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Conflict Updates: 1. According to RIA Novosti: The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that Russian troops have taken control of two new settlements in Ukraine. 2. It was reported that Russian troops destroyed five Ukrainian naval unmanned vessels in the northeastern Black Sea. 3. According to Interfax: A fire at an oil refinery in Sloviansk-Nakubani, Russia, has been extinguished. 4. Zelensky: Ukrainian troops launched a second attack on an oil refinery in Ufa, Russia, and a missile component factory in the Penza region. 5. Market News: Ukrainian officials stated that air defense systems are intercepting Russian drone attacks on Kyiv, and drone debris has been found in at least two areas. 6. Market News: A fire broke out at the Primir Palace Hotel in Kyiv following the Russian drone attacks. Other Updates: 1. Zelensky: Ukraine has agreed to a drone deal with Ireland. 2. Ukrainian Prime Minister: Ukraine is launching a new arms export mechanism. 3. Russia has imported gasoline from India to address a shortage, with at least 60,000 tons already shipped. 4. Zelensky: Ukraine has not yet obtained all the details of the Nord Stream 2 bombing investigation. 5. Zelensky: Hopes to open up all areas of the negotiations for Ukraines EU accession during Irelands EU presidency. 6. According to German media reports, German federal prosecutors have filed charges against a Ukrainian national, accusing him of involvement in the Nord Stream pipeline explosion. 7. NATO Secretary General Rutte: NATO allies will pledge sustainable long-term security assistance to Ukraine at the summit. The United States remains indispensable in Ukraines defense. 8. Market news: A letter indicates that the Ukrainian Defense Minister has requested EU allies to allocate €6.6 billion to the EU-backed military aid fund, stating that Ukraine has a six- to nine-month window of opportunity on the battlefield to expand its advantage over Russia.On July 2nd, Valar Atomics, a California-based nuclear energy startup, used an advanced reactor to generate electricity to power Nvidias AI chips. While the generated power was very small, this marks the first time a next-generation reactor in the United States has achieved this. During a demonstration at the companys Utah base on Wednesday, Valars Ward 250 reactor was connected to an Nvidia Blackwell chip and used to temporarily host a website. The two companies also announced an agreement to jointly explore methods for developing nuclear-powered AI systems. This latest development comes after the reactor reached "criticality" last month, marking the beginning of a self-sustaining fission reaction. Valar belongs to a group of companies developing next-generation nuclear technologies that use new materials and designs aimed at improving safety and performance. However, the industry is still in its early stages, and no advanced reactors have yet been commercialized in the United States.On July 2nd, local time, Iran released a video of a speech by Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Qassem Ghalibaf on the evening of July 1st. Ghalibaf stated that claims about "allowing IAEA inspectors to enter destroyed nuclear facilities" are false. He stated that the Iranian Islamic Parliament passed a law, approved by the Supreme National Security Council, stipulating that access to destroyed or damaged nuclear facilities cannot be permitted in any way. Ghalibaf emphasized that the IAEA is only allowed access to two locations: the Bushehr nuclear power plant and the Tehran nuclear research reactor. Iran does not grant any privileges beyond those granted by the Supreme National Security Council.Market news: A fire broke out at the Primir Palace Hotel in Kyiv following a Russian drone attack.US-Iran Negotiations: 1. According to Saudi Arabias Al Arabiya TV: A senior government official stated that US negotiators Kushner and Witkov held positive discussions with Qatari regional leaders, and technical negotiations with Iran are also progressing. 2. According to foreign media reports on July 1, citing sources, US and Iranian officials will hold indirect talks that day in Doha, the capital of Qatar. 3. According to Israels Channel 12, citing Saudi media reports: The Doha negotiators have reached a preliminary agreement to release $3 billion to Iran. 4. US President Trump: Iran negotiations are progressing well. Irans denuclearization is progressing well. 5. Iran says it will launch negotiations on a final agreement with the US at an appropriate time. 6. 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Qatar: All parties agreed to advance discussions, and the next meeting will be held after the funeral of the former Iranian Supreme Leader. Other developments: 1. Israeli media, citing senior security officials, stated that the Gaza Strip is nearing a boiling point, and returning to conflict is no longer a question of "if," but "when." 2. US officials: US troops will be stationed in Lebanon to monitor the ceasefire. 3. According to Saudi Arabias Al Arabiya TV: Israel launched airstrikes over Nabutia in southern Lebanon. 4. Iran Air resumes its Tehran-Mumbai route. 5. Thailand confirms that most of its ships have safely left the Strait of Hormuz. 6. British media: Gulf states reportedly seek to reach a regional security agreement with Iran unilaterally. 7. A ship ran aground in the Strait of Hormuz; the extent of the damage is unclear. 8. According to Iranian state media: A foreign container ship ran aground in the Strait of Hormuz because it did not follow the route designated by Iran.

The EUR/USD rise is getting close to 1.0200 as investors await US inflation data

Daniel Rogers

Aug 09, 2022 14:58

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The EUR/USD moves in the 1.0200 range during Tuesday's Asian session after falling from 1.0221 as traders look for fresh data. The major currency pair gained over the first part of the week but lost some of those gains by Monday's close. Recent price fluctuations, however, seem to be constrained by a lack of noteworthy data or events and a cautious attitude ahead of Wednesday's release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July.

 

Gains in the EUR/USD the day before are shown by higher readings of the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Index and a drop in US Treasury yields. The primary sentiment indicator Index, however, increased in August from -26.4 to -25.2, which was projected to be the value. According to specifics, the eurozone's present state has improved from this month's lowest position since March 2021, when it was -16.5, to -16.3. The expectations index is at its lowest level since December 2008, despite a little increase to -33.8. It is still very close to that level. The US Dollar Index (DXY), in contrast, saw a daily decrease of 0.19 percent to 106.37.

 

The moderate Azione's resignation from the newly formed alliance ahead of the September elections looks to have put negative pressure on the Euro elsewhere due to Italian political worries.

 

The moderate Azione has backed out of its coalition with the Democratic Party and the +Europe party after only agreeing to do so last week. According to party leader Carlo Calendar, "the parts didn't fit." According to Reuters and Market News Publishing US, the alliance was formed in an effort to stop a more conservative government from taking office after the election on September 25.

 

Notably, gains in the EUR/USD the day before appeared to have been constrained by US President Joe Biden's displeasure of China's efforts to retake Taiwan and his censure of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's trip to Taipei.

 

These actions caused the 10-year US Treasury rates, which had increased by 14 basis points (bps) the day before, to fall by around seven basis points (bps) to 2.75 percent. Wall Street also started Monday's trading day on a positive one before ending on a mixed note, albeit as of press time, S&P 500 Futures are showing minor gains.

 

Participants in the EUR/USD market may be interested in the second quarter's (Q2) US Nonfarm Productivity and Unit Labor Costs data. Forecasts suggest that US Nonfarm Productivity may rise to -4.6% from -7.3%, while Unit Labor Costs may decrease to 9.5% from 12.6%. The news regarding Taiwan and Russia will also be important for determining direction.


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