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On May 26th, Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino emphasized that timely policy adjustments are crucial to maintaining market confidence amid the recent sell-off in Japanese government bonds. Himino stated on Tuesday, "Regarding monetary policy and long-term interest rates, we believe it is very important to maintain market confidence that inflation will be properly controlled by adjusting the degree of monetary easing at an appropriate pace in response to future economic, price, and financial conditions." This statement seems to suggest that the Bank of Japan is open to raising interest rates in the near future. Himino, along with other Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and other officials, have recently emphasized the need for a responsible attitude towards financial markets, and the market widely expects the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates at its meeting next month. Meanwhile, Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi subtly signaled last week her desire for the Bank of Japan to maintain policy stability as she attempts to mitigate the economic impact of the war with Iran. Himino stated, "The Bank of Japan will strive to implement policies appropriately to maintain this market confidence and achieve its price stability objective in a sustainable and stable manner."On May 26th, at 10:00 AM, the Guangzhou Municipal Peoples Government Information Office held its 19th press conference of 2026 in the Guangzhou Municipal Press Conference Hall. Feng Wei, Party Secretary and Director of the Guangzhou Housing Provident Fund Management Center, explained the relaxed policy on commercial-to-provident-fund loan conversion. Feng Wei stated that the revision of the "commercial-to-provident-fund conversion" policy systematically expands the scope of beneficiaries and lowers the threshold for loan conversion. Previously, applications for commercial-to-provident-fund conversion could only be made through the provident funds entrusted bank. After the revision, commercial loans from non-provident-fund entrusted banks, if meeting the conditions, can also be converted into provident fund loans. The calculation ratio for the loanable amount in commercial-to-provident-fund conversion has increased from 70% to 80%, further increasing support for existing commercial loans and striving to reduce the loan interest burden on contributors.The Indonesian rupiah continued its decline against the US dollar, hitting a record low of 17,785.On May 26th, Guangzhou held a press conference to announce a series of supporting documents for the "Implementation Opinions on Further Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market." Qian Zhe, Deputy Secretary of the Party Committee and General Manager of Guangzhou Anju Group, introduced that to support residents in improving their housing conditions and facilitate the exchange of new and used housing, Anju Group will immediately launch a pilot program to support residents in "selling old homes and buying new ones." The pilot program will run until December 31, 2026, and will acquire second-hand residential properties through market-oriented methods, adhering to the principles of "government guidance, market operation, and voluntary participation." The pilot program targets second-hand residential properties with a total price of less than 3 million RMB, a building area of less than 70 square meters, located within the Guangzhou Ring Expressway, with no age limit on the buildings. The acquired properties will be prioritized for use in affordable housing, talent apartments, and other purposes, primarily serving the housing needs of new urban residents, young people, and residents relocating from urban renewal projects.On May 26, it was reported that on May 25, the Party Committee of the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council (SASAC) held an enlarged meeting and a collective study session of the Party Committees theoretical learning center group. The meeting emphasized that state-owned enterprises should continue to improve the institutional mechanisms for carrying out statistical work in a standardized manner, further tighten and implement the responsibility for preventing and combating statistical fraud, and hold those responsible for statistical fraud accountable. It stressed the need to firmly safeguard the lifeline of statistical data quality, effectively prevent and rectify the problem of false financial and accounting information, and strictly prevent and crack down on financial fraud. It also emphasized the need to establish and improve a comprehensive, full-process, and all-element penetrating supervision mechanism to achieve real-time monitoring and dynamic early warning of data from central enterprises.

Before the US NFP, the USD/JPY is likely to decrease to roughly 132.00

Alina Haynes

Aug 05, 2022 14:49

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The difficulties that the USD/JPY pair met around 133.00 during the Asian session are now in full force. As investors predict a disappointing result from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, the asset has printed a low of 132.77 and is projected to decrease further to about 132.00.

 

JP Morgan experts projected that the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will be poorer than expected at 200K in the July labor market statistics, compared to the consensus expectation of 250k jobs gained in the month. The US economy produced 372k new jobs in the labor market in June. The labor market is under great pressure as a result of data showing a continued fall in job creation. The unemployment rate, though, will be constant at 3.6 percent.

 

Increased labor market dangers are a result of rising interest rates and their compounding impacts. Due to pricey dollars, business players are unable to invest without reluctance. Low investment possibilities cannot thus speed the process of creating jobs.

 

Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' enhanced interest rate ambitions, the US dollar index (DXY) has thrown up the support of 106.00. According to Cleveland Fed President Loretta J. Mester, ending the policy tightening program without detecting a decline in the inflation rate for several months is not conceivable at interest rates above 4 percent .

 

Tokyo's entire household expenditure has dramatically climbed from the previous report of -0.5 percent and the predictions of 1.5 percent to 3.5 percent. As an inflation indicator, the economic data may aid the yen bulls. The economic data have greatly improved, which means that the inflation rate may climb much further. The findings may, however, be largely impacted by growing energy expenditures. However, a hike in the labor cost index is shortly to come in order to keep the inflation rate over 2 percent.