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On August 18th, Ashley Webb, Chief UK Economist at Capital Economics, stated that the rise in the UK unemployment rate in June indicates continued weakness in the labor market, supporting the view that the labor market will not contribute to a second round of inflation, and that the Bank of England will not raise interest rates further from 3.75%. The UK unemployment rate rose from 4.8% in the three months to May to 4.9% in the three months to June, while the monthly unemployment rate rose from 4.6% to 5.4%. Webb stated that all of these figures paint a picture of a weak labor market, and that the labor market continues to cool.At midday closing, most domestic futures contracts rose, with SC crude oil up nearly 6%, fuel oil up over 5%, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) up nearly 5%, ethylene glycol (EG) up over 4%, and low-sulfur fuel oil (LU), synthetic rubber, and benzene up over 3%. On the downside, polysilicon fell over 4%, eggs, tin, and international copper fell over 1%, and copper and red dates fell nearly 1%.Iranian Revolutionary Guard Deputy Commander-in-Chief Izadi: The enemy has failed to destroy Irans defense capabilities and nuclear industry.On August 18th, Republican Rob Arlett stated that while Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu share the same ultimate goal in Gaza, they have significant differences in specific tactics for achieving it. Both leaders agree that Hamas cannot be held responsible for the security, military, or even political affairs of the Gaza Strip, but their disagreement lies in the order of steps. The problem is that Trump believes a phased approach is necessary, gradually de-escalating the situation and disarming, while Netanyahu disagrees, wanting Hamas to completely disarm before Israel takes action. Trumps position is partly driven by considerations of his political legacy. He not only wants a peace agreement in Gaza but also agreements on Iran and other issues. He wants to be remembered as a "peace president." Domestic politics further complicate the positions of both leaders, with Israel facing elections and the US facing midterm elections. However, Netanyahu understands that Trump "holds the initiative" in this relationship.Market news: Japan is considering providing support for tanker reinsurance.

Before the US NFP, the USD/JPY is likely to decrease to roughly 132.00

Alina Haynes

Aug 05, 2022 14:49

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The difficulties that the USD/JPY pair met around 133.00 during the Asian session are now in full force. As investors predict a disappointing result from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, the asset has printed a low of 132.77 and is projected to decrease further to about 132.00.

 

JP Morgan experts projected that the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will be poorer than expected at 200K in the July labor market statistics, compared to the consensus expectation of 250k jobs gained in the month. The US economy produced 372k new jobs in the labor market in June. The labor market is under great pressure as a result of data showing a continued fall in job creation. The unemployment rate, though, will be constant at 3.6 percent.

 

Increased labor market dangers are a result of rising interest rates and their compounding impacts. Due to pricey dollars, business players are unable to invest without reluctance. Low investment possibilities cannot thus speed the process of creating jobs.

 

Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' enhanced interest rate ambitions, the US dollar index (DXY) has thrown up the support of 106.00. According to Cleveland Fed President Loretta J. Mester, ending the policy tightening program without detecting a decline in the inflation rate for several months is not conceivable at interest rates above 4 percent .

 

Tokyo's entire household expenditure has dramatically climbed from the previous report of -0.5 percent and the predictions of 1.5 percent to 3.5 percent. As an inflation indicator, the economic data may aid the yen bulls. The economic data have greatly improved, which means that the inflation rate may climb much further. The findings may, however, be largely impacted by growing energy expenditures. However, a hike in the labor cost index is shortly to come in order to keep the inflation rate over 2 percent.