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On June 16th, European Central Bank (ECB) Chief Economist Lane stated that although the inflationary pressures stemming from the Middle East conflict have not yet fully materialized, the ECB must be prepared for them. Lane noted that despite the agreement reached between the US and Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices have not simply returned to their pre-crisis trajectory. "Four months of high energy prices mean that, in terms of the inflation transmission chain, we will see inflation exceeding 3% in the future. This year and next, energy prices will indirectly affect food, goods, and services prices." Investors and economists generally expect the ECB to raise interest rates by at least another 25 basis points, bringing the rate to 2.5%, and anticipate inflation to remain above the 2% target level for some time. Even if shipping returns to normal, it will take months for oil supplies to return to normal, and high energy costs are likely to increasingly be passed on to consumer prices. Lane stated that oil prices are unlikely to fall significantly from their current level of $80 to $81 per barrel.June 16 - Kpler analysts stated that tanker activity is likely to see an initial surge following the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Approximately 118 fully loaded vessels previously stranded in the strait are expected to depart first, driving a significant but brief spike in transit volume in the initial 10 to 15 days. The main uncertainty lies in how quickly new vessels will re-enter the area. Analysts Matt Wright and Panagiotis Krontiras stated that in the most optimistic scenario, if security concerns are completely eliminated, traffic could rebound rapidly, even briefly exceeding pre-war levels, although this outcome is considered unlikely. In the baseline scenario, the recovery will be more gradual, with transit volume increasing from approximately 15 vessels per day initially to 40 by the end of the month, of which tankers will account for about 60%.SpaceX (SPCX.O) shares rose 15%, surpassing Microsoft (MSFT.O) to become the worlds fourth-largest company by market capitalization.According to Hong Kong Stock Exchange documents, Shenzhen Kubo Energy Co., Ltd. has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.According to Semafor: Netflix (NFLX.O) lost out to Fox in its attempt to acquire Roku.

AUD/NZD Price Analysis: Bulls Surpass 1.0790 Resistance Confluence Due To Positive Australian Employment Report

Alina Haynes

Apr 13, 2023 14:19

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AUD/NZD supporters are approaching their highest levels since early March as a result of a four-day uptrend following Thursday morning's release of robust Australian employment data. At the time of publication, the currency pair is accepting bids to reestablish the multi-day high near 1.0810.

 

The Australia Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported for the month of March that Employment Change increased by 53K compared to 20K expected and 64.6K previously, while the Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 3.6% compared to expectations of 3.6%. In addition, the Participation Rate rose to 66.7%, exceeding the 66.7% predicted by the market.

 

The AUD/NZD pair surpassed the previous critical resistance confluence surrounding 1.0790, which was comprised of the 100-day moving average (DMA) and a one-month-old downward trend line.

 

The bullish MACD signals and stronger, non-overbought RSI (14) line contribute to the strength of the upside bias.

 

The AUD/NZD bulls are currently positioned to test the 50-day moving average of 1.0824. However, the preceding monthly apex of about 1.0895 and the round number 1.0900 may limit future gains.

 

Alternately, retracement remains elusive until the AUD/NZD pair remains above the support-turned-resistance level of 1.0790.

 

Then, a breach of the upward-sloping trend line from March 5 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair's run-up from December 2022 to February 2023, located near 1.0705, could give the bears room to maneuver in their subsequent analysis.