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Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: Market sentiment was alternately dominated by US macroeconomic data and geopolitical tensions, with gold experiencing its strongest weekly performance this year last week. Since the second half of the year, gold price movements have shown signs of desensitization to US-Iran geopolitical tensions, with market focus primarily on whether the Federal Reserve "dares" to raise interest rates. Previously, US economic data showed resilience, but inflation data was somewhat stubborn, leading to a surge in expectations of a rate hike, particularly with the probability of a rate hike at the Feds September meeting rising. However, with the weakening performance of US stocks at their high levels and the instability of employment data, the market questioned the Feds, especially Warshs, "hawkish" approach. The unexpectedly weak non-farm payroll data directly shattered previous market pricing in a September rate hike, causing US Treasury yields and the dollar to weaken in tandem, reinforcing the view that the US is struggling between high debt and persistent inflation. Furthermore, while previous outflows from gold ETFs dealt a blow to the market, data from the World Gold Council showed that central banks made a record net purchase of 289 tons of gold in the second quarter, with the Peoples Bank of China increasing its gold purchases for five consecutive months, further boosting market confidence. Therefore, overall, the view that the current position is the bottom range for gold is becoming more solidified, and it is advisable to buy on dips. In the short term, attention should be paid to whether there is a risk of profit-taking due to short-term emotional euphoria after golds continuous rise.The Central Bank of Uzbekistan reported that its gold and foreign exchange reserves totaled $64.347 billion in July (up from $63.757 billion previously).Euro Stoxx 50 futures fell 0.02%, German DAX futures fell 0.02%, and UK FTSE 100 futures fell 0.39%.CEO of Abu Dhabi National Oil and Gas Company: We will continue to closely monitor the situation in the Strait of Hormuz and consider various options.August 10th - According to the latest mobile phone industry research from TrendForce, rising component prices, particularly memory chips, are pushing up the overall cost of Apples upcoming iPhone 18 series. Taking the 256GB versions BOM (Bill of Materials) cost as an example, the estimated annual increase is around 38%, inevitably leading to a higher selling price. To avoid impacting consumer purchasing decisions, Apple may control the price increase by reducing profit margins in exchange for market share expansion.

Prior to the release of Australian employment data, the AUD/JPY pair attempts to regain 89.00

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:44

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The AUD/JPY pair attempts to reclaim the critical resistance level of 89.00 during the Asian session. Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), has advocated for an extension of the already decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy in order to consistently achieve an inflation rate above 2%.

 

The decelerating Producer Price Index (PPI) contradicts the optimistic outlook of the Japanese government regarding wage growth. As expected by market participants, the March PPI did not change. The annual PPI came in at 7.2%, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 7.1% but lower than the previous release of 8.1%. The inability of companies to sustain accelerating production rates at factory gates is indicative of weak household demand.

 

Analysts at Commerzbank anticipate that the Japanese Yen will only appreciate over the long term if the current monetary policy is abandoned quickly.

 

Regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC), the IMF has stated that allowing more flexibility in YCC could have repercussions for global markets, but it could also prevent future policy shifts that could result in significant spillovers.

 

Investors are awaiting the March Employment Report for fresh impetus in the Australian Dollar. The market expects the Australian economy to add 20,000 employment, which is less than the previous estimate of 64.6K. While the Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 3.6% from 3.5% in February, it is anticipated that the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6%.

 

Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the door open for additional rate hikes if Australian inflation persists, so the publication of stronger-than-expected employment gains could reignite fears of additional rate hikes.