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The French Ministry of Finance has set a target of a budget deficit of 5.0% of GDP in 2027 and 5.4% in 2026.On September 19th, local time, Michael Mara was elected as the new leader of the Scottish Labour Party, succeeding Anas Saval who resigned. Mara received 4,266 votes, while his opponent, Joe Fagan, received 2,485. Mara stated that becoming the leader of the Scottish Labour Party was an "honor of my life" and pledged to work towards a fairer and more equitable Scotland. The Scottish Labour Party is facing a challenging situation. In the Scottish Parliament election in May, the party suffered a defeat, falling significantly behind the winning Scottish National Party.On September 19th, the German business daily Handelsblatt reported on Saturday that Volkswagens massive turnaround plan is expected to further cut more than 4,000 jobs at Porsche. Documents show that Volkswagens supervisory board recently approved an agreement aimed at advancing the companys largest restructuring plan to date. The documents state that the Porsche brand will cut "approximately 4,100 employees" to offset a shortfall of approximately €700 million in indirect costs. These layoffs will be "added on top of existing agreements." In July, Porsche management and labor representatives agreed to add 5,000 more jobs to the previously agreed-upon 4,000. Volkswagen lowered its full-year profit margin target on Friday, now expecting a maximum of only 1%, down from a previous range of 4.0% to 5.5%. This adjustment is primarily due to asset impairment at Porsche. Porsche CEO Michael Leiters is currently under pressure to develop a recovery strategy to address the sharp decline in market sales and the high costs associated with the automakers reversal of its electric vehicle strategy.The French draft budget projects that the debt-to-GDP ratio will reach 121.7% in 2027.The French draft budget projects that public spending will account for 56.9% of GDP in 2027 and 57.1% of GDP in 2026.

Prior to the release of Australian employment data, the AUD/JPY pair attempts to regain 89.00

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:44

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The AUD/JPY pair attempts to reclaim the critical resistance level of 89.00 during the Asian session. Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), has advocated for an extension of the already decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy in order to consistently achieve an inflation rate above 2%.

 

The decelerating Producer Price Index (PPI) contradicts the optimistic outlook of the Japanese government regarding wage growth. As expected by market participants, the March PPI did not change. The annual PPI came in at 7.2%, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 7.1% but lower than the previous release of 8.1%. The inability of companies to sustain accelerating production rates at factory gates is indicative of weak household demand.

 

Analysts at Commerzbank anticipate that the Japanese Yen will only appreciate over the long term if the current monetary policy is abandoned quickly.

 

Regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC), the IMF has stated that allowing more flexibility in YCC could have repercussions for global markets, but it could also prevent future policy shifts that could result in significant spillovers.

 

Investors are awaiting the March Employment Report for fresh impetus in the Australian Dollar. The market expects the Australian economy to add 20,000 employment, which is less than the previous estimate of 64.6K. While the Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 3.6% from 3.5% in February, it is anticipated that the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6%.

 

Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the door open for additional rate hikes if Australian inflation persists, so the publication of stronger-than-expected employment gains could reignite fears of additional rate hikes.