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On August 4th, Japanese Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Minoru Jonouchi stated that the cost increases caused by the Middle East conflict have so far had a limited impact on consumer prices, and offered a relatively optimistic assessment of inflation risks. Jonouchi said, "The overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 1.7% year-on-year in June, indicating that the rate of price increases remains relatively moderate." He made these remarks in response to the Bank of Japans warning last week regarding the "increased risk of inflation exceeding expectations." However, Jonouchi added, "We do need to remain vigilant, as costs may gradually be passed on to food and other consumer goods prices from this summer to autumn."The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.4 earthquake occurred at 10:25 a.m. on August 4 in Gao County, Yibin City, Sichuan Province (28.53 degrees north latitude, 104.67 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 5 kilometers.The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 3.3 occurred at 10:25 AM on August 4th near Gao County, Yibin City, Sichuan Province (28.53°N, 104.67°E). The final result is subject to the official rapid report.Japanese Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Minoru Jonouchi: We will not comment on specific exchange rate levels, but we will closely monitor the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on the economy and prices.Japanese Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Minoru Jonouchi: I hope the Bank of Japan and the government will maintain close communication on policy guidance.

Prior to the release of Australian employment data, the AUD/JPY pair attempts to regain 89.00

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:44

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The AUD/JPY pair attempts to reclaim the critical resistance level of 89.00 during the Asian session. Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), has advocated for an extension of the already decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy in order to consistently achieve an inflation rate above 2%.

 

The decelerating Producer Price Index (PPI) contradicts the optimistic outlook of the Japanese government regarding wage growth. As expected by market participants, the March PPI did not change. The annual PPI came in at 7.2%, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 7.1% but lower than the previous release of 8.1%. The inability of companies to sustain accelerating production rates at factory gates is indicative of weak household demand.

 

Analysts at Commerzbank anticipate that the Japanese Yen will only appreciate over the long term if the current monetary policy is abandoned quickly.

 

Regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC), the IMF has stated that allowing more flexibility in YCC could have repercussions for global markets, but it could also prevent future policy shifts that could result in significant spillovers.

 

Investors are awaiting the March Employment Report for fresh impetus in the Australian Dollar. The market expects the Australian economy to add 20,000 employment, which is less than the previous estimate of 64.6K. While the Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 3.6% from 3.5% in February, it is anticipated that the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6%.

 

Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the door open for additional rate hikes if Australian inflation persists, so the publication of stronger-than-expected employment gains could reignite fears of additional rate hikes.