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On July 17, due to previous rainfall and upstream water flow, the water level at the Mudanjiang Hydrological Station on the middle reaches of the Mudanjiang River, a tributary of the Songhua River, rose to the warning level (235.00 meters) at 9:00 AM. According to the regulations for numbering floods in major rivers, this flood is designated as "Mudanjiang Flood No. 1 of 2026". The Ministry of Water Resources is closely monitoring the flood situation in the Songhua River, Mudanjiang River, and other rivers, strengthening rainfall and water level monitoring, increasing the frequency of rolling forecasts and warnings, activating the flood defense emergency response in advance, and dispatching working groups to the front lines to provide assistance and guidance. It is also urging local authorities to strengthen the scheduling of water conservancy projects in the basin, implement all flood defense measures meticulously, and relocate people in danger zones in advance to ensure the safety of peoples lives.On July 17, Li Bin, Deputy Director of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE), stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that SAFE has strengthened foreign exchange market supervision and cracked down on illegal foreign exchange activities such as underground banks. In the first half of this year, over 300 related cases were investigated and dealt with, with fines and confiscations exceeding 400 million yuan, effectively maintaining the order of the foreign exchange market.On July 17, the Information Office of the Hubei Provincial Peoples Government held a press conference to introduce the economic performance of Hubei Province in the first half of 2026. According to the unified accounting results of regional GDP, Hubei Provinces GDP in the first half of the year was 3,133.672 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.0% at constant prices.On July 17, Li Bin, Deputy Director of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that the State Administration of Foreign Exchange has always adhered to the principle of combining facilitation with risk prevention, resolutely safeguarding the bottom line of security under open conditions, continuously improving the "macro-prudential + micro-regulatory" dual management framework, strengthening counter-cyclical adjustments and expectation guidance when necessary, maintaining the stable operation of the foreign exchange market, and preventing systemic risks.On July 17th, at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office, Xiao Sheng, Director of the Capital Markets Department of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, stated that my countrys external debt has remained generally stable, with continuous structural optimization and high security. Over the past three years, my countrys external debt has remained relatively stable between US$2.3 trillion and US$2.5 trillion. By the end of the first quarter of 2026, RMB-denominated external debt accounted for 55%, an increase of 10 percentage points compared to the end of 2022; the proportion of medium- and long-term external debt remained stable at over 40%, and the risk of maturity and currency mismatch in external debt has significantly decreased. At the end of 2025, my countrys debt-to-equity ratio, debt service ratio, and the ratio of short-term external debt to foreign exchange reserves were 11.9%, 56.3%, 6.2%, and 39.2%, respectively, all significantly lower than international safety warning lines.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD investors approach a 50% mean reversion zone prior to NFP

Daniel Rogers

Mar 10, 2023 11:28

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After data showed that weekly US jobless claims increased more than anticipated, the price of gold rose on Friday as the dollar weakened. This caused the market to reconsider the Federal Reserve's next move.

 

At the time of writing, the US Dollar index, DXY, was down 0.13 percent, making the price of Gold less expensive for buyers using other currencies. Ahead of the crucial Nonfarm Payrolls report, the gold price is currently in the $1,830s.

 

In the meantime, "the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits increased. "Initial claims increased to 211k in the week to 4 March, while continuing claims increased to 1,718k," ANZ Bank analysts explained.

 

"This most recent data suggests that the labor market may be beginning to cool, but this data is notoriously volatile, so the market will be on the lookout for additional evidence that labor demand is decreasing. The Challenger Job Cuts data, which shows 77,000 jobs were eliminated in February, is one indicator that US companies are beginning to reduce their workforce, analysts added.

 

"This is less than the January figure of 109,243, but it is 400% higher than the previous February, and it is the highest number of jobs lost in any February since 2009. The majority of layoffs are in the technology, retail, and financial sectors.