EUR/USD
1.14639
0.005%
Gold
4296.57
0.766%
Oil
97.114
-0.375%
USD/JPY
155.808
-0.299%
GBP/USD
1.33811
0.010%
GBP/JPY
208.494
-0.288%
Real-time News
1. BNP Paribas: Expects the Bank of England to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in November, down from its previous forecast of a September hike. 2. Reuters: Economists unanimously predict the Bank of England will keep rates unchanged in September, with most believing a rate cut is more likely than a hike next year. 3. Evercore ISI: The UK market is clearly pricing in a divergence between policy expectations and market expectations. The market has already priced in approximately 4.5 rate hikes over the next year, but the Bank of England remains reluctant to raise rates. 4. Goldman Sachs: Market pricing in the Bank of England remains too hawkish. It expects the bank to keep rates unchanged for the remainder of 2026 before starting rate cuts in 2027. 5. Citigroup: Expects the Bank of England to raise rates by 25 basis points each in the fourth quarter of 2026 and the first quarter of 2027, down from its previous forecast of rates remaining unchanged until the second quarter of 2027. 6. Franklin Templeton: With a cooling labor market and a weakening economic outlook, UK government bonds are currently attractive, and future policy may be more accommodative than the market prices. 7. JPMorgan Chase: Expects to hold rates steady this week to avoid further reinforcing market expectations of a rapid tightening cycle, but a rate hike is anticipated in November, as energy price movements suggest inflation may peak at 3.9% by February next year. 8. HSBC: There is currently insufficient evidence to prompt members of the Monetary Policy Committee to change their voting intentions. Therefore, as things stand, the majority is expected to maintain the current rate. 9. ING: Expects the Bank of England to maintain the interest rate at 3.75% by a 6-3 vote on September 17th, with rate cuts in April and November next year, although these cuts may be delayed. The QT program is expected to decrease to £50 billion over the next 12 months, down from £70 billion last year. 10. Danske Bank: The baseline scenario remains unchanged until the second quarter of 2027, at which point a rate-cutting cycle will resume. The vote tonight is likely to be 6-3. However, if energy prices remain high and the economy remains resilient, the Bank of England may eventually raise rates even if inflation has not yet spread significantly. 11. Oxford Economics: Given the limited impact of the second round of inflation, there is room to maintain interest rates. Green, Pierre, and Mann are expected to continue supporting a rate hike, with the vote remaining 6-3. Despite soaring oil and gas prices, most members are likely to remain patient and maintain a hawkish stance rather than an immediate rate hike.The governor of Rostov Oblast, Russia, said that about 50 drones were shot down in the large-scale attack on Rostov by Ukraine.Volvo Cars: Plans to launch 13 new models between now and the end of 2030.Volvo Cars aims to achieve 30% parts commonality and reduce raw material costs by 5% by 2030.On September 17th, Goldman Sachs stated that gasoline prices are poised for further increases as tight supply conditions spread in the global fuel market. The bank has adjusted its trading strategy, shifting its focus from diesel to this widely used vehicle fuel. Analysts, including Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby and Daan Struyven, noted in a report: "The key reason behind this new recommendation is that refiners are shifting production from gasoline to diesel, leading to a rapid tightening of the gasoline market supply." In a report dated September 16th, analysts stated that while diesel prices may still rise further, gasoline currently offers "greater upside potential" due to factors such as more resilient demand and relative inventory changes. Therefore, the bank closed out previous positions on different diesel contract spreads (i.e., time spreads) and recommended establishing long positions in European gasoline targeting mid-2027.
