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On May 15th, the wheat market saw largely stable prices with minor fluctuations in some areas. The sporadic arrival of new wheat on the market has strengthened market expectations for a bumper harvest, further fueling bearish sentiment and putting downward pressure on prices due to ample supply. Although the volume of wheat released for rotation has decreased significantly, traders are clearing warehouses to sell, resulting in ample grain supply in the market. On the demand side, flour demand remains weak, with milling plants operating at low capacity, primarily focusing on depleting existing inventory and replenishing stocks only as needed. Feed companies are also showing little interest in purchasing wheat due to lower prices for substitute raw materials such as corn and soybean meal. In the short term, the wheat market will maintain a pattern of ample supply and weak demand, with prices trending towards a slightly weaker fluctuation.1. US President Trump stated that his patience with Iran is running out. He urged Tehran to reach an agreement with Washington, while also suggesting that the demand to reclaim Irans enriched uranium was more about creating a certain "image" than about security considerations. 2. According to a survey conducted by the China Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry Association on May 12, 2026, the national daily urea output is approximately 220,500 tons, with an operating rate of approximately 87.18%. Among them, the operating rate of urea enterprises using coal as raw material is 88.51%, and the operating rate of urea enterprises using natural gas and coke oven gas as raw materials is 82.18%. 3. In May, Hebei Iron & Steels 75B ferrosilicon tender price was 6,000 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan/ton from the previous rounds price of 5,950 yuan/ton. The inquiry price was 5,800 yuan/ton. The tender quantity for HBISs 75B ferrosilicon in May was 2,916 tons, up 483 tons from the previous rounds tender of 2,433 tons. 4. A spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that the recent ceasefire between the US and Iran, and the exploration of resolving issues through negotiations, has been welcomed by regional countries and the international community. China has always maintained that dialogue and negotiation are the right path, and that a military solution is not the way forward. 5. According to foreign media reports, the Zambian Minister of Trade stated that the country has approved two copper producers to resume sulfuric acid exports to the Democratic Republic of Congo. 6. According to Jubo Information, on May 15th, the kilns of Kaisheng (Zigong) New Energy (designed capacity 650 tons/day) photovoltaic production line were shut down for maintenance. The kilns of Hubei Yijun Yaoneng (designed capacity 1200 tons/day) photovoltaic production line were shut down. On May 16th, the kilns of China Building Materials Tongcheng New Energy (designed capacity 1200 tons/day) photovoltaic production line were scheduled for technical upgrades and cold repairs. 7. According to SMM data, as of this Thursday, the total installed capacity of metallurgical-grade alumina in China was 115.22 million tons/year, and the total operating capacity was 85.08 million tons/year. The national weekly operating rate of alumina increased by 0.43 percentage points from the previous week to 75.57%. 8. Mysteel statistics show that the total imported iron ore inventory at 45 ports nationwide was 165.0193 million tons, a decrease of 247,800 tons compared to the previous week. The total imported iron ore inventory at 47 ports nationwide was 171.8923 million tons, a decrease of 365,300 tons compared to the previous week; the average daily port throughput was 3.367 million tons, an increase of 148,900 tons. 9. Mysteels survey of 247 steel mills showed that the blast furnace operating rate was 83.52%, an increase of 0.26 percentage points compared to the previous week, and a decrease of 0.63 percentage points compared to the same period last year. 10. Mysteel statistics show that the total imported iron ore inventory at steel mills nationwide was 87.7684 million tons, an increase of 98,000 tons compared to the previous week. 11. As of the week ending May 15, the profit of self-bred and self-raised pig farming was a loss of RMB 343.24 per head, compared to a loss of RMB 326.6 per head on May 8. The profit of raising piglets purchased from outside sources was a loss of RMB 213.54 per head, compared to a loss of RMB 184.19 per head on May 8.Shares of Indian oil sales company fell, with declines ranging from 1.7% to 2.6%.A Reuters poll showed that 74% of economists surveyed believed that Japans monetary intervention was unlikely to sustainably curb the yens depreciation.A Reuters poll showed that 65% of economists surveyed expect the Bank of Japan to raise its key interest rate to 1.00% in June.

EUR/USD Price Analysis: EUR/USD Is Clinging To The Leading Edge Of The Rising Trendline Above 1.0900

Alina Haynes

Apr 18, 2023 13:54

EUR:USD.png 

 

The EUR/USD pair fluctuates erratically in a narrow range near 1.0926 during the Asian session. Following in the footsteps of the directionless US Dollar Index (DXY), the main currency pair is unable to establish a trend.

 

In Asia, S&P500 futures are declining slightly as investors fret over the upcoming quarterly earnings season, indicating a minor decrease in market participants' risk appetite. Following the decline of regional banks in the United States, investors are concerned about any discrepancies in quarterly banking reports.

 

The Euro has entered the wilderness as European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are divided over the pace of the policy-tightening cycle to be implemented at the May monetary policy meeting. Martins Kazaks, a member of the ECB's monetary policy committee, stated on Monday that the central bank has the option to move by either 25 or 50 basis points (bps) in May. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers

 

After failing to sustain above the 161.8% Fibonacci Extension at 1.1057 (positioned from April 4's high of 1.0973 to April 10's low of 1.0837) on a two-hour time frame, EUR/USD experienced a precipitous decline. The primary currency pair has declined below the uptrend line drawn from the low of 1.0714 on March 24.

 

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0962 is operating as a barrier for Euro bulls.

 

In the meantime, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has moved into the pessimistic zone between 20.00 and 40.00, indicating a continuation of the decline.

 

A decisive break below the low of April 12 at 1.0915 would propel the asset toward the lows of April 10 at 1.0837 and April 3 at 1.0758.

 

In contrast, a breach above the psychological resistance level of 1.1000 would propel the asset to a new annual high of 1.1068, followed by the level of round resistance at 1.1100.