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December 8th - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will announce its final interest rate decision of the year on Tuesday, with the market expecting no rate adjustment. Nevertheless, this will remain one of the most closely watched meetings of the year. A wealth of data from the RBA indicates strong demand, rising inflation risks, and the economy nearing its capacity limits, making a hawkish signal highly likely. Economists from some major banks have already begun calculating that the RBA may tighten monetary policy in February next year after receiving fourth-quarter inflation data.On December 8th, the Election Committee of the 8th Legislative Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR) announced the results of the functional constituency elections. Thirty seats were elected from 28 functional constituencies, and 30 members were elected as new Legislative Council members from these constituencies. The new Legislative Council will consist of 90 members, including 40 elected by the Election Committee, 30 elected from functional constituencies, and 20 elected by geographical constituencies. Earlier on the 8th, the list of the 40 newly elected Legislative Council members from the Election Committee had already been published. The list of the 20 members elected by geographical constituencies is expected to be announced on the same day. The term of the 8th Legislative Council of the HKSAR will begin on January 1, 2026, and will be four years.December 8th - Market speculation persists that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise interest rates this month, but participants remain betting on a continued weakening of the yen. Traders at Bank of America, Nomura Holdings, and RBC Capital Markets say investor positioning reflects this bet. Citigroups "pain index" for the yen remains deep in negative territory, indicating continued negative sentiment towards the yen. Even with BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda hinting at a possible imminent rate hike and the BOJ reportedly preparing to raise rates in December unless there is a major shock to the economy or financial markets, investors remain bearish on the yen. This is because even if the BOJ takes action, Japanese yields are still expected to be significantly lower than those in the US, which is more favorable for the dollar. Ivan Stamenovich, head of G-10 currency trading for Asia Pacific at Bank of America, said, "Positioning remains geared towards betting on the dollar to continue rising against the yen until the end of the year, and this trend is unlikely to change unless the BOJ delivers a real surprise." He added that Uedas hawkish comments sparked discussion about the currency pair, but market sentiment has not fundamentally changed.On December 8th, Israel Defense Forces Chief of Staff Zamir stated on the 7th that the withdrawal line drawn by the Israeli military under the first phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement, known as the "Yellow Line," is the "new border" of the Gaza Strip. During an inspection of the Gaza Strip that day, Zamir said that the "Yellow Line" is the "new border" of the Gaza Strip, serving as both Israels forward defensive line and the boundary for Israeli military operations. Israel maintains operational control over large areas of the Gaza Strip and will continue to hold these lines. According to the first phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement, the area outside the "Yellow Line" remains under Israeli control, and Israeli troops will no longer be stationed or conducting operations within the "Yellow Line."Anson Resources of Australia and Nusano of the United States have signed a lithium supply agreement.

Silver price analysis: XAG/USD declines from a 13-day-old resistance line below $21.00

Daniel Rogers

Mar 13, 2023 11:37

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Silver price (XAG/USD) maintains modest gains near $20.60 as it probes the metal's retreat from a key short-term resistance line on Monday morning. Despite this, the XAG/USD maintains its three-day winning trend and extends yesterday's recovery from the lowest levels since November 4, 2022.

 

Nonetheless, the impending bear cross on the MACD and the bullion's inability to remain above the 200-SMA, not to mention the failure to cross a two-week-old resistance line, give Silver price bears reason for optimism.

 

Consequently, the bullion remains on track to retest the two-week-old horizontal support zone close to $20.40. However, the metal's further decline may make it difficult to break the $20.00 psychological magnet.

 

The focus will then shift to the monthly low of $19.95 and the November 2022 low around $18.85.

 

On the contrary, recovery movements remain elusive unless the XAG/USD remains below the downward-sloping resistance line from late February, around $20.90 at the latest. The $21.00 round number also functions as an upside filter.

 

The previous week's high near $21.30 may serve as the last line of defense for the XAG/USD skeptics if Silver purchasers maintain control above $21.00.