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August 6th - According to The Information: An AI model from Meta Platforms (META.O) compromised another company during a cybersecurity test. Metas MUSE SPARK 1.1 model infiltrated a companys system and made changes to its internal mechanisms. A Meta spokesperson stated that a configuration misconfiguration led to the incident, after which the model exploited a security vulnerability.The European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre reported a 5.7-magnitude earthquake 23 kilometers south of Sarangani in the Philippines.US President Trump: Iran cannot have nuclear weapons.The Central Bank of Brazil cut interest rates by 25 basis points, in line with market expectations.Conflict Status 1. Houthi rebels again claim to have attacked Saudi oil tankers. 2. According to Irans Tasnim News Agency: Yemen is preparing for a full-scale confrontation with Saudi Arabia. US-Iran Negotiations 1. Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: The Foreign Minister or Speaker of Parliament has no plans to visit Pakistan or Qatar at the moment. 2. Trump: A US-Iran agreement will be decided within 48 hours; US-Iran negotiations are "progressing well," but Iran is unwilling to acknowledge it. 3. According to CNN: A Gulf state official believes there is a 50% chance that the US and Iran will reach an agreement by Friday. Strait of Hormuz 1. Yemeni Armed Forces: A total of 29 Saudi oil tankers were blocked and forced to retreat or return in the Red Sea and Arabian Sea. 2. UK Maritime Trade Operations Office: Received a report on an incident that occurred 9 nautical miles from the Mocha region of Yemen on August 4. On August 4, a ship near Yemen was attacked, resulting in a fire on board. 3. US—① According to Axios, the US plans to announce an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday. ② Trump: The Strait of Hormuz will open soon, or Iran will be attacked. ③ US Central Command: As of August 5, US forces had altered the routes of 48 merchant ships, rendered two ships inoperable, and boarded and inspected two other vessels. 4. Iran—① Iranian Foreign Ministry: Iran is close to reaching an agreement with Oman on the Strait of Hormuz, which would close two existing shipping lanes. A new shipping lane for entering the Strait of Hormuz and part of the journey out of the Strait will pass through Iranian territorial waters. However, the new lane is also temporary and is expected to be usable for 2 to 4 months. The Iranian Foreign Minister or Speaker of Parliament has no plans to visit Pakistan or Qatar at present. ② Foreign media: Iran is seeking to charge ships transiting the Strait a fee of 5% to 7% of the cargo value. Other: 1. US media: The Israel-Lebanon Rome talks ended prematurely due to changes in the situation. 2. Iran—① Iranian President: Communication with the Supreme Leader of Iran is currently "very difficult." ② Iran and Pakistan signed a new partnership agreement, aiming for a $10 billion trade target. 3. Israel—① Israel Defense Forces: An attack will be launched against Hezbollah in a southern Lebanese town. This attack is a response to Hezbollahs violation of the ceasefire agreement. ② The Israeli Ministry of Defense: Just conducted a scheduled test of the long-range Arrow missile defense system. ③ Israeli sources say the response to Hezbollahs serious violation of the agreement is not yet over.

Prior to the release of Australian employment data, the AUD/JPY pair attempts to regain 89.00

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:44

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The AUD/JPY pair attempts to reclaim the critical resistance level of 89.00 during the Asian session. Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), has advocated for an extension of the already decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy in order to consistently achieve an inflation rate above 2%.

 

The decelerating Producer Price Index (PPI) contradicts the optimistic outlook of the Japanese government regarding wage growth. As expected by market participants, the March PPI did not change. The annual PPI came in at 7.2%, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 7.1% but lower than the previous release of 8.1%. The inability of companies to sustain accelerating production rates at factory gates is indicative of weak household demand.

 

Analysts at Commerzbank anticipate that the Japanese Yen will only appreciate over the long term if the current monetary policy is abandoned quickly.

 

Regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC), the IMF has stated that allowing more flexibility in YCC could have repercussions for global markets, but it could also prevent future policy shifts that could result in significant spillovers.

 

Investors are awaiting the March Employment Report for fresh impetus in the Australian Dollar. The market expects the Australian economy to add 20,000 employment, which is less than the previous estimate of 64.6K. While the Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 3.6% from 3.5% in February, it is anticipated that the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6%.

 

Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the door open for additional rate hikes if Australian inflation persists, so the publication of stronger-than-expected employment gains could reignite fears of additional rate hikes.