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According to Nikkei: Japan and the European Union have drawn up an agreement on a satellite network plan.Slovak Prime Minister: We aim to reach an agreement with EU partners on stopping Russian gas supplies and sanctions package by Tuesday.July 12, Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial, said that as the US government reaches an agreement with trading partners such as Japan and South Korea in the coming weeks, most investors seem to expect the United States to avoid raising tariffs. "This is the expectation that the market has formed," Saglimbene said. "If we dont get such an outcome, then I think if the White House does implement some aggressive tariff measures, the market volatility in the short term may increase."Ukraine said Russia launched 623 drones and missiles during the night.July 12, according to a report by the Wall Street Journal on the 11th, US President Trump hinted that if Iran seeks to develop nuclear weapons, he will support Israel in launching a new round of strikes against Iran. According to reports, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu recently privately informed Trump that if Iran resumes the development of nuclear weapons, Israel will launch further military strikes against Iran. Trump responded that he was inclined to reach a diplomatic settlement with Iran, that is, to reach an agreement on the nuclear issue, but he did not oppose Israels plan. The report also stated that a senior Israeli official revealed that Israel would not necessarily seek explicit approval from the United States on the issue of resuming strikes against Iran. However, considering that the United States seeks to maintain diplomatic ties with Iran, Israel may also face resistance from the United States.

The EUR/USD rise is getting close to 1.0200 as investors await US inflation data

Daniel Rogers

Aug 09, 2022 14:58

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The EUR/USD moves in the 1.0200 range during Tuesday's Asian session after falling from 1.0221 as traders look for fresh data. The major currency pair gained over the first part of the week but lost some of those gains by Monday's close. Recent price fluctuations, however, seem to be constrained by a lack of noteworthy data or events and a cautious attitude ahead of Wednesday's release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July.

 

Gains in the EUR/USD the day before are shown by higher readings of the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Index and a drop in US Treasury yields. The primary sentiment indicator Index, however, increased in August from -26.4 to -25.2, which was projected to be the value. According to specifics, the eurozone's present state has improved from this month's lowest position since March 2021, when it was -16.5, to -16.3. The expectations index is at its lowest level since December 2008, despite a little increase to -33.8. It is still very close to that level. The US Dollar Index (DXY), in contrast, saw a daily decrease of 0.19 percent to 106.37.

 

The moderate Azione's resignation from the newly formed alliance ahead of the September elections looks to have put negative pressure on the Euro elsewhere due to Italian political worries.

 

The moderate Azione has backed out of its coalition with the Democratic Party and the +Europe party after only agreeing to do so last week. According to party leader Carlo Calendar, "the parts didn't fit." According to Reuters and Market News Publishing US, the alliance was formed in an effort to stop a more conservative government from taking office after the election on September 25.

 

Notably, gains in the EUR/USD the day before appeared to have been constrained by US President Joe Biden's displeasure of China's efforts to retake Taiwan and his censure of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's trip to Taipei.

 

These actions caused the 10-year US Treasury rates, which had increased by 14 basis points (bps) the day before, to fall by around seven basis points (bps) to 2.75 percent. Wall Street also started Monday's trading day on a positive one before ending on a mixed note, albeit as of press time, S&P 500 Futures are showing minor gains.

 

Participants in the EUR/USD market may be interested in the second quarter's (Q2) US Nonfarm Productivity and Unit Labor Costs data. Forecasts suggest that US Nonfarm Productivity may rise to -4.6% from -7.3%, while Unit Labor Costs may decrease to 9.5% from 12.6%. The news regarding Taiwan and Russia will also be important for determining direction.


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