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On June 6, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated at the plenary session of the 29th St. Petersburg International Economic Forum on June 5 that the Russian governments task is to strive for a return to steady economic growth starting next year, and one of the conditions for achieving this is to increase investment and launch a new investment cycle. Putin said that from 2021 to 2024, Russias actual investment increased by nearly 38%, but this figure declined last year. Launching a new investment cycle is a key task for the governments economic departments, and investment growth is an important indicator of their effectiveness. He also said that to achieve balanced economic growth, it is necessary to rely on domestic demand and maintain a continued decline in the inflation rate. Currently, Russian inflation has slowed significantly, and the inflation rate is expected to be close to 5.2% this year. Putin emphasized that a strong sovereign state cannot be isolated. Russia must both independently produce essential products and strengthen infrastructure construction, while also strengthening exchanges, cooperation, and promoting cross-border cooperation projects with foreign partners.On June 6, the Argentine Ministry of Health announced on June 5 that it would expand its investigation into the Hantavirus by sending an expert team to Mendoza Province in western Argentina. In a statement, the Ministry said that based on rodent behavior and epidemiological criteria, the expert team decided to expand the investigation to Mendoza Province. A team comprised of experts from the Carlos Malván Institute of the National Institute of Laboratories and Health of Argentina and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention will conduct the investigation in Mendoza Province from June 8 to 12. The team will set traps to capture rodents such as the long-tailed dwarf rice rat, which are linked to the spread of Hantavirus. All samples will undergo preliminary processing in the on-site laboratory and then be temporarily stored at a local facility before being transported to the Malván Institute.June 6th - Stronger-than-expected US non-farm payroll data for May ignited market concerns about a Federal Reserve rate hike this year. On Friday, previously crowded and highly valued AI and technology stocks suffered a sharp decline, while gold and silver prices also plummeted. Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, noted, "The technology and semiconductor sectors have experienced a record rally over the past nine weeks, and today the market dam finally broke. The stronger-than-expected jobs report has put the Fed in a dilemma regarding whether to cut rates for the remainder of the year, and the market is expressing its dissatisfaction by selling off its best-performing stocks this year." Phil Streible, chief market strategist at Blue Line Futures, pointed out that some investors reduced their gold holdings to offset losses in other assets, exacerbating the selling pressure on precious metals. Bart Melek, global head of commodities strategy at TD Securities, stated, "The non-farm payroll data significantly exceeded market expectations. Given the ongoing Middle East wars, high energy prices, and significant inflationary pressures, the Fed has virtually no intention of cutting rates. In this context, the cost of holding gold is becoming increasingly high."June 6th - In Jinan, AI models are now being mass-produced on assembly lines, much like automobiles. The first step in producing AI models begins in the data workshop, essentially the raw material warehouse for the entire large model factory. Massive amounts of raw data are cleaned, filtered, and labeled here, transforming them into qualified raw materials for model production. The second step is model forging. In the model workshop, the employees on the production line are the "large models" themselves, and various large models become "digital craftsmen," training the models according to order requirements. The trained AI models then enter the third step: rigorous final testing. What leaves the model workshop is only a semi-finished product. In the factorys evaluation center, new models are constantly given "tests." If they fail the test, they are sent back for rework. Only by passing the rigorous "final test" can the model enter the market. Passing the test leads to the fourth step—integration training. In the integration workshop, the models are "integrated" into robotic arms and robots. Through repeated motion collection and training, the AI or intelligent agent can master physical skills before it can empower various industries. The seemingly simple four-step process actually includes 75 meticulous procedures, reducing the AI model development cycle from 90 person-days to 20 person-days.On June 6, Mohsen Rezaei, military advisor to Irans Supreme Leader, warned in an interview with CNN on June 5 that if the fighting continues and the US does not lift its naval blockade of Iran, the conflict could spread to a wider area, including the Indian Ocean, and Iran would also strike more US military bases, at which point the US would suffer "very heavy" losses.

The EUR/USD rise is getting close to 1.0200 as investors await US inflation data

Daniel Rogers

Aug 09, 2022 14:58

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The EUR/USD moves in the 1.0200 range during Tuesday's Asian session after falling from 1.0221 as traders look for fresh data. The major currency pair gained over the first part of the week but lost some of those gains by Monday's close. Recent price fluctuations, however, seem to be constrained by a lack of noteworthy data or events and a cautious attitude ahead of Wednesday's release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July.

 

Gains in the EUR/USD the day before are shown by higher readings of the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Index and a drop in US Treasury yields. The primary sentiment indicator Index, however, increased in August from -26.4 to -25.2, which was projected to be the value. According to specifics, the eurozone's present state has improved from this month's lowest position since March 2021, when it was -16.5, to -16.3. The expectations index is at its lowest level since December 2008, despite a little increase to -33.8. It is still very close to that level. The US Dollar Index (DXY), in contrast, saw a daily decrease of 0.19 percent to 106.37.

 

The moderate Azione's resignation from the newly formed alliance ahead of the September elections looks to have put negative pressure on the Euro elsewhere due to Italian political worries.

 

The moderate Azione has backed out of its coalition with the Democratic Party and the +Europe party after only agreeing to do so last week. According to party leader Carlo Calendar, "the parts didn't fit." According to Reuters and Market News Publishing US, the alliance was formed in an effort to stop a more conservative government from taking office after the election on September 25.

 

Notably, gains in the EUR/USD the day before appeared to have been constrained by US President Joe Biden's displeasure of China's efforts to retake Taiwan and his censure of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's trip to Taipei.

 

These actions caused the 10-year US Treasury rates, which had increased by 14 basis points (bps) the day before, to fall by around seven basis points (bps) to 2.75 percent. Wall Street also started Monday's trading day on a positive one before ending on a mixed note, albeit as of press time, S&P 500 Futures are showing minor gains.

 

Participants in the EUR/USD market may be interested in the second quarter's (Q2) US Nonfarm Productivity and Unit Labor Costs data. Forecasts suggest that US Nonfarm Productivity may rise to -4.6% from -7.3%, while Unit Labor Costs may decrease to 9.5% from 12.6%. The news regarding Taiwan and Russia will also be important for determining direction.