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The preliminary reading of Frances June CPI will be released in ten minutes.On June 30, Wang Yifei, spokesperson for the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade (CCPIT), stated at a CCPIT press conference that in May 2026, the CCPIT system nationwide issued a total of 717,000 certificates of origin, ATA Carnets, and commercial certificates, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.14%. Among these, the value of non-preferential certificates of origin issued by the CCPIT system nationwide reached US$30.256 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.36%; the number of certificates issued was 357,200, a year-on-year increase of 5.99%. The value of preferential certificates of origin issued by the CCPIT system nationwide reached US$11.066 billion, a year-on-year increase of 43.89%; the number of certificates issued was 310,800, a year-on-year increase of 32.26%. "The continued substantial increase in the value of certificates of origin issued by the national trade promotion system fully reflects the strong performance of my countrys foreign trade imports and exports, maintaining a stable growth trend overall. At the same time, it also reflects my countrys active efforts to deepen pragmatic cooperation with global economic and trade partners, the growing circle of friends of foreign trade enterprises, and the competitive innovation of my countrys foreign trade products and business models, demonstrating strong resilience and vitality," said Wang Yifei.Gold prices declined on June 30th, poised for their biggest monthly drop since October 2008. Quarterly, gold is also expected to record its first decline since 2024, with the largest drop since the second quarter of 2013. While the situation in the Middle East remains uncertain, the market is now more concerned about the extent to which the US will try to control inflation. Marex analyst Edward Meir stated that the current combination of high inflation, high interest rate expectations, and a strong dollar has suppressed the usual reasons supporting gold price increases. OCBC precious metals strategist Christopher Wong pointed out that gold bulls need to see at least one turning point—a decline in real yields, a weaker dollar, or a significant fading of market expectations regarding a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. Until then, the rebound in gold prices is unlikely to be sustainable, and it is more likely to fluctuate and consolidate below previous highs.European Central Bank Chief Economist Lane: Oil price futures curves indicate that oil prices will remain at high levels in the coming years, which means that economic costs will rise.The yield on Japans two-year government bonds fell 4 basis points to 1.355%.

Prior to the release of Australian employment data, the AUD/JPY pair attempts to regain 89.00

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:44

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The AUD/JPY pair attempts to reclaim the critical resistance level of 89.00 during the Asian session. Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), has advocated for an extension of the already decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy in order to consistently achieve an inflation rate above 2%.

 

The decelerating Producer Price Index (PPI) contradicts the optimistic outlook of the Japanese government regarding wage growth. As expected by market participants, the March PPI did not change. The annual PPI came in at 7.2%, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 7.1% but lower than the previous release of 8.1%. The inability of companies to sustain accelerating production rates at factory gates is indicative of weak household demand.

 

Analysts at Commerzbank anticipate that the Japanese Yen will only appreciate over the long term if the current monetary policy is abandoned quickly.

 

Regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC), the IMF has stated that allowing more flexibility in YCC could have repercussions for global markets, but it could also prevent future policy shifts that could result in significant spillovers.

 

Investors are awaiting the March Employment Report for fresh impetus in the Australian Dollar. The market expects the Australian economy to add 20,000 employment, which is less than the previous estimate of 64.6K. While the Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 3.6% from 3.5% in February, it is anticipated that the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6%.

 

Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the door open for additional rate hikes if Australian inflation persists, so the publication of stronger-than-expected employment gains could reignite fears of additional rate hikes.