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On June 20th, it was reported that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated on June 19th local time that negotiations between Ukraine and Russia might resume, with the specific format of the talks yet to be finalized. He emphasized that third-party partners must be involved in the negotiations. Zelenskyy also clarified Ukraines core demands, covering post-war security guarantees and EU accession, and stated that Ukraine would allow Russia to finalize the specific format of the negotiations. Currently, Russia has not responded to this.Ukrainian Foreign Minister: Polands decision to revoke Ukrainian President Zelenskys Order of Honor is a "strategic mistake".Polish President: Decides to revoke the Order of the White Eagle, the highest honor awarded to Ukrainian President Zelensky.According to Axios: US President Trump said that such a thing (about war with Iran) could trigger a global depression, and the agreement reached has averted that fate.On June 20th, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman for Supervision Bowman attended a private dinner hosted by Bank of America for its clients in New York on Wednesday evening. According to sources, the dinner was by invitation only. This came just hours after the Federal Reserve announced its latest policy decision. The dinner took place during the Feds communication blackout period, which prohibits Fed officials from publicly commenting on the economic situation or monetary policy in the days before and after a meeting, and lasts until the day after the meeting (Thursday). While the Feds rules do not explicitly prohibit closed-door meetings, they require officials to avoid sharing personal policy views with anyone who might financially benefit from them, unless those views are publicly available. The rules also state that officials should not allow any company to gain a prestige advantage relative to its competitors. Under the Feds communication policy, policymakers should carefully and rigorously consider this principle when arranging meetings with those who might benefit from exclusive access to Fed officials, and when considering accepting invitations to meetings hosted by for-profit organizations or not open to the public and media. It is unclear whether Bowmans attendance at the dinner violated these rules.

Before the US NFP, the USD/JPY is likely to decrease to roughly 132.00

Alina Haynes

Aug 05, 2022 14:49

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The difficulties that the USD/JPY pair met around 133.00 during the Asian session are now in full force. As investors predict a disappointing result from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, the asset has printed a low of 132.77 and is projected to decrease further to about 132.00.

 

JP Morgan experts projected that the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will be poorer than expected at 200K in the July labor market statistics, compared to the consensus expectation of 250k jobs gained in the month. The US economy produced 372k new jobs in the labor market in June. The labor market is under great pressure as a result of data showing a continued fall in job creation. The unemployment rate, though, will be constant at 3.6 percent.

 

Increased labor market dangers are a result of rising interest rates and their compounding impacts. Due to pricey dollars, business players are unable to invest without reluctance. Low investment possibilities cannot thus speed the process of creating jobs.

 

Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' enhanced interest rate ambitions, the US dollar index (DXY) has thrown up the support of 106.00. According to Cleveland Fed President Loretta J. Mester, ending the policy tightening program without detecting a decline in the inflation rate for several months is not conceivable at interest rates above 4 percent .

 

Tokyo's entire household expenditure has dramatically climbed from the previous report of -0.5 percent and the predictions of 1.5 percent to 3.5 percent. As an inflation indicator, the economic data may aid the yen bulls. The economic data have greatly improved, which means that the inflation rate may climb much further. The findings may, however, be largely impacted by growing energy expenditures. However, a hike in the labor cost index is shortly to come in order to keep the inflation rate over 2 percent.