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September 7th - According to the latest memory industry research from TrendForce, the overall DRAM industry revenue is projected to increase by 59.5% quarter-on-quarter to nearly US$154.73 billion in the second quarter of 2026, driven by a significant rise in Conventional DRAM contract prices. As LLM model training and AI inference stimulate demand for AI Servers, shipments of HBM3e, LPDDR5X, and high-capacity RDIMMs all grew simultaneously. Agentic AI applications are driving demand for RDIMMs of various capacity specifications. On the supply side, manufacturer inventories are at a low point, and new supply is prioritized for Server applications, resulting in a slight increase in overall DRAM bit shipments in the second quarter.On September 7th, Haitong International released a report stating that NIO (09866.HK)s third-quarter delivery guidance is 108,000 to 111,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 24.0% to 27.5%, and a quarter-on-quarter increase of only 0.3% to 3.1%, basically flat compared to the second quarter; revenue guidance is RMB 33.29 billion to RMB 34.05 billion, implying an average selling price increase of approximately 2% to 3% quarter-on-quarter. Management expects the cost per vehicle in the second half of the year to increase by RMB 2,000 to 3,000 compared to the second quarter, and plans to maintain the gross margin of automobiles at approximately 18% in the third and fourth quarters, with a positive non-GAAP operating profit for the full year. However, considering the thin profit in the second quarter, the limited quarter-on-quarter sales growth in the third quarter, and the continued rise in costs, the visibility of continued profitability in the second half of the year remains low. Demand for the ES8 and ES9 is relatively stable, but the target of more than 40,000 vehicles per month in the fourth quarter still depends on the recovery of the Ledao and the increase in the Firefly model. The bank lowered its 2023 delivery forecast by 7% to 424,000 vehicles, and projected revenues of RMB 123.9 billion, RMB 155 billion, and RMB 155.2 billion for 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively, representing a 2% decrease, a 13% increase, and a 13% increase. The target price was lowered from HKD 46.22 to HKD 32.7, while maintaining a neutral rating.On September 7th, HSBC issued a report maintaining its target price of HK$58 and buy rating for Bank of China (Hong Kong) (02388.HK). The bank stated that Bank of China (Hong Kong)s shareholder return plan has attracted the attention of most investors, and the specific details of the returns for 2027-2028 need to be reviewed later. The companys management announced a shareholder return plan of at least HK$10.5 billion for fiscal years 2026-2028 in its 2026 interim results. The bank believes that share buybacks are unlikely to be carried out when valuations are high, especially given that Bank of China (Hong Kong) is a subsidiary of a mainland state-owned bank. Bank of China (Hong Kong)s net interest income growth is stable, its growth prospects appear stable, its RMB business has advantages, and its wealth and insurance businesses remain strong.Russian authorities in Belgorod say a Ukrainian drone strike in the region killed one person and injured another.A Qatari official said: "We need our partners and allies, but we cannot rely on them alone to ensure our security."

Natural Gas prices fall below $2.70 despite USD Index attempts to recover, and demand concerns grow

Alina Haynes

Mar 14, 2023 13:12

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After a perpendicular recovery to close to $2.70 in the Asian session, Natural Gas futures have turned sideways. Weakness in the US Dollar Index (DXY), in general, has aided the upward bias in natural gas prices. Natural Gas futures appear vulnerable near $2.70 as the USD Index has demonstrated a recovery move to near 103.90 as investors become anxious ahead of the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.

 

The Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates is anticipated to have a negative impact on industrial demand for natural gas (Fed). The market anticipates that Fed chair Jerome Powell's scheduled rate hikes will lead to a recession in the near future.

 

Meanwhile, Winter is nearing its conclusion and summer has not yet arrived. Consequently, demand for residential purposes to heat domestic spaces will remain low. Additionally, because residences will require less electricity to operate air conditioners, power companies are less reliant on natural gas.

 

The recent decline in the USD Index is what has given Natural Gas prices new life. The US Energy Information Administration's (EIA) inventory data, which is released every Thursday, will dominate this week's trading in Natural Gas futures.

 

Going forward, investors eagerly anticipate the publication of US inflation data in order to form a new consensus. According to the projections, the headline CPI could fall to 6.0% from the previous release of 6.4%. And, core inflation, which excludes crude and food prices, is anticipated to decrease slightly to 5.5% from the previous release of 5.6%.