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On June 26, according to Irans Press TV, US President Trump has again ordered that all Iraqi oil revenues controlled by Iraq be deposited into accounts at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Executive Order 13303 was originally signed after the US military action against Iraq in 2003 and has been renewed annually since, always citing "national security" as the reason. The White House has not issued a press release on this matter, but Trump sent a formal notification to Congress on May 4 regarding the extension of the order. In the formal notification, Trump stated: "The various obstacles hindering the orderly reconstruction of Iraq, the restoration and maintenance of domestic peace and security, and the development of political, administrative, and economic institutions continue to pose an exceptionally significant threat to US national security and foreign policy. Therefore, this Executive Order must remain in effect beyond May 22, 2026."According to Iranian state television, three foreign oil tankers that attempted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz "without authorization" were forced to turn back after warnings from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Navy.On June 26, State Councilor Chen Yiqin conducted research in Jiangxi Province from June 23 to 26 on employment, sports, and other related work. She emphasized the need to thoroughly study and implement the spirit of General Secretary Xi Jinpings important speeches, earnestly implement the decisions and deployments of the Party Central Committee and the State Council, resolutely implement the employment-first strategy, actively promote the high-quality development of the sports industry, accelerate the cultivation of more new growth points, and strive to achieve a virtuous cycle of increased residents income, expanded domestic demand, and economic development. Chen Yiqin pointed out that it is necessary to strengthen the employment-first policy, accelerate the implementation of the action plan to stabilize, expand, and improve employment, support industries and enterprises with strong employment absorption capacity to stabilize jobs, and make every effort to ensure employment for key groups such as college graduates and migrant workers. She stressed the need to scientifically grasp and proactively adapt to changes in the employment situation, carry out large-scale vocational skills training programs, continuously improve the public employment service system, and cultivate new occupations and positions around the development of emerging and future industries to better promote employment and income growth for the masses.A Reuters poll shows that for the first time since 2023, more economists are predicting that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates rather than cut them.A Reuters poll showed that 78 of the 102 economists surveyed expect the Federal Reserve to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% in 2026, compared to 72 of the 102 economists surveyed in early June.

WTI price falls below the $76 mark amid altering financial dynamics and global growth concerns

Alina Haynes

Mar 14, 2023 11:40

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The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) price is unchanged on Tuesday amid a weaker US Dollar and muted risk sentiment. WTI fell to a low of $72.31 on Monday as a result of a strong risk-off environment sparked by the repercussions from Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Banks. Since then, the WTI price has risen significantly as a result of the Federal Reserve's plan to intervene. After reaching a peak of approximately $76 on Monday, the WTI price retreated as the dynamics of the US Dollar shifted.

 

The financial system is being harmed by rising borrowing costs around the world and growth concerns are being raised. The WTI price is in a corrective decline as the narrative of China's reopening does not appear optimistic, as the country has lowered its growth forecast to 5.0%.

 

The SVB debacle exacerbates global growth concerns, as it is interpreted as the first of many financial system dings. Due to rising financing costs, businesses are struggling to make their repayments, which will eventually result in a decline in demand.

 

Despite tightened production and numerous voluntary cuts from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), the WTI price is struggling to surpass $80.

 

Oil prices are influenced by a number of variables, including the US dollar, inflation, OPEC, and global growth concerns. Considering the aforementioned factors, it is difficult to rationalize the directional nature of oil prices, but it appears that the oil market is primarily driven by development concerns.

 

Since these nations are struggling to maintain oil prices above the desired $80 mark, it will also be crucial to monitor the OPEC position on reduced oil prices.