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On August 14th, Li Lecheng, Secretary of the Party Leadership Group and Minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, recently visited Qinghai, Gansu, and Ningxia to investigate the development of the salt lake industry and the green and low-carbon development of industry. In Golmud City, Qinghai Province, Li Lecheng visited Qinghai Salt Lake Magnesium Industry, Potash Fertilizer, and Lithium Battery Company to investigate the production of integrated salt lake magnesium, potash fertilizer, and lithium salt projects. He emphasized the need for a scientifically planned development strategy for the salt lake industry, strengthened policy support and resource guarantees, optimization and strengthening of enterprises, promotion of resource integration and industrial synergy, tackling key core technologies in salt lake resource development, improving the efficiency of potassium, lithium, and magnesium resource development and utilization, and the level of deep processing, and creating a distinctive and advantageous industrial chain.On August 14th, Oxford Economics stated that Japans plan to cut the food consumption tax will widen the fiscal deficit and push up Japanese government bond yields. Economist Norihiro Yamaguchi wrote in a report that model calculations show the tax cuts will reduce Japans annual tax revenue by approximately 5 trillion yen, a loss that will be difficult to offset through other means. The institution expects some of the tax revenue loss to be offset by non-tax revenue and spending cuts, but assumes half of that will be financed through debt. The institution predicts Japans primary fiscal deficit will worsen to 3% of GDP, subsequently improving gradually from 2029 onwards as the debt-to-GDP ratio rises and fiscal consolidation intensifies. Oxford Economics projects that by the end of 2026, the yield on long-term Japanese government bonds will rise to approximately 3%, rather than remaining around 2.8%. Although the current reaction in the bond market is relatively limited, Oxford Economics believes that as more policy details emerge, the market will begin to gradually factor in the impact of the tax cuts on the fiscal situation.August 14th - According to foreign media reports, economists are now worried that the persistent high temperatures and lack of rainfall will increasingly drag down British economic activity. Currently, about two-thirds of England has officially entered a drought state, and newly appointed Prime Minister Andy Burnham convened an emergency meeting this week to discuss government measures to deal with the drought and wildfires. Increasing signs indicate that extreme heat is driving consumers away from high streets, impacting agricultural production, hindering construction, and dragging down labor productivity. An analysis by an agency on Friday showed that, so far, the heatwave has caused approximately £6 billion in losses to the British economy, equivalent to 0.2% of economic output. An economist stated, "The hot summer has brought yet another negative supply shock to the British economy. While the impact of the heatwave on GDP levels may only be temporary, the risk is that this heatwave could again push up prices in some sectors, thus creating new challenges for the Bank of England, which is already dealing with high inflation."A NATO military spokesperson stated that, following confirmation, an Italian Typhoon fighter jet eliminated the potential threat over an uninhabited area (regarding the earlier drone incident in Latvia).A NATO military spokesperson confirmed that NATO allied warplanes were scrambled due to a drone entering Latvian airspace.

Natural Gas prices fall below $2.70 despite USD Index attempts to recover, and demand concerns grow

Alina Haynes

Mar 14, 2023 13:12

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After a perpendicular recovery to close to $2.70 in the Asian session, Natural Gas futures have turned sideways. Weakness in the US Dollar Index (DXY), in general, has aided the upward bias in natural gas prices. Natural Gas futures appear vulnerable near $2.70 as the USD Index has demonstrated a recovery move to near 103.90 as investors become anxious ahead of the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.

 

The Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates is anticipated to have a negative impact on industrial demand for natural gas (Fed). The market anticipates that Fed chair Jerome Powell's scheduled rate hikes will lead to a recession in the near future.

 

Meanwhile, Winter is nearing its conclusion and summer has not yet arrived. Consequently, demand for residential purposes to heat domestic spaces will remain low. Additionally, because residences will require less electricity to operate air conditioners, power companies are less reliant on natural gas.

 

The recent decline in the USD Index is what has given Natural Gas prices new life. The US Energy Information Administration's (EIA) inventory data, which is released every Thursday, will dominate this week's trading in Natural Gas futures.

 

Going forward, investors eagerly anticipate the publication of US inflation data in order to form a new consensus. According to the projections, the headline CPI could fall to 6.0% from the previous release of 6.4%. And, core inflation, which excludes crude and food prices, is anticipated to decrease slightly to 5.5% from the previous release of 5.6%.