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January 16th - Pansen Macro analyst Claus Vistesen stated that January inflation data from Germany and the Eurozone may increase market bets on a European Central Bank rate cut. Data released Friday showed that Germanys annual inflation rate fell to 1.8% in December from 2.3% in November, as energy prices declined due to a one-off tariff reduction, laying the foundation for continued inflation declines into 2026. Core inflation is also expected to fall, although food and alcohol inflation are expected to rebound due to last years benchmark effect. Pansen Macro expects Germanys January inflation rate to fall to 1.5%.The U.S. military is deploying additional defensive and offensive capabilities to the Middle East in response to a potential strike against Iran by President Trump.On January 16th, Morgan Stanley expressed optimism about the share price of Dutch semiconductor equipment manufacturer ASML. Analysts at the bank stated that in the most optimistic scenario, as chipmakers increase spending to meet soaring demand from artificial intelligence, the stock could rise by 70%, potentially reaching €2,000. Morgan Stanleys bullish outlook on ASML is further fueled by TSMCs earnings report demonstrating that the AI spending boom has not slowed. ASMLs share price has already risen 25% year-to-date by 2026, and its market capitalization surpassed $500 billion this week, making it the third European company to reach this milestone.January 16th - According to AXIOS, citing an Israeli source and another informed source, Mossad Director General Barnea arrived in the United States on Friday morning for talks on the situation in Iran. Barneas trip is part of consultations between the US and Israel regarding the Iranian protests and potential US military action. It is understood that Barnea is expected to meet with US Middle East envoy Witkov in Miami. It is unclear whether Barnea will travel to Mar-a-Lago to meet with US President Trump over the weekend. US officials have stated that military action remains an option if Iran resumes its killings of protesters. Israeli officials believe that although action may be delayed, the possibility of a US military strike in the coming days remains. According to US sources, the US military is deploying more defensive and offensive capabilities to the region to facilitate rapid action should Trump order a strike.The head of Israels intelligence agency Mossad is visiting the United States to hold talks on the Iranian issue and is expected to meet with U.S. special envoy Witkov.

Silver price analysis: XAG/USD declines from a 13-day-old resistance line below $21.00

Daniel Rogers

Mar 13, 2023 11:37

 截屏2022-07-29 上午11.05.40.png

 

Silver price (XAG/USD) maintains modest gains near $20.60 as it probes the metal's retreat from a key short-term resistance line on Monday morning. Despite this, the XAG/USD maintains its three-day winning trend and extends yesterday's recovery from the lowest levels since November 4, 2022.

 

Nonetheless, the impending bear cross on the MACD and the bullion's inability to remain above the 200-SMA, not to mention the failure to cross a two-week-old resistance line, give Silver price bears reason for optimism.

 

Consequently, the bullion remains on track to retest the two-week-old horizontal support zone close to $20.40. However, the metal's further decline may make it difficult to break the $20.00 psychological magnet.

 

The focus will then shift to the monthly low of $19.95 and the November 2022 low around $18.85.

 

On the contrary, recovery movements remain elusive unless the XAG/USD remains below the downward-sloping resistance line from late February, around $20.90 at the latest. The $21.00 round number also functions as an upside filter.

 

The previous week's high near $21.30 may serve as the last line of defense for the XAG/USD skeptics if Silver purchasers maintain control above $21.00.