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Market news: A U.S. judge will hold a closed-door "settlement meeting" on Friday regarding the Trump tariff refund case, meeting with relevant parties.On March 6th, Nicholas Gwee, portfolio strategist at RBC Wealth Management, stated that Japan faces greater challenges than other countries in the region given the Middle East conflict, as Japan is a net importer of oil. He noted, "Over 90% of Japans imported crude oil comes from the Middle East, with over 60% transported through the Strait of Hormuz. Japan also relies on Middle Eastern supplies of liquefied natural gas and naphtha." Gwee stated that if the conflict continues, the sectors most affected include banking and financial services, aviation and transportation, shipping, energy-intensive manufacturing, refining and petrochemicals, as well as electronics and export-oriented industries. He added, "If the conflict drags on and restricts energy supplies, the Japanese stock market will continue to be under pressure."The Indian government has mandated that all refineries operating in India should maximize the production of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) from propane and butane fractions and supply it to IOCL, HPCL, and BPCL.On March 6th, Futures reported that gold prices rose and then fell this week. As of March 5th, the domestic 99.99% spot gold price was 1151.26 yuan/gram. The evolution of the Middle East geopolitical situation has a mixed impact on gold. Firstly, the escalating geopolitical fragmentation has led to a decrease in market risk appetite, supporting gold and thus driving up precious metal prices. Meanwhile, rising oil prices may lead to increased global energy costs, which in turn will push up inflation through the supply chain. Gold, due to its natural monetary characteristics, serves as a hedge against inflation and receives price support. Secondly, this event represents Trumps move to strengthen the dollars dominance in the global oil trade system, stimulating the US dollar index and indirectly putting downward pressure on gold prices. Looking ahead, the macroeconomic outlook remains mixed. It is recommended to pay attention to the power struggle between Trump and the Supreme Court over global tariffs and tariff refunds, US non-farm payroll and CPI data, and further developments in the Middle East geopolitical situation. Gold is expected to experience wide fluctuations in the short term.March 6th Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Gold prices recently rose intraday, attempting to escape the clearly oversold condition on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), especially with the emergence of positive overlapping signals, gold prices gained some upward momentum and recorded cautious gains. However, downward pressure remains due to trading consistently below the EMA50, hindering its short-term recovery and impacting its ability to break through the short-term upward trend line.

As risk aversion grows as measured by the DXY and as attention turns to the US NFP, USD/CHF goes closer to 0.9600

Alina Haynes

Aug 03, 2022 14:51

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In reaction to the dismal market environment, the US dollar index (DXY) has gained, and the USD/CHF pair is swiftly approaching the key level of 0.9600. After defending Monday's low around 0.9480, the pair had a greater reverse on Tuesday, as the risk-aversion theme strengthened the attraction of the DXY.

 

Following US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's travel to Taiwan to support Taiwan's local government despite China's wishes, tensions between the US and China have increased. In reaction to the death threats made against Pelosi during her private travel to Taiwan, the US is anticipated to adopt sanctions against China, which encouraged the gloomy market sentiment.

 

In the meanwhile, the DXY has achieved a three-day high of 106.55, although the gain may wane ahead of Friday's US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. According to market expectations, the U.S. economy added 250,000 jobs to the labor force in July.

 

During a brief period, a number of significant IT companies in the United States abandoned the hiring process, resulting in payroll statistics that multiplied. If the same thing occurs, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be compelled to speak less about policy rates.

 

On the Swiss franc front, investors anticipate the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers. An early estimate of the annual inflation rate places it at 3.5%, little higher than the prior estimate of 3.4%. As a result, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will be compelled to boost interest rates.