%; ANZ: +0.1%; Bank of America Merrill Lynch: +0.1%; 2. Tesco Bank: +0.1%; Commerzbank: +0.1%; Goldman Sachs: +0.1%; HSBC: +0.1%; Morgan Stanley: +0.1%; 3. JPMorgan Chase: +0.1%; Pansen Macro: +0.1%; Moodys Analytics: +0.1%; ING: +0.1%; NatWest: +0.1%; 4. Nomura Securities: +0.1%; Oxford Economics: +0.1%; RBC: +0.1%; Sumitomo Mitsui: +0.1%; Lloyds Banking Group: +0.1%; 5. Nordea: +0.1%; Steifel: +0.1%; UBS: +0.1%; Vanguard: +0.1%; Spartan Capital: +0.1%; 6. Wells Fargo: +0.1%; Montreal: +0.2%; BNP Paribas: +0.2%; Berenberg: +0.2%; Barclays: +0.2%; 7. High Frequency Economics: +0.2%; Scotiabank: +0.2%; Societe Generale: +0.2%; Danske Bank: +0.2%; Deutsche Bank: +0.2%; 8. Standard Chartered: +0.2%; TD Securities: +0.2%; UniCredit: +0.2%; Westpac: +0.2%; Jefferies: +0.3%. US July seasonally adjusted core CPI month-on-month rate (previous value: +0.0%, expected value: +0.2%) 1. Mizuho Securities: +0.1%; Sparta Capital: +0.1%; ANZ: +0.2%; Montreal: +0.2%; BNP Paribas: +0.2%; 2. Bank of America Merrill Lynch: +0.2%; Barclays: +0.2%; CIB: +0.2%; Capital Economics: +0.2%; Citigroup: +0.2%; 3. Commerzbank: +0.2%; Danske Bank: +0.2%; Goldman Sachs: +0.2%; HSBC: +0.2%; Steifelr: +0.2%; 4. ING: +0.2%; Lloyds Banking Group: +0.2%; JPMorgan Chase: +0.2%; Oxford Economics: +0.2%; Wells Fargo: +0.2%; 5. Nomura Securities: +0.2%; Morgan Stanley: +0.2%; Pansen Macro: +0.2%; Sumitomo Mitsui: +0.2%; Nordea: +0.2%; 6. Societe Generale: +0.2%; Westpac: +0.2%; UBS: +0.2%; Standard Chartered: +0.2%; TD Securities: +0.2%; 7. UniCredit: +0.2%; NatWest: +0.2%; Deutsche Bank: +0.3%; Moodys Analytics: +0.3%; Scotiabank: +0.3%.August 12th - Wells Fargo economists predict that the July U.S. CPI report should reinforce the view that the worst of the inflationary impacts from high tariffs and Middle East conflicts have passed. Price increases appear to be driven by a few categories rather than a broad spread of underlying price pressures. However, while the scope of inflationary pressures is narrowing, continued price strength in some sectors suggests that achieving the 2% inflation target may still be a gradual process.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.6 earthquake occurred at 14:57 on August 12 in Xinghai County, Hainan Prefecture, Qinghai Province (35.39 degrees north latitude, 99.53 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.On Wednesday, August 12, the German DAX 30 index opened 55.72 points higher, or 0.21%, at 26,451.09; the UK FTSE 100 index opened 0.55 points lower, or 0.01%, at 10,843.64; the French CAC 40 index opened 4.19 points higher, or 0.05%, at 8,719.13; the Euro Stoxx 50 index opened 17.93 points higher, or 0.27%, at 6,569.15; the Spanish IBEX 35 index opened 60.38 points higher, or 0.30%, at 20,273.98; and the Italian FTSE MIB index opened 171.79 points higher, or 0.32%, at 53,878.00.

AUD/NZD Price Analysis: Bulls Surpass 1.0790 Resistance Confluence Due To Positive Australian Employment Report

Alina Haynes

Apr 13, 2023 14:19

 AUD:NZD.png

 

AUD/NZD supporters are approaching their highest levels since early March as a result of a four-day uptrend following Thursday morning's release of robust Australian employment data. At the time of publication, the currency pair is accepting bids to reestablish the multi-day high near 1.0810.

 

The Australia Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported for the month of March that Employment Change increased by 53K compared to 20K expected and 64.6K previously, while the Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 3.6% compared to expectations of 3.6%. In addition, the Participation Rate rose to 66.7%, exceeding the 66.7% predicted by the market.

 

The AUD/NZD pair surpassed the previous critical resistance confluence surrounding 1.0790, which was comprised of the 100-day moving average (DMA) and a one-month-old downward trend line.

 

The bullish MACD signals and stronger, non-overbought RSI (14) line contribute to the strength of the upside bias.

 

The AUD/NZD bulls are currently positioned to test the 50-day moving average of 1.0824. However, the preceding monthly apex of about 1.0895 and the round number 1.0900 may limit future gains.

 

Alternately, retracement remains elusive until the AUD/NZD pair remains above the support-turned-resistance level of 1.0790.

 

Then, a breach of the upward-sloping trend line from March 5 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair's run-up from December 2022 to February 2023, located near 1.0705, could give the bears room to maneuver in their subsequent analysis.