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Foreign central banks held $39.755 billion in U.S. Treasury securities in the week ending March 13, compared with a previous weeks figure of $9.333 billion.March 13th - According to the Financial Times, the head of the CME Group warned that if the Trump administration attempts to suppress oil prices by intervening in the derivatives market during its conflict with Iran, it will face "catastrophic consequences." CME CEO Terry Duffy stated that if the US government attempts to curb rising crude oil prices by intervening in the futures market, it will undermine market confidence. The exchange manages the US oil futures trading market. Duffy said, "The market doesnt like government intervention in pricing." He stated that if the government takes such action, it could trigger an "epic disaster" because investors might lose confidence in the markets ability to set prices for key commodities. Previously, it was reported that the US Treasury Department was considering measures to lower oil prices, including intervention in the futures market.Market news: S&P has assessed rule changes that could accelerate SpaceXs inclusion in the S&P 500 index.The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 739.42 points, or 1.56%, at 46,677.85 on Thursday, March 12; the S&P 500 closed down 103.22 points, or 1.52%, at 6,672.58; and the Nasdaq Composite closed down 404.16 points, or 1.78%, at 22,311.98.March 13th - U.S. stocks closed lower on Thursday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.56%, the S&P 500 fell 1.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.78%. Occidental Petroleum (OXY.N) rose 5%, while TSMC and Intel (INTC.O) both fell by around 5%. Nvidia (NVDA.O) fell more than 1%, and Apple (AAPL.O) fell nearly 2%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed down 1%, XPeng Motors (XPEV.N) rose 3.5%, and Alibaba (BABA.N) fell more than 1%.

Even as the BoJ vs. Fed Difference Remains in the Spotlight, USD/JPY Tracks Below 134.00 on Lackluster Yields

Alina Haynes

Apr 17, 2023 14:02

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As Monday begins in Tokyo, USD/JPY falls from its intraday high and stabilizes around 133.80. As a consequence, the Yen pair is unable to extend its previous day's gains due to lax market conditions preceding this week's key data/events. In addition to a paucity of significant data or events, USD/JPY traders have recently struggled with inconsistent triggers and sluggish returns.

 

The previous day, USD/JPY reached its highest level in a week as primarily positive US data dampened expectations for a policy shift and rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2023. Despite this, US retail sales decreased by 1.0% in March compared to the predicted -0.4% decline and February's -0.2% decline. As opposed to the 0.2% market consensus and previous reading, Industrial Production increased by 0.4% in the month in question. The preliminary result of the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index for April, which increased to 63.5 from 62.0 analysts' expectations and previous readings, was also encouraging. In addition, inflation forecasts for the next year increased from 3.6% in March to 4.6% in April, while inflation forecasts for the next five years decreased by 2.9% during the same month.

 

Previously, the USD/JPY pair increased due to hawkish Fed discussions. In an interview with Reuters on Friday, Raphael Bostic, president of the Atlanta Federal Reserve (Fed), stated that "recent developments are consistent with one more rate hike." According to Reuters, Fed Governor Christopher Waller discussed this topic and stated that additional rate hikes are necessary because the Fed has not made significant progress toward its inflation objective. In an interview with CNBC on Friday, Austan Goolsbee, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, stated that he still needs to examine the statistics. The lawmaker said, "However, let's keep in mind that we've raised a lot of money; some of the delay may be reflected in today's retail sales number."

 

In contrast, the USD/JPY pair was able to maintain its strength due to the new Governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), Kazuo Ueda, who supports the Japanese central bank's easy-money policy.

 

Recent geopolitical tensions between China and the United States over Taiwan, as well as China's desire to collaborate with Russia to enhance regional and global security, have weighed on the USD/JPY pair and agitated the market.

 

S&P 500 Futures struggle to find a clear direction amidst these wagers following Wall Street's pessimistic close, as bond yields remain neutral despite weekly gains.

 

The preliminary readings of the US PMIs for April and the Japanese National Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March will be crucial to monitor going forward. The previously mentioned risk factors and central banker comments are also significant.


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