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Goldman Sachs stated on Tuesday, April 7th, that technology stocks, including US stocks, appear cheap after a prolonged period of underperformance, creating potential entry opportunities for investors. "Weve witnessed one of the weakest periods of relative returns for the technology sector in 50 years," the company said. Multiple factors have contributed to the overall weakness of the technology sector since 2025, prompting investors to shift towards value stocks. These factors include the launch of DeepSeek, massive capital expenditures by US mega-corporations, and the disruptive impact of AI-driven software. These factors have provided opportunities for investors to enter the sector, which currently exhibits strong growth but low valuations. The valuation premium for US mega-corporations has declined and is now almost in line with other parts of the sector. Globally, the IT sectors price-to-earnings ratio is lower than that of the consumer discretionary, consumer staples, and industrial sectors. Goldman Sachs noted that despite the low valuations, the technology sectors earnings performance remains strong. Among the S&P 500 sectors, the market consensus is that the IT sectors Q1 earnings per share will grow by 44%, accounting for 87% of the indexs earnings per share growth.On April 7th, local time, the Japanese House of Councillors voted on the budget bill for fiscal year 2026 (April 2026 to March 2027) in a plenary session. The budget bill passed with a majority vote. The budget bill for fiscal year 2026 was passed by the House of Representatives on March 13th and subsequently submitted to the House of Councillors for deliberation. According to Japanese sources, the total size of Japans 2026 budget bill exceeds 122 trillion yen, a record high. Among them, the defense budget has exceeded 9 trillion yen for the first time, also setting a new record.On April 7th, analysts at First Abu Dhabi Bank stated in a report that the strength of oil prices has been and will continue to be (at least in the short term) a more structural driver of inflationary pressures. The analysts pointed out that inflationary pressures have led to a sell-off in interest rates as expectations of central bank rate cuts have faded. Previously, the market had anticipated two to three rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, but these expectations have been ruled out. LSEG data shows that the money market currently expects US policy rates to remain largely unchanged in 2026, with a very slight tightening bias. The market has even priced in a more hawkish rate hike scenario by the European Central Bank and the Bank of England by the end of this year, with increases of 74 basis points and 56 basis points respectively, "largely a result of imported energy inflation in Europe."Air India has announced an increase in its fuel surcharge due to a sharp rise in global jet fuel prices.The Bank of Italy lowered its 2026 economic growth forecast to 0.4% from 0.7% at the end of January, and its 2027 forecast to 0.6% from 0.9%.

Natural Gas prices fall below $2.70 despite USD Index attempts to recover, and demand concerns grow

Alina Haynes

Mar 14, 2023 13:12

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After a perpendicular recovery to close to $2.70 in the Asian session, Natural Gas futures have turned sideways. Weakness in the US Dollar Index (DXY), in general, has aided the upward bias in natural gas prices. Natural Gas futures appear vulnerable near $2.70 as the USD Index has demonstrated a recovery move to near 103.90 as investors become anxious ahead of the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.

 

The Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates is anticipated to have a negative impact on industrial demand for natural gas (Fed). The market anticipates that Fed chair Jerome Powell's scheduled rate hikes will lead to a recession in the near future.

 

Meanwhile, Winter is nearing its conclusion and summer has not yet arrived. Consequently, demand for residential purposes to heat domestic spaces will remain low. Additionally, because residences will require less electricity to operate air conditioners, power companies are less reliant on natural gas.

 

The recent decline in the USD Index is what has given Natural Gas prices new life. The US Energy Information Administration's (EIA) inventory data, which is released every Thursday, will dominate this week's trading in Natural Gas futures.

 

Going forward, investors eagerly anticipate the publication of US inflation data in order to form a new consensus. According to the projections, the headline CPI could fall to 6.0% from the previous release of 6.4%. And, core inflation, which excludes crude and food prices, is anticipated to decrease slightly to 5.5% from the previous release of 5.6%.