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On June 21, a source in Switzerland close to the Iranian negotiating team stated that Iran has no plans to hold any negotiations with IAEA Director General Grossi, and his presence in Switzerland does not imply his participation in the negotiations. The source emphasized that the US had requested Grossis participation in the negotiations, but this proposal was opposed by Iran. The source indicated that the Iranian negotiating teams goals are limited to implementing Article 13 of the memorandum, with a focus on Article 1, as well as issues such as unfreezing Iranian assets and lifting oil sanctions.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially measured a 3.1-magnitude earthquake at 19:43 on June 21 in Haixi Prefecture, Qinghai Province (37.78 degrees north latitude, 95.37 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.June 21 – According to the Ministry of Emergency Management, Guizhou, Hubei, Hunan, and Anhui provinces face a high risk of flooding and disasters due to heavy rains over the next three days. Strengthened precautions are needed against flash floods, geological disasters, small and medium-sized river floods, and urban waterlogging that may be triggered by continuous heavy rainfall. On June 21, the State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters Office and the Ministry of Emergency Management organized a joint consultation meeting with the China Meteorological Administration, the Ministry of Water Resources, the Ministry of Natural Resources, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the Ministry of Transport, and other departments to assess recent rainfall trends and the flood situation, and to plan and deploy flood prevention work in key areas. The meeting emphasized the need to strengthen the linkage between monitoring, forecasting, and early warning response; to increase the frequency of monitoring, provide rolling forecasts, and issue early warnings; to move the work focus forward; to promptly activate and adjust emergency responses; and to take decisive and rigid measures such as shutdowns and control measures as needed.A spokesperson for the Qatari Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that a technical and expert group has been established to discuss the terms of the final agreement between the United States and Iran, and a follow-up group has been formed to implement the memorandum of understanding until the final agreement is reached.According to Irans Tasnim News Agency, sources close to the negotiating team said that the Strait of Hormuz will not reopen as long as the ceasefire agreement in Lebanon is not observed and the exemption for Iranian oil sales is not approved.

The EUR/USD rise is getting close to 1.0200 as investors await US inflation data

Daniel Rogers

Aug 09, 2022 14:58

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The EUR/USD moves in the 1.0200 range during Tuesday's Asian session after falling from 1.0221 as traders look for fresh data. The major currency pair gained over the first part of the week but lost some of those gains by Monday's close. Recent price fluctuations, however, seem to be constrained by a lack of noteworthy data or events and a cautious attitude ahead of Wednesday's release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July.

 

Gains in the EUR/USD the day before are shown by higher readings of the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Index and a drop in US Treasury yields. The primary sentiment indicator Index, however, increased in August from -26.4 to -25.2, which was projected to be the value. According to specifics, the eurozone's present state has improved from this month's lowest position since March 2021, when it was -16.5, to -16.3. The expectations index is at its lowest level since December 2008, despite a little increase to -33.8. It is still very close to that level. The US Dollar Index (DXY), in contrast, saw a daily decrease of 0.19 percent to 106.37.

 

The moderate Azione's resignation from the newly formed alliance ahead of the September elections looks to have put negative pressure on the Euro elsewhere due to Italian political worries.

 

The moderate Azione has backed out of its coalition with the Democratic Party and the +Europe party after only agreeing to do so last week. According to party leader Carlo Calendar, "the parts didn't fit." According to Reuters and Market News Publishing US, the alliance was formed in an effort to stop a more conservative government from taking office after the election on September 25.

 

Notably, gains in the EUR/USD the day before appeared to have been constrained by US President Joe Biden's displeasure of China's efforts to retake Taiwan and his censure of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's trip to Taipei.

 

These actions caused the 10-year US Treasury rates, which had increased by 14 basis points (bps) the day before, to fall by around seven basis points (bps) to 2.75 percent. Wall Street also started Monday's trading day on a positive one before ending on a mixed note, albeit as of press time, S&P 500 Futures are showing minor gains.

 

Participants in the EUR/USD market may be interested in the second quarter's (Q2) US Nonfarm Productivity and Unit Labor Costs data. Forecasts suggest that US Nonfarm Productivity may rise to -4.6% from -7.3%, while Unit Labor Costs may decrease to 9.5% from 12.6%. The news regarding Taiwan and Russia will also be important for determining direction.