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① Iran 1. Iran is preparing a grand funeral for Ali Khamenei. 2. According to the Iranian Students News Agency: Iran has begun supplying liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) to Pakistan via its railway network, with goods arriving via specialized tanker trucks. 3. Sources: Irans attack on a US military base in Kuwait resulted in minor injuries to several Americans. ② Strait of Hormuz 1. The UK Maritime Trade and Operations Authority stated that the maritime security threat level in the Strait of Hormuz remains extremely high due to the blockade. 2. According to Irans Fars News Agency: In the past 24 hours, 20 ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz under the coordination of the Iranian Navy. 3. A suspected mine has been discovered in Omani territorial waters within the Strait of Hormuz; Oman has issued a navigation warning. 4. The US military confirmed that it struck a cargo ship attempting to reach an Iranian port. ③ Ceasefire Negotiations 1. US media: Trump tightened the terms of the Iran agreement; proposed amendments have been submitted to Iran. 2. Iranian negotiators: The Iran-US agreement has not been finalized; the proposed agreement allows Iran to set up an exit mechanism. ④ Other Situations: 1. Pakistans Foreign Minister coldly rejects the "Abraham Accords." 2. The Israeli Prime Minister orders control of 70% of the Gaza Strip; Hamas condemns the attack. 3. According to Alerta News 24, the latest Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon have killed 11 people, including a rescue worker. 4. Northern Israel suffers intensive attacks; Hezbollah claims to have launched 22 military operations; Israel tightens its northern civil defense policy to counter Hezbollah attacks. 5. According to Bloomberg, citing a source with direct knowledge of the situation, an Iranian ballistic missile attack on an airbase in Kuwait has slightly injured several Americans and severely damaged two US MQ-9 Reaper drones.On May 31, according to the New York Times, three officials revealed that US President Trump has tightened the terms of a potential agreement aimed at ending the war with Iran and sent these proposed modifications back to Iran for consideration. It is unclear what specific changes Trump made to the text of the agreement. Two officials said Trump was concerned about the parts of the potential agreement that involved unfreezing Iranian funds. He has been a vocal critic of former President Obamas approach in an agreement signed more than a decade ago to curb Irans nuclear program. One official said Trump was also disappointed by Irans slow response to the US proposals, which were reached through repeated consultations involving intermediaries including Pakistan. The official added that Trumps proposed modifications—a more stringent new proposal—may be aimed at accelerating the process by pressuring Iran to accept the framework agreement already submitted to its Supreme Leader Mojtaba for approval.On May 31, a meeting was held in Shanxi Province to deploy a special campaign to address safety risks and hidden dangers in coal mines. The meeting, held on May 30, was attended and addressed by Lu Dongliang, Deputy Secretary of the Provincial Party Committee and Governor of Shanxi Province. The meeting emphasized that the lessons learned must be heeded and the consequences of past mistakes must be absorbed. All levels of government and departments across the province must learn from these cases, be inspired by past mistakes, and remain vigilant regarding safety. They must strengthen their sense of urgency, responsibility, and mission in ensuring safety. The meeting stressed the need to always prioritize the people and their lives, and to thoroughly investigate and address safety risks and hidden dangers in the provinces coal mines with a firm resolve, ensuring the effective implementation of the "eight hard measures" for mine safety. The meeting also emphasized focusing on the coal mines with the most prominent problems and concentrated risks, adopting a "zero-tolerance" attitude to accurately investigate and severely crack down on illegal and irregular activities such as hidden working faces, falsified safety monitoring, unauthorized mining beyond permitted layers or boundaries, illegal subcontracting, and failure to implement major disaster management measures. We must fully cooperate with the State Councils accident investigation to thoroughly investigate the cause of the accident, as well as the responsibilities of local management, industry supervision, and enterprises. We must also focus on rectifying prominent problems such as the weak establishment of the concept of safe development, a lack of awareness of the rule of law, failure to implement the responsibilities of "key personnel," insufficient penetration of safety supervision, and lax and lenient law enforcement inspections at the grassroots level.On May 31, the Colombian Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement on May 30, local time, stating that in response to the Ecuadorian governments earlier announcement that it would stop imposing a "safety tax" on Colombian goods, Colombia would lift its trade retaliatory measures against Ecuador and promote the normalization of bilateral economic and trade relations.May 31 - A Bloomberg survey of economists median forecast indicates that the U.S. unemployment rate will remain unchanged at 4.3% in May, while nonfarm payrolls will increase by 89,000. This increase would push the three-month average job growth rate to its highest level in over a year, sparking discussions about a continued acceleration in hiring. Forecasters expect the healthcare sector to maintain its strong momentum, while cyclical sectors such as construction, leisure, and hospitality will also see a recovery, with demand in these sectors likely benefiting from the warm weather of the past month. Manufacturing employment may also be boosted as consumers stockpile goods in anticipation of potential price increases following a potential conflict with Iran.

EUR/USD Price Analysis: EUR/USD Is Clinging To The Leading Edge Of The Rising Trendline Above 1.0900

Alina Haynes

Apr 18, 2023 13:54

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The EUR/USD pair fluctuates erratically in a narrow range near 1.0926 during the Asian session. Following in the footsteps of the directionless US Dollar Index (DXY), the main currency pair is unable to establish a trend.

 

In Asia, S&P500 futures are declining slightly as investors fret over the upcoming quarterly earnings season, indicating a minor decrease in market participants' risk appetite. Following the decline of regional banks in the United States, investors are concerned about any discrepancies in quarterly banking reports.

 

The Euro has entered the wilderness as European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are divided over the pace of the policy-tightening cycle to be implemented at the May monetary policy meeting. Martins Kazaks, a member of the ECB's monetary policy committee, stated on Monday that the central bank has the option to move by either 25 or 50 basis points (bps) in May. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers

 

After failing to sustain above the 161.8% Fibonacci Extension at 1.1057 (positioned from April 4's high of 1.0973 to April 10's low of 1.0837) on a two-hour time frame, EUR/USD experienced a precipitous decline. The primary currency pair has declined below the uptrend line drawn from the low of 1.0714 on March 24.

 

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0962 is operating as a barrier for Euro bulls.

 

In the meantime, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has moved into the pessimistic zone between 20.00 and 40.00, indicating a continuation of the decline.

 

A decisive break below the low of April 12 at 1.0915 would propel the asset toward the lows of April 10 at 1.0837 and April 3 at 1.0758.

 

In contrast, a breach above the psychological resistance level of 1.1000 would propel the asset to a new annual high of 1.1068, followed by the level of round resistance at 1.1100.