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February 7th - US President Trump stated on the 6th that the US, Russia, and Ukraine held "very good" talks that day regarding resolving the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Answering reporters questions aboard Air Force One, Trump said, "We had very, very good talks with Russia and Ukraine today. Something might happen." However, he did not elaborate further. It is understood that the issue of Ukrainian territory and security guarantees remains the sticking point in the negotiations. The US and Ukraine recently discussed the possibility of reaching a Russia-Ukraine peace agreement in March, but this is proving very difficult, and the timetable may be delayed.February 7 - According to a report released by Indonesias Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency, a 5.9-magnitude earthquake struck approximately 118 kilometers northwest of the Tanimbar Islands in Maluku Province, Indonesia, at around 4:20 a.m. local time on February 7. The earthquake had a depth of 100 kilometers. There is no tsunami risk. No casualties have been reported.February 7th - In response to a new round of oil embargoes from the United States, the Cuban government announced it will take emergency measures to prioritize the needs of the people and production. Cuban Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Trade and Investment, Pérez Oliva, announced a series of emergency measures aimed at ensuring the smooth operation of essential social services. These measures include: prioritizing fuel for basic public services and key economic activities, postponing non-essential activities; actively restoring fuel supplies, expanding domestic crude oil production, and accelerating the construction and commissioning of green energy projects; implementing fuel rationing and energy-saving measures; concentrating administrative work on Mondays through Thursdays; and ensuring fuel supplies for key sectors such as water supply, food production, healthcare, national defense, disaster warning, and foreign exchange earning industries.February 7th - Today (February 7th), the "South China Sea Regional Ocean-Atmosphere Two-Way Coupled Intelligent Large Model - Flying Fish-1.0," jointly developed by the South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, and China University of Petroleum (East China), was released. The "Flying Fish-1.0" artificial intelligence large model mines the temporal and spatial variation patterns of the South China Seas ocean and atmosphere from massive amounts of data. Based on these learned patterns, it analyzes and infers the complex and mutually influential dynamic processes between the South China Seas ocean and atmosphere.Chinas foreign exchange reserves in January were $3,399.078 billion, below the expected $3,370 billion and the previous months $3,357.87 billion.

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD views $1,800 as upbeat US labor market fuels hawkish Fed wagers

Alina Haynes

Mar 09, 2023 13:55

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Gold price (XAU / USD) appears vulnerable above $1,810.00 as the upside appears constrained by rising Federal Reserve rate expectations (Fed). The precious metal is anticipated to resume its decline as strong United States Employment data reported by Automatic Data Processing (ADP) has confirmed that January's strong consumer spending and higher payrolls were not a one-time blow to the Consumer Price Index's decline (CPI).

 

S&P500 futures have given up the slight gains they made on Wednesday during the Asian session. As China's CPI and Producer Price Index (PPI) figures indicate deflation, the risk-aversion theme has intensified. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has maintained a sideways trend above 105.20 as investors await the publication of US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for fresh direction signals. The alpha provided by 10-year US Treasury bonds has risen above 3.98 percent.

 

The official US Employment data is expected to indicate a decline in the payrolls to 203K from the former release of 514k. A figure of 203K is not as terrible as January's 514K figure, but it appears insignificant in comparison. Investors should be aware that a figure of 514K in the last seven months was exceptional.

 

Aside from that, it is anticipated that the unemployment rate will remain at a multi-decade low of 3.4%. The Average Hourly Earnings are expected to ascend to 4.8% on an annual basis. Household income may increase consumer expenditure. Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, has already confirmed that the Fed will increase interest rates in order to reduce inflation.


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