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August 22nd - The APEC Customs and Business Dialogue concluded yesterday (August 21st). Reporters learned at the dialogue that Chinese customs has signed six bilateral agreements with relevant departments of several APEC economies, including Chile and South Korea, covering imported agricultural and food products such as instant noodles containing meat and fresh fruits.On August 22, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported that on August 21, Russian forces continued their strikes against ports and vessels serving the interests of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The report stated that Russian drones struck a military warehouse in the port of Leny; a Ukrainian naval patrol boat in the port of Chernomorsk; and port infrastructure used for storing military supplies in a southern port. Additionally, Russian forces seized control of a settlement in the Donetsk region. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy posted on social media on August 21 that Ukrainian forces launched long-range strikes in the early hours of the day, hitting two important Russian targets: an oil refinery and a military airfield. Ukraine also stated that it had achieved results on the Black Sea front, but did not disclose specific targets or the extent of damage.According to the New York Times, Anthropic may be planning to raise $100 billion in its initial public offering.Conflict Situation: 1. Iran: Will respond to enemy threats with devastating action. 2. Irans "economic war" plan against the US exposed, Yanbu and Fujairah targeted. 3. Iranian official: Plans to attack oil export facilities, intended to strike at Trump before the US midterm elections. Peace Negotiations: 1. UN calls on all parties in the Gulf region to return to negotiations. 2. Trump: Turning to "economic war" against Iran does not mean the US military options are limited; if I lose the midterm elections, I will be impeached. 3. According to Omans national news agency: Oman and Iranian foreign ministers discussed conditions for resuming negotiations to support the resumption of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. 4. Iranian lawmaker Qassem: A proposal demanding Iran withdraw from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons has been submitted to parliament and is currently being advanced. Other Matters: 1. Iranian president calls for an end to the war against the US while in a strong position. 2. According to Iranian state television: Iran and Iraq sign a comprehensive security agreement. 3. Israeli sources: The possibility of a short-term military confrontation with Iran has decreased. 4. Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf: The path of struggle between Iran and Iraq against the US and Israel will continue. 5. Iraqi Parliament Speaker: Iran plans to facilitate Iraqi oil transit through Hormuz. 6. According to Al Jazeera: The Iranian parliament will review the finalized preferential trade agreement between Iran and Oman. 7. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: Israel will continue to take strong action against Türkiyes attempts to destabilize the region.Conflict Updates: 1. Financial Times: Ukraine seeks to use Starlink drones to strike Russian missile launchers. 2. Ukrainian Energy Minister: Russia has attacked more than 300 gas stations in the past six months. 3. Ukrainian Infrastructure Ministry: Russia attacked 52 civilian vessels in July and the first half of August. 4. Ukrainian President Zelensky: We will respond clearly to Russias drone attack on a shopping mall in Ukraine. 5. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian armed forces attacked a fuel and lubricant storage tank and port infrastructure in the port of Yuzhny in southern Ukraine. Other Updates: 1. Ukrainian Energy Minister: There are 14.3 billion cubic meters of natural gas in Ukraines underground gas storage facilities. 2. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov: Russia is willing to listen to new ideas about a peaceful resolution in Ukraine. Any proposals for reconciliation in Ukraine should be consistent with the goals set by Russian President Putin and the actual situation.

Before the US NFP, the USD/JPY is likely to decrease to roughly 132.00

Alina Haynes

Aug 05, 2022 14:49

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The difficulties that the USD/JPY pair met around 133.00 during the Asian session are now in full force. As investors predict a disappointing result from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, the asset has printed a low of 132.77 and is projected to decrease further to about 132.00.

 

JP Morgan experts projected that the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will be poorer than expected at 200K in the July labor market statistics, compared to the consensus expectation of 250k jobs gained in the month. The US economy produced 372k new jobs in the labor market in June. The labor market is under great pressure as a result of data showing a continued fall in job creation. The unemployment rate, though, will be constant at 3.6 percent.

 

Increased labor market dangers are a result of rising interest rates and their compounding impacts. Due to pricey dollars, business players are unable to invest without reluctance. Low investment possibilities cannot thus speed the process of creating jobs.

 

Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' enhanced interest rate ambitions, the US dollar index (DXY) has thrown up the support of 106.00. According to Cleveland Fed President Loretta J. Mester, ending the policy tightening program without detecting a decline in the inflation rate for several months is not conceivable at interest rates above 4 percent .

 

Tokyo's entire household expenditure has dramatically climbed from the previous report of -0.5 percent and the predictions of 1.5 percent to 3.5 percent. As an inflation indicator, the economic data may aid the yen bulls. The economic data have greatly improved, which means that the inflation rate may climb much further. The findings may, however, be largely impacted by growing energy expenditures. However, a hike in the labor cost index is shortly to come in order to keep the inflation rate over 2 percent.