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The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that it had attacked infrastructure at the port of Mykolaiv in Ukraine and targeted two cargo ships carrying supplies to the Ukrainian Armed Forces, as well as a tugboat used to deploy underwater drones.August 2nd - The China Earthquake Networks Center officially measured a 4.8-magnitude earthquake at 22:31 on August 2nd in Xinghai County, Hainan Prefecture, Qinghai Province (35.34 degrees north latitude, 99.50 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.August 2nd - Data shows that in July, Shanghai saw 2,796 transactions of commercial residential properties (excluding affordable housing), with new residential prices rising 0.96% month-on-month, ranking first in the country. Shanghais land auction market has also maintained high activity this year, with four plots seeing premium rates exceeding 35%. Industry insiders say that the high premiums for core plots highlight the long-term value of Shanghais core areas, and the hot land market is expected to further boost homebuyers confidence. In July, Shenzhens housing market also continued its active spring trend. Data from the Shenzhen Municipal Housing and Construction Bureau shows that in July, Shenzhens new commercial residential property sales reached 3,529 units, a year-on-year increase of 32.7%; second-hand residential property sales reached 4,795 units, a year-on-year increase of 3%, accounting for about 60% of total commercial residential property transactions. From January to July this year, nearly 6,978 new and second-hand commercial apartments were sold in the city, a year-on-year increase of 60.6%.1. Monday: ① Data: Chinas July RatingDog Manufacturing PMI; Switzerlands July CPI (MoM); Frances July Manufacturing PMI (Final); Germanys July Manufacturing PMI (Final); Eurozones July Manufacturing PMI (Final); UKs July Manufacturing PMI (Final); US July S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Final); US July ISM Manufacturing PMI; US June Construction Spending (MoM). ② Holiday: Toronto Stock Exchange closed. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: US June Trade Balance; US June JOLTs Job Openings; US June Factory Orders (MoM). ② Event: FMS 2026 Flash Memory Summit held August 4-6, attended by storage giants such as Samsung and SK. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API crude oil inventories for the week ending July 31; Chinas July RatingDog Services PMI; Frances June industrial production month-on-month; Frances July services PMI final reading; Germanys July services PMI final reading; Eurozones July services PMI final reading; UKs July services PMI final reading; Eurozones June PPI month-on-month; US July ADP employment change; US July S&P Global Services PMI final reading; US July ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI; US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending July 31; US EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week ending July 31; US EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserves for the week ending July 31. ② Events: Saudi Aramco releases its official crude oil prices around the 5th of each month. ③ Earnings Reports: AMD, SpaceX (Tuesday after US stock market close). 4. 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Sunday: ① Data: Chinas July CPI year-on-year rate.On August 2nd, Abdullah Bandar al-Etabi, Assistant Professor of International Affairs at Qatar University, stated that it is too early to judge the direction of the situation following Trumps latest statement regarding Iran. In this game, neither side has shown any sign of backing down on their respective positions. Taking the Strait of Hormuz as an example, Iran has not softened its stance, and the threat of a wider conflict remains. However, the latest developments have bought more time for diplomacy. There is now more time for Iran to cooperate with regional countries to reach some kind of arrangement on the Strait of Hormuz issue and get diplomacy back on track.

Despite the Bank of England's less hawkish forecasts, GBP/USD is expected to rise beyond 1.2170

Daniel Rogers

Aug 04, 2022 11:52

截屏2022-08-04 上午11.47.01.png 

 

The GBP/USD pair has showed a modest retreat after failing to reclaim the 1.2170 resistance level. As the US dollar index (DXY) is projected to extend losses below 106.30, the upside stays favored. After a good fall to the round-number support around 1.2100, the asset has resumed its general uptrend.

 

As investors await the Bank of England's monetary policy decision, the cable might exhibit some volatility in the near future (BOE). In consideration of market expectations, BOE Governor Andrew Bailey will raise interest rates to 1.75 percent as a second successive 50 basis point (bps) increase is anticipated.

 

No one could dispute the reality that households in the United Kingdom are suffering tremendous pricing pressures. The inflation rate has risen to 9.4 percent, and there have been no indicators of a peak as of yet. The rate of inflation might reach double digits if the rate of price growth continues to accelerate, and families will be forced to pay more for identical quantities.

 

Well, a 50 basis point rate boost is insufficient to battle the inflation monster. However, dismal growth estimates and a decrease in the Labor Cost Index prevent the BOE from sounding excessively hawkish.

 

On the dollar front, the US dollar index (DXY) is experiencing uncertain movement as the visit to Taiwan by US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has exacerbated protracted Sino-US tensions. The United States has held the global leadership position for a considerable amount of time, and China is keen to take over. Therefore, the United States' backing for Taiwan, a country with enormous technical potential, has exacerbated tensions between the United States and China.