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On September 18th, arguably the biggest surprise in the Federal Reserves latest interest rate decision was the single dissenting vote. Despite unfavorable circumstances, Fed Chairman Powell managed to achieve a near-unanimous consensus at this weeks monetary policy meeting. Newly appointed Governor Milan was the only vote against the 25 basis point rate cut. Milan, a close ally of Trump, was sworn in as an interim Fed governor on Tuesday. His objection was based on support for a larger rate cut—something Trump has been demanding for months. However, Governors Waller and Bowman, who had voiced dovish dissent in July, did not do so again this time. KPMG Chief Economist Diane Swonk said, "Its clear that Powell has successfully herded the cats together."Meghan Robson, head of U.S. credit strategy at BNP Paribas: "Todays Fed decision suggests the Fed will prioritize growth over inflation and may allow the economy to "overheat" until the inflation path becomes clearer. We believe this policy approach should currently support credit spreads."Syrian President: Security agreement with Israel is a "necessary move" and Syrias airspace and territorial integrity should be respected.Syrian president: Security talks with Israel may produce results in the "coming days."Scott Kimball, chief investment officer of the fixed income team at Loop Asset Management: "The Feds 12-month inflation forecast is 2.6%, which shows that it is more tolerant of inflation and may no longer be its primary focus. Implementing a looser policy on the basis of fiscal stimulus should support lower-quality corporate credit spreads."

Prior to the release of Australian employment data, the AUD/JPY pair attempts to regain 89.00

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:44

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The AUD/JPY pair attempts to reclaim the critical resistance level of 89.00 during the Asian session. Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), has advocated for an extension of the already decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy in order to consistently achieve an inflation rate above 2%.

 

The decelerating Producer Price Index (PPI) contradicts the optimistic outlook of the Japanese government regarding wage growth. As expected by market participants, the March PPI did not change. The annual PPI came in at 7.2%, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 7.1% but lower than the previous release of 8.1%. The inability of companies to sustain accelerating production rates at factory gates is indicative of weak household demand.

 

Analysts at Commerzbank anticipate that the Japanese Yen will only appreciate over the long term if the current monetary policy is abandoned quickly.

 

Regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC), the IMF has stated that allowing more flexibility in YCC could have repercussions for global markets, but it could also prevent future policy shifts that could result in significant spillovers.

 

Investors are awaiting the March Employment Report for fresh impetus in the Australian Dollar. The market expects the Australian economy to add 20,000 employment, which is less than the previous estimate of 64.6K. While the Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 3.6% from 3.5% in February, it is anticipated that the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6%.

 

Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the door open for additional rate hikes if Australian inflation persists, so the publication of stronger-than-expected employment gains could reignite fears of additional rate hikes.

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