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On August 30th, SK Hynix CEO Guo Luzheng stated that the global memory chip shortage is expected to continue until the end of 2030, while the risk of oversupply is low because in the AI era, memory chips are no longer "simply standardized commodities." Despite market concerns about an AI investment bubble, he said he "sees no" signs of oversupply or a potential memory chip downturn, as demand from AI customers remains strong. He added, "If we pass the AI peak, or if another downturn occurs in the future, challenges may arise. But I think the next downturn will be different from the slumps weve experienced in the past few decades. Even if a downturn comes, I dont think it will be a sharp decline, but rather a slow decrease in demand, and it may even stabilize."On August 30th, according to a report by Axios, citing sources familiar with the matter, CIA Director John Ratcliffe, during a secret visit to Moscow earlier this week, proposed a trilateral summit between US President Donald Trump, Russian President Vladimir Putin, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to push for an end to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Sources said that part of Ratcliffes visit was to assess whether the head of Russian intelligence could persuade Putin to return to the US-mediated peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. This marks Ratcliffes first involvement in diplomatic efforts to achieve a breakthrough in Russia-Ukraine relations. The report stated that US officials briefed Zelenskyy on Ratcliffes talks in Moscow on Friday (August 28th) and the proposal for a trilateral summit between the US, Russia, and Ukraine.Conflict Situation: 1. Israel launches attacks in southern Lebanon. 2. Iran claims to have destroyed a US-Israeli "terrorist group" within its territory. 3. Iranian Army Commander-in-Chief: The enemy failed to achieve its war objectives; Iran has won. 4. Palestinian residents attempting to protect their properties are attacked by Israeli settlers. 5. NBC News team is attacked and beaten with sticks by Israeli settlers in the West Bank. 6. Israel Defense Forces: A Noukba company commander and a Hamas sniper are killed in the Gaza Strip. Strait of Hormuz: 1. Irans Deputy Foreign Minister states there is no rush to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. 2. Iran claims the Strait of Hormuz is "completely closed": all transit vessels have received Iranian permission. 3. Bessant claims 130 million barrels of crude oil are being channeled through the strait; Iranian Parliament Speaker: This is a lie. 4. According to Irans Press TV: Security sources indicate that claims about large quantities of oil being transported through the southern route of the Strait of Hormuz are inconsistent with the actual situation. Claims that the US is transporting oil through the southern Strait of Hormuz are part of a US strategy to lower energy prices. Other matters: 1. Iran says US military bases in the region are only for protecting Israel. 2. US Central Command says approximately 50,000 US troops are deployed in the Middle East. 3. The US military plans to punish the sailors who jumped aboard the USS Lincoln. 4. Iranian media: $7.5 billion in oil revenue has been transferred to the Central Bank of Iran. 5. Qatari and Turkish foreign ministers spoke by phone to discuss easing tensions in the Middle East. 6. Iranian Foreign Minister: US government officials are manipulating the energy market for personal gain. 7. US sanctions against Egyptian banks UAE branch; UAE Central Bank to conduct emergency inspection. 8. Israels National Security Agency: Previously, they urgently "rescued" Netanyahus eldest son from the US. 9. US Embassy in Lebanon: Hezbollah continues to refuse to negotiate with the US and Israel on disarmament. 10. Iranian government statement: Iran pledges to resolutely resist US sanctions; diplomacy and defense are "complementary and inseparable."August 30th - A press conference on the "8.26" mudslide disaster in Gyirong, Tibet, was held today (August 30th) in Gyirong Town. On the morning of August 26th, a mudslide on the Nepalese side caused significant casualties and missing persons at the Gyirong Port in Gyirong County, Shigatse City, Tibet. Analysis indicates that the most prominent risk hindering the disaster response was the landslide dam located above the core area of the border crossing. The dam has already overflowed and is currently in stable condition, with a low probability of a complete collapse.On August 30th, a press conference was held in Gyirong Town, Tibet, regarding the "8.26" mudslide disaster. On the morning of August 26th, a mudslide occurred on the Nepalese side, causing significant casualties and missing persons at the Gyirong Port in Gyirong County, Shigatse City, Tibet. The conference explained that this disaster was caused by glacial instability due to long-term climate warming. The disaster was sudden, with a large peak flow, rapid movement, strong destructive power, and a wide impact area, representing a new and significant characteristic of cryosphere disasters in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and surrounding areas. Monitoring revealed that the ice avalanche took only about 6 to 7 minutes from its occurrence to its impact on the Gyirong Port in my country.

Prior to the release of Australian employment data, the AUD/JPY pair attempts to regain 89.00

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:44

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The AUD/JPY pair attempts to reclaim the critical resistance level of 89.00 during the Asian session. Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), has advocated for an extension of the already decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy in order to consistently achieve an inflation rate above 2%.

 

The decelerating Producer Price Index (PPI) contradicts the optimistic outlook of the Japanese government regarding wage growth. As expected by market participants, the March PPI did not change. The annual PPI came in at 7.2%, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 7.1% but lower than the previous release of 8.1%. The inability of companies to sustain accelerating production rates at factory gates is indicative of weak household demand.

 

Analysts at Commerzbank anticipate that the Japanese Yen will only appreciate over the long term if the current monetary policy is abandoned quickly.

 

Regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC), the IMF has stated that allowing more flexibility in YCC could have repercussions for global markets, but it could also prevent future policy shifts that could result in significant spillovers.

 

Investors are awaiting the March Employment Report for fresh impetus in the Australian Dollar. The market expects the Australian economy to add 20,000 employment, which is less than the previous estimate of 64.6K. While the Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 3.6% from 3.5% in February, it is anticipated that the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6%.

 

Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the door open for additional rate hikes if Australian inflation persists, so the publication of stronger-than-expected employment gains could reignite fears of additional rate hikes.