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On January 12, Trump denied involvement in the Justice Departments subpoena of the Federal Reserve. Speaking about Fed Chairman Powell, he said, "I have no idea about it, but hes clearly not doing well at the Fed, and hes not good at managing construction projects." Trump stated that the Justice Department subpoena was unrelated to interest rates: "No, I would never even consider putting pressure on him that way. What should really be putting pressure on him is the fact that interest rates are too high; thats the only pressure hes under." He added, "Hes hurt a lot of people, and I think the public is putting pressure on him."Hong Kong-listed application software stocks continued their upward trend, with Weimob Group (02013.HK) rising nearly 17%, China Youzan (08083.HK) rising over 10%, and Kingdee International (00268.HK) and Inspur Digital Enterprise (00596.HK) following suit.On January 12th, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) and three other departments jointly released the "Working Measures on Strengthening the Planning and Investment Direction Guidance of Government Investment Funds." An official from the NDRC stated that this is the first time that the layout and investment direction of government investment funds have been systematically regulated at the national level. Regarding optimizing fund layout, the measures require funds to support major strategies, key areas, and weak links where the market cannot effectively allocate resources, promote the deep integration of technological and industrial innovation, focus on cultivating emerging pillar industries, and adhere to the principles of early investment, small-scale investment, long-term investment, and investment in hard technologies. The NDRC official also stated that in recent years, some government investment funds have encountered problems in their establishment and operation, such as mismatch with local resource endowments and industrial foundations, unclear fund positioning, and homogeneous investment directions. In response to these situations, the "Working Measures" clearly define the functional positioning and investment priorities of national-level funds and local funds.According to Futures News on January 12, as of 09:30 Beijing time, WTI crude oil futures fell 0.05%, while US natural gas futures rose 2.08%.U.S. Republican Senator Tillis: If there were any doubts before that advisors within the Trump administration were actively pushing to end the independence of the Federal Reserve, there should be no doubt now.

Even as the BoJ vs. Fed Difference Remains in the Spotlight, USD/JPY Tracks Below 134.00 on Lackluster Yields

Alina Haynes

Apr 17, 2023 14:02

USD:JPY.png 

 

As Monday begins in Tokyo, USD/JPY falls from its intraday high and stabilizes around 133.80. As a consequence, the Yen pair is unable to extend its previous day's gains due to lax market conditions preceding this week's key data/events. In addition to a paucity of significant data or events, USD/JPY traders have recently struggled with inconsistent triggers and sluggish returns.

 

The previous day, USD/JPY reached its highest level in a week as primarily positive US data dampened expectations for a policy shift and rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2023. Despite this, US retail sales decreased by 1.0% in March compared to the predicted -0.4% decline and February's -0.2% decline. As opposed to the 0.2% market consensus and previous reading, Industrial Production increased by 0.4% in the month in question. The preliminary result of the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index for April, which increased to 63.5 from 62.0 analysts' expectations and previous readings, was also encouraging. In addition, inflation forecasts for the next year increased from 3.6% in March to 4.6% in April, while inflation forecasts for the next five years decreased by 2.9% during the same month.

 

Previously, the USD/JPY pair increased due to hawkish Fed discussions. In an interview with Reuters on Friday, Raphael Bostic, president of the Atlanta Federal Reserve (Fed), stated that "recent developments are consistent with one more rate hike." According to Reuters, Fed Governor Christopher Waller discussed this topic and stated that additional rate hikes are necessary because the Fed has not made significant progress toward its inflation objective. In an interview with CNBC on Friday, Austan Goolsbee, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, stated that he still needs to examine the statistics. The lawmaker said, "However, let's keep in mind that we've raised a lot of money; some of the delay may be reflected in today's retail sales number."

 

In contrast, the USD/JPY pair was able to maintain its strength due to the new Governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), Kazuo Ueda, who supports the Japanese central bank's easy-money policy.

 

Recent geopolitical tensions between China and the United States over Taiwan, as well as China's desire to collaborate with Russia to enhance regional and global security, have weighed on the USD/JPY pair and agitated the market.

 

S&P 500 Futures struggle to find a clear direction amidst these wagers following Wall Street's pessimistic close, as bond yields remain neutral despite weekly gains.

 

The preliminary readings of the US PMIs for April and the Japanese National Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March will be crucial to monitor going forward. The previously mentioned risk factors and central banker comments are also significant.


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