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April 9th - GeoQuant, a risk analytics firm affiliated with Fitch Ratings, stated that high fuel prices ahead of state elections are putting pressure on subsidy policies, posing rising fiscal and political risks to Malaysia. The government has already cut fuel subsidy quotas by one-third to control costs and maintain fiscal discipline. However, public concerns about fuel prices could intensify ahead of the elections. If fuel prices fall, a prudent policy response could support Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim and potentially pave the way for early federal elections. However, if fuel prices remain high, it could force the government to implement more austerity measures, putting pressure on state elections and potentially postponing the federal elections scheduled for February 2028.Hong Kong-listed auto stocks continued their upward trend, with Geely Automobile (00175.HK) and Chery Automobile (09973.HK) rising by more than 4%, NIO-SW (09866.HK) rising by more than 3%, and Leapmotor (09863.HK) and others following suit.The SC crude oil futures contract fell 4.00% intraday, currently trading at 637.50 yuan per barrel.Former Honduran President Hernández: The U.S. Court of Appeals has overturned his guilty verdict and ordered the judge to drop the charges against him.On April 9th, economists at Mizuho Securities stated that while the upward pressure on oil prices caused by the Middle East conflict is significant, government subsidies are expected to largely offset its impact on Japans energy costs. Meanwhile, the impact on commodities (mainly food) will gradually emerge, with inflation in these categories projected to peak between spring and summer 2027, implying a lag of four to six quarters. They added, "As security in the Strait of Hormuz and full normalization of shipping are expected to take time, crude oil prices are likely to remain high in the short term."

NZD/USD Nears 0.6220 Amid a Weak U.S. Dollar, With New Zealand Inflation in Sight

Daniel Rogers

Apr 19, 2023 15:54

 NZD:USD.png

 

After defending the round-level support at 0.6200, the NZD/USD pair exhibited a lackluster performance during the Asian session. As the US Dollar Index (DXY) performs unfavorably, the Kiwi asset approaches the 0.6220 level of resistance.

 

S&P500 futures have extended their losses because investors are concerned about the future performance of stocks, indicating a cautious performance. US commercial institutions have displayed a mixed performance thus far. In the aftermath of March's turmoil and restrictive credit conditions, investors were initially apprehensive about the quarterly performance of banking stocks.

 

Following a substantial retracement, the US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to trade above 101.78. In spite of hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers, the USD Index failed to exhibit a power-packed movement. As reported by Reuters, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, James Bullard, advocated for the continuation of the central bank's policy tightening in view of the continued strength of labor market data.

 

In the second half of 2023, the probability of a recession decreases, according to Fed policymakers, as robust labor demand drives global consumption.

 

Thursday's quarterly inflation data is anticipated to affect the New Zealand Dollar. The New Zealand Consumer Price Index (CPI) accelerated to 2.0% from 1.4% in the first quarter of CY2023, according to the consensus. New Zealand's annual inflation rate has increased to 7.5% from 7.2%. As a result of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) decision to raise interest rates, households in the New Zealand economy are expected to bear a suffocating burden as a result of the country's rising inflation.

 

In addition, this suggests that RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr will continue to raise interest rates to combat inflation.