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Market news: The U.S. Senate will vote on a war powers resolution at 4 p.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday.According to the Financial Times, US shale oil industry executives have warned that they cannot fill the gap in Middle Eastern oil supplies disrupted by war.On March 4th, Huo Lihui, Chief Statistician of the Service Industry Survey Center of the National Bureau of Statistics, interpreted the China Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for February 2026. Business expectations are positive. The production and operation activity expectation index was 53.2%, up 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that manufacturing enterprises have strengthened their confidence in market development after the Spring Festival. By industry, the production and operation activity expectation indices for general equipment, railway, shipbuilding, and aerospace equipment are all above 56.0%, indicating a relatively high level of prosperity, with related enterprises being more optimistic about the near-term development of their industries.March 4th - Data from the National Bureau of Statistics shows that the new orders index for the non-manufacturing sector in February was 45.2%, down 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight decline in market demand in the non-manufacturing sector. By sector, the new orders index for the construction industry was 42.2%, up 2.1 percentage points from the previous month; the new orders index for the service industry was 45.7%, down 1.4 percentage points from the previous month. The input price index was 50.9%, up 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that the overall price level of inputs used by non-manufacturing enterprises for operating activities has increased. By sector, the input price index for the construction industry was 49.1%, down 2.9 percentage points from the previous month; the input price index for the service industry was 51.2%, up 1.5 percentage points from the previous month.March 4th - Data from the National Bureau of Statistics shows that, by sector, the business activity index for the construction industry was 48.2%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month; while the business activity index for the service industry was 49.7%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. Within the service sector, the business activity indices for accommodation, catering, and culture, sports, and entertainment were all above 60.0%, indicating a high level of prosperity; while the business activity indices for capital market services and real estate were below the critical point.

Natural Gas prices fall below $2.70 despite USD Index attempts to recover, and demand concerns grow

Alina Haynes

Mar 14, 2023 13:12

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After a perpendicular recovery to close to $2.70 in the Asian session, Natural Gas futures have turned sideways. Weakness in the US Dollar Index (DXY), in general, has aided the upward bias in natural gas prices. Natural Gas futures appear vulnerable near $2.70 as the USD Index has demonstrated a recovery move to near 103.90 as investors become anxious ahead of the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.

 

The Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates is anticipated to have a negative impact on industrial demand for natural gas (Fed). The market anticipates that Fed chair Jerome Powell's scheduled rate hikes will lead to a recession in the near future.

 

Meanwhile, Winter is nearing its conclusion and summer has not yet arrived. Consequently, demand for residential purposes to heat domestic spaces will remain low. Additionally, because residences will require less electricity to operate air conditioners, power companies are less reliant on natural gas.

 

The recent decline in the USD Index is what has given Natural Gas prices new life. The US Energy Information Administration's (EIA) inventory data, which is released every Thursday, will dominate this week's trading in Natural Gas futures.

 

Going forward, investors eagerly anticipate the publication of US inflation data in order to form a new consensus. According to the projections, the headline CPI could fall to 6.0% from the previous release of 6.4%. And, core inflation, which excludes crude and food prices, is anticipated to decrease slightly to 5.5% from the previous release of 5.6%.