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Market news: Local authorities said that drone debris crashed at night in an area of an oil depot in Russias Krasnodar Krai, causing a fire that has been extinguished.April 11th - According to foreign media reports, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has decided to increase UK defense spending at a faster pace than currently planned in an effort to counter potential leadership challenges. The UKs defense spending has fallen behind allies such as Germany, and the government had previously set a target of increasing core defense spending to 3.5% of economic output by 2035. The decision to increase defense spending is essentially finalized, but specific details are still pending. The UK Treasury insists that any significant increase in defense spending must be achieved through tax increases or spending cuts.On April 11, the Japanese government approved an additional subsidy of 631.5 billion yen (approximately US$4 billion) to accelerate Rapiduss entry into the highly competitive field of artificial intelligence chip manufacturing. This funding aims to support Rapiduss business operations for IT company Fujitsu. The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry stated on Saturday that the additional funding brings the total amount of government funding and investment in the startup to 2.6 trillion yen (approximately US$16.3 billion) in the current fiscal year (ending March 2027). The ministry said an external committee has inspected Rapiduss wafer fab in northern Hokkaido and approved its technological progress. The newly established chipmaker began developing wafers using 2-nanometer technology last year, aiming to mass-produce cutting-edge semiconductors by 2027 and help Japan reduce its reliance on industry leader TSMC.April 11th - A Bank of America research report indicates that the Eurozone is far more sensitive to oil prices than the United States. The study found that a 10% shock to oil prices would have an inflationary impact of approximately 40 basis points and a corresponding growth impact of over 10 basis points. Both of these effects are roughly twice that in the United States. We believe this result is due to the higher proportion of energy in Europes consumption basket and the regions status as a net importer of oil.On April 11th, Baidu AI Cloud, in collaboration with embodied intelligence companies such as ZeroPower, LingSheng Technology, Fourier, Weite Technology, Topway Intelligence, Shutu Technology, and Songying Technology, launched the Baidu AI Cloud Embedded Intelligence Data Supermarket (Beta Version). This pioneering hierarchical and scalable data tagging system accelerates the large-scale deployment of embodied intelligence. Currently, Baidu AI Cloud provides services to over 30 embodied intelligence companies, including Zhiyuan and Unitree.

GBP/USD falls to around 1.2370 as the BoE considers taking swift action ahead of UK inflation and US purchasing managers' indices

Alina Haynes

Apr 17, 2023 13:53

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On Monday morning, the GBP/USD currency pair retested an intraday low of 1.2390 after extending Sunday's decline from a 10-month high. To provoke adverse after breaking a four-week uptrend, the Cable pair explains the most recent concerns emanating from the United Kingdom (UK) and the optimism surrounding the Federal Reserve (Fed).

 

According to the Financial Times (FT), "The Bank of England is considering a major overhaul of its deposit guarantee scheme, including increasing the amount covered for businesses and compelling banks to pre-fund the system to a greater extent to ensure faster access to cash when a lender collapses."  The revelation fuels banking concerns in the United Kingdom and places pressure on the Cable duo.

 

UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt's concerns about US subsidies may also be exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate as British firms rush to claim benefits before leaving the country. According to the news, "Chancellor Jeremy Hunt warned Sky News that Britain should be wary of any new subsidies, warning that they could undermine the economy and possibly even spark a protectionist trade war."

 

A larger-than-expected decline in US retail sales was unable to offset positive data from US industrial production and the University of Michigan's (UoM) consumer confidence index from the previous day. Despite this, US retail sales decreased by 1.0% in March compared to the predicted -0.4% decline and February's -0.2% decline. As opposed to the 0.2% market consensus and previous reading, Industrial Production increased by 0.4% in the month in question. The preliminary result of the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index for April, which increased to 63.5 from 62.0 analysts' expectations and previous readings, was also encouraging. In addition, inflation forecasts for the next year increased from 3.6% in March to 4.6% in April, while inflation forecasts for the next five years decreased by 2.9% during the same month.

 

Notably, Fed officials have recently appeared more hawkish than their BoE counterparts, which has exerted additional pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate.

 

In this environment, the S&P 500 Futures exhibit modest gains following Wall Street's pessimistic close, while bond yields remain unchanged following weekly increases.

 

Moving forward, the current week is crucial for GBP/USD speculators as it contains a variety of high-quality inflation, employment, and UK PMI data. These data may be used to support the Bank of England's (BoE) officials' waning hawkish inclination and may keep bears in play. However, the US PMIs and Fed discussions should not be disregarded when looking for clear guidelines.

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