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On November 27th, Cui Dongshu, Secretary-General of the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), stated that automobile production reached 27.33 million units from January to October 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11%. The automotive industrys revenue for the same period was 8.8778 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.9%; costs were 7.8243 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.7%; and profits were 389.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.4%. The automotive industrys profit margin was 4.4%, which is still relatively low compared to the average profit margin of 6% for downstream industrial enterprises. Specifically, in October, the automotive industrys revenue was 1.0543 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.6%; costs were 937.6 billion yuan, an increase of 9.4%; and profits were 41.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.7%. The automotive industrys profit margin was 3.9%, a significant decrease compared to September and still lower than the 4.1% in October last year. At the end of October, accounts receivable of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 27.69 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.1%; and finished goods inventory reached 6.82 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.7%. The automotive industrys destocking and improved payment terms should be better than the overall level of industrial enterprises.Fitch Ratings: Japans latest fiscal stimulus package may increase the risk to its "A/Stable" sovereign rating.Fitch Ratings: Japans stimulus plan exacerbates fiscal risks.U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services: Effective immediately, all processing of immigration applications involving Afghan nationals will be suspended indefinitely until security and background checks are completed.On November 27th, Daiwa Securities issued a research report stating that Chow Tai Fook (01929.HK)s results for the first half of fiscal year 2026, ending September 30th, were 2% to 3% lower than market expectations in terms of revenue and net profit, but the report believes that positive factors outweigh negative ones. Despite an increase in Chow Tai Fooks dividend payout ratio and dividend per share, Daiwa considers the companys revised guidance for the second half of fiscal year 2026 to be conservative. Based on revised profit margin forecasts, Daiwa raised its earnings per share forecasts for Chow Tai Fook from 2026 to 2028 by 2% to 5%; its 12-month target price was raised from HK$15.5 to HK$18, while maintaining the forward P/E ratio at 18x; and its "Buy" rating was reiterated.

Natural Gas prices fall below $2.70 despite USD Index attempts to recover, and demand concerns grow

Alina Haynes

Mar 14, 2023 13:12

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After a perpendicular recovery to close to $2.70 in the Asian session, Natural Gas futures have turned sideways. Weakness in the US Dollar Index (DXY), in general, has aided the upward bias in natural gas prices. Natural Gas futures appear vulnerable near $2.70 as the USD Index has demonstrated a recovery move to near 103.90 as investors become anxious ahead of the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.

 

The Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates is anticipated to have a negative impact on industrial demand for natural gas (Fed). The market anticipates that Fed chair Jerome Powell's scheduled rate hikes will lead to a recession in the near future.

 

Meanwhile, Winter is nearing its conclusion and summer has not yet arrived. Consequently, demand for residential purposes to heat domestic spaces will remain low. Additionally, because residences will require less electricity to operate air conditioners, power companies are less reliant on natural gas.

 

The recent decline in the USD Index is what has given Natural Gas prices new life. The US Energy Information Administration's (EIA) inventory data, which is released every Thursday, will dominate this week's trading in Natural Gas futures.

 

Going forward, investors eagerly anticipate the publication of US inflation data in order to form a new consensus. According to the projections, the headline CPI could fall to 6.0% from the previous release of 6.4%. And, core inflation, which excludes crude and food prices, is anticipated to decrease slightly to 5.5% from the previous release of 5.6%.