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The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced today that it conducted 248 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with both the bid and winning bids amounting to 248 billion yuan. The operating rate was 1.40%, unchanged from the previous rate.Gold prices rose in early Asian trading on June 18 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged overnight. DBS Group strategist Sherilyn Chew stated that while peace efforts between the US and Iran since the beginning of the week have supported gold prices, partially offsetting the impact of the Feds hints at a rate hike later this year, gold prices have tended to trade within a narrow range. This suggests that the recent rally is largely event-driven rather than supported by macroeconomic changes. However, central bank gold purchases are expected to remain strong, and market surveys indicate continued demand for increased gold reserves over the next year, which should provide medium-term support for gold prices. DBS Group expects gold prices to fluctuate within a range in the short term, and further gains are possible if bond yields decline.According to Yonhap News Agency, South Korea will implement zero tariffs on liquefied natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas in order to combat inflation.On June 18th, Chaos Tiancheng Futures reported that the Federal Reserves June interest rate meeting caused significant market volatility. The overall meeting and statement clearly shifted towards a hawkish stance, while Warshs relatively neutral remarks exacerbated market fluctuations. Subsequently, US President Trump stated that the Fed would maintain interest rates unchanged, which was fine. (Regarding the possibility of a Fed rate hike) This could happen. After the meeting, market expectations for a rate hike rose, and the US dollar index surged, surpassing the 100 mark. Currently, for precious metals, although the meeting showed a hawkish bias and rate hike expectations rose, the market was relatively prepared and anticipated. The decline was completed in the short term, but this mornings news of the US-Iran memorandum led to a recovery of half of the decline, effectively ending short-term trading opportunities. Further developments still require observation of the driving forces, most importantly geopolitical tensions. Given the current increased market volatility, there are no clear trend conditions. (This content and opinion are for reference only and do not constitute any investment advice.)Markets remain skeptical about the prospects of a US-Iran peace agreement, but concerns about oversupply are limiting oil prices. A chart provides a quick overview of the pre-market crude oil prices converted between domestic and international markets.

Prior to the release of Australian employment data, the AUD/JPY pair attempts to regain 89.00

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:44

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The AUD/JPY pair attempts to reclaim the critical resistance level of 89.00 during the Asian session. Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), has advocated for an extension of the already decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy in order to consistently achieve an inflation rate above 2%.

 

The decelerating Producer Price Index (PPI) contradicts the optimistic outlook of the Japanese government regarding wage growth. As expected by market participants, the March PPI did not change. The annual PPI came in at 7.2%, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 7.1% but lower than the previous release of 8.1%. The inability of companies to sustain accelerating production rates at factory gates is indicative of weak household demand.

 

Analysts at Commerzbank anticipate that the Japanese Yen will only appreciate over the long term if the current monetary policy is abandoned quickly.

 

Regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC), the IMF has stated that allowing more flexibility in YCC could have repercussions for global markets, but it could also prevent future policy shifts that could result in significant spillovers.

 

Investors are awaiting the March Employment Report for fresh impetus in the Australian Dollar. The market expects the Australian economy to add 20,000 employment, which is less than the previous estimate of 64.6K. While the Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 3.6% from 3.5% in February, it is anticipated that the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6%.

 

Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the door open for additional rate hikes if Australian inflation persists, so the publication of stronger-than-expected employment gains could reignite fears of additional rate hikes.