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On April 2nd, French Navy Chief of Staff Nicolas Vaujorel stated on April 1st that France is working to convene multiple countries "at the political level" to discuss how to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in a "sustainable manner." Speaking at the "War and Peace" forum in Paris, Vaujorel indicated that in addition to the political aspect, this action will also monitor the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz "at the military level." French Defense Minister Delegate Alice Rufus stated at the forum that NATOs role is not suitable for conducting military operations in the Strait of Hormuz. According to British sources on April 1st, after NATO allies refused to help in the fight against Iran, US President Trump is "seriously considering" withdrawing the US from NATO.New Zealands Deputy Minister of Energy: An agreement will be signed to support an additional 90 million liters of diesel reserves at Cape Marsden in the Northland region.Conflict Situation: 1. According to RIA Novosti: The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that Russian troops have taken control of the entire Luhansk region. 2. Ukrainian Air Force: Russia launched more than 360 drones in a rare daytime attack. 3. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian troops have taken control of Verkhnya Pysarivka and Boikove in eastern Ukraine. 4. Governor of Zakalpat Oblast in western Ukraine: Russian drones attacked key infrastructure in the two regions. Other Situations: 1. Russia rejected Ukraines Easter ceasefire proposal, calling it a "public relations stunt." 2. The European Commission has made some preparations for a €90 billion loan to Ukraine. 3. Ukrainian Ministry of Defense: Ukraines air defense effectiveness has improved by 9.7% in the past four months. 4. Ukrainian President Zelensky: Ukraines drone interception system in the Middle East has "shown results." 5. Market News: The EU will use €1.4 billion of frozen proceeds from Russian assets for Ukraine.NASA has confirmed that battery overheating will not affect todays launch mission.US-Israel-Iran Conflict: ① Iran 1. Iranian military claims to have struck Israeli defense companies. 2. Irans Supreme Leaders foreign policy advisor seriously injured in attack. 3. Iran claims over 115,000 civilian facilities damaged in the conflict. 4. Iran claims to have launched the 89th wave of "True Commitment-4" strikes. 5. Iranian military claims to have struck locations where US early warning aircraft and refueling aircraft are deployed. 6. Iran claims its ultimate goal in retaliatory operations includes the withdrawal of US troops from the Middle East. 7. Iranian Foreign Ministry: Irans Supreme Leader is in good health but has postponed public appearances due to the war. 8. Iranian Revolutionary Guard: The Strait of Hormuz will not be opened because of Trumps "absurd performance." 9. Iranian official tells Trump: The Strait of Hormuz will definitely reopen, but not to the United States. 10. According to Irans Mehr News Agency: Weather radar in Irans Khuzestan province was attacked in the joint US-Israel attack. 11. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson: Trumps remarks about Iran requesting a ceasefire are false and baseless. 12. According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA): Iran launched multiple missile and drone attacks on Israeli and US military bases. 13. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard: It has attacked the oil tanker "Aqua One" in the Gulf region; the tanker, leased to Qatar Energy, was attacked in Qatari waters. 14. Iranian Foreign Minister: We do not accept a ceasefire; we seek an end to the war and a guarantee that similar aggression will not be repeated. Only Iran and Oman can decide the future of the Strait of Hormuz. ②USA 1. Sources: US Vice President says Trump has lost patience. 2. Trump received a briefing on "the removal of nearly 1,000 pounds of highly enriched uranium from Iran." 3. According to the New York Times: The US is doubling the size of its A-10 attack aircraft fleet deployed to the Middle East. 4. Trump will deliver a national address at 9:00 AM Beijing time today; US media reports that he will announce the war with Iran is nearing its end, and the responsibility for the Strait of Hormuz lies entirely with NATO. 5. US intelligence agencies: Iran currently has no intention of engaging in substantive negotiations to end the war, believing Trump lacks sincerity. 6. Trump: ① The president of Irans new regime has requested a ceasefire from the United States and will consider the request after the Strait of Hormuz reopens. ② He will express his "dissatisfaction" with NATO in a national address; he is indeed seriously considering withdrawing the United States from NATO. ③ We will withdraw from Iran soon, but no timetable will be given. ④ He doesnt care about the (Iranian) nuclear materials issue; he will monitor them via satellite. ③ Israel: 1. The Israeli Prime Minister stated that Iran no longer poses an existential threat. 2. The Israeli military says it has used approximately 16,000 rounds of ammunition, destroying thousands of targets. 3. Israeli military: An airstrike in Beirut killed Hezbollahs southern front commander, Haji Yousef Ismail Hashim. 4. According to the Israel Broadcasting Authority: Israeli sources say there is growing concern that Trump will be satisfied with the results of the operation and declare it over. 5. A senior Israeli general: Irans missile launch capability has been weakened. Most of Irans command chain has been destroyed. The military operation in Lebanon will continue for as long as necessary. ④ Other: 1. The UAE has intercepted over 2,000 drones. 2. Blocked Strait of Hormuz led to a 50% drop in Saudi crude oil exports in March. 3. A drone company backed by Trumps son is marketing weapons to the UAE. 4. Sources: Emirates EGA smelter resold alumina after attack. 5. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister: Russia did not provide Iran with intelligence for attacks on civilian facilities. 6. Head of UAEs largest energy company: Irans blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is "economic blackmail." 7. Market news: NATO is concerned that Trump will weaken the alliance after the US threatened to withdraw from NATO. 8. EGA, the Middle Easts largest aluminum producer, closed its smelter due to Iranian attacks. 9. Report: The UAE plans to join forces with the US military to forcefully breach the Strait of Hormuz, becoming the first Gulf state to directly participate in the conflict. 10. Ukrainian President Zelensky: Ukraine is negotiating (regarding Middle East cooperation) with Bahrain, Kuwait, and Iraq. 11. According to the Kuwait News Agency: Kuwait claims that Iranian drones attacked fuel storage tanks at Kuwait International Airport, causing a fire.

Silver price analysis: XAG/USD declines from a 13-day-old resistance line below $21.00

Daniel Rogers

Mar 13, 2023 11:37

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Silver price (XAG/USD) maintains modest gains near $20.60 as it probes the metal's retreat from a key short-term resistance line on Monday morning. Despite this, the XAG/USD maintains its three-day winning trend and extends yesterday's recovery from the lowest levels since November 4, 2022.

 

Nonetheless, the impending bear cross on the MACD and the bullion's inability to remain above the 200-SMA, not to mention the failure to cross a two-week-old resistance line, give Silver price bears reason for optimism.

 

Consequently, the bullion remains on track to retest the two-week-old horizontal support zone close to $20.40. However, the metal's further decline may make it difficult to break the $20.00 psychological magnet.

 

The focus will then shift to the monthly low of $19.95 and the November 2022 low around $18.85.

 

On the contrary, recovery movements remain elusive unless the XAG/USD remains below the downward-sloping resistance line from late February, around $20.90 at the latest. The $21.00 round number also functions as an upside filter.

 

The previous week's high near $21.30 may serve as the last line of defense for the XAG/USD skeptics if Silver purchasers maintain control above $21.00.