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September 14th - According to the Financial Times, persistently high inflation has led to a standoff between Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh this week, with markets bracing for a Fed rate hike despite the presidents demands. Economists warn that the Feds credibility will be at risk if it doesnt support a rate hike on Wednesday, as official data shows the Fed chairman previously stated he needed to see meaningful improvement before avoiding a rate hike, but the data hasnt shown any signs of that. However, a rate hike just weeks before the November midterm elections could anger the president, who has made it clear he wants significantly lower borrowing costs. Trump reiterated on Sunday that the US should have the "lowest interest rates in the world." Trumps National Economic Council Director, Hassett, warned, "If its a rate hike, then the president... Im sure he wont be particularly happy about it."On September 14th, the State Council Information Office held a press conference on the theme of "Starting the 15th Five-Year Plan," where the National Health Commission, the State Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine, and the National Center for Disease Control and Prevention introduced the decisive progress made in promoting the construction of a Healthy China. Lei Haichao, Director of the National Health Commission, stated that during the 15th Five-Year Plan period, emphasis should be placed on health governance, highlighting the fundamental, long-term, and stabilizing role of health legislation. We will advance legislation in the health field to better protect the public and practitioners, and better adjust various social relationships. Lei Haichao stated that the National Health Commission is drafting a childcare service law, which has entered the review process of the National Peoples Congress. In addition, the Blood Donation Law, enacted more than 20 years ago, is also being revised to adapt to the current new situation of blood supply and demand. During the 15th Five-Year Plan period, the legal foundation in the health field will be further strengthened, and the legal environment will be further optimized.Japans final July inventory growth rate was 0.5%, unchanged from the previous month.Japans capacity utilization index rose 0.5% month-on-month in July, down from 4.10% in the previous month.Japans capacity utilization index was 107.7 in July, compared with 107.2 in the previous month.

Prior to the release of Australian employment data, the AUD/JPY pair attempts to regain 89.00

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:44

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The AUD/JPY pair attempts to reclaim the critical resistance level of 89.00 during the Asian session. Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), has advocated for an extension of the already decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy in order to consistently achieve an inflation rate above 2%.

 

The decelerating Producer Price Index (PPI) contradicts the optimistic outlook of the Japanese government regarding wage growth. As expected by market participants, the March PPI did not change. The annual PPI came in at 7.2%, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 7.1% but lower than the previous release of 8.1%. The inability of companies to sustain accelerating production rates at factory gates is indicative of weak household demand.

 

Analysts at Commerzbank anticipate that the Japanese Yen will only appreciate over the long term if the current monetary policy is abandoned quickly.

 

Regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC), the IMF has stated that allowing more flexibility in YCC could have repercussions for global markets, but it could also prevent future policy shifts that could result in significant spillovers.

 

Investors are awaiting the March Employment Report for fresh impetus in the Australian Dollar. The market expects the Australian economy to add 20,000 employment, which is less than the previous estimate of 64.6K. While the Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 3.6% from 3.5% in February, it is anticipated that the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6%.

 

Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the door open for additional rate hikes if Australian inflation persists, so the publication of stronger-than-expected employment gains could reignite fears of additional rate hikes.