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On December 18th, Saxo Bank analyst Ole Hansen wrote in a report that gold is increasingly becoming a cornerstone asset in a world characterized by fragmentation, fiscal tensions, and geopolitical uncertainty. Golds performance over the past two years reflects more than just a favorable macroeconomic cycle. It signals a deeper transformation in the global financial system, where trust, diversification, and resilience have become as important as yield and growth. Despite the strong momentum, gold is not without risk heading into next year. In the near term, the most tangible risks stem from positioning and capital flows. The strong rally in gold and silver in 2025 means that the upcoming rebalancing of major commodity indices will trigger a significant sell-off in the futures market, a process that could generate significant short-term volatility.On December 18th, Daniela Hathorn, senior market analyst at trading platform Capital.com, said: "With inflation still above target and service sector prices appearing sticky, Bank of England policymakers are unlikely to send a clearly dovish signal. Instead, the Bank of England will likely describe any rate cuts as a gradual shift in risk management rather than a full-blown easing cycle."JPMorgan Chase raised its price target for Micron Technology (MU.O) from $220 to $350.According to the latest analysis from Economies.com analysts on December 18th, spot gold prices have been mainly fluctuating in recent intraday trading. The main bullish trend remains dominant in the short term, and the price is moving along the secondary support trend line, indicating the stability of the bullish trend.December 18th, Futures.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures have fallen in recent intraday trading, mainly due to the stability maintained after touching the current resistance level of $56.40. At the same time, a steep secondary bearish trendline resistance was tested in the short term, which further exacerbated selling pressure and caused a loss of bullish momentum.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD Bulls encounter resistance, while bears eye trendline support

Alina Haynes

Mar 13, 2023 11:24

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Gold price was approximately 0.5% higher at the start of the week following a 2% increase in the first hour of Tokyo trade on Friday, and as US authorities announced plans to limit the repercussions from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). Gold is currently trading at $1,878 and ranges from $1,867.03 to $1,894.68 at the time of writing.

 

In a joint statement, the US Treasury and Federal Reserve announced a number of measures to stabilize the banking system and announced that depositors at SVB would have access to their funds on Monday. The Biden administration on Sunday guaranteed that customers of the failed Silicon Valley Bank will have full access to their funds beginning Monday. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Chairman Martin J. Gruenberg stated in a joint statement on Sunday that the FDIC will compensate SVB and Signature's customers in full.

 

Investors hypothesized that the Federal Reserve would be reluctant to upset the boat by increasing interest rates by a massive 50 basis points this month, resulting in a weaker US Dollar. Fed fund futures surged in early trading, implying only a 17% chance of a half-point hike, down from 70% before the SVB announcement last week. The apex for rates was 5.14%, down from 5.69% last Wednesday, and markets were even pricing in rate cuts by the end of the year. In a move that has benefited the price of gold, yields on two-year Treasuries fell to 4.445%, well below last week's peak of 5.08%.

 

In the meantime, speculators will focus on the US Consumer Price Index data that will be released on Tuesday. Even though the financial system is under stress, there is the possibility of a more aggressive Federal Reserve if the data comes in strong. ´´Core prices likely gained momentum in February with the index increasing a robust 0.5% MoM, as we look for the recent substantial relief from goods deflation to start normalizing,´´ analysts at TD Securities explained. "Shelter inflation is likely to remain the most significant wild card, while a decline in petroleum and food prices will likely reduce non-core CPI inflation. Our m/m forecasts imply total/core price growth of 6.1%/5.5% YoY.

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