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On September 20, the Peoples Bank of China announced that it would keep the one-year and five-year loan prime rates (LPR) unchanged at 3% and 3.5%, respectively.On September 20, the U.S. embassies in Bahrain, Oman, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Jordan, Israel, Lebanon, and Iraq issued security alerts stating that given the tense situation in the Middle East, the current security environment remains complex, with unforeseen escalation risks. U.S. citizens currently in the Middle East should remain highly vigilant and be aware of potential flight cancellations, airspace closures, and travel disruptions. U.S. citizens outside the Middle East should seriously reconsider their travel plans to or transit through the region. The security alerts all mention the recent conflict between the Houthi rebels in Yemen and Saudi Arabia, stating that this military conflict has the potential to escalate rapidly, and U.S. citizens traveling to or from the region should closely monitor the latest information regarding airport and airline operations.On September 20th, Acer Chairman Chen Chun-sheng stated on the 19th that while the supply of storage and CPUs is tight for a few specifications, the shortage of other specifications is easing. However, due to the high and volatile prices of components, it is estimated that the prices of terminal PC products will continue to rise in the fourth quarter of this year, with an average increase of 5-20%. Prices are not expected to reverse until the second half of 2027.On September 20th, it was reported that on the 18th, Spanish government sources estimated that, based on information provided by national security forces deployed in Ceuta, approximately 10,000 migrants remain stranded in Ceuta. Some are housed in government-established facilities, while others are displaced and forced to live in makeshift tents in mountainous areas and beaches. The Ceuta local government estimates that approximately 13,000 migrants remain in the area. In late July, a large influx of migrants from Morocco into the Spanish enclave of Ceuta triggered Spains worst border migration crisis in recent years.On September 20th, the Gaza Strip health department and Shifa Hospital stated that on September 19th, local time, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) conducted airstrikes on areas surrounding Gaza City and the Jabaliya refugee camp in northern Gaza, resulting in the deaths of two Palestinians. As of now, the IDF has not responded to this report.

Despite the Bank of England's less hawkish forecasts, GBP/USD is expected to rise beyond 1.2170

Daniel Rogers

Aug 04, 2022 11:52

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The GBP/USD pair has showed a modest retreat after failing to reclaim the 1.2170 resistance level. As the US dollar index (DXY) is projected to extend losses below 106.30, the upside stays favored. After a good fall to the round-number support around 1.2100, the asset has resumed its general uptrend.

 

As investors await the Bank of England's monetary policy decision, the cable might exhibit some volatility in the near future (BOE). In consideration of market expectations, BOE Governor Andrew Bailey will raise interest rates to 1.75 percent as a second successive 50 basis point (bps) increase is anticipated.

 

No one could dispute the reality that households in the United Kingdom are suffering tremendous pricing pressures. The inflation rate has risen to 9.4 percent, and there have been no indicators of a peak as of yet. The rate of inflation might reach double digits if the rate of price growth continues to accelerate, and families will be forced to pay more for identical quantities.

 

Well, a 50 basis point rate boost is insufficient to battle the inflation monster. However, dismal growth estimates and a decrease in the Labor Cost Index prevent the BOE from sounding excessively hawkish.

 

On the dollar front, the US dollar index (DXY) is experiencing uncertain movement as the visit to Taiwan by US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has exacerbated protracted Sino-US tensions. The United States has held the global leadership position for a considerable amount of time, and China is keen to take over. Therefore, the United States' backing for Taiwan, a country with enormous technical potential, has exacerbated tensions between the United States and China.