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Federal Reserve Statement: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) unanimously elected Kevin Warsh as Chairman of the FOMC.On May 23, U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulcie Gabbard announced on social media on May 22 that she had submitted her resignation to President Trump that day to care for her husband, who is battling cancer. U.S. media reports indicate that Gabbard was effectively "forced out" by the White House. In her resignation letter, Gabbard stated that her husband had recently been diagnosed with "an extremely rare form of bone cancer," and her resignation would take effect on June 30. Trump announced on social media that day that Deputy Director of National Intelligence Aaron Lucas would serve as acting Director of National Intelligence. According to multiple U.S. media reports, Gabbard had been marginalized within the White Houses national security decision-making system, and in recent months, Trump had expressed considerable dissatisfaction with her and considered replacements. Gabbard has long opposed U.S. government military intervention abroad and disagreed with Trump on the Iranian nuclear issue. After the U.S. and Israel launched a large-scale military operation against Iran in late February, she testified before Congress that Iran had not attempted to rebuild its nuclear program and refused to confirm that Iran posed an imminent threat as the U.S. claimed.According to the Wall Street Journal, sources say the United States has suspended visa issuance to people who have visited Ebola-affected areas. This policy applies to individuals planning to travel to the United States within 21 days in South Sudan, the Democratic Republic of Congo, or Uganda.According to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), in the week ending May 19, speculators reduced their net short positions in CBOT U.S. 2-year Treasury futures by 41,775 contracts to 1,560,837 contracts; increased their net short positions in CBOT U.S. 10-year Treasury futures by 66,885 contracts to 848,052 contracts; increased their net short positions in CBOT U.S. ultra-long-term Treasury futures by 15,470 contracts to 254,464 contracts; and reduced their net short positions in CBOT U.S. 5-year Treasury futures by 11,629 contracts to 1,350,516 contracts.According to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), in the week ending May 19, crude oil speculators increased their net long positions in WTI crude oil by 15,017 contracts, reaching 110,348 contracts.

Prior to the release of Australian employment data, the AUD/JPY pair attempts to regain 89.00

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:44

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The AUD/JPY pair attempts to reclaim the critical resistance level of 89.00 during the Asian session. Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), has advocated for an extension of the already decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy in order to consistently achieve an inflation rate above 2%.

 

The decelerating Producer Price Index (PPI) contradicts the optimistic outlook of the Japanese government regarding wage growth. As expected by market participants, the March PPI did not change. The annual PPI came in at 7.2%, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 7.1% but lower than the previous release of 8.1%. The inability of companies to sustain accelerating production rates at factory gates is indicative of weak household demand.

 

Analysts at Commerzbank anticipate that the Japanese Yen will only appreciate over the long term if the current monetary policy is abandoned quickly.

 

Regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC), the IMF has stated that allowing more flexibility in YCC could have repercussions for global markets, but it could also prevent future policy shifts that could result in significant spillovers.

 

Investors are awaiting the March Employment Report for fresh impetus in the Australian Dollar. The market expects the Australian economy to add 20,000 employment, which is less than the previous estimate of 64.6K. While the Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 3.6% from 3.5% in February, it is anticipated that the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6%.

 

Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the door open for additional rate hikes if Australian inflation persists, so the publication of stronger-than-expected employment gains could reignite fears of additional rate hikes.