• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Federal Reserves Williams: The economic impact of energy prices depends on market pricing levels.Federal Reserves Williams: The Fed needs to pay attention to data to determine how energy will affect inflation.Federal Reserves Williams: So far, energy prices are expected to affect overall inflation, rather than core inflation.Federal Reserves Williams: The current mechanisms related to the Federal Reserves balance sheet are functioning well.US-Israel-Iran Conflict: ① Iran 1. Iran claims to have shot down an MQ-9 Reaper drone. 2. All Iranian universities switched to online classes starting April 4th. 3. Iranian Parliament Speaker: US and Israels threats against Iran are a "major mistake." 4. Iranian Foreign Ministry: Some ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz after coordination. 5. Iran launched the 87th round of "True Commitment-4," striking multiple US and Israeli military targets. 6. Iran reiterated that its response was not directed against regional countries and called on all parties to maintain a prudent stance. 7. Iranian Parliament approved a bill to impose a toll on passage through the Strait of Hormuz, payable in Iranian currency. 8. Irans First Vice President: Negotiations on the Strait of Hormuz require a commitment not to invade Iran. Trump may send troops to Kharg Island, but withdrawal will be beyond his control. Sending troops to Kharg Island would be a one-way trip. 9. Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: The issue of withdrawing from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons is under parliamentary review. The Bushehr nuclear power plant is still operating. ① No direct dialogue with the United States, only information exchanged through intermediaries. Iran did not participate in Pakistan-led meetings regarding the war. ② United States 1. Market news: An explosion occurred at a US military base in Saudi Arabia. 2. US military deployment continues to increase, with thousands of soldiers from the elite 82nd Airborne Division beginning to arrive in the Middle East. 3. US Treasury Secretary Bessenter: The US will regain control of the Strait of Hormuz over time. 4. Trump confirmed that the US is in talks with Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf, and will destroy Iranian energy and power facilities and Kharg Island if negotiations break down. The response to Irans attack on the Israeli oil refinery is "coming soon." 5. US Secretary of State Rubio: Iran must stop manufacturing the drones and missiles used in the recent attacks. The war with Iran will end when the US achieves its objectives. Irans permanent control of the Strait of Hormuz will not be allowed. 6. White House: Iran negotiations are ongoing and progressing well. There are discrepancies between Irans public statements and what it privately revealed to US officials. Trump intends to call on Arab countries to help pay for the war. ③ Israel 1. The Israeli military claims to have launched a new round of airstrikes against Tehran. 2. Support for the war against Iran declines, with anti-war protests erupting in several parts of Israel. 3. The Israeli military claims to have killed Hamza Rachin, a senior Hezbollah commander. 4. The Israeli military claims to have attacked key military and academic institutions of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. 5. The Israeli military claims the war has entered its "final stages" and will target Iranian economic targets. 6. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: The war with Iran is "halfway through," and the current focus is on enriched uranium stockpiles. He refused to disclose a timetable for ending the war. 7. Israel claims a gasoline storage tank fire at the Haifa refinery. The Israeli Energy Minister stated that the Haifa refinerys production facilities were undamaged and fuel supplies will not be affected. ④ Other 1. Multiple military bases in Syria attacked. 2. The Egyptian president calls on Trump to end the war with Iran. 3. German Chancellor Merz: If the war with Iran escalates, Europe will face pressure comparable to that of the pandemic. 4. European officials say Iran is urging the Houthis to equip themselves for the Red Sea, despite internal divisions within the Houthis. 5. Market news: The EU announces an expansion of its naval operations in the Red Sea and Indian Ocean. 6. British Prime Minister Starmer: A coalition of 35 countries has been formed to de-escalate the situation. 7. Market news: The European Council has extended sanctions against Iran until April 13, 2027. 8. President of the Iranian Red Crescent: Russia has delivered 330 tons of medicine and other humanitarian aid to Iran. 9. Ukrainian President Zelensky: A prolonged war with Iran will embolden Russia, and Ukraines arms supply will face challenges. 10. UAE Ministry of Defense: Intercepted 11 ballistic missiles and 27 drones launched by Iran on March 30. Since Iran openly began its attacks, the UAEs air defense system has intercepted 425 ballistic missiles, 15 cruise missiles, and 1,941 drones.

Before the US NFP, the USD/JPY is likely to decrease to roughly 132.00

Alina Haynes

Aug 05, 2022 14:49

截屏2022-08-05 上午9.50.18.png 

 

The difficulties that the USD/JPY pair met around 133.00 during the Asian session are now in full force. As investors predict a disappointing result from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, the asset has printed a low of 132.77 and is projected to decrease further to about 132.00.

 

JP Morgan experts projected that the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will be poorer than expected at 200K in the July labor market statistics, compared to the consensus expectation of 250k jobs gained in the month. The US economy produced 372k new jobs in the labor market in June. The labor market is under great pressure as a result of data showing a continued fall in job creation. The unemployment rate, though, will be constant at 3.6 percent.

 

Increased labor market dangers are a result of rising interest rates and their compounding impacts. Due to pricey dollars, business players are unable to invest without reluctance. Low investment possibilities cannot thus speed the process of creating jobs.

 

Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' enhanced interest rate ambitions, the US dollar index (DXY) has thrown up the support of 106.00. According to Cleveland Fed President Loretta J. Mester, ending the policy tightening program without detecting a decline in the inflation rate for several months is not conceivable at interest rates above 4 percent .

 

Tokyo's entire household expenditure has dramatically climbed from the previous report of -0.5 percent and the predictions of 1.5 percent to 3.5 percent. As an inflation indicator, the economic data may aid the yen bulls. The economic data have greatly improved, which means that the inflation rate may climb much further. The findings may, however, be largely impacted by growing energy expenditures. However, a hike in the labor cost index is shortly to come in order to keep the inflation rate over 2 percent.