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On September 3, according to Axios, US Presidential Envoy Steve Vitkov met with UAE National Security Advisor Al Nahyan in Sardinia over the weekend to discuss the next steps in the Iran situation. Two sources familiar with the matter said the meeting, which was not announced by the White House, occurred amid the Trump administrations push to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and increase economic pressure on Iran. This comes after the UAE decided to suspend trade, business, and financial transactions with Iran. Bilateral trade between the two countries is projected to reach $28 billion by 2024, and the UAE, particularly Dubai, has historically been a crucial trade and transshipment hub for Iran. Sources said an Iranian delegation visited Abu Dhabi on August 11, hoping to ease tensions and improve bilateral relations, requesting UAE assistance in obtaining food and medicine and requesting non-compliance with US sanctions, but this was refused. Subsequently, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard intensified attacks on UAE National Oil Company tankers attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, prompting the UAE to suspend related business activities. The US government is currently establishing an interagency task force to coordinate the implementation of economic pressure on Iran.September 3 – According to the Wall Street Journal, new details of the civilian nuclear program agreement reached between the Trump administration and Saudi Arabia are drawing criticism, with some arguing that the landmark agreement falls short in preventing nuclear proliferation risks. Last week, the text of the agreement, along with a series of related documents, was submitted to US lawmakers. The documents outline a roadmap showing that, following further consultations, Saudi Arabia may enrich uranium on its territory to a level potentially approaching 20%. This enrichment level might be sufficient for small, modular civilian reactors, but it would also increase the risk of nuclear materials being diverted for military use. Scott Rock, a former US Department of Energy official and vice president of the nonprofit security organization Nuclear Threat Initiative, stated, “From a civilian perspective, this certainly makes sense. However, once that enrichment level is reached, it means that a large part of the work needed to produce weapons-grade materials has already been done.”According to Axios: Sources familiar with the matter revealed that U.S. Middle East envoy Witkov met with the UAEs national security advisor over the weekend to discuss next steps regarding Iran.Broadcom (AVGO.O) CEO: We believe we will deliver approximately $350 billion worth of AI semiconductors to these customers over the next two years.Broadcom (AVGO.O) CEO: The company expects to maintain its operating profit margin even if changes in product mix lead to a decline in gross margin.

Before the US NFP, the USD/JPY is likely to decrease to roughly 132.00

Alina Haynes

Aug 05, 2022 14:49

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The difficulties that the USD/JPY pair met around 133.00 during the Asian session are now in full force. As investors predict a disappointing result from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, the asset has printed a low of 132.77 and is projected to decrease further to about 132.00.

 

JP Morgan experts projected that the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will be poorer than expected at 200K in the July labor market statistics, compared to the consensus expectation of 250k jobs gained in the month. The US economy produced 372k new jobs in the labor market in June. The labor market is under great pressure as a result of data showing a continued fall in job creation. The unemployment rate, though, will be constant at 3.6 percent.

 

Increased labor market dangers are a result of rising interest rates and their compounding impacts. Due to pricey dollars, business players are unable to invest without reluctance. Low investment possibilities cannot thus speed the process of creating jobs.

 

Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' enhanced interest rate ambitions, the US dollar index (DXY) has thrown up the support of 106.00. According to Cleveland Fed President Loretta J. Mester, ending the policy tightening program without detecting a decline in the inflation rate for several months is not conceivable at interest rates above 4 percent .

 

Tokyo's entire household expenditure has dramatically climbed from the previous report of -0.5 percent and the predictions of 1.5 percent to 3.5 percent. As an inflation indicator, the economic data may aid the yen bulls. The economic data have greatly improved, which means that the inflation rate may climb much further. The findings may, however, be largely impacted by growing energy expenditures. However, a hike in the labor cost index is shortly to come in order to keep the inflation rate over 2 percent.