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June 12th - Data from the Peoples Bank of China shows that loan interest rates remained low in May. The weighted average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans (domestic and foreign currencies) in May was approximately 3.0%, about 25 basis points lower than the same period last year. Data shows that since the second half of 2018, my country has lowered the reserve requirement ratio 18 times, providing sustained medium- and long-term liquidity to the market and playing a role in the banking system and financial markets. Compared to the high point since the beginning of this interest rate cut cycle in the second half of 2018, policy interest rates have been lowered 10 times, accumulating a reduction of 1.15 percentage points. Experts have stated that in recent years, measures such as rectifying banks irregular manual interest payment practices, guiding non-bank interbank demand deposit rates to follow policy interest rate adjustments, and supporting banks in stabilizing net interest margins have facilitated the transmission of interest rate policies. Overall, my countrys policy interest rates are effectively transmitted, and loan interest rates have remained stable with a slight downward trend, staying at a low level.On June 12, the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) issued a notice soliciting public opinions on the "Administrative Measures for Large-Denomination Certificates of Deposit." The Measures, comprising 24 articles, specifically stipulate the scope of issuers and investors of large-denomination certificates of deposit, the elements of the certificates, issuance preparation, management of each stage of issuance and maturity, information disclosure, and supervision. Key revisions include: clarifying supervision requirements and measures. First, it clarifies that the pricing of all relevant business stages of large-denomination certificates of deposit should comply with the interest calculation and settlement rules issued by the PBOC and be included in self-regulatory management. Second, it clarifies that if an issuer fails to fulfill its information disclosure obligations as described in these Measures, or violates regulations regarding issuance, trading, transfer, early withdrawal, and redemption, the PBOC will impose penalties in accordance with the "Law of the Peoples Republic of China on the Peoples Bank of China" and other relevant laws and regulations. Third, it clarifies the responsibilities of the Interbank Funding Center and the Interbank Market Clearing House to summarize business information monthly and report it to the PBOC.On June 12, the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) released a draft explanation of the "Measures for the Administration of Large-Denomination Certificates of Deposit (Draft for Public Comment)," which states that the "Measures" reserve policy space for the future development of large-denomination certificates of deposit. It adds the repurchase rate (DR) of bonds held by deposit-taking financial institutions or other rates recognized by the PBOC as a reference benchmark for the interest calculation of floating-rate certificates of deposit, thus enriching the pricing reference indicators for large-denomination certificates of deposit.The Hungarian forint rose 0.8% against the euro to 352.15, its highest level since September 2021.June 12th - Germanys economic recovery will be slower than expected due to the impact of the Iran war, but thanks to fiscal stimulus measures, the economy is expected to regain growth momentum in the coming years. The central bank stated that GDP is projected to grow by 0.5% in 2026, 0.8% in 2027, and 1.4% in 2028. This represents a downward revision of growth rates for this year and next compared to the forecast in December last year. GDP is expected to remain stable in the second quarter and grow slightly in the third quarter. The banks president stated, "The sharp rise in energy prices will weaken household purchasing power and consumer spending. However, economic activity will regain momentum during the forecast period ending in 2028." He added, "The recovery will benefit from lower energy prices, a stronger global economy, and, most importantly, strong fiscal stimulus."

EUR/USD Price Analysis: EUR/USD Is Clinging To The Leading Edge Of The Rising Trendline Above 1.0900

Alina Haynes

Apr 18, 2023 13:54

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The EUR/USD pair fluctuates erratically in a narrow range near 1.0926 during the Asian session. Following in the footsteps of the directionless US Dollar Index (DXY), the main currency pair is unable to establish a trend.

 

In Asia, S&P500 futures are declining slightly as investors fret over the upcoming quarterly earnings season, indicating a minor decrease in market participants' risk appetite. Following the decline of regional banks in the United States, investors are concerned about any discrepancies in quarterly banking reports.

 

The Euro has entered the wilderness as European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are divided over the pace of the policy-tightening cycle to be implemented at the May monetary policy meeting. Martins Kazaks, a member of the ECB's monetary policy committee, stated on Monday that the central bank has the option to move by either 25 or 50 basis points (bps) in May. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers

 

After failing to sustain above the 161.8% Fibonacci Extension at 1.1057 (positioned from April 4's high of 1.0973 to April 10's low of 1.0837) on a two-hour time frame, EUR/USD experienced a precipitous decline. The primary currency pair has declined below the uptrend line drawn from the low of 1.0714 on March 24.

 

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0962 is operating as a barrier for Euro bulls.

 

In the meantime, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has moved into the pessimistic zone between 20.00 and 40.00, indicating a continuation of the decline.

 

A decisive break below the low of April 12 at 1.0915 would propel the asset toward the lows of April 10 at 1.0837 and April 3 at 1.0758.

 

In contrast, a breach above the psychological resistance level of 1.1000 would propel the asset to a new annual high of 1.1068, followed by the level of round resistance at 1.1100.