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Market news: The U.S. Senate has passed a bill to increase federal science spending, after the White House had sought significant cuts.Foreign central banks held $3.888 billion in U.S. Treasury securities in the week ending January 16, compared with $32.218 billion in the previous week.US President Trump praised low oil and gas prices.On January 16th, Hassett, a leading candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chair, denied concerns that he would struggle to persuade other Fed officials to support his views if appointed. Hassett stated on Thursday, "Im tough enough to win debates. Anyone who comes to the White House and faces all the questions they might be asked for five years—like me—is tough enough to handle hostile situations and help people understand why they are right or wrong." Hassett has consistently argued that Fed Chair Powell and his colleagues have been too slow in cutting interest rates, a view shared by Trump. Fed watchers point out that interest rate decisions depend on a majority vote on the Federal Open Market Committee, and a Trump-nominated chair may not be able to forge a consensus on significant rate cuts. Hassett reiterated that Trump believes the Fed, under Powells leadership, has been politically biased, cutting rates before the 2024 election but halting the easing cycle after Trumps inauguration in 2025. "He believes that sometimes their decisions appear partisan," Hassett said.JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon: I "absolutely cannot" become the Federal Reserve Chairman.

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD views $1,800 as upbeat US labor market fuels hawkish Fed wagers

Alina Haynes

Mar 09, 2023 13:55

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Gold price (XAU / USD) appears vulnerable above $1,810.00 as the upside appears constrained by rising Federal Reserve rate expectations (Fed). The precious metal is anticipated to resume its decline as strong United States Employment data reported by Automatic Data Processing (ADP) has confirmed that January's strong consumer spending and higher payrolls were not a one-time blow to the Consumer Price Index's decline (CPI).

 

S&P500 futures have given up the slight gains they made on Wednesday during the Asian session. As China's CPI and Producer Price Index (PPI) figures indicate deflation, the risk-aversion theme has intensified. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has maintained a sideways trend above 105.20 as investors await the publication of US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for fresh direction signals. The alpha provided by 10-year US Treasury bonds has risen above 3.98 percent.

 

The official US Employment data is expected to indicate a decline in the payrolls to 203K from the former release of 514k. A figure of 203K is not as terrible as January's 514K figure, but it appears insignificant in comparison. Investors should be aware that a figure of 514K in the last seven months was exceptional.

 

Aside from that, it is anticipated that the unemployment rate will remain at a multi-decade low of 3.4%. The Average Hourly Earnings are expected to ascend to 4.8% on an annual basis. Household income may increase consumer expenditure. Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, has already confirmed that the Fed will increase interest rates in order to reduce inflation.


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