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July 15th - According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, in the first half of the year, the national online retail sales of goods and services reached 10,071.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%. Among them, online retail sales of goods reached 6,429.6 billion yuan, an increase of 4.8%; within online retail sales of goods, food, clothing, and daily necessities increased by 16.8%, 6.2%, and 1.3% respectively. Online retail sales of services reached 3,641.9 billion yuan, an increase of 6.0%.According to the National Bureau of Statistics, in the first half of the year, investment in high-tech industries increased by 4.6% year-on-year, with investment in the aviation, spacecraft and equipment manufacturing, computer and office equipment manufacturing, and information services industries increasing by 23.3%, 8.1%, and 15.5% year-on-year, respectively.July 15th - According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, in the first half of the year, by location of business, urban retail sales of consumer goods reached 21,550.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.2%; rural retail sales of consumer goods reached 3,321.6 billion yuan, an increase of 2.5%. In June, urban retail sales of consumer goods reached 3,684.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%; rural retail sales of consumer goods reached 584.7 billion yuan, an increase of 2.1%. By consumption type, in the first half of the year, retail sales of goods reached 22,046.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.1%; catering revenue reached 2,825.5 billion yuan, an increase of 2.8%. In June, retail sales of goods reached 3,792.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%; catering revenue reached 476.7 billion yuan, an increase of 1.2%. By retail format, in the first half of the year, among retail enterprises above the designated size, convenience stores and supermarkets saw year-on-year increases of 6.6% and 3.8% respectively; specialty stores, department stores, and brand specialty stores saw decreases of 1.5%, 2.1%, and 8.7% respectively.According to the National Bureau of Statistics, private fixed asset investment fell by 8.5% year-on-year in the first half of the year. On a month-on-month basis, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) fell by 0.37% in June.July 15th - According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to June, by industry, investment in the primary sector reached 460 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%; investment in the secondary sector reached 8.312 trillion yuan, a decrease of 1.1%; and investment in the tertiary sector reached 13.8649 trillion yuan, a decrease of 8.4%. Industrial investment decreased by 1.1% year-on-year. Among them, investment in mining increased by 5.9%, investment in manufacturing decreased by 1.2%, and investment in the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water decreased by 2.7%. Infrastructure investment decreased by 2.4% year-on-year. Among them, investment in information transmission increased by 25.6%, investment in water transportation increased by 19.8%, and investment in air transportation increased by 11.0%.

Before the US NFP, the USD/JPY is likely to decrease to roughly 132.00

Alina Haynes

Aug 05, 2022 14:49

截屏2022-08-05 上午9.50.18.png 

 

The difficulties that the USD/JPY pair met around 133.00 during the Asian session are now in full force. As investors predict a disappointing result from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, the asset has printed a low of 132.77 and is projected to decrease further to about 132.00.

 

JP Morgan experts projected that the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will be poorer than expected at 200K in the July labor market statistics, compared to the consensus expectation of 250k jobs gained in the month. The US economy produced 372k new jobs in the labor market in June. The labor market is under great pressure as a result of data showing a continued fall in job creation. The unemployment rate, though, will be constant at 3.6 percent.

 

Increased labor market dangers are a result of rising interest rates and their compounding impacts. Due to pricey dollars, business players are unable to invest without reluctance. Low investment possibilities cannot thus speed the process of creating jobs.

 

Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' enhanced interest rate ambitions, the US dollar index (DXY) has thrown up the support of 106.00. According to Cleveland Fed President Loretta J. Mester, ending the policy tightening program without detecting a decline in the inflation rate for several months is not conceivable at interest rates above 4 percent .

 

Tokyo's entire household expenditure has dramatically climbed from the previous report of -0.5 percent and the predictions of 1.5 percent to 3.5 percent. As an inflation indicator, the economic data may aid the yen bulls. The economic data have greatly improved, which means that the inflation rate may climb much further. The findings may, however, be largely impacted by growing energy expenditures. However, a hike in the labor cost index is shortly to come in order to keep the inflation rate over 2 percent.


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