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According to The Information, OpenAI founder Altman stated that OpenAI plans to postpone other initiatives, such as its advertising business.On December 2nd, Intel announced an additional investment of RM860 million (US$208 million) to make Malaysia its assembly and testing operations hub, a move Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim stated would boost the Southeast Asian nations key role in the global semiconductor supply chain. He added that Intels decision was based on confidence in Malaysias long-term plans. Anwar stated that Intel already has operations in Malaysia, including a RM12 billion advanced packaging plant in Penang, which is 99% complete. In 2021, the US company pledged a US$7 billion investment to establish a manufacturing base in Penang. Malaysia accounts for approximately 13% of the global chip packaging, assembly, and testing (the final step in semiconductor manufacturing) market, an industry that drives 40% of Malaysias export output. As major governments race to strengthen their semiconductor capabilities, Malaysia has been striving to elevate its position in the global supply chain.Futures News, December 2nd: As of December 1st, the mainstream benzene market price in East China closed at 5320 yuan/ton, down 110 yuan/ton from 5430 yuan/ton at the beginning of November. From a fundamental perspective, December arrivals in East China are concentrated, and major ports in East China will enter a period of continuous inventory accumulation. In addition, with the weather turning colder, insufficient end-user orders and low downstream operating enthusiasm continue to put pressure on price recovery across the industry chain. However, on the cost side, geopolitical tensions threaten market supply, and European and American crude oil futures rose 1.3%. Under the interplay of bullish and bearish factors, the benzene market is expected to trade within a range.On December 2nd, futures market news reported that crude oil prices traded higher yesterday, primarily driven by the return of two major geopolitical risk premiums. Firstly, the slow progress of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, coupled with Ukraines attacks on European oil ports and pipelines; secondly, the USs air traffic control over a South American country over the weekend, leading to the breakdown of peace talks and heightened tensions in South America. Zhuochuang Information predicts that the return of geopolitical risks has led to an increase in oil prices. However, whether this upward trend can continue depends on close monitoring of developments. If the conflict escalates, oil prices will continue to rise; otherwise, if the situation remains manageable, oil prices will likely experience wider fluctuations. In the short term, the geopolitical risk premium remains high, and oil prices are expected to remain relatively strong.Fitch: Penalties imposed on South Korean banks highlight non-financial risks.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD will continue to fluctuate above $1,900 despite a decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Mar 15, 2023 11:43

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Gold price (XAU / USD) is not in danger despite U.S. inflation figures meeting expectations. Since Monday, the precious metal has been fluctuating continuously between $1,895 and $1,913. The release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) failed to produce a significant reaction in the Gold price; however, the upside bias appears to be solidified as wagers on lesser rate increases from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the critical support at 103.50, but it appears vulnerable to further losses as investors' risk appetite has dramatically increased. As market participants purchased S&P500 futures in response to higher odds of a smaller rate hike from Fed chair Jerome Powell, a likely recession in the US economy was postponed, signaling an uptick in optimism.

 

Contrary to the risk-on sentiment, demand for US Treasury bonds remained weak, causing 10-year US Treasury yields to rise above 3.68 percent.

 

The headline As anticipated, the US CPI increased by 0.4% on a monthly basis, and the annual figure decreased from 6.4% to 6.0%. In addition, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, decreased to 5.5% from 5.6% previously. The Fed appears to be pleased with the persistence of a declining trend in US inflation.

 

In the future, investors will closely monitor the US Retail Sales (Feb) data. Monthly Retail Sales data is anticipated to decline by 0.3% compared to the previous release of a 3.0% increase. This indicates that the consumer spending rebound is over and the Fed is on course to achieve its inflation target of 2%.

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