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On January 19th, according to foreign media reports, international crude oil futures fell as the possibility of a US attack on Iran leading to supply disruptions decreased, while the market closely watched the US tariff threats over Greenland. As of 21:58 Beijing time, the March Brent crude oil futures contract fell $0.37, or 0.58%, to $63.76 per barrel. The US crude oil futures contract fell $0.28, or 0.47%, to $59.16 per barrel. Rystad analyst Janiv Shah said, "With the rumors of a US attack fading over the past few days, the market is now focused on the situation in Greenland and the extent of the potential serious consequences between the US and Europe, as any escalation of the trade war could impact demand." PVM Oil Associates analyst John Evans said the market also faces the risk of damage to Russian infrastructure and distillate supplies, as forecasts of colder weather in North America and Europe, coupled with concerns about Iran, are making the market uneasy.The Syrian Democratic Forces, led by the Kurds, say that the Shadadi prison is currently outside their control.Indian Foreign Secretary: India and Afghanistan aim to double bilateral trade to $200 billion by 2032.According to Reuters calculations, Russias oil and gas revenues are expected to fall to 420 billion rubles in January due to weak oil prices and a stronger ruble.French Finance Minister: The best way to prevent the threat from becoming a reality is to demonstrate that the EU is prepared to respond strongly.

0.8450 is being reached by EUR/GBP as the prospect of a UK recession looms

Daniel Rogers

Aug 05, 2022 14:46

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Following a huge upward rise from 0.8360 on Thursday, the EUR/GBP pair has subsequently turned sideways around 0.8430 in the Tokyo session. After the Bank of England (BOE) hiked interest rates by 50 basis points, the cross displayed a significant upward rise (bps) (bps). The BOE lifted interest rates by 50 basis points in succession, bringing them to 1.75 percent.

 

The investing community is aware that UK household earnings have been unsteady during the preceding few months. In addition, the economy's inflation rate is fast expanding. The inflation rate was 9.4 percent prior. The recent statement by BOE Governor Andrew Bailey that price increases might exceed 13 percent has sent shockwaves across the market.

 

The runaway inflation is now escalating, leaving the BOE with very little flexibility to tighten its monetary policy. The BOE is in poor shape as a result of the dismal economic data and the continuing political upheaval following the departure of UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson. A recession in the UK economy is extremely probable in the case that the inflation rate is close to 13 percent.

 

German manufacturing order numbers for the Eurozone have decreased by 0.4 percent against an anticipated 0.8 percent decline and a prior monthly contraction of 0.2 percent. Falling orders from factories indicate sluggish demand in Germany as a whole. It is vital to remember that Germany is a key element of the European Union (EU), and that economic data from Germany has a huge effect on people who favor the common currency.


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