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December 4th - For many emerging market currencies in Asia, the widely anticipated December rate cut by the Federal Reserve may be timely. The Feds easing of monetary policy will help alleviate downward pressure on the Indian rupee and provide a breather for weaker currencies such as Indonesia, South Korea, and the Philippines. This week, the rupee fell below 90 against the dollar for the first time, while the South Korean won has fallen by more than 4% this quarter. Wee Khoon Chong, Asia Pacific market strategist at BNY Mellon, said, "Further easing by the Fed is likely to support Asian currencies overall." He stated that regional currencies with strong growth momentum and sound fiscal policies, such as the South Korean won, are likely to perform best. On the other hand, he noted that the Indian rupee still faces negative factors including high US tariffs and downside risks to growth, while the Philippine peso will be dragged down by the central banks easing bias. TS Lombard strategists Daniel von Ahlen and Andrea Cicione wrote, "Now is the time to go long on Asian currencies."Korean chip stocks were led by Hanmi Semiconductor, with its share price falling 4.4% to 116,100 won.December 4th - According to Reuters, three Japanese government sources said the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is likely to raise interest rates in December, and the government is expected to tolerate this decision. The sources said the BOJ appears prepared to raise its policy rate from 0.5% to 0.75%, a signal echoed by Governor Kazuo Ueda in his speech on Monday. This would be the first rate hike since January. One source said, "If the BOJ wants to raise rates this month, let them decide. Thats the governments position." He added that a rate hike this month is almost certain. Ueda stated on Monday that the BOJ would consider the "pros and cons" of a rate hike this month, indicating a high probability of a rate increase at its December 18-19 meeting. These comments have led the market to price in an approximately 80% probability of a December rate hike, although some market participants are watching how the dovish government of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi might react. Market focus may shift to the BOJs wording regarding the ultimate extent to which it will raise rates, a topic on which Ueda remains ambiguous.December 4th - Hong Kong Investment Corporation (HKIC) released its 2024 annual report today, showing that as of June 30, 2025, every HK$1 invested by HKIC has attracted over HK$6 in long-term market capital. In the past two years, two of its portfolio companies have already listed in Hong Kong, and more than ten others submitted listing applications earlier this year. Among these companies, five were already unicorns before their IPOs, forming a "tiered reservoir" and achieving a virtuous cycle. HKIC CEO Chen Jiaqi stated that in 2025, the company will further deepen its involvement and progress, including leading new investment rounds, to help these companies seize market opportunities and "go global."Sources say the Bank of Japan is likely to raise interest rates in December, and the Japanese government is likely to tolerate it.

EUR/USD Price Analysis: EUR/USD Is Clinging To The Leading Edge Of The Rising Trendline Above 1.0900

Alina Haynes

Apr 18, 2023 13:54

EUR:USD.png 

 

The EUR/USD pair fluctuates erratically in a narrow range near 1.0926 during the Asian session. Following in the footsteps of the directionless US Dollar Index (DXY), the main currency pair is unable to establish a trend.

 

In Asia, S&P500 futures are declining slightly as investors fret over the upcoming quarterly earnings season, indicating a minor decrease in market participants' risk appetite. Following the decline of regional banks in the United States, investors are concerned about any discrepancies in quarterly banking reports.

 

The Euro has entered the wilderness as European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are divided over the pace of the policy-tightening cycle to be implemented at the May monetary policy meeting. Martins Kazaks, a member of the ECB's monetary policy committee, stated on Monday that the central bank has the option to move by either 25 or 50 basis points (bps) in May. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers

 

After failing to sustain above the 161.8% Fibonacci Extension at 1.1057 (positioned from April 4's high of 1.0973 to April 10's low of 1.0837) on a two-hour time frame, EUR/USD experienced a precipitous decline. The primary currency pair has declined below the uptrend line drawn from the low of 1.0714 on March 24.

 

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0962 is operating as a barrier for Euro bulls.

 

In the meantime, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has moved into the pessimistic zone between 20.00 and 40.00, indicating a continuation of the decline.

 

A decisive break below the low of April 12 at 1.0915 would propel the asset toward the lows of April 10 at 1.0837 and April 3 at 1.0758.

 

In contrast, a breach above the psychological resistance level of 1.1000 would propel the asset to a new annual high of 1.1068, followed by the level of round resistance at 1.1100.