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August 22nd - Analysts say US President Trump is attempting to achieve what tens of thousands of bombs and missiles failed to do: force Iran to end the war according to US conditions by imposing a new round of sanctions, a naval blockade, and increased economic pressure on Irans trading partners. However, this old approach of "forcing Iran to submit" has a fatal flaw: Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has effectively controlled the Strait of Hormuz and has repeatedly launched large numbers of attack drones towards the Persian Gulf. The Revolutionary Guard is largely immune to economic pressure and has ample means of retaliation. A key turning point in this round of US action is Monday, when Treasury Secretary Bessant will announce details of a new plan. This plan aims to shift the conflict from mutual airstrikes in the Middle East to comprehensive economic isolation. However, if the new economic pressure proves effective, Iran is likely to retaliate with military strikes, targeting energy facilities along the Persian Gulf coast, attempting to drive up oil prices, increase the cost of US action, and force Trump to change course again.According to Fox News, U.S. Trade Representative Greer stated that there are no plans for new negotiations with Canada.Ukrainian President Zelenskyy: He discussed the air defense shortage with French President Macron, and Macron agreed to expedite the delivery of the latest French equipment.Syrian Foreign Ministry: Israel’s continued attacks have exacerbated tensions and instability.The Syrian Foreign Ministry stated that Israels attack on Beitkin, a suburb of Damascus, constituted a violation of national sovereignty.

Before the US NFP, the USD/JPY is likely to decrease to roughly 132.00

Alina Haynes

Aug 05, 2022 14:49

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The difficulties that the USD/JPY pair met around 133.00 during the Asian session are now in full force. As investors predict a disappointing result from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, the asset has printed a low of 132.77 and is projected to decrease further to about 132.00.

 

JP Morgan experts projected that the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will be poorer than expected at 200K in the July labor market statistics, compared to the consensus expectation of 250k jobs gained in the month. The US economy produced 372k new jobs in the labor market in June. The labor market is under great pressure as a result of data showing a continued fall in job creation. The unemployment rate, though, will be constant at 3.6 percent.

 

Increased labor market dangers are a result of rising interest rates and their compounding impacts. Due to pricey dollars, business players are unable to invest without reluctance. Low investment possibilities cannot thus speed the process of creating jobs.

 

Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' enhanced interest rate ambitions, the US dollar index (DXY) has thrown up the support of 106.00. According to Cleveland Fed President Loretta J. Mester, ending the policy tightening program without detecting a decline in the inflation rate for several months is not conceivable at interest rates above 4 percent .

 

Tokyo's entire household expenditure has dramatically climbed from the previous report of -0.5 percent and the predictions of 1.5 percent to 3.5 percent. As an inflation indicator, the economic data may aid the yen bulls. The economic data have greatly improved, which means that the inflation rate may climb much further. The findings may, however, be largely impacted by growing energy expenditures. However, a hike in the labor cost index is shortly to come in order to keep the inflation rate over 2 percent.