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July 6th - The US ISM Services PMI report showed that economic activity in the service sector continued to expand in June. The services PMI registered 54, marking the 24th consecutive month in expansion territory. Miller, chairman of the ISM Services Business Survey Committee, stated that the June services PMI was 54, down 0.5 from 54.5 in May. The business activity index remained in expansion territory, down 2.3 from 57.7 in May to 55.4. The price index fell to 67.7 in June, down 3.6 from 71.3 in May, marking the first time it has fallen below 70 since February. This index has been above 60 for 19 consecutive months, with a 12-month average of 68. Diesel, gasoline, petroleum, and related commodities were again mentioned as the commodities with the largest price increases in June, but other respondents reported price declines. This may be due to differences in contract terms between different companies for these commodities. Some respondents reported lower prices for gasoline and diesel, but this was not a widespread phenomenon. We expect this situation to continue for several months as rising oil prices are transmitted to the supply chain, but assuming continued progress in oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz in the near term, it should ease in the fall.The U.S. ISM non-manufacturing supplier deliveries index for June was 54.4, compared to 55.2 in the previous month.The U.S. ISM non-manufacturing inventory index for June was 51.2, down from 62.5 in the previous month.The U.S. Conference Board Employment Trends Index for June was 106.69, compared to 107.01 in June.The U.S. ISM non-manufacturing new orders index was 55.1 in June, compared with 57.3 in the previous month.

As risk aversion grows as measured by the DXY and as attention turns to the US NFP, USD/CHF goes closer to 0.9600

Alina Haynes

Aug 03, 2022 14:51

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In reaction to the dismal market environment, the US dollar index (DXY) has gained, and the USD/CHF pair is swiftly approaching the key level of 0.9600. After defending Monday's low around 0.9480, the pair had a greater reverse on Tuesday, as the risk-aversion theme strengthened the attraction of the DXY.

 

Following US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's travel to Taiwan to support Taiwan's local government despite China's wishes, tensions between the US and China have increased. In reaction to the death threats made against Pelosi during her private travel to Taiwan, the US is anticipated to adopt sanctions against China, which encouraged the gloomy market sentiment.

 

In the meanwhile, the DXY has achieved a three-day high of 106.55, although the gain may wane ahead of Friday's US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. According to market expectations, the U.S. economy added 250,000 jobs to the labor force in July.

 

During a brief period, a number of significant IT companies in the United States abandoned the hiring process, resulting in payroll statistics that multiplied. If the same thing occurs, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be compelled to speak less about policy rates.

 

On the Swiss franc front, investors anticipate the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers. An early estimate of the annual inflation rate places it at 3.5%, little higher than the prior estimate of 3.4%. As a result, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will be compelled to boost interest rates.


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