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On March 26th, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) announced that it will begin releasing monthly data to assess core CPI starting this month. This data, titled the "Core CPI Reference Indicator," will be published at 2:00 PM on the second working day following the official CPI release. Investinglive analyst Justin Low stated that the BOJ has faced considerable skepticism recently due to somewhat confusing inflation data in Japan. While Japans core CPI annual rate fell below the crucial 2% level in February, the BOJ appears determined to continue its tight monetary policy. The BOJ wants to provide evidence that underlying inflationary pressures remain strong. The bank believes that government measures such as energy subsidies have artificially suppressed CPI data. Therefore, the BOJs new "Core CPI Reference Indicator" will be a "de-noiseed" interpretation of the inflation figures. This is more about reassuring the public and markets that they are still on the right track with their monetary policy. If theres any difference, it could be interpreted as a slight resistance from the government, with Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi hoping the BOJ will maintain current interest rates.European Commission Executive Vice President Dombrovskis: We have received assurances from the US that they intend to fulfill the trade agreement.Ukrainian President Zelensky: We have not seen any genuine desire from Russia to end the war, and our partners share this view. The United States believes Putin wants to end the war. Our view is quite different.The chart shows that at 22:00 Beijing time on March 26, there will be large foreign exchange options contracts for Euro, British Pound, and Australian Dollar expiring, including four contracts with strike prices exceeding 1 billion. Please manage your risks.Spains National Statistics Institute: GDP is projected to grow by 2.8% year-on-year in 2025 (preliminary estimate: 2.8%).

EUR/USD Price Analysis: EUR/USD Is Clinging To The Leading Edge Of The Rising Trendline Above 1.0900

Alina Haynes

Apr 18, 2023 13:54

EUR:USD.png 

 

The EUR/USD pair fluctuates erratically in a narrow range near 1.0926 during the Asian session. Following in the footsteps of the directionless US Dollar Index (DXY), the main currency pair is unable to establish a trend.

 

In Asia, S&P500 futures are declining slightly as investors fret over the upcoming quarterly earnings season, indicating a minor decrease in market participants' risk appetite. Following the decline of regional banks in the United States, investors are concerned about any discrepancies in quarterly banking reports.

 

The Euro has entered the wilderness as European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are divided over the pace of the policy-tightening cycle to be implemented at the May monetary policy meeting. Martins Kazaks, a member of the ECB's monetary policy committee, stated on Monday that the central bank has the option to move by either 25 or 50 basis points (bps) in May. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers

 

After failing to sustain above the 161.8% Fibonacci Extension at 1.1057 (positioned from April 4's high of 1.0973 to April 10's low of 1.0837) on a two-hour time frame, EUR/USD experienced a precipitous decline. The primary currency pair has declined below the uptrend line drawn from the low of 1.0714 on March 24.

 

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0962 is operating as a barrier for Euro bulls.

 

In the meantime, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has moved into the pessimistic zone between 20.00 and 40.00, indicating a continuation of the decline.

 

A decisive break below the low of April 12 at 1.0915 would propel the asset toward the lows of April 10 at 1.0837 and April 3 at 1.0758.

 

In contrast, a breach above the psychological resistance level of 1.1000 would propel the asset to a new annual high of 1.1068, followed by the level of round resistance at 1.1100.