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According to TASS, Russia is considering a short-term ban on diesel exports lasting several months.The yield on German two-year government bonds fell to a seven-week low of 2.508% after the release of the European Central Banks consumer expectations survey, down 3 basis points on the day.On June 26th, Fitch Ratings BMI Commodities Research division remained bullish on gold, maintaining its 2026 average gold price forecast of $4,600 per ounce. The firm also believes the Federal Reserve will not make any moves on interest rates this year. As noted last week, the Feds hawkish tone has fueled expectations of rate hikes, posing a significant downside risk to gold. However, as long as inflationary pressures related to the Middle East conflict materialize as expected, and with the recent US-Iran agreement beginning to subside, the most likely outcome is that interest rates will remain unchanged for an extended period. Short-term gold price movements may be driven by Fed policy signals, and precious metals are susceptible to market expectation repricing and a renewed strengthening of the US dollar in the short term.June 26th - A survey released by the European Central Bank (ECB) on Friday showed that eurozone consumers lowered their inflation expectations for the next year in May, while long-term expectations remained stable. This indicates that the ECB is not facing pressure to raise interest rates again quickly. Some ECB policymakers said that further tightening of monetary policy is still needed to curb inflation expectations, but there is still considerable disagreement within the ECB regarding the timing of the next move. The ECB consumer expectations survey showed that consumers expectations for inflation over the next year fell from 4.0% in April to 3.5% in May; their expectations for inflation over the next three and five years remained unchanged at 2.9% and 2.4%, respectively. Based on a survey of approximately 19,000 adults in 11 eurozone countries, the ECB stated: "Uncertainty about inflation expectations over the next 12 months has decreased, but remains higher than before the outbreak of the Middle East wars." As in the past, lower-income groups reported higher current inflation perceptions and expectations than other groups, while younger people reported relatively lower inflation perceptions and expectations. Financial markets currently expect the ECB to raise interest rates one or two more times, with the next rate hike not being fully priced in by the market until the fall.On June 26th, Wang Shuo, Director of the Wuhan Municipal Bureau of Data, revealed the above information at a press conference on the theme of "Activating the Value of Data Elements." He also stated that Wuhan will plan 100 data circulation and utilization scenarios around the "965" industrial system. "The upcoming new version of the computing power voucher policy will have a scale of 100 million yuan, and universities, research institutes, enterprises, and individual entrepreneurs residing in the OPC community can all apply," Wang Shuo said. He added that the simultaneously upgraded Wuhan computing power public service platform will enable tokenized services, striving to allow more individuals and enterprises to use computing power as easily as water and electricity.

Before the US NFP, the USD/JPY is likely to decrease to roughly 132.00

Alina Haynes

Aug 05, 2022 14:49

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The difficulties that the USD/JPY pair met around 133.00 during the Asian session are now in full force. As investors predict a disappointing result from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, the asset has printed a low of 132.77 and is projected to decrease further to about 132.00.

 

JP Morgan experts projected that the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will be poorer than expected at 200K in the July labor market statistics, compared to the consensus expectation of 250k jobs gained in the month. The US economy produced 372k new jobs in the labor market in June. The labor market is under great pressure as a result of data showing a continued fall in job creation. The unemployment rate, though, will be constant at 3.6 percent.

 

Increased labor market dangers are a result of rising interest rates and their compounding impacts. Due to pricey dollars, business players are unable to invest without reluctance. Low investment possibilities cannot thus speed the process of creating jobs.

 

Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' enhanced interest rate ambitions, the US dollar index (DXY) has thrown up the support of 106.00. According to Cleveland Fed President Loretta J. Mester, ending the policy tightening program without detecting a decline in the inflation rate for several months is not conceivable at interest rates above 4 percent .

 

Tokyo's entire household expenditure has dramatically climbed from the previous report of -0.5 percent and the predictions of 1.5 percent to 3.5 percent. As an inflation indicator, the economic data may aid the yen bulls. The economic data have greatly improved, which means that the inflation rate may climb much further. The findings may, however, be largely impacted by growing energy expenditures. However, a hike in the labor cost index is shortly to come in order to keep the inflation rate over 2 percent.