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On April 3, Iranian Ambassador to Egypt Mojtaba Ferdowsi Poul stated that if the United States decides to send troops to land on Iranian islands, it could lead to the Houthi rebels blocking the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Ferdowsi Poul said, "We hope our enemies will not make another strategic mistake against Iran. If they want to land on or occupy Iranian islands, another strait will become like the Strait of Hormuz, which will trigger financial markets and the global economy. This is not the situation we want. We will not beg the Houthis, but they have this plan." Houthi political bureau member Mohammed al-Buhaiti previously stated that the movement might block the Bab el-Mandeb Strait connecting the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, but only against the invading nation.Futures News, April 3rd - According to foreign media reports, soybean oil futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) closed higher on Thursday, with the benchmark contract rising 2.7%, mainly due to a surge in international crude oil futures. US President Trumps statement that the US would continue attacks on Iran sparked market concerns about a potential long-term disruption to crude oil supplies, causing Brent crude futures to jump 7.8%, which boosted sentiment in the Chicago soybean oil market. The May contract closed near its intraday high, slightly below this weeks high of $69.68. The US Department of Agricultures weekly export sales report showed that for the week ending March 26, 2026, net sales of US soybean oil for the 2025/26 marketing year totaled 1,100 tons, a 53% increase from the previous week, but a 58% decrease from the four-week average.Federal Reserves Goolsby: The oil price shock adds another layer of uncertainty.Federal Reserves Goolsby: Uncertainty is leading to an environment of low hiring and low layoffs.Federal Reserves Goolsby: When gasoline prices rise sharply, some complications can arise that could push up inflation expectations. That would make things even more difficult for us.

As risk aversion grows as measured by the DXY and as attention turns to the US NFP, USD/CHF goes closer to 0.9600

Alina Haynes

Aug 03, 2022 14:51

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In reaction to the dismal market environment, the US dollar index (DXY) has gained, and the USD/CHF pair is swiftly approaching the key level of 0.9600. After defending Monday's low around 0.9480, the pair had a greater reverse on Tuesday, as the risk-aversion theme strengthened the attraction of the DXY.

 

Following US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's travel to Taiwan to support Taiwan's local government despite China's wishes, tensions between the US and China have increased. In reaction to the death threats made against Pelosi during her private travel to Taiwan, the US is anticipated to adopt sanctions against China, which encouraged the gloomy market sentiment.

 

In the meanwhile, the DXY has achieved a three-day high of 106.55, although the gain may wane ahead of Friday's US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. According to market expectations, the U.S. economy added 250,000 jobs to the labor force in July.

 

During a brief period, a number of significant IT companies in the United States abandoned the hiring process, resulting in payroll statistics that multiplied. If the same thing occurs, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be compelled to speak less about policy rates.

 

On the Swiss franc front, investors anticipate the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers. An early estimate of the annual inflation rate places it at 3.5%, little higher than the prior estimate of 3.4%. As a result, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will be compelled to boost interest rates.