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1. Global semiconductor stocks suffered a massive sell-off on Thursday, with investors questioning the sustainability of the AI-driven rally. The South Korean KOSPI fell over 6%, triggering another circuit breaker during trading; SK Hynix fell over 11%, the Nikkei 225 fell 2.79%, and Kioxia fell 15%. A-shares also saw a significant correction, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 3900 points. 2. All three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.2% to 52,552.97 points, the S&P 500 fell 0.51% to 7,533.77 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.47% to 25,881.95 points. Goldman Sachs fell nearly 5%, and Google fell over 4%, leading the decline in the Dow. The Wind US Tech Big Seven Index fell 1.31%, with Facebook and Nvidia falling over 2%. SpaceX fell over 3%. Semiconductor and memory stocks also plummeted, with Seagate Technology falling 10% and Western Digital falling over 9%. 3. European stock indices closed mixed. The German DAX index fell 0.34% to 24,915.49 points, the French CAC40 index fell 0.05% to 8,377.86 points, and the UK FTSE 100 index rose 0.54% to 10,572.24 points. 4. International precious metals futures generally closed lower. COMEX gold futures fell 1.77% to $3,979.90 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell 2.90% to $55.77 per ounce. 5. The WTI crude oil futures contract closed down 0.03% at $79.58 per barrel; the Brent crude oil futures contract fell 0.11% to $84.86 per barrel.Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: If the increased productivity of artificial intelligence can reduce production costs sooner, inflation may face downward pressure.Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: The economic shock caused by artificial intelligence may have a lasting impact on supply and demand.Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: A series of rapid shocks could cause inflation to solidify and inflation expectations to lose their anchor.Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson: We cannot look at each factor in isolation; we must consider the overall economy when making policies.

Before the US NFP, the USD/JPY is likely to decrease to roughly 132.00

Alina Haynes

Aug 05, 2022 14:49

截屏2022-08-05 上午9.50.18.png 

 

The difficulties that the USD/JPY pair met around 133.00 during the Asian session are now in full force. As investors predict a disappointing result from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, the asset has printed a low of 132.77 and is projected to decrease further to about 132.00.

 

JP Morgan experts projected that the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will be poorer than expected at 200K in the July labor market statistics, compared to the consensus expectation of 250k jobs gained in the month. The US economy produced 372k new jobs in the labor market in June. The labor market is under great pressure as a result of data showing a continued fall in job creation. The unemployment rate, though, will be constant at 3.6 percent.

 

Increased labor market dangers are a result of rising interest rates and their compounding impacts. Due to pricey dollars, business players are unable to invest without reluctance. Low investment possibilities cannot thus speed the process of creating jobs.

 

Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' enhanced interest rate ambitions, the US dollar index (DXY) has thrown up the support of 106.00. According to Cleveland Fed President Loretta J. Mester, ending the policy tightening program without detecting a decline in the inflation rate for several months is not conceivable at interest rates above 4 percent .

 

Tokyo's entire household expenditure has dramatically climbed from the previous report of -0.5 percent and the predictions of 1.5 percent to 3.5 percent. As an inflation indicator, the economic data may aid the yen bulls. The economic data have greatly improved, which means that the inflation rate may climb much further. The findings may, however, be largely impacted by growing energy expenditures. However, a hike in the labor cost index is shortly to come in order to keep the inflation rate over 2 percent.


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