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UN Secretary-General António Guterres strongly condemns Saturdays attack on the UN Interim Force in Lebanon, which resulted in the death of a French peacekeeper and injuries to three others.On April 19th, Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Ghalibaf posted on social media, stating, "In the third war imposed upon us, we have undoubtedly surpassed our past capabilities in offensive strategy and design, a fact already proven on the battlefield." Ghalibaf claimed that Iran shot down approximately 180 drones, a capability it lacked previously. The downing of the F-35 was not accidental, but rather a comprehensive operation at the technological and design levels, from which the enemy has recognized Irans capabilities and direction. He emphasized that Iran is not militarily stronger than the United States, which possesses more resources, equipment, and experience, and Israel, as its proxy, is also very powerful. However, Iran successfully repelled its enemies through asymmetric warfare design and preparation. While the enemy has money and resources, it has repeatedly made mistakes in strategic decision-making and military design. Ghalibaf also criticized the US government for claiming "America First," but in reality prioritizing Israel and making decisions based on false information from Israel.April 19 – Asian Development Bank President Masato Kanda stated that the yen could face further pressure if the market perceives the Bank of Japan as too slow to address inflation risks. Kanda, a former top foreign exchange diplomat for Japan, told reporters Friday evening that investors are buying dollars during periods of global tension, partly because the US is an oil exporter, but even if these positions are unwound, the yen is unlikely to appreciate significantly against the dollar. He said, “The biggest reason is the interest rate differential. With the market particularly focused on potential actions by the Federal Reserve, if many believe the Bank of Japan will lag behind the curve in addressing inflation risks, the yen will be left behind.” Speaking in Washington this week at meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Group, Kanda added that investors might also sell yen if they are concerned about Japan’s fiscal sustainability.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.4 earthquake occurred at 05:27 on April 19 in Ando County, Nagqu City, Tibet (32.62 degrees north latitude, 90.36 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.U.S. State Department: All parties agreed to facilitate the free movement of humanitarian personnel, assets, and humanitarian convoys.

GBP/USD falls to around 1.2370 as the BoE considers taking swift action ahead of UK inflation and US purchasing managers' indices

Alina Haynes

Apr 17, 2023 13:53

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On Monday morning, the GBP/USD currency pair retested an intraday low of 1.2390 after extending Sunday's decline from a 10-month high. To provoke adverse after breaking a four-week uptrend, the Cable pair explains the most recent concerns emanating from the United Kingdom (UK) and the optimism surrounding the Federal Reserve (Fed).

 

According to the Financial Times (FT), "The Bank of England is considering a major overhaul of its deposit guarantee scheme, including increasing the amount covered for businesses and compelling banks to pre-fund the system to a greater extent to ensure faster access to cash when a lender collapses."  The revelation fuels banking concerns in the United Kingdom and places pressure on the Cable duo.

 

UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt's concerns about US subsidies may also be exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate as British firms rush to claim benefits before leaving the country. According to the news, "Chancellor Jeremy Hunt warned Sky News that Britain should be wary of any new subsidies, warning that they could undermine the economy and possibly even spark a protectionist trade war."

 

A larger-than-expected decline in US retail sales was unable to offset positive data from US industrial production and the University of Michigan's (UoM) consumer confidence index from the previous day. Despite this, US retail sales decreased by 1.0% in March compared to the predicted -0.4% decline and February's -0.2% decline. As opposed to the 0.2% market consensus and previous reading, Industrial Production increased by 0.4% in the month in question. The preliminary result of the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index for April, which increased to 63.5 from 62.0 analysts' expectations and previous readings, was also encouraging. In addition, inflation forecasts for the next year increased from 3.6% in March to 4.6% in April, while inflation forecasts for the next five years decreased by 2.9% during the same month.

 

Notably, Fed officials have recently appeared more hawkish than their BoE counterparts, which has exerted additional pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate.

 

In this environment, the S&P 500 Futures exhibit modest gains following Wall Street's pessimistic close, while bond yields remain unchanged following weekly increases.

 

Moving forward, the current week is crucial for GBP/USD speculators as it contains a variety of high-quality inflation, employment, and UK PMI data. These data may be used to support the Bank of England's (BoE) officials' waning hawkish inclination and may keep bears in play. However, the US PMIs and Fed discussions should not be disregarded when looking for clear guidelines.

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