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On June 15th, former Israeli Ambassador to the US, Aaron Pincus, stated that Iran has become stronger and more confident since the war, and the regional balance facing Israel has clearly shifted unfavorably. He pointed out that by mid-June 2026, Iran will be geopolitically exponentially stronger than it was on the day the war broke out (February 28th), and has altered the regional balance during the war. Pincus warned that Iran has "upended the strategic balance," not only attacking the Arab Gulf states but also driving a wedge between Israel and the United States. He stated that how the post-war balance of power between Israel and Iran will develop remains to be seen, but "it will certainly be different from what it was in February, and less favorable to Israel than before."On June 15, the Iranian Foreign Ministry strongly condemned the Israeli regimes terrorist act of military aggression against a residential area in the southern suburbs of Beirut this afternoon (June 14). The attack has resulted in casualties among Lebanese citizens. The Iranian Foreign Ministry stated that this terrorist crime not only blatantly violated Lebanons national sovereignty and territorial integrity but also seriously contravened the ceasefire understanding reached between Iran and the United States on April 8. Iran reiterated that the US government bears direct responsibility for the Israeli regimes crimes and repeated violations of the ceasefire, and emphasized that it will take all necessary measures to exercise its legitimate right to self-defense. Iran warned that the dangerous consequences of the Israeli regimes frivolous actions on regional peace and security should be borne by the United States and the Israeli regime.Iranian Parliament Speaker: The enemy can never defeat any resistance front alone.The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has reported that the number of confirmed Ebola cases has risen to 782.According to Irans Mehr News Agency, the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority stated that it has not issued any new flight notices to restrict domestic flights.

While examining global development expectations, the WTI price falls below $72

Alina Haynes

Mar 15, 2023 11:38

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WTI is experiencing a corrective decline that began around $81 and is currently trading just below $72. The diminishing expectation of cumulative global development is depressing oil demand. WTI price struggles to remain elevated despite restricted oil supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) desires to maintain oil prices above the $80 threshold; consequently, a number of voluntary adjustments have been enacted; however, oil prices are more interested in the global economic slowdown than the law of supply and demand.

 

The global outlook for inflation, which is a major driver of commodity prices, is deteriorating as a result of rising global borrowing costs. This effect has been observed in numerous commodities, including copper and iron ore.

 

The recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank have dampened investors' sentiment regarding underlying financial conditions. The global development outlook is clouded by recent unemployment in numerous developed countries.

 

Recent data demonstrated that the Chinese reopening narrative is less optimistic than previously believed. China was one of the countries that contributed to rewriting the global development narrative following the 2008 Great Financial Crisis (GFC). This time, however, is not the case.

 

Meanwhile, on Tuesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released in accordance with expectations, with the headline MoM figure coming in at 0.4% as expected, from 0.5% previously, and the YoY figure coming in at 6% as expected, from 6.5% previously. The MoM core reading came in marginally higher than anticipated, at 0.5% versus 0.4% expected, from the previous 0.4%, and the core YoY reading was in line with expectations, at 5.5% from 5.6%.