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On December 22, local time, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy revealed via social media that the Ukrainian team was in Florida, USA, reviewing clauses of documents related to ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict, security guarantees in Ukraine, and post-war reconstruction, and discussing the timeframe for the implementation of the resolutions. Zelenskyy stated that the consultations had made constructive progress, and the relevant outcomes were of great significance to the peace process and the long-term stability of Ukraine. He looked forward to briefings from Ukrainian officials on the details of the talks.On December 22, local time, U.S. Presidential Special Envoy Witkov stated that over the past three days, the Ukrainian delegation held a series of productive and constructive meetings with U.S. and European partners in Florida, with separate constructive meetings also held between the U.S. and Ukraine. Witkov also noted that the talks with the Ukrainian delegation focused particularly on the timeline for discussions and the sequence of follow-up steps.December 21 – According to sources, another oil tanker has been seized by the United States in waters near Venezuela as President Trump intensifies his oil blockade against the government of Venezuelan President Maduro. The seized tanker, the "Bella 1," is a Panamanian-flagged vessel under U.S. sanctions and was en route to Venezuela to load cargo. This interception follows the seizure of the "Century" supertanker early Saturday morning and the seizure of the "Skipper" tanker on December 10. The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment.On December 21, local time, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) issued a statement saying that during operations in northern Gaza that day, several suspicious individuals were spotted gathering near the Yellow Line, the ceasefire line. IDF fired warning shots, but three armed men crossed the Yellow Line and approached IDF forces, posing a "direct threat." IDF airstrikes subsequently killed them. The statement also noted that in two other separate incidents in northern Gaza, IDF forces also discovered two armed men crossing the Yellow Line and approaching soldiers. IDF airstrikes subsequently killed them.On December 21, the French presidential palace stated that it would determine the "best way" for French President Macron to hold dialogue with Russian President Putin "in the coming days." The French presidential palace welcomed Russias statement that Putin was willing to engage in dialogue with Macron, and that France believed the aim of such dialogue was to achieve a "stable and lasting peace," and that the content would be "transparent" to Ukraine and Europe.

USD/JPY falls to a two-month low at 131.50 owing to decreasing rates and recession concerns

Daniel Rogers

Aug 02, 2022 15:11

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During Tuesday's Asian session, USD/JPY bears hold dominance at the lowest levels in eight weeks as the pair flirts with the 131.50 barrier. Recent weakening in the pair may be linked to negative rates and recent good news on Japan, not to mention inconsistent Fed and China-related rhetoric.

 

US 10-year Treasury rates touched a four-month low of roughly 2.58 percent the day previous, as US economic data heightened concerns of a slump. As traders awaited the announcement of vital US employment numbers for July on Friday, the dollar dropped. In spite of this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) plummeted to a new monthly low before bouncing off 105.25 on Monday.

 

In July, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to its lowest level since January 2020, as the activity index fell from 53.0 to 52.8. However, the actual figures outperformed the market projection of 52.0. Additionally, final readings of the US S&P Manufacturing PMI dipped below early predictions of 52.3 to 52.2, compared to 52.7 earlier. In addition, Germany's Retail Sales plummeted 8.8 percent year-over-year in June, compared to a market forecast of -8.0 percent and a prior decrease of -3.6 percent.

 

It should be remembered that the second straight quarterly contraction in US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) caused a "technical recession" and weighed on the US dollar throughout the preceding week. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's indirect warnings that the hawks are losing momentum were in the same tone.

 

On a separate page, Reuters claims three sources familiar with the issue as claiming that US House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi was slated to visit Taiwan on Tuesday, despite Chinese vows to never "sit idly by" if she made the trip to the self-governed island claimed by Beijing.

 

At home, speculations of an increase in Japanese salaries and challenges to the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) cheap money policies appeared to have sunk the USD/JPY exchange rate, probably due to widespread inflation anxieties. Recent estimates from Nikkei show that the average minimum wage in Japan will climb by a record 3,3 percent in the fiscal year ending in March 2023. The newspaper also noted, "A Japanese panel is aiming to enhance the average minimum wage by 31 yen."

 

Wall Street concluded with minor losses, but 10-year Treasury rates struck a four-month low of approximately 2.58 percent. In spite of this, as of press time, the S&P 500 Futures indicate moderate losses of around 4,120.

 

In the near future, the words of Chicago Fed President Charles L. Evans and Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard will impact the course of the USD/JPY.


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