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August 12th - Data from the U.S. Department of Labor shows that U.S. electricity prices rose 4.2% in July compared to the same period last year. With many U.S. residents turning on air conditioning during the hottest month on record, higher electricity bills are expected. In recent months, electricity price increases have outpaced overall inflation, placing additional pressure on consumers energy expenditures on top of rising fuel costs.August 12th - According to CBS News, U.S. inflation slowed for the second consecutive month, rising 3.4% year-over-year in July, in line with economists expectations, indicating that some price pressures may be easing. Moodys Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi pointed out before the July CPI data release that the average daily gasoline price in July was about 10 cents lower than in June. Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics also showed that gasoline prices fell 2.9% month-over-month in July. Zandi added that if there is no further escalation in the Iran war, inflation may have peaked and could continue to decline for the remainder of the year, potentially falling to near the Federal Reserves 2% annual inflation target by the same period next year.UBS said on August 12 that, overall, today’s US CPI report was quite close to our expectations and consistent with our previous view that US inflation peaked in May and is slowly declining, although this slowdown may be uneven.August 12th - Analyst David Uberti stated that inflation has cooled in recent months, partly due to a slight decline in gasoline prices. However, this situation is likely to change in August. Data from the U.S. Department of Labor shows that gasoline prices fell 2.9% month-over-month in July, while fuel oil prices fell 1.7%.August 12th - According to CNBC, Wednesdays CPI report showed that price increases for many goods and services slowed, potentially reducing the urgency for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in the near future. Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.1% month-over-month in July after seasonal adjustment. The core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, rose 0.2% month-over-month. Year-over-year, the CPI and core CPI rose 3.4% and 2.5%, respectively. Although inflation remains significantly above the Feds 2% target, the relatively modest monthly increase in July, coupled with similarly modest data in June, suggests that the energy-price-driven inflationary momentum from earlier this year is easing. However, prices remain highly volatile and vulnerable to ongoing developments in the Middle East.

EUR/USD Price Analysis: EUR/USD Is Clinging To The Leading Edge Of The Rising Trendline Above 1.0900

Alina Haynes

Apr 18, 2023 13:54

EUR:USD.png 

 

The EUR/USD pair fluctuates erratically in a narrow range near 1.0926 during the Asian session. Following in the footsteps of the directionless US Dollar Index (DXY), the main currency pair is unable to establish a trend.

 

In Asia, S&P500 futures are declining slightly as investors fret over the upcoming quarterly earnings season, indicating a minor decrease in market participants' risk appetite. Following the decline of regional banks in the United States, investors are concerned about any discrepancies in quarterly banking reports.

 

The Euro has entered the wilderness as European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are divided over the pace of the policy-tightening cycle to be implemented at the May monetary policy meeting. Martins Kazaks, a member of the ECB's monetary policy committee, stated on Monday that the central bank has the option to move by either 25 or 50 basis points (bps) in May. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers

 

After failing to sustain above the 161.8% Fibonacci Extension at 1.1057 (positioned from April 4's high of 1.0973 to April 10's low of 1.0837) on a two-hour time frame, EUR/USD experienced a precipitous decline. The primary currency pair has declined below the uptrend line drawn from the low of 1.0714 on March 24.

 

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0962 is operating as a barrier for Euro bulls.

 

In the meantime, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has moved into the pessimistic zone between 20.00 and 40.00, indicating a continuation of the decline.

 

A decisive break below the low of April 12 at 1.0915 would propel the asset toward the lows of April 10 at 1.0837 and April 3 at 1.0758.

 

In contrast, a breach above the psychological resistance level of 1.1000 would propel the asset to a new annual high of 1.1068, followed by the level of round resistance at 1.1100.