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February 9th - As concerns about artificial intelligence disrupting business models continue to escalate, hedge funds have significantly increased their short positions in US stocks. Goldman Sachs prime brokerage team stated in a client report that last weeks nominal short selling of a single stock reached its highest level since the bank began collecting data in 2016. The team cited fund flows from January 30th to February 5th, noting that short selling volume was twice that of long buying. Market anxiety about how AI will reshape the economy triggered a turbulent week on Wall Street. The combined market capitalization of 164 stocks in the software, financial services, and asset management sectors evaporated by $611 billion last week. Overall, hedge funds have been net sellers of US stocks for the fourth consecutive week, with the selling pace at its fastest since the so-called "Liberation Day" in early April. The Goldman Sachs team pointed out that the information technology sector was the hardest hit, with net outflows reaching the second highest level in the past five years. Software stocks led the decline, accounting for approximately 75% of the sectors net selling. Hedge funds total net exposure to software stocks fell to 2.6%, and the long-short ratio dropped to 1.3—both record lows.Sources say that as of February 8, production at the Tengiz oil field in Kazakhstan, which is dominated by Chevron (CVX.N), has recovered to about 60% of its peak production (about 550,000 barrels per day).Futures Market Summary | Monday, February 9th, CCTV News Highlights: 1. Creating and sharing a better life paints a picture of happiness and peoples livelihood. 2. Li Qiang signed a State Council decree promulgating the revised "Regulations of the Peoples Republic of China on Nature Reserves". 3. With the Spring Festival approaching, the festive atmosphere is strong across the country. 4. Spring Festival travel rush continues to grow, with key areas increasing nighttime transportation capacity. 5. Liu Yanying: Taking a steady path to rural revitalization and increasing income. 6. Sales of old cars traded in for new ones will exceed 50 billion yuan by 2026. 7. Soaring in the blue sky of the motherland, protecting the lights of thousands of homes. 8. The goal of "achieving results in five years" for the revitalization of the seed industry has been successfully completed. 9. Foreign-invested enterprises increase investment in China at the beginning of the year. 10. Several young Chinese athletes make their Winter Olympics debut. 11. The turnover of the national futures trading market in January increased by 105.14% year-on-year. 12. The Office of the National Disaster Prevention, Reduction and Relief Commission deployed natural disaster risk prevention and control work in February. 13. Central state-owned enterprises Spring Festival consumption assistance campaign has exceeded 800 million yuan in procurement. 14. The number of first-instance criminal cases related to environmental resources continues to decline. 15. Several new regulations have been introduced to strengthen the safety supervision of road transportation of liquid food. 16. The 2026 Spring Festival film lineup was released in Beijing. 17. More than 1,500 suspects involved in telecom fraud in Myawaddy, Myanmar, have been extradited back to China. 18. The Iranian president stated that Iran will not tolerate threats of force; the Iranian military stated that it is fully prepared to retaliate against any act of aggression. 19. Russia claims to have controlled more settlements in Koh Samui and other areas; Ukraine claims to have attacked a Russian drone control center; Russia claims the suspect in the attack on a Russian general admitted to being directed by Ukraine; Ukraine denies involvement in the attack. 20. Palestine condemns Israels escalation of its annexation of the West Bank. 21. Protests continue in many parts of the US against federal immigration enforcement actions. 22. Severe weather continues, with floods spreading in Spain and Portugal. 23. Shootings have occurred in multiple locations in the US, resulting in casualties.Novo Nordisk (NVO.N) announced the launch of a share buyback program with a maximum repurchase amount of 15 billion Danish kroner.The U.S. Department of Defense stated that the vessel violated quarantine regulations in the Caribbean Sea.

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD views $1,800 as upbeat US labor market fuels hawkish Fed wagers

Alina Haynes

Mar 09, 2023 13:55

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Gold price (XAU / USD) appears vulnerable above $1,810.00 as the upside appears constrained by rising Federal Reserve rate expectations (Fed). The precious metal is anticipated to resume its decline as strong United States Employment data reported by Automatic Data Processing (ADP) has confirmed that January's strong consumer spending and higher payrolls were not a one-time blow to the Consumer Price Index's decline (CPI).

 

S&P500 futures have given up the slight gains they made on Wednesday during the Asian session. As China's CPI and Producer Price Index (PPI) figures indicate deflation, the risk-aversion theme has intensified. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has maintained a sideways trend above 105.20 as investors await the publication of US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for fresh direction signals. The alpha provided by 10-year US Treasury bonds has risen above 3.98 percent.

 

The official US Employment data is expected to indicate a decline in the payrolls to 203K from the former release of 514k. A figure of 203K is not as terrible as January's 514K figure, but it appears insignificant in comparison. Investors should be aware that a figure of 514K in the last seven months was exceptional.

 

Aside from that, it is anticipated that the unemployment rate will remain at a multi-decade low of 3.4%. The Average Hourly Earnings are expected to ascend to 4.8% on an annual basis. Household income may increase consumer expenditure. Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, has already confirmed that the Fed will increase interest rates in order to reduce inflation.