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June 12th - In May, the total amount of cross-border RMB settlement under current account items was RMB 1.67 trillion, of which goods trade, services trade and other current account items were RMB 1.28 trillion and RMB 0.39 trillion respectively; the total amount of cross-border RMB settlement for direct investment was RMB 0.58 trillion, of which outward direct investment and foreign direct investment were RMB 0.22 trillion and RMB 0.36 trillion respectively.June 12th - At the end of May, the outstanding balance of domestic and foreign currency loans was 284.79 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.4%. The outstanding balance of RMB loans at the end of May was 281.02 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.5%. RMB loans increased by 9.11 trillion yuan in the first five months. By sector, household loans decreased by 631.4 billion yuan, of which short-term loans decreased by 694.2 billion yuan and medium- and long-term loans increased by 62.8 billion yuan; loans to enterprises and institutions increased by 9.63 trillion yuan, of which short-term loans increased by 3.77 trillion yuan, medium- and long-term loans increased by 4.99 trillion yuan, and bill financing increased by 699.9 billion yuan; loans to non-bank financial institutions decreased by 279.7 billion yuan. At the end of May, the outstanding balance of foreign currency loans was 553.2 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%. Foreign currency loans increased by 8.2 billion US dollars in the first five months.June 12th - At the end of May, the balance of domestic and foreign currency deposits reached 352.38 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%. The balance of RMB deposits at the end of May was 344.45 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%. In the first five months, RMB deposits increased by 15.77 trillion yuan. Among them, household deposits increased by 5.63 trillion yuan, non-financial enterprise deposits increased by 1.26 trillion yuan, fiscal deposits increased by 1.91 trillion yuan, and deposits of non-bank financial institutions increased by 5.64 trillion yuan. At the end of May, the balance of foreign currency deposits reached 1.16 trillion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 17.5%. In the first five months, foreign currency deposits increased by 103.2 billion US dollars.June 12th - Preliminary statistics show that the total social financing scale for the first five months of 2026 reached 17.48 trillion yuan, 1.16 trillion yuan less than the same period last year. Specifically, RMB loans to the real economy increased by 9 trillion yuan, 1.38 trillion yuan less than the same period last year; foreign currency loans to the real economy increased by 115.3 billion yuan (equivalent to RMB), 211.6 billion yuan more than the same period last year; entrusted loans decreased by 103.1 billion yuan, 91.8 billion yuan more than the same period last year; trust loans increased by 5.7 billion yuan, 57 billion yuan less than the same period last year; undiscounted bank acceptance bills decreased by 17.2 billion yuan, 151.4 billion yuan more than the same period last year; net financing of corporate bonds reached 1.67 trillion yuan, 757.7 billion yuan more than the same period last year; net financing of government bonds reached 5.67 trillion yuan, 634 billion yuan less than the same period last year; and domestic equity financing of non-financial enterprises reached 230.5 billion yuan, 79.9 billion yuan more than the same period last year.June 12th - Preliminary statistics show that as of the end of May 2026, the outstanding amount of total social financing was 458.81 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%. Specifically, outstanding RMB loans to the real economy totaled 277.4 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.5%; outstanding foreign currency loans to the real economy (converted to RMB) totaled 1.14 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.3%; outstanding entrusted loans totaled 11.22 trillion yuan, unchanged year-on-year; outstanding trust loans totaled 4.67 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%; outstanding undiscounted bank acceptance bills totaled 2.13 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.2%; outstanding corporate bonds totaled 35.69 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.4%; outstanding government bonds totaled 100.6 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.1%; and outstanding domestic shares of non-financial enterprises totaled 12.43 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%.

Before the US NFP, the USD/JPY is likely to decrease to roughly 132.00

Alina Haynes

Aug 05, 2022 14:49

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The difficulties that the USD/JPY pair met around 133.00 during the Asian session are now in full force. As investors predict a disappointing result from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, the asset has printed a low of 132.77 and is projected to decrease further to about 132.00.

 

JP Morgan experts projected that the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will be poorer than expected at 200K in the July labor market statistics, compared to the consensus expectation of 250k jobs gained in the month. The US economy produced 372k new jobs in the labor market in June. The labor market is under great pressure as a result of data showing a continued fall in job creation. The unemployment rate, though, will be constant at 3.6 percent.

 

Increased labor market dangers are a result of rising interest rates and their compounding impacts. Due to pricey dollars, business players are unable to invest without reluctance. Low investment possibilities cannot thus speed the process of creating jobs.

 

Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' enhanced interest rate ambitions, the US dollar index (DXY) has thrown up the support of 106.00. According to Cleveland Fed President Loretta J. Mester, ending the policy tightening program without detecting a decline in the inflation rate for several months is not conceivable at interest rates above 4 percent .

 

Tokyo's entire household expenditure has dramatically climbed from the previous report of -0.5 percent and the predictions of 1.5 percent to 3.5 percent. As an inflation indicator, the economic data may aid the yen bulls. The economic data have greatly improved, which means that the inflation rate may climb much further. The findings may, however, be largely impacted by growing energy expenditures. However, a hike in the labor cost index is shortly to come in order to keep the inflation rate over 2 percent.