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On August 20th, US President Trump told reporters at the White House on the 19th that he expects to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later this year. Trump inspected the construction site of a new helipad on the South Lawn of the White House that day. When asked if he would meet with Kim Jong Un this fall, Trump answered affirmatively, saying he "knows Kim Jong Un very well" and "gets along very well with him."On August 20th, Tim Duy, chief U.S. economist at SGH Macro Advisors, stated that the recent phenomenon of multiple Federal Reserve officials voting against interest rate decisions has become more common in recent years. This is especially true during periods of multiple economic pressures and policy uncertainty, where strong disagreements among officials can lead to more dissenting votes. Regarding the upcoming release of the Fed meeting minutes, Duy believes the market will focus on the breadth of officials concerns about inflation. He pointed out that at the time, inflation appeared significantly higher than the Feds target, and policymakers worried that inflation would not quickly fall back to the target level. Simultaneously, the labor market was considered to have stabilized, leading some officials to strongly believe that the Fed should raise interest rates to curb inflationary pressures. Therefore, the market will focus on how many Fed officials agree with this assessment and whether concerns about inflation have become a consensus across the broader decision-making level. The degree of disagreement among officials regarding the policy path will also be an important clue to judging the future direction of interest rates.Qatars Ministry of Foreign Affairs: Qatar and Saudi Arabia reaffirmed their support for efforts to resolve differences through diplomatic means.Qatari Foreign Ministry: Qatari Prime Minister and Foreign Minister met with Saudi Foreign Minister in Riyadh to discuss efforts to reduce regional tensions.August 20th - According to sources, the World Economic Forum (WEF) is still vying for European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde to become its next chairman, and the organizations board of directors discussed the matter at its meeting this week. Sources say Lagarde appears ready to accept the position. However, Lagarde wants confirmation that the tensions between the WEF and its founder and former chairman, Klaus Schwab, have been completely resolved. Lagarde has long been considered a leading candidate for the WEF chairmanship. This speculation intensified after Schwabs abrupt departure in April 2025. Schwab resigned during an investigation into alleged financial misconduct, which was ultimately found not to have occurred, but tensions between the two have persisted to this day.

Prior to the release of Australian employment data, the AUD/JPY pair attempts to regain 89.00

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:44

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The AUD/JPY pair attempts to reclaim the critical resistance level of 89.00 during the Asian session. Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), has advocated for an extension of the already decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy in order to consistently achieve an inflation rate above 2%.

 

The decelerating Producer Price Index (PPI) contradicts the optimistic outlook of the Japanese government regarding wage growth. As expected by market participants, the March PPI did not change. The annual PPI came in at 7.2%, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 7.1% but lower than the previous release of 8.1%. The inability of companies to sustain accelerating production rates at factory gates is indicative of weak household demand.

 

Analysts at Commerzbank anticipate that the Japanese Yen will only appreciate over the long term if the current monetary policy is abandoned quickly.

 

Regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC), the IMF has stated that allowing more flexibility in YCC could have repercussions for global markets, but it could also prevent future policy shifts that could result in significant spillovers.

 

Investors are awaiting the March Employment Report for fresh impetus in the Australian Dollar. The market expects the Australian economy to add 20,000 employment, which is less than the previous estimate of 64.6K. While the Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 3.6% from 3.5% in February, it is anticipated that the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6%.

 

Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the door open for additional rate hikes if Australian inflation persists, so the publication of stronger-than-expected employment gains could reignite fears of additional rate hikes.