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On May 24, local time, Mohsen Rezaei, military advisor to Irans Supreme Leader, stated that Iran will respond "strongly and unprecedentedly" to any actions targeting the Strait of Hormuz or hostile forces entering the Persian Gulf, and will initiate countermeasures by breaking the maritime blockade. Rezaei also stated that if the current situation continues, one of Irans strategic options is to potentially withdraw from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). He claimed that this move would have "serious consequences" for the other side.On May 24, it was learned from the National Data Administration that my country is accelerating the research and formulation of technical standards for a nationwide integrated computing power network. There are already 12 related guiding technical documents, covering multiple aspects such as computing power monitoring and scheduling, computing-power collaboration, and security protection, to promote the optimal allocation of computing power resources nationwide.On May 24th, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Kocher stated that the ECB will face an interest rate hike next month unless a sustainable peace agreement is reached between the US and Iran. Eurozone inflation this year may be higher than previously expected, while countries are still grappling with previous price shocks. Meanwhile, the economy has shown considerable resilience. "There are always some extremely low-probability scenarios that could lead to different assessments of the situation, but currently, all indications suggest we will have to decide between maintaining interest rates and raising them," Kocher said. "And it is clear to me that if the situation does not improve, we will have to focus our discussions on taking action." He also stated that it is not appropriate to make any commitments now, and doing so would be meaningless. Uncertainty is high, so too many options should not be ruled out prematurely. Of course, positive developments are hoped for.On May 24, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated that the Russian military used multiple types of missiles, including the Hazel, Iskander, Kinzhal, and Zircon, as well as attack drones, to hit targets including Ukrainian military-industrial complexes, military infrastructure, the headquarters of the Army General Staff, the headquarters of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, and other Ukrainian military command posts. No civilian facilities were planned or targeted.German Chancellor Merz: Russia has once again used the Hazel missile system to attack Ukraine. The German government strongly condemns this reckless escalation.

The EUR/USD rise is getting close to 1.0200 as investors await US inflation data

Daniel Rogers

Aug 09, 2022 14:58

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The EUR/USD moves in the 1.0200 range during Tuesday's Asian session after falling from 1.0221 as traders look for fresh data. The major currency pair gained over the first part of the week but lost some of those gains by Monday's close. Recent price fluctuations, however, seem to be constrained by a lack of noteworthy data or events and a cautious attitude ahead of Wednesday's release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July.

 

Gains in the EUR/USD the day before are shown by higher readings of the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Index and a drop in US Treasury yields. The primary sentiment indicator Index, however, increased in August from -26.4 to -25.2, which was projected to be the value. According to specifics, the eurozone's present state has improved from this month's lowest position since March 2021, when it was -16.5, to -16.3. The expectations index is at its lowest level since December 2008, despite a little increase to -33.8. It is still very close to that level. The US Dollar Index (DXY), in contrast, saw a daily decrease of 0.19 percent to 106.37.

 

The moderate Azione's resignation from the newly formed alliance ahead of the September elections looks to have put negative pressure on the Euro elsewhere due to Italian political worries.

 

The moderate Azione has backed out of its coalition with the Democratic Party and the +Europe party after only agreeing to do so last week. According to party leader Carlo Calendar, "the parts didn't fit." According to Reuters and Market News Publishing US, the alliance was formed in an effort to stop a more conservative government from taking office after the election on September 25.

 

Notably, gains in the EUR/USD the day before appeared to have been constrained by US President Joe Biden's displeasure of China's efforts to retake Taiwan and his censure of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's trip to Taipei.

 

These actions caused the 10-year US Treasury rates, which had increased by 14 basis points (bps) the day before, to fall by around seven basis points (bps) to 2.75 percent. Wall Street also started Monday's trading day on a positive one before ending on a mixed note, albeit as of press time, S&P 500 Futures are showing minor gains.

 

Participants in the EUR/USD market may be interested in the second quarter's (Q2) US Nonfarm Productivity and Unit Labor Costs data. Forecasts suggest that US Nonfarm Productivity may rise to -4.6% from -7.3%, while Unit Labor Costs may decrease to 9.5% from 12.6%. The news regarding Taiwan and Russia will also be important for determining direction.


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