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On August 21, analysts at Daiwa Capital Markets noted in a report that European Central Bank policymakers may have been somewhat relieved so far by the relatively limited indirect impact of the energy shock on other commodity prices. "Of course, the pressure is mainly concentrated in the early stages of the production chain and in industries most vulnerable to oil and gas prices," they stated. However, with wholesale oil and gas prices rising again in recent weeks, the risk of further exacerbation of the indirect transmission effect and a second round of price impacts lasting longer is also increasing.On August 21st, economists at Sumitomo Mitsui Nikko Securities stated that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is likely to raise its policy rate from the current 1% to 1.25% at its next meeting in September. They noted that the BOJ is expected to raise rates again in January and June 2027, eventually reaching a policy rate of 1.75%. They added, "After next summer, import-driven inflationary pressures are expected to ease, making it unlikely that the BOJ will raise the policy rate to 2%—a level higher than the markets average estimate of the neutral rate." The overnight index swap market currently indicates an 84% probability of a BOJ rate hike in September, with two more hikes expected by early 2027.Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov: Whats important now is how Washington can influence decision-making in Kyiv and Europe.Indias preliminary composite PMI for August was 54.6, below the expected 54.4 and the previous reading of 54.3.Indias preliminary services PMI for August was 54.5, below the expected 53.8 and the previous reading of 53.3.

Silver price analysis: XAG/USD declines from a 13-day-old resistance line below $21.00

Daniel Rogers

Mar 13, 2023 11:37

 截屏2022-07-29 上午11.05.40.png

 

Silver price (XAG/USD) maintains modest gains near $20.60 as it probes the metal's retreat from a key short-term resistance line on Monday morning. Despite this, the XAG/USD maintains its three-day winning trend and extends yesterday's recovery from the lowest levels since November 4, 2022.

 

Nonetheless, the impending bear cross on the MACD and the bullion's inability to remain above the 200-SMA, not to mention the failure to cross a two-week-old resistance line, give Silver price bears reason for optimism.

 

Consequently, the bullion remains on track to retest the two-week-old horizontal support zone close to $20.40. However, the metal's further decline may make it difficult to break the $20.00 psychological magnet.

 

The focus will then shift to the monthly low of $19.95 and the November 2022 low around $18.85.

 

On the contrary, recovery movements remain elusive unless the XAG/USD remains below the downward-sloping resistance line from late February, around $20.90 at the latest. The $21.00 round number also functions as an upside filter.

 

The previous week's high near $21.30 may serve as the last line of defense for the XAG/USD skeptics if Silver purchasers maintain control above $21.00.