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August 26th - This week, central bank officials from around the world will gather in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, to discuss how to re-examine global inflation and the prospect of further increases in borrowing costs in the face of new inflationary threats. Spiros, an economist at Thin Ice Macro in Frankfurt, stated, "Global central banks are likely to adopt a cautious stance, viewing inflation as the risk they least want to see. You never know when the next supply shock will suddenly appear." Subadra Rajapa, head of US research at Societe Generale, noted that countries differ in their urgency regarding inflation, partly due to their varying degrees of sensitivity to energy cost fluctuations, which in turn depend on their import volumes. He pointed out that Europe and Japan are "more sensitive to the situation in the Middle East and oil prices." "We estimate that policy rates in the US and UK will remain tight," said Jarry Stern, chief European economist at Goldman Sachs. "Different starting points mean different pressures on countries to cope with the energy shock, giving the Fed and the Bank of England more time to observe how this shock evolves." Former Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said, "The Iran war has changed the way people discuss issues and make policy choices, and there seems to be no end in sight." "This makes this years Jackson Hole symposium completely different because we are now in a typical supply shock environment, or more accurately, multiple supply shocks hitting the global economy simultaneously."On August 26, CanSino Biologics (06185.HK) issued an announcement on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, noting the companys recent market developments regarding mRNA technology. The mRNA platform is one of the companys key technology platforms. The company is currently developing mRNA preventative vaccines and therapeutic biological products, as well as related delivery systems. In the therapeutic areas, the company is advancing research and development of mRNA vaccines for the treatment of glioblastoma, rhabdomyosarcoma, and cervical cancer, as well as the development of InVivoCAR-related therapies, all currently in early stages.The UKs CBI retail sales expectations index rose to -22 in August from -26, the highest level since March.The UKs CBI Retail Sales Expectations Index for August was -22, compared to -26 previously.The UK CBI retail sales balance for August was -48, compared to -26 in the previous month.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD Bulls encounter resistance, while bears eye trendline support

Alina Haynes

Mar 13, 2023 11:24

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Gold price was approximately 0.5% higher at the start of the week following a 2% increase in the first hour of Tokyo trade on Friday, and as US authorities announced plans to limit the repercussions from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). Gold is currently trading at $1,878 and ranges from $1,867.03 to $1,894.68 at the time of writing.

 

In a joint statement, the US Treasury and Federal Reserve announced a number of measures to stabilize the banking system and announced that depositors at SVB would have access to their funds on Monday. The Biden administration on Sunday guaranteed that customers of the failed Silicon Valley Bank will have full access to their funds beginning Monday. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Chairman Martin J. Gruenberg stated in a joint statement on Sunday that the FDIC will compensate SVB and Signature's customers in full.

 

Investors hypothesized that the Federal Reserve would be reluctant to upset the boat by increasing interest rates by a massive 50 basis points this month, resulting in a weaker US Dollar. Fed fund futures surged in early trading, implying only a 17% chance of a half-point hike, down from 70% before the SVB announcement last week. The apex for rates was 5.14%, down from 5.69% last Wednesday, and markets were even pricing in rate cuts by the end of the year. In a move that has benefited the price of gold, yields on two-year Treasuries fell to 4.445%, well below last week's peak of 5.08%.

 

In the meantime, speculators will focus on the US Consumer Price Index data that will be released on Tuesday. Even though the financial system is under stress, there is the possibility of a more aggressive Federal Reserve if the data comes in strong. ´´Core prices likely gained momentum in February with the index increasing a robust 0.5% MoM, as we look for the recent substantial relief from goods deflation to start normalizing,´´ analysts at TD Securities explained. "Shelter inflation is likely to remain the most significant wild card, while a decline in petroleum and food prices will likely reduce non-core CPI inflation. Our m/m forecasts imply total/core price growth of 6.1%/5.5% YoY.

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