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August 28th - According to the Associated Press, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh said on Friday that inflation remains too high. He hinted that the central bank may need to raise interest rates in the coming months to reduce inflation. This statement more clearly reflects his view on the economic situation than his previous remarks. In a prepared speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, Warsh acknowledged that recent inflation data indicated a slowdown in inflation, but "these data do not suggest a significant improvement in the overall trend." "We must be confident that underlying inflation is moving toward the target, or there is still a lot of work to be done." On Friday, Warsh remained skeptical of forward guidance and even declined to reveal his overall thinking on interest rate policy. However, he did point out that current interest rate levels are not hindering economic activity.On August 28th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated on Friday that if policymakers are not confident that inflation is falling back to 2% "at a clear and sufficiently fast pace," the Fed "still has work to do." This suggests that if price pressures do not improve, the Fed may raise interest rates next. Warsh explicitly stated that he still adheres to the Feds long-standing policy path of managing inflation by adjusting interest rates. This significantly increases the likelihood of a further rate hike by the Fed, which could potentially create a rift with President Trump, who has long sought rate cuts. This statement essentially eliminates the ambiguity previously left. At a press conference at the end of July, Warsh declined to comment extensively on whether a rate hike was needed to address the sharp rise in inflation this year, which has been above the Feds target for more than five consecutive years.The main liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) contract rose by 2.00% during the day, currently trading at 5883.00 yuan/ton.New York gold futures fell below $4,600 per ounce, down 1.21% on the day.On August 28th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh warned that inflation has not shown a meaningful slowdown, stating that policymakers must be confident that inflation is moving in the right direction, otherwise the central bank "has more work to do." Warsh reiterated that the Fed will bring the inflation rate back to its 2% target. He stated that this is a clear and fixed target. Warsh said, "My standard is that we must be confident that underlying inflation is moving toward our target, and the pace must be clear enough and fast enough. Otherwise, we have more work to do. Thats our responsibility." Warsh also stated that current financial conditions are not restrictive, and interest rates are the Feds "primary tool" for fulfilling its mandate.

Natural Gas prices fall below $2.70 despite USD Index attempts to recover, and demand concerns grow

Alina Haynes

Mar 14, 2023 13:12

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After a perpendicular recovery to close to $2.70 in the Asian session, Natural Gas futures have turned sideways. Weakness in the US Dollar Index (DXY), in general, has aided the upward bias in natural gas prices. Natural Gas futures appear vulnerable near $2.70 as the USD Index has demonstrated a recovery move to near 103.90 as investors become anxious ahead of the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.

 

The Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates is anticipated to have a negative impact on industrial demand for natural gas (Fed). The market anticipates that Fed chair Jerome Powell's scheduled rate hikes will lead to a recession in the near future.

 

Meanwhile, Winter is nearing its conclusion and summer has not yet arrived. Consequently, demand for residential purposes to heat domestic spaces will remain low. Additionally, because residences will require less electricity to operate air conditioners, power companies are less reliant on natural gas.

 

The recent decline in the USD Index is what has given Natural Gas prices new life. The US Energy Information Administration's (EIA) inventory data, which is released every Thursday, will dominate this week's trading in Natural Gas futures.

 

Going forward, investors eagerly anticipate the publication of US inflation data in order to form a new consensus. According to the projections, the headline CPI could fall to 6.0% from the previous release of 6.4%. And, core inflation, which excludes crude and food prices, is anticipated to decrease slightly to 5.5% from the previous release of 5.6%.