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April 25th - Question: On April 22nd, the U.S. House Foreign Affairs Committee passed the Multilateral Cooperation on Hardware Technology Controls Act (MATCH Act) and several other export control bills. What is Chinas comment on this? A spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce stated: China has noted the relevant situation. China consistently opposes any overgeneralization of national security or abuse of export controls. If the relevant bills are ultimately enacted, they will seriously disrupt the international economic and trade order and severely impact the stability of the global semiconductor industry chain and supply chain. China will closely monitor the relevant legislative process, carefully assess its impact on Chinas interests, and resolutely take necessary measures to firmly safeguard the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese enterprises.On April 25th, Standard & Poors (S&P) announced on the 24th that it had downgraded Belgiums credit rating from "AA" to "AA-", with a "stable" outlook. S&P stated that the main reason for the downgrade was "Belgiums long-term imbalance in public finances." In a statement, S&P said that Belgiums budget deficit is expected to widen significantly by 2025, and its fiscal consolidation plan for 2026-2029 is progressing slowly, facing serious fiscal challenges. S&P projects that Belgiums net government debt as a percentage of GDP will rise from 103% in 2025 to 109% in 2029, with a substantial increase in interest payments. S&P also stated that Belgiums reliance on fossil fuels, coupled with already tight energy supplies, makes it vulnerable to the impact of soaring international oil prices caused by the current Middle East conflict, introducing new uncertainties into public finances.On April 25th, sources within the automotive industry revealed that regulatory authorities have clarified the code of conduct for exhibitors at the 2026 Beijing Auto Show, outlining ten prohibited behaviors to guide the automotive industry back to a healthy competitive track focused on technological innovation and high-quality development. The "negative behavior list" explicitly prohibits exaggerated and false advertising, disparaging other companies products, pricing products outside a reasonable range, manipulating online trolls and fan groups to incite conflict, and hyping up events such as "leaders visiting the booth."April 25th - In the first quarter of this year, the Export-Import Bank of China issued over 300 billion yuan in new loans to the foreign trade sector, with 40% directed towards stabilizing foreign trade entities and the foreign trade industrial chain, and 35% directed towards direct import and export trade. The bank prioritized support for the export of products such as artificial intelligence and green electricity equipment, and facilitated the professional and large-scale development of new foreign trade formats and models such as cross-border e-commerce and overseas warehouses.On April 25, according to Irans Fars News Agency, a spokesperson for the Iranian Ministry of Defense stated that thanks to a "completely independent, knowledge-based, and uniquely Iranian" approach, Iran has produced over 1,000 types of weaponry, including missiles and drones. The spokesperson indicated that this production capacity is the result of over 25 years of investment and procurement in Irans defense industry. Even if some production centers are damaged, the nationwide "tangible and intangible" weapons production and supply chain can continue to operate. The spokesperson also stated that approximately 9,000 Iranian companies currently cooperate with the armed forces and the Ministry of Defense.

Before the US NFP, the USD/JPY is likely to decrease to roughly 132.00

Alina Haynes

Aug 05, 2022 14:49

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The difficulties that the USD/JPY pair met around 133.00 during the Asian session are now in full force. As investors predict a disappointing result from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, the asset has printed a low of 132.77 and is projected to decrease further to about 132.00.

 

JP Morgan experts projected that the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will be poorer than expected at 200K in the July labor market statistics, compared to the consensus expectation of 250k jobs gained in the month. The US economy produced 372k new jobs in the labor market in June. The labor market is under great pressure as a result of data showing a continued fall in job creation. The unemployment rate, though, will be constant at 3.6 percent.

 

Increased labor market dangers are a result of rising interest rates and their compounding impacts. Due to pricey dollars, business players are unable to invest without reluctance. Low investment possibilities cannot thus speed the process of creating jobs.

 

Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' enhanced interest rate ambitions, the US dollar index (DXY) has thrown up the support of 106.00. According to Cleveland Fed President Loretta J. Mester, ending the policy tightening program without detecting a decline in the inflation rate for several months is not conceivable at interest rates above 4 percent .

 

Tokyo's entire household expenditure has dramatically climbed from the previous report of -0.5 percent and the predictions of 1.5 percent to 3.5 percent. As an inflation indicator, the economic data may aid the yen bulls. The economic data have greatly improved, which means that the inflation rate may climb much further. The findings may, however, be largely impacted by growing energy expenditures. However, a hike in the labor cost index is shortly to come in order to keep the inflation rate over 2 percent.