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The yield on Japans two-year government bonds rose 1.5 basis points to 1.445%.According to the official measurement of the China Earthquake Networks Center, a 3.7-magnitude earthquake occurred in Shaya County, Aksu Prefecture, Xinjiang (41.00 degrees north latitude, 83.31 degrees east longitude) at 11:59 on July 9, with a focal depth of 22 kilometers.July 9th - The Japanese bond market is signaling declining confidence in the central banks ability to curb inflation, while government spending plans further exacerbate fiscal pressures. This week, yields on 10-year and 20-year Japanese government bonds surged to multi-decade highs as renewed concerns arose about Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis commitment to fiscal discipline and monetary policy normalization. On Wednesday, the spread between 10-year and 2-year JGB yields widened to 143 basis points, the highest level since 2004, reflecting heightened market concerns about long-term inflation and price risks, while expectations for short-term Bank of Japan rate hikes weakened. Kento Minami, senior economist at Daiwa Securities, stated, "The recent steepening of the yield curve is a warning sign from investors, indicating a gap between the risks the market is measuring and the governments fiscal and monetary policies."On July 9th, in a report titled "Investment Strategy: Going Long on Chinas AI Value Chain," Goldman Sachs analyst Louis Mille wrote, "Chinas AI industry has officially come into our view." The reason given is that "the unprecedented combination of massive government support, surging global demand, and structural capital rotation makes Chinas AI one of the most compelling growth stories in the technology sector today." Goldman Sachs presented three key points to support its investment argument: Chinese AI companies market capitalization is severely mismatched with market size, leaving ample room for valuation upside; the Chinese AI industry chain possesses unique competitive advantages that are currently undervalued by the market; and the Chinese AI sector is outperforming other Chinese assets, with funds structurally increasing their allocation.On July 9th, it was learned that XPeng Group held its first all-staff meeting for its Robotaxi business and announced the official launch of employee internal testing. He Xiaopeng stated that in the next ten years, all embodied intelligent carriers will essentially become robots. Robotaxi is a crucial step for XPeng from new energy vehicles to "robot cars," and a key piece in XPengs physical AI landscape. Based on the development trend of software and hardware integration in the AI era, XPeng will focus on vehicle platforms, autonomous driving software, and AI capabilities to become a Robotaxi software and hardware service provider serving global partners. By providing complete solutions, XPeng will promote the global deployment of Robotaxi.

The EUR/USD rise is getting close to 1.0200 as investors await US inflation data

Daniel Rogers

Aug 09, 2022 14:58

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The EUR/USD moves in the 1.0200 range during Tuesday's Asian session after falling from 1.0221 as traders look for fresh data. The major currency pair gained over the first part of the week but lost some of those gains by Monday's close. Recent price fluctuations, however, seem to be constrained by a lack of noteworthy data or events and a cautious attitude ahead of Wednesday's release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July.

 

Gains in the EUR/USD the day before are shown by higher readings of the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Index and a drop in US Treasury yields. The primary sentiment indicator Index, however, increased in August from -26.4 to -25.2, which was projected to be the value. According to specifics, the eurozone's present state has improved from this month's lowest position since March 2021, when it was -16.5, to -16.3. The expectations index is at its lowest level since December 2008, despite a little increase to -33.8. It is still very close to that level. The US Dollar Index (DXY), in contrast, saw a daily decrease of 0.19 percent to 106.37.

 

The moderate Azione's resignation from the newly formed alliance ahead of the September elections looks to have put negative pressure on the Euro elsewhere due to Italian political worries.

 

The moderate Azione has backed out of its coalition with the Democratic Party and the +Europe party after only agreeing to do so last week. According to party leader Carlo Calendar, "the parts didn't fit." According to Reuters and Market News Publishing US, the alliance was formed in an effort to stop a more conservative government from taking office after the election on September 25.

 

Notably, gains in the EUR/USD the day before appeared to have been constrained by US President Joe Biden's displeasure of China's efforts to retake Taiwan and his censure of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's trip to Taipei.

 

These actions caused the 10-year US Treasury rates, which had increased by 14 basis points (bps) the day before, to fall by around seven basis points (bps) to 2.75 percent. Wall Street also started Monday's trading day on a positive one before ending on a mixed note, albeit as of press time, S&P 500 Futures are showing minor gains.

 

Participants in the EUR/USD market may be interested in the second quarter's (Q2) US Nonfarm Productivity and Unit Labor Costs data. Forecasts suggest that US Nonfarm Productivity may rise to -4.6% from -7.3%, while Unit Labor Costs may decrease to 9.5% from 12.6%. The news regarding Taiwan and Russia will also be important for determining direction.


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