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On April 12, local time, the third round of talks between Iran and the United States in Islamabad concluded. Iran described this round as the "last chance" to reach a framework agreement. Since April 11, the two sides had a busy schedule, consulting late into the night, with all parties vying for the temporary ceasefire window and intensifying their maneuvering. However, sharp differences remained on three core issues: control of the Strait of Hormuz, unfreezing overseas assets, and uranium enrichment. Outside the negotiating table, the US military announced mine-clearing operations in the Strait of Hormuz, while the Israeli Prime Minister declared that he would continue to strike Iran and its proxies. With the ceasefire window closing, diplomatic maneuvering and military actions are escalating simultaneously, and the situation in the Middle East is at a crossroads between war and peace.April 12 - According to a statement released by the Iranian government early this morning (April 12) via social media, negotiations with the United States will continue despite some remaining differences. Iranian state television reported that the third round of talks between Iran and the United States concluded earlier, with expert teams from both sides attending and exchanging texts again.Iranian government: Despite some remaining differences, negotiations will continue.According to Iranian state television, Iranian and US delegations are exchanging negotiating texts.April 12th - According to a report by a journalist from the Italian newspaper *La Repubblica*, as of 01:57 Islamabad time (04:57 Beijing time), US-Iran negotiations were still ongoing. The two sides had been staying in the same room at the Serena Hotel for nearly 10 hours, with several breaks (including dinner). Both sides are strongly determined to reach an agreement. A framework has been established covering regional security, humanitarian reconstruction (encompassing various aspects), and the freezing of funds. The sticking point is the Strait of Hormuz. This is precisely where other regional and global players could play a decisive role.

Before the US NFP, the USD/JPY is likely to decrease to roughly 132.00

Alina Haynes

Aug 05, 2022 14:49

截屏2022-08-05 上午9.50.18.png 

 

The difficulties that the USD/JPY pair met around 133.00 during the Asian session are now in full force. As investors predict a disappointing result from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, the asset has printed a low of 132.77 and is projected to decrease further to about 132.00.

 

JP Morgan experts projected that the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will be poorer than expected at 200K in the July labor market statistics, compared to the consensus expectation of 250k jobs gained in the month. The US economy produced 372k new jobs in the labor market in June. The labor market is under great pressure as a result of data showing a continued fall in job creation. The unemployment rate, though, will be constant at 3.6 percent.

 

Increased labor market dangers are a result of rising interest rates and their compounding impacts. Due to pricey dollars, business players are unable to invest without reluctance. Low investment possibilities cannot thus speed the process of creating jobs.

 

Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' enhanced interest rate ambitions, the US dollar index (DXY) has thrown up the support of 106.00. According to Cleveland Fed President Loretta J. Mester, ending the policy tightening program without detecting a decline in the inflation rate for several months is not conceivable at interest rates above 4 percent .

 

Tokyo's entire household expenditure has dramatically climbed from the previous report of -0.5 percent and the predictions of 1.5 percent to 3.5 percent. As an inflation indicator, the economic data may aid the yen bulls. The economic data have greatly improved, which means that the inflation rate may climb much further. The findings may, however, be largely impacted by growing energy expenditures. However, a hike in the labor cost index is shortly to come in order to keep the inflation rate over 2 percent.


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