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Algerias Remote Sensing Satellite-3B was successfully launched.On January 31st, a research report from CITIC Securities pointed out that the Trump administrations domestic and foreign policies are expected to profoundly impact global markets this year. CITIC Securities believes that one of the Trump administrations core objectives is to push down long-term interest rates through personnel changes at the Federal Reserve and a series of initiatives to boost the traditional economy and support the midterm elections. Success would be beneficial for global stock markets and commodities. However, its foreign policy focuses on domestic affairs and voter demands, and may only have a short-term impact on major asset classes. The extent of the fiscal deficit expansion remains uncertain, which is beneficial for gold and non-ferrous metals. The midterm election results are crucial; although Trump has tried his best to gain an advantage, a Republican defeat would be a short-term negative for risk assets other than US Treasuries.On January 31, the Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) held a video conference on January 30 to deploy the 2026 Spring Festival travel rush work. The meeting focused on studying and implementing the important instructions and directives of General Secretary Xi Jinping on Spring Festival travel rush and work safety, and mobilized and deployed the 2026 civil aviation Spring Festival travel rush work. CAAC Deputy Director Ma Bing attended the meeting and delivered a speech. The meeting emphasized the need to solidify work responsibilities and go all out to ensure the success of all aspects of the Spring Festival travel rush work. It stressed implementing all safety requirements for the end of the year and the beginning of the new year, as well as winter operations, focusing on key safety aspects, strengthening the investigation and rectification of hidden dangers and supervision and inspection, and ensuring aviation safety; providing special Spring Festival services, strengthening support for key groups, handling irregular flights properly, standardizing market prices, and optimizing the passenger travel experience; strengthening market dynamic monitoring and optimizing Spring Festival flight arrangements; ensuring sufficient and capable on-duty personnel, properly handling emergencies, and providing care and support for frontline staff.U.S. Border Affairs Director Homan: My message is consistent with the position that has been in place since President Trump took office on January 20: we will conduct large-scale deportations, but will prioritize arresting criminals and those who threaten public safety.On January 31, it was reported that on January 30 local time, the Director of the White House Office of Management and Budget issued a memo to department heads instructing agencies whose funding was due at midnight to begin preparing for a government shutdown. These agencies included the Department of Defense, Department of Homeland Security, State Department, Treasury Department, Department of Labor, Department of Health and Human Services, Department of Education, Department of Transportation, and Department of Housing and Urban Development. Russ Vought stated, “Given that Congress is clearly unable to complete its work before the funding expires, affected agencies should now implement orderly shutdown plans. Employees should report to work on time, fulfill their next regular work duties, and conduct orderly shutdown activities. The government will continue to work with Congress to address recently raised issues and complete the funding work for fiscal year 2026. We hope this shutdown will not be too long.”

The EUR/USD rise is getting close to 1.0200 as investors await US inflation data

Daniel Rogers

Aug 09, 2022 14:58

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The EUR/USD moves in the 1.0200 range during Tuesday's Asian session after falling from 1.0221 as traders look for fresh data. The major currency pair gained over the first part of the week but lost some of those gains by Monday's close. Recent price fluctuations, however, seem to be constrained by a lack of noteworthy data or events and a cautious attitude ahead of Wednesday's release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July.

 

Gains in the EUR/USD the day before are shown by higher readings of the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Index and a drop in US Treasury yields. The primary sentiment indicator Index, however, increased in August from -26.4 to -25.2, which was projected to be the value. According to specifics, the eurozone's present state has improved from this month's lowest position since March 2021, when it was -16.5, to -16.3. The expectations index is at its lowest level since December 2008, despite a little increase to -33.8. It is still very close to that level. The US Dollar Index (DXY), in contrast, saw a daily decrease of 0.19 percent to 106.37.

 

The moderate Azione's resignation from the newly formed alliance ahead of the September elections looks to have put negative pressure on the Euro elsewhere due to Italian political worries.

 

The moderate Azione has backed out of its coalition with the Democratic Party and the +Europe party after only agreeing to do so last week. According to party leader Carlo Calendar, "the parts didn't fit." According to Reuters and Market News Publishing US, the alliance was formed in an effort to stop a more conservative government from taking office after the election on September 25.

 

Notably, gains in the EUR/USD the day before appeared to have been constrained by US President Joe Biden's displeasure of China's efforts to retake Taiwan and his censure of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's trip to Taipei.

 

These actions caused the 10-year US Treasury rates, which had increased by 14 basis points (bps) the day before, to fall by around seven basis points (bps) to 2.75 percent. Wall Street also started Monday's trading day on a positive one before ending on a mixed note, albeit as of press time, S&P 500 Futures are showing minor gains.

 

Participants in the EUR/USD market may be interested in the second quarter's (Q2) US Nonfarm Productivity and Unit Labor Costs data. Forecasts suggest that US Nonfarm Productivity may rise to -4.6% from -7.3%, while Unit Labor Costs may decrease to 9.5% from 12.6%. The news regarding Taiwan and Russia will also be important for determining direction.