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This personnel change is closely watched amid heightened uncertainty about the current economic outlook. The appointment comes at a crucial time for the RBA, which has become the first major central bank globally to raise interest rates this year due to persistently strong inflation. This week, Governor Bullock and his deputy Hauser have both expressed a hawkish stance on inflation on various occasions, stating that further policy tightening may be necessary if price pressures prove to be deeply entrenched. For global investors, the addition of a senior academic with experience in central banks and the Treasury signals continuity in technocratic decision-making as Australia navigates external risks from weak productivity, a tight labor market, and broader geopolitical uncertainty.Conflict Situation: 1. Russia—① Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian forces launched a cluster attack on energy facilities used by the Ukrainian armed forces. 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The mayor of Kyiv stated that 2,600 more buildings in the city lost heating following the Russian attack. ② The Ukrainian military: Attacked the Lukoil oil refinery in the Komi region of Russia, as well as a factory in the Tambov region that produces high-tech aviation and missile equipment. ③ Ukrainian air defense forces: Russian forces launched intensive nighttime strikes on Thursday against major Ukrainian cities including Kyiv, Kharkiv, Odessa, and Dnipropetrov, damaging some residential buildings; most of the 24 ballistic missiles and 219 drones that attacked were intercepted. ④ Zelensky: Russia launched another large-scale attack on Ukraines energy sector. Last night, 24 ballistic missiles, 1 cruise missile, and more than 200 drones attacked, a significant number of which were successfully shot down. Other developments: 1. Kremlin: The next round of Russia-Ukraine peace talks is expected to be held soon. 2. 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As risk aversion grows as measured by the DXY and as attention turns to the US NFP, USD/CHF goes closer to 0.9600

Alina Haynes

Aug 03, 2022 14:51

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In reaction to the dismal market environment, the US dollar index (DXY) has gained, and the USD/CHF pair is swiftly approaching the key level of 0.9600. After defending Monday's low around 0.9480, the pair had a greater reverse on Tuesday, as the risk-aversion theme strengthened the attraction of the DXY.

 

Following US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's travel to Taiwan to support Taiwan's local government despite China's wishes, tensions between the US and China have increased. In reaction to the death threats made against Pelosi during her private travel to Taiwan, the US is anticipated to adopt sanctions against China, which encouraged the gloomy market sentiment.

 

In the meanwhile, the DXY has achieved a three-day high of 106.55, although the gain may wane ahead of Friday's US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. According to market expectations, the U.S. economy added 250,000 jobs to the labor force in July.

 

During a brief period, a number of significant IT companies in the United States abandoned the hiring process, resulting in payroll statistics that multiplied. If the same thing occurs, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be compelled to speak less about policy rates.

 

On the Swiss franc front, investors anticipate the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers. An early estimate of the annual inflation rate places it at 3.5%, little higher than the prior estimate of 3.4%. As a result, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will be compelled to boost interest rates.