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August 30th - According to the Wall Street Journal, President Trump spent months touting his move to overthrow Venezuelas leader as bringing the countrys oil "under American control." However, when U.S. energy companies were unwilling to invest at the pace and scale he desired, his administration devised an extraordinary solution to realize his vision—the U.S. government becoming the investor itself. The oil deal with Venezuela announced Friday evening will transform the U.S. governments role from "middleman" in U.S.-funded oil investment in Venezuela to "investor" itself. The agreement will grant Washington a direct financial interest in a private company that will be granted a century-long right to exploit some of the worlds largest proven oil reserves. Led by the controversial Venezuelan businessman Alejandro Bertancott, the company will have the opportunity to develop 17 oil fields estimated to contain 65 billion barrels of crude oil, equivalent to one-fifth of the countrys reserves. According to sources involved in the negotiations, the U.S. plans to hold a 35% passive stake in Bertancotts North American Blue Energy Partnership and have the right of first refusal to purchase 20% of its production at cost.On August 30th, Venezuelan interim president Delcy Rodriguez announced further details of the oil agreement with the United States in a televised address to the nation. She stated that the agreement covers 17 prospective oil fields, aiming to achieve a daily production of 1.5 million barrels of crude oil through a 25-year concession. The Venezuelan government hopes to profit from the oil by setting a price of $69 per barrel, ensuring a government profit of $19 per barrel. This also includes a 16% mining royalties and a 34% income tax on the oil companies operating the fields. These revenues are expected to add to the $209 billion in profits announced earlier this week.On August 30th, SK Hynix CEO Guo Luzheng stated that the global memory chip shortage is expected to continue until the end of 2030, while the risk of oversupply is low because in the AI era, memory chips are no longer "simply standardized commodities." Despite market concerns about an AI investment bubble, he said he "sees no" signs of oversupply or a potential memory chip downturn, as demand from AI customers remains strong. He added, "If we pass the AI peak, or if another downturn occurs in the future, challenges may arise. But I think the next downturn will be different from the slumps weve experienced in the past few decades. Even if a downturn comes, I dont think it will be a sharp decline, but rather a slow decrease in demand, and it may even stabilize."NASA: NASA and SpaceX have adjusted the launch date of Crew-13 to address an oxidizer leak in the Dragon spacecrafts propulsion system.On August 30th, according to a report by Axios, citing sources familiar with the matter, CIA Director John Ratcliffe, during a secret visit to Moscow earlier this week, proposed a trilateral summit between US President Donald Trump, Russian President Vladimir Putin, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to push for an end to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Sources said that part of Ratcliffes visit was to assess whether the head of Russian intelligence could persuade Putin to return to the US-mediated peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. This marks Ratcliffes first involvement in diplomatic efforts to achieve a breakthrough in Russia-Ukraine relations. The report stated that US officials briefed Zelenskyy on Ratcliffes talks in Moscow on Friday (August 28th) and the proposal for a trilateral summit between the US, Russia, and Ukraine.

AUD/NZD Price Analysis: Bulls Surpass 1.0790 Resistance Confluence Due To Positive Australian Employment Report

Alina Haynes

Apr 13, 2023 14:19

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AUD/NZD supporters are approaching their highest levels since early March as a result of a four-day uptrend following Thursday morning's release of robust Australian employment data. At the time of publication, the currency pair is accepting bids to reestablish the multi-day high near 1.0810.

 

The Australia Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported for the month of March that Employment Change increased by 53K compared to 20K expected and 64.6K previously, while the Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 3.6% compared to expectations of 3.6%. In addition, the Participation Rate rose to 66.7%, exceeding the 66.7% predicted by the market.

 

The AUD/NZD pair surpassed the previous critical resistance confluence surrounding 1.0790, which was comprised of the 100-day moving average (DMA) and a one-month-old downward trend line.

 

The bullish MACD signals and stronger, non-overbought RSI (14) line contribute to the strength of the upside bias.

 

The AUD/NZD bulls are currently positioned to test the 50-day moving average of 1.0824. However, the preceding monthly apex of about 1.0895 and the round number 1.0900 may limit future gains.

 

Alternately, retracement remains elusive until the AUD/NZD pair remains above the support-turned-resistance level of 1.0790.

 

Then, a breach of the upward-sloping trend line from March 5 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair's run-up from December 2022 to February 2023, located near 1.0705, could give the bears room to maneuver in their subsequent analysis.