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July 16 - The Indian government announced adjustments to windfall profits taxes on petroleum products, effective July 16. Specifically, the windfall profits tax on diesel exports will increase from 8.5 rupees per liter to 15.5 rupees per liter, and the export tax on aviation turbine fuel will increase from 7.5 rupees per liter to 14.5 rupees per liter; while the export tax on gasoline will decrease from 4 rupees per liter to 2.5 rupees per liter.July 16th - The Federal Reserves Beige Book showed that overall U.S. price levels rose moderately. Of the 12 Fed districts, 9 reported moderate price increases, 2 reported stronger increases, and 1 reported a smaller increase, with the overall increase remaining flat or slowing compared to the previous period. The report stated that rising energy, transportation, and raw material costs pushed up business input costs, with some businesses attributing the pressure to the Middle East conflict and tariffs. Consumer prices continued to rise, squeezing the profit margins of some businesses. Market opinions are divided regarding future inflation trends; some expect inflation to remain at current levels, while others believe that declining fuel prices may alleviate the pressure.July 16th - The Federal Reserves Beige Book showed that the U.S. job market maintained overall growth. Of the 12 Fed districts, five saw modest, moderate, or significant job growth, while seven remained largely unchanged, an improvement from the previous period where only one district reported job growth. The report stated that employment increased in several sectors, including manufacturing, construction, and retail, but recruiting skilled workers and technicians remained difficult. Job losses occurred in some districts, but the declines were limited. Regarding wages, most districts saw modest to moderate wage growth, with some increases related to companies competing for skilled labor. Furthermore, a few districts saw companies increasingly utilizing artificial intelligence for recruitment screening or to improve employee productivity.July 16th - The Federal Reserves Beige Book showed that U.S. economic activity grew slightly to moderately in 11 of the 12 Fed districts during the period from the end of May to June, with the overall growth rate roughly the same as the previous period. The report stated that factors such as high oil prices dampened some consumption, with consumers reducing spending on non-essential items and turning to lower-priced goods. Tourism saw some recovery, with World Cup-related travel providing a boost to some regions. Manufacturing maintained moderate growth, with orders increasing in data centers, machinery, and defense. Construction and real estate activity improved slightly, with data center construction being a bright spot. In addition, drilling activity in the energy sector increased, financial conditions were generally stable, and commercial and consumer lending rose moderately. However, agriculture was affected by declining commodity prices, rising costs, and tighter credit. Most respondents expected the economy to continue expanding in the coming months, but significant uncertainty remained regarding the outlook for fuel costs.The Federal Reserves Beige Book indicated that respondents generally expect the U.S. economy to continue expanding in the coming months, but several districts noted that the outlook for fuel costs remains highly uncertain.

Silver price analysis: XAG/USD declines from a 13-day-old resistance line below $21.00

Daniel Rogers

Mar 13, 2023 11:37

 截屏2022-07-29 上午11.05.40.png

 

Silver price (XAG/USD) maintains modest gains near $20.60 as it probes the metal's retreat from a key short-term resistance line on Monday morning. Despite this, the XAG/USD maintains its three-day winning trend and extends yesterday's recovery from the lowest levels since November 4, 2022.

 

Nonetheless, the impending bear cross on the MACD and the bullion's inability to remain above the 200-SMA, not to mention the failure to cross a two-week-old resistance line, give Silver price bears reason for optimism.

 

Consequently, the bullion remains on track to retest the two-week-old horizontal support zone close to $20.40. However, the metal's further decline may make it difficult to break the $20.00 psychological magnet.

 

The focus will then shift to the monthly low of $19.95 and the November 2022 low around $18.85.

 

On the contrary, recovery movements remain elusive unless the XAG/USD remains below the downward-sloping resistance line from late February, around $20.90 at the latest. The $21.00 round number also functions as an upside filter.

 

The previous week's high near $21.30 may serve as the last line of defense for the XAG/USD skeptics if Silver purchasers maintain control above $21.00.