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On September 20, the U.S. embassies in Bahrain, Oman, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Jordan, Israel, Lebanon, and Iraq issued security alerts stating that given the tense situation in the Middle East, the current security environment remains complex, with unforeseen escalation risks. U.S. citizens currently in the Middle East should remain highly vigilant and be aware of potential flight cancellations, airspace closures, and travel disruptions. U.S. citizens outside the Middle East should seriously reconsider their travel plans to or transit through the region. The security alerts all mention the recent conflict between the Houthi rebels in Yemen and Saudi Arabia, stating that this military conflict has the potential to escalate rapidly, and U.S. citizens traveling to or from the region should closely monitor the latest information regarding airport and airline operations.On September 20th, it was reported that on the 18th, Spanish government sources estimated that, based on information provided by national security forces deployed in Ceuta, approximately 10,000 migrants remain stranded in Ceuta. Some are housed in government-established facilities, while others are displaced and forced to live in makeshift tents in mountainous areas and beaches. The Ceuta local government estimates that approximately 13,000 migrants remain in the area. In late July, a large influx of migrants from Morocco into the Spanish enclave of Ceuta triggered Spains worst border migration crisis in recent years.On September 20th, the Gaza Strip health department and Shifa Hospital stated that on September 19th, local time, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) conducted airstrikes on areas surrounding Gaza City and the Jabaliya refugee camp in northern Gaza, resulting in the deaths of two Palestinians. As of now, the IDF has not responded to this report.On September 20th, it was reported that on the evening of September 19th local time, Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council, stated that Iran had presented the US government with seven conditions necessary to initiate any negotiations. Irans message was clear: "If the US wishes to extricate itself from the predicament it created and avoid becoming increasingly entangled, it has no other option but to accept Irans conditions." In an interview that day, Rezaei confirmed that Qatar, as a mediator, had conveyed Irans negotiating conditions to the US and was awaiting a response from US President Trump. Rezaei said that Irans proposed negotiating conditions included the US ending all hostilities against Iran, unfreezing frozen Iranian assets, and ending the naval blockade.Sources say the settlement talks between Paramount (PSKY.O) include a commitment to remain in California.

Prior to the release of Australian employment data, the AUD/JPY pair attempts to regain 89.00

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:44

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The AUD/JPY pair attempts to reclaim the critical resistance level of 89.00 during the Asian session. Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), has advocated for an extension of the already decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy in order to consistently achieve an inflation rate above 2%.

 

The decelerating Producer Price Index (PPI) contradicts the optimistic outlook of the Japanese government regarding wage growth. As expected by market participants, the March PPI did not change. The annual PPI came in at 7.2%, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 7.1% but lower than the previous release of 8.1%. The inability of companies to sustain accelerating production rates at factory gates is indicative of weak household demand.

 

Analysts at Commerzbank anticipate that the Japanese Yen will only appreciate over the long term if the current monetary policy is abandoned quickly.

 

Regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC), the IMF has stated that allowing more flexibility in YCC could have repercussions for global markets, but it could also prevent future policy shifts that could result in significant spillovers.

 

Investors are awaiting the March Employment Report for fresh impetus in the Australian Dollar. The market expects the Australian economy to add 20,000 employment, which is less than the previous estimate of 64.6K. While the Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 3.6% from 3.5% in February, it is anticipated that the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6%.

 

Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the door open for additional rate hikes if Australian inflation persists, so the publication of stronger-than-expected employment gains could reignite fears of additional rate hikes.