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The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong opened at 23,865.64 points, down 26.68 points, or 0.11%, on July 10 (Thursday); the Hang Seng Technology Index opened at 5,218.31 points, down 13.68 points, or 0.26%, on July 10 (Thursday); the CSI 300 Index opened at 8,588.74 points, down 8.53 points, or 0.1%, on July 10 (Thursday); the H-share Index opened at 4,110.46 points, up 1.88 points, or 0.05%, on July 10 (Thursday).Hang Seng Index futures opened down 0.07% at 23,866 points, 26 points below the spot price.Japans 20-year government bond yield fell 2.0 basis points to 2.490%.South Koreas central bank decided the interest rate at 2.5% on July 10, in line with expectations of 2.50% and the previous value of 2.50%.On July 10, an important panel in the U.S. Senate debated proposed digital asset regulation, with Republicans calling for a moderate approach and Democrats warning of potential loopholes and conflicts of interest. "Our job is to set clear, loose guardrails to protect investors, stop fraud, and allow responsible innovation to flourish," said Tim Scott, chairman of the Senate Banking Committee. He noted that legislation should clearly define which tokens are securities and ensure appropriate protection from illegal financing. Republican Senator Hagerty and others released market structure principles last month, calling for a clear definition of the legal status and regulatory agencies of digital assets. The plan is largely in line with the CLARITY Act proposed by the House Committee in June. Hagerty said he was not worried about losing bipartisan support for market structure legislation and predicted that Democrats who support stablecoin legislation would begin to act.

GBP/USD falls to around 1.2370 as the BoE considers taking swift action ahead of UK inflation and US purchasing managers' indices

Alina Haynes

Apr 17, 2023 13:53

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On Monday morning, the GBP/USD currency pair retested an intraday low of 1.2390 after extending Sunday's decline from a 10-month high. To provoke adverse after breaking a four-week uptrend, the Cable pair explains the most recent concerns emanating from the United Kingdom (UK) and the optimism surrounding the Federal Reserve (Fed).

 

According to the Financial Times (FT), "The Bank of England is considering a major overhaul of its deposit guarantee scheme, including increasing the amount covered for businesses and compelling banks to pre-fund the system to a greater extent to ensure faster access to cash when a lender collapses."  The revelation fuels banking concerns in the United Kingdom and places pressure on the Cable duo.

 

UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt's concerns about US subsidies may also be exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate as British firms rush to claim benefits before leaving the country. According to the news, "Chancellor Jeremy Hunt warned Sky News that Britain should be wary of any new subsidies, warning that they could undermine the economy and possibly even spark a protectionist trade war."

 

A larger-than-expected decline in US retail sales was unable to offset positive data from US industrial production and the University of Michigan's (UoM) consumer confidence index from the previous day. Despite this, US retail sales decreased by 1.0% in March compared to the predicted -0.4% decline and February's -0.2% decline. As opposed to the 0.2% market consensus and previous reading, Industrial Production increased by 0.4% in the month in question. The preliminary result of the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index for April, which increased to 63.5 from 62.0 analysts' expectations and previous readings, was also encouraging. In addition, inflation forecasts for the next year increased from 3.6% in March to 4.6% in April, while inflation forecasts for the next five years decreased by 2.9% during the same month.

 

Notably, Fed officials have recently appeared more hawkish than their BoE counterparts, which has exerted additional pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate.

 

In this environment, the S&P 500 Futures exhibit modest gains following Wall Street's pessimistic close, while bond yields remain unchanged following weekly increases.

 

Moving forward, the current week is crucial for GBP/USD speculators as it contains a variety of high-quality inflation, employment, and UK PMI data. These data may be used to support the Bank of England's (BoE) officials' waning hawkish inclination and may keep bears in play. However, the US PMIs and Fed discussions should not be disregarded when looking for clear guidelines.

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