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September 5th - According to the latest online sales data provided by the Hainan Provincial Government, from January to August, the total sales area of commercial housing (including affordable housing) in the province was 5.1675 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 22%; the sales amount was 88.048 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 21%. In August alone, the total sales area of commercial housing in the province was 357,200 square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 28%; the sales amount was 4.991 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 43%.Conflict Situation: 1. Trump: The US has essentially taken over Iran and may soon attack Jagdah; the conflict with Iran is "not a big deal for the US," and there is no current state of war. 2. According to Axios: The US is planning a post-war Middle East strategy to contain Iran and promote the normalization of Israeli-Saudi relations. 3. According to Tasnim News Agency: Sources say a loud explosion was heard in Jordan, and US targets in northern Jordan were attacked by missiles. 4. According to Israels Channel 12: Senior US officials say that at this stage, they have not been informed of any attacks on US bases in Jordan. 5. Israel claims to have killed a company commander of Hamas elite forces. 6. The Iranian military says that operations against Israel are now "much easier than before." 7. Israeli Defense Minister: Israel will not withdraw its troops from the "safe zone" in Lebanon. 8. Israel Defense Forces: In operations in Judea and Samaria, more than 30 weapons manufacturing workshops were destroyed, and long-barreled weapons, pistols, M-16 rifles, and various weapons and ammunition were seized and confiscated. 9. According to Al Jazeera: Yemeni government forces shot down a Houthi drone on the Makabana front in Taiz province. 10. The Pakistani military says it has killed 48 terrorists in the past three days. 11. Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon have killed at least five people. Strait of Hormuz 1. Data shows that four cargo ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, down from the average of about 15 ships over the past 10 days. 2. The South Korean presidential office says that deploying troops to the Strait of Hormuz is in the "study and deliberation" stage. Other Matters 1. The US military shut down device advertising trackers in response to targeted attacks in the Middle East. 2. The US sanctioned a small Turkish investment bank due to Turkeys relationship with Iran.On September 5th, local time, Ding Xuexiang, member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Vice Premier of the State Council, attended the opening ceremony of the 8th China-Russia Energy Business Forum in Vladivostok, Russia, on September 4th, 2026. He read President Xi Jinpings congratulatory letter and delivered a speech. Ding Xuexiang stated that energy cooperation is an important cornerstone of pragmatic cooperation between China and Russia. Since the beginning of this year, energy trade between the two countries has continued to grow steadily, major projects have been steadily advanced according to plan, cooperation areas have been actively expanded, and a series of new pragmatic cooperation results have been achieved. Looking back on the extraordinary journey of China-Russia energy cooperation, especially the tremendous achievements since the new era, there are many valuable experiences worth summarizing and carrying forward. He put forward three insights and views: First, the leadership of the heads of state is the greatest advantage for the development of the comprehensive energy partnership between China and Russia; second, mutual benefit and win-win results are the fundamental driving force of China-Russia energy cooperation; and third, jointly addressing challenges is a distinctive feature of China-Russia energy cooperation.On September 5th, multiple informed U.S. officials revealed that following the media disclosure of highly sensitive classified information regarding the U.S. advanced weapons inventory, the U.S. military launched a large-scale investigation into the leaks. Dozens of people, including some of the highest-ranking military officials, underwent polygraph tests this summer, including some officials from U.S. Central Command and commanders of other combatant commands. Reports indicate that Trump was furious about the leaks. Because the pool of personnel with access to this classified information about the weapons inventory was very limited, investigators were initially concerned that some might be informants for foreign intelligence agencies. Sources stated that no one failed the polygraph tests used to determine whether information had been leaked to the media.September 5th - The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP) released its August China Logistics Industry Prosperity Index today. Logistics demand remained strong, and the prosperity index continued to rise within the expansion range. In August, the China Logistics Industry Prosperity Index was 50.9%, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous month. Of the 12 sub-indices, 8 showed a month-on-month increase. Among them, the indices for total business volume, new orders, and employment have remained in the expansion range for several consecutive months. By industry, key sectors continued their positive development trend. The total business volume indices for railway transportation, road transportation, air transportation, postal and express delivery, and multimodal transport were 54.8%, 54.5%, 51%, 68.8%, and 54.2% respectively, continuing to be in the expansion range.

Even as the BoJ vs. Fed Difference Remains in the Spotlight, USD/JPY Tracks Below 134.00 on Lackluster Yields

Alina Haynes

Apr 17, 2023 14:02

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As Monday begins in Tokyo, USD/JPY falls from its intraday high and stabilizes around 133.80. As a consequence, the Yen pair is unable to extend its previous day's gains due to lax market conditions preceding this week's key data/events. In addition to a paucity of significant data or events, USD/JPY traders have recently struggled with inconsistent triggers and sluggish returns.

 

The previous day, USD/JPY reached its highest level in a week as primarily positive US data dampened expectations for a policy shift and rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2023. Despite this, US retail sales decreased by 1.0% in March compared to the predicted -0.4% decline and February's -0.2% decline. As opposed to the 0.2% market consensus and previous reading, Industrial Production increased by 0.4% in the month in question. The preliminary result of the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index for April, which increased to 63.5 from 62.0 analysts' expectations and previous readings, was also encouraging. In addition, inflation forecasts for the next year increased from 3.6% in March to 4.6% in April, while inflation forecasts for the next five years decreased by 2.9% during the same month.

 

Previously, the USD/JPY pair increased due to hawkish Fed discussions. In an interview with Reuters on Friday, Raphael Bostic, president of the Atlanta Federal Reserve (Fed), stated that "recent developments are consistent with one more rate hike." According to Reuters, Fed Governor Christopher Waller discussed this topic and stated that additional rate hikes are necessary because the Fed has not made significant progress toward its inflation objective. In an interview with CNBC on Friday, Austan Goolsbee, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, stated that he still needs to examine the statistics. The lawmaker said, "However, let's keep in mind that we've raised a lot of money; some of the delay may be reflected in today's retail sales number."

 

In contrast, the USD/JPY pair was able to maintain its strength due to the new Governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), Kazuo Ueda, who supports the Japanese central bank's easy-money policy.

 

Recent geopolitical tensions between China and the United States over Taiwan, as well as China's desire to collaborate with Russia to enhance regional and global security, have weighed on the USD/JPY pair and agitated the market.

 

S&P 500 Futures struggle to find a clear direction amidst these wagers following Wall Street's pessimistic close, as bond yields remain neutral despite weekly gains.

 

The preliminary readings of the US PMIs for April and the Japanese National Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March will be crucial to monitor going forward. The previously mentioned risk factors and central banker comments are also significant.


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