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On July 9, Irans Permanent Representative to the United Nations, Illavani, sent a letter on July 8 to UN Secretary-General António Guterres and the Security Councils President for the month, Zenon Ngai Mukongo, Permanent Representative of the Democratic Republic of Congo to the UN, condemning in the strongest terms the United States repeated acts of aggression and its continued violations of the UN Charter and other norms of international law. The letter stated that the latest round of US aggression blatantly violates relevant provisions of the UN Charter and contravenes the provisions of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding. The USs repeated and deliberate violations of its commitments fundamentally betray the Memorandum of Understanding and must bear full international responsibility for all legal and political consequences arising from its illegal actions and the dangerous escalation of the situation. Given the seriousness of the situation, Iran reiterated the responsibilities entrusted to the UN Secretary-General and the Security Council by the UN Charter, particularly in cases involving aggression and threats to international peace and security. Iran urgently called on the Secretary-General and the Security Council to take immediate, effective, and decisive measures to compel the United States to cease its continued illegal acts of aggression and prevent further escalation.Oil-themed funds fluctuated higher, with Harvest Crude Oil LOF, E Fund Crude Oil LOF, and Southern Crude Oil LOF all rising over 7%. The S&P Oil & Gas ETF Fullgoal rose over 4%, and its oil LOF rose over 3%. Other oil funds, such as Huabao Oil & Gas LOF, followed suit. This was in response to news that Iran struck four US military bases in Kuwait and Bahrain.Goldman Sachs: If the 60-day negotiations continue and the Iranian oil waivers are restored, the Persian Gulf oil supply is expected to recover by the end of July; this would require an increase of 6.6 million barrels per day in oil supply from the Strait of Hormuz.The main fuel oil futures contract surged 6.00% intraday, currently trading at 3214.00 yuan/ton.July 9th, Futures News: The current crude oil market is highly fragile and sensitive, especially regarding the erratic behavior of the United States, making it prone to significant fluctuations. The previous decline in oil prices was a precise reflection of the concentrated release of resources following the opening of the Strait of Hormuz. However, with escalating geopolitical tensions, oil prices are expected to re-enter an upward trend, driven by a prolonged supply recovery cycle and rising panic. It is anticipated that WTI and Brent will test the $75 and $80/barrel levels respectively in the short term. If the conflict continues, a return to above $90/barrel would not be surprising; if the conflict subsides quickly, oil prices will likely trade between $65 and $75/barrel.

AUD/NZD Price Analysis: Bulls Surpass 1.0790 Resistance Confluence Due To Positive Australian Employment Report

Alina Haynes

Apr 13, 2023 14:19

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AUD/NZD supporters are approaching their highest levels since early March as a result of a four-day uptrend following Thursday morning's release of robust Australian employment data. At the time of publication, the currency pair is accepting bids to reestablish the multi-day high near 1.0810.

 

The Australia Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported for the month of March that Employment Change increased by 53K compared to 20K expected and 64.6K previously, while the Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 3.6% compared to expectations of 3.6%. In addition, the Participation Rate rose to 66.7%, exceeding the 66.7% predicted by the market.

 

The AUD/NZD pair surpassed the previous critical resistance confluence surrounding 1.0790, which was comprised of the 100-day moving average (DMA) and a one-month-old downward trend line.

 

The bullish MACD signals and stronger, non-overbought RSI (14) line contribute to the strength of the upside bias.

 

The AUD/NZD bulls are currently positioned to test the 50-day moving average of 1.0824. However, the preceding monthly apex of about 1.0895 and the round number 1.0900 may limit future gains.

 

Alternately, retracement remains elusive until the AUD/NZD pair remains above the support-turned-resistance level of 1.0790.

 

Then, a breach of the upward-sloping trend line from March 5 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair's run-up from December 2022 to February 2023, located near 1.0705, could give the bears room to maneuver in their subsequent analysis.