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On April 15th, Goldman Sachs reported that the US March PPI, the PPI excluding food and energy, and the PPI excluding food, energy, and trade services all fell short of expectations. However, the PPI sub-index related to PCE performed better than the banks previous assumptions. Based on the details of the PPI and CPI reports, Goldman Sachs estimates that the US core PCE price index rose 0.27% in March (compared to a forecast of 0.22% before the PPI report was released), corresponding to a year-on-year increase of 3.15%. Furthermore, the bank expects the overall PCE price index to rise 0.64% in March, a year-on-year increase of 3.45%.Futures News, April 15th: Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) Energy and Chemical Warehouse Receipts and Changes on April 15th: 1. Pulp futures warehouse receipts: 181,417 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 2. Pulp futures mill warehouse receipts: 15,000 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 3. Offset paper futures warehouse receipts: 957 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 4. Offset paper futures mill warehouse receipts: 4,160 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 5. Fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day. 6. Petroleum asphalt futures warehouse receipts: 33,870 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 7. Petroleum asphalt futures factory warehouse receipts: 48,800 tons, a decrease of 500 tons from the previous trading day; 8. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts: 3,511,000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 9. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 17,600 tons, a decrease of 6,000 tons from the previous trading day; 10. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures factory warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day.The German DAX 30 index opened 19.96 points higher, or 0.08%, at 24054.25 on Wednesday, April 15th; the UK FTSE 100 index opened 15.48 points higher, or 0.15%, at 10624.54; and the French CAC 40 index opened 18.47 points lower, or 0.22%, at 8309.39. The Stoxx 50 index opened down 8.76 points, or 0.15%, at 5975.75 on Wednesday, April 15; the Spanish IBEX 35 index opened up 17.38 points, or 0.10%, at 18303.48 on Wednesday, April 15; and the Italian FTSE MIB index opened up 48.85 points, or 0.10%, at 48224.50 on Wednesday, April 15.According to Futures News on April 15th, as of 15:00 Beijing time, spot platinum rose 0.46% and spot palladium rose 0.27%.April 15th - Frances final March CPI figure was higher than the preliminary reading, due to a sharp rise in energy prices caused by the war with Iran. Data released on Wednesday showed that Frances harmonized CPI rose 2% year-on-year in March, higher than the preliminary reading of 1.9%. While this increase is in line with the European Central Banks target, Spains March CPI was also revised upwards, with the final figure at 3.4%, higher than the preliminary reading of 3.3%.

EUR/USD Price Analysis: EUR/USD Is Clinging To The Leading Edge Of The Rising Trendline Above 1.0900

Alina Haynes

Apr 18, 2023 13:54

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The EUR/USD pair fluctuates erratically in a narrow range near 1.0926 during the Asian session. Following in the footsteps of the directionless US Dollar Index (DXY), the main currency pair is unable to establish a trend.

 

In Asia, S&P500 futures are declining slightly as investors fret over the upcoming quarterly earnings season, indicating a minor decrease in market participants' risk appetite. Following the decline of regional banks in the United States, investors are concerned about any discrepancies in quarterly banking reports.

 

The Euro has entered the wilderness as European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are divided over the pace of the policy-tightening cycle to be implemented at the May monetary policy meeting. Martins Kazaks, a member of the ECB's monetary policy committee, stated on Monday that the central bank has the option to move by either 25 or 50 basis points (bps) in May. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers

 

After failing to sustain above the 161.8% Fibonacci Extension at 1.1057 (positioned from April 4's high of 1.0973 to April 10's low of 1.0837) on a two-hour time frame, EUR/USD experienced a precipitous decline. The primary currency pair has declined below the uptrend line drawn from the low of 1.0714 on March 24.

 

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0962 is operating as a barrier for Euro bulls.

 

In the meantime, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has moved into the pessimistic zone between 20.00 and 40.00, indicating a continuation of the decline.

 

A decisive break below the low of April 12 at 1.0915 would propel the asset toward the lows of April 10 at 1.0837 and April 3 at 1.0758.

 

In contrast, a breach above the psychological resistance level of 1.1000 would propel the asset to a new annual high of 1.1068, followed by the level of round resistance at 1.1100.